Saturday 5/20/17 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Spreitzer
May 20 '17, 4:10 PM in 8h
MLB | Rockies vs Reds
Play on: Rockies +113 at 5Dimes

I'm recommending a play on the Rockies with Senzatela over Adleman. Bud Black is an early candidate for NL Manager of the Year as he has the Rockies winning at home and on the road, which historically has not often been the case. Colorado won 12-6 on Friday to improve to 14-6 away from home while Cincinnati lost its seventh in a row. The Rockies have won seven of Antonio Senzatela's eight starts, including 9-6 against the Dodgers on Sunday when the right-hander didn't have his best stuff, but was able to get through five innings to get the win. Senzatela has a 2.50 ERA in 18 innings on the road with opponents batting just .234 against him. Tim Adleman will make his fourth start of the year after lasting only one inning his last time out due to a neck injury. Adleman is 2-2 with a 5.27 ERA after allowing four runs (three earned) in that one inning against the Giants. We're recommending a play on the Rockies on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Red Dog Sports
May 20 '17, 3:00 PM in 6h
Soccer | Saint-tienne vs ASNL
Play on: Saint-tienne +270 at Bovada

Saint Etienne +270

This match takes place at 3pm Saturday in France's League One. The visitors are an average team sitting #8 of the 20 teams in the table. The home team is last of the 20 teams at 8-21-8 (-25 goals). I like the value on the visitors.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence
May 20 '17, 7:15 PM in 11h
MLB | Rangers vs Tigers
Play on: Rangers +145 at betonline

Play - Texas Rangers w/Griffin vs Verlander (Game 925).

Edges - Rangers: Griffin 6-0 team starts this season; and 8-1 last nine May team starts, including 5-0 the last five; and 2-0 last two starts in this park… Tigers: Verlander 0-3 last three home team starts in this series… With Griffin sporting a 1.38 ERA and a 0.73 WHIP away, as opposed to an 8.64 ERA and 1.92 WHIP at home this season, we recommend a 1* play on Texas. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dustin Hawkins
May 20 '17, 10:10 PM in 14h
MLB | Diamondbacks vs Padres
Play on: Diamondbacks -111 at GTBets

Bonus Play on Diamondbacks -111

Arizona is 25-11 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons, they are also 13-4 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Bonus Play on Diamondbacks

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Art Aronson
May 20 '17, 7:15 PM in 11h
NHL | Predators vs Ducks
Play on: OVER 5 -130

This is a 1* Bonus Play on the OVER between the Predators/Ducks.

This has been a very even series and it enters Game 5 all knotted up at two games apiece. Every game has been decided by a single goal except for the Ducks’ 5-3 win in Game 2. Two have gone to overtime. So far the O/U is 1-1-2. We think the overall situation lends itself to a higher-scoring affair in Game 5 though. The Predators looked pretty inept for most of Game 4 except for the final eight minutes. Clearly they’ll be out to set the tone early tonight. The Ducks haven’t been great defensively in the playoffs, but they’ve been exceptional on the offensive end, ranked No. 1 overall. Also note that Nashville has seen the total go OVER the number in 11 of 16 this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Anaheim has seen the total go OVER the number in 14 of 24 home games when the total is set at 5 or less. We’re recommending a play on the OVER in Game 5, but what do you think? Shootout or goaltenders battle?

AAA Sports

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday's six-pack

— Rory McIlroy has back/rib injuries, has pulled out of the BMW tourney next week. His status for the US Open is up in the air.

— Cavaliers 130, Celtics 86— Cleveland led 72-31 at the half— 72-31!!!!

— Nationals, Twins are only teams with an extra base hit in every game this season.

— RIP Wayne Walker, a LB for the Lions who also their punter, then later a good announcer on TV. There was a time when punters played other positions; Walker was a very good LB.

— NASCAR driver Alric Almirola is out 8-12 weeks with a broken vertebrae after his scary accident at Bristol Motor Speedway.

— Jason deGrom pitched seven innings last nite, the first time in 18 games a Mets’ starting pitcher got an out after the sixth inning.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Warriors -6
A's +105
Yankees -119

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bad bullpens have made these sensational MLB starting pitchers "5-inning only" bets

There's nothing worse than banking on a solid outing from a starter, and getting it - only to see your moneyline bet fall through because the guy's bullpen had a meltdown. Most baseball bettors would rather get food poisoning than suffer this kind of fate.

While the majority of bullpens are better than they've ever been before, you'll still see an occasional lead blown because none of the team's relievers can get anybody out. But hey, that's what first five-inning lines are for, right?

Here are four pitchers whose five-inning performances have been much stronger than their overall records, making them solid short-game bets:

RHP Matt Andriese, Tampa Bay Rays
Overall record: 3-1, 4 no-decisions
5-inning record: 7-1

That Andriese isn't even the only Tampa Bay pitcher on the list speaks to the frustrating ineptitude of the Rays' bullpen, which has allowed 98 runs from the sixth inning onward — second-most in the majors. Despite this, Andriese has had a terrific season so far, limiting opponents to a .237 batting average while averaging nearly a strikeout per inning through eight starts.

The Rays led after the fifth inning in each of Andriese's first four starts, but he came away with just one victory to show for it. He took his only loss of the season against the Blue Jays on April 29, then answered with three straight five-inning victories, picking up a pair of actual wins over that span. If the Tampa Bay bullpen were even modestly better, he would have 5-plus wins at this point.

RHP Chris Archer, Tampa Bay Rays
Overall record: 3-2, 4 no-decisions
5-inning record: 6-2-1

Archer has been just as sharp as Andriese in the early going, ranking in the Top 5 league-wide in strikeouts while limiting foes to a .225 batting average. Yet, he finds himself with just three wins on the season and, despite struggling for the majority of the past month, he should also have five or more victories by this point.

His most frustrating no-decision game in a rematch with the Blue Jays on May 5, in which he allowed a game-tying home run to Kendrys Morales in the seventh inning before watching the Rays bullpen surrender five runs in the eighth. It has been that kind of year for Tampa Bay's beleaguered relief corps, which enters Friday having thrown the fourth-most innings in baseball.

RHP Andrew Cashner, Texas Rangers
Overall record: 1-3, 3 no-decisions
5-inning record: 4-2-1

Cashner is enjoying somewhat of a renaissance after struggling for most of the 2015 and 2016 seasons. But you wouldn't know it by looking at his record, with his only victory coming last time out against the Philadelphia Phillies. That said, Cashner has been one of the strongest five-inning plays in baseball, made even stronger by the fact he has been an underdog in five of seven starts.

The Texas bullpen is partly to blame for Cashner's win drought — it has allowed the third-most runs after the fifth inning so far in 2017. The once-vaunted offense is also culpable, having scored a total of seven runs over Cashner's first five starts, resulting in a 0-3 record despite a 2.63 ERA in that stretch. With 14 runs in his last two starts, perhaps the support will stick around.

RHP Luis Perdomo, San Diego Padres
Overall record: 0-0, 6 no-decisions
5-inning record: 3-1-2

Perdomo hasn't exactly lit the world on fire through six starts, boasting a 4.19 ERA while topping out at six innings. But he deserves a much better fate than six consecutive no-decisions to open the season, and is still looking for his first win of the season thanks at least in part to a Padres bullpen that has allowed a whopping 100 runs after the fifth inning — the most of any team in the majors.

Perdomo has found himself trailing after five innings in just one of his first half-dozen appearances, with three leads in that span. You'll likely continue to get great five-inning odds on him thanks to the Padres' overall futility, but they have the kind of lineup that can jump out to a nice early lead. They just can't keep the opponent from coming back to win. At least, not yet.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Dunkel

Saturday, May 20


LA Angels @ NY Mets

Game 929-930
May 20, 2017 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Meyer) 12.713
NY Mets
(Wheeler) 16.230
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 3 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-135
8
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-135); Over

Chicago White Sox @ Seattle

Game 927-928
May 20, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Pelfrey) 15.838
Seattle
(Gallardo) 12.434
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-175
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+155); Under

Texas @ Detroit

Game 925-926
May 20, 2017 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Griffin) 16.509
Detroit
(Verlnder) 14.918
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-155
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+135); Over

Toronto @ Baltimore

Game 923-924
May 20, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Blsnger) 16.714
Baltimore
(Gausman) 14.746
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-150
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+130); Over

Boston @ Oakland

Game 921-922
May 20, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Pmeranz) 14.597
Oakland
(Manaea) 15.984
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-105); Under

Kansas City @ Minnesota

Game 919-920
May 20, 2017 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Kennedy) 16.376
Minnesota
(Mejia) 14.715
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-110
9
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-110); Under

Cleveland @ Houston

Game 917-918
May 20, 2017 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Clevnger) 17.952
Houston
(Fiers) 14.558
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-125
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+105); Over

NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay

Game 915-916
May 20, 2017 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 15.089
Tampa Bay
(Andriese) 16.682
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-125
8
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+105); Over

Miami @ LA Dodgers

Game 913-914
May 20, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Straily) 15.661
LA Dodgers
(Urias) 14.766
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-185
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+165); Over

Arizona @ San Diego

Game 911-912
May 20, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Ray) 13.748
San Diego
(Perdomo) 14.667
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-120
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+100); Over

San Francisco @ St. Louis

Game 909-910
May 20, 2017 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Smrdjza) 14.208
St. Louis
(Mrtinez) 16.309
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-150
8
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-150); Over

Colorado @ Cincinnati

Game 907-908
May 20, 2017 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Senztela) 16.338
Cincinnati
(Adleman) 13.303
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+100); Over

Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh

Game 905-906
May 20, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Velsquez) 13.311
Pittsburgh
(Nova) 16.901
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-125
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-125); Over

Milwaukee @ Chicago Cubs

Game 903-904
May 20, 2017 @ 2:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Andrson) 14.187
Chicago Cubs
(Arrieta) 17.357
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-200
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-200); N/A

Washington @ Atlanta

Game 901-902
May 20, 2017 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Scherzer) 14.203
Atlanta
(Colon) 15.567
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-200
9
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+170); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Saturday, May 20

National League
Brewers @ Cubs
Anderson is 0-0, 6.10 in his last four starts, all of which went over the total.

Arrieta is 1-3, 9.45 in his last four starts; six of his last seven starts went over.

Brewers won nine of their last 12 games- six of their last eight games went over the total. Cubs are 7-3 in last ten home games; over is 13-1 in last 14 games at Wrigley Field.

Phillies @ Pirates
Velasquez is 1-0, 3.94 in three road starts (over 6-1).

Nova is 0-1, 4.42 in his last three starts (under is 4-1-1 in his last six starts).

Phillies lost 12 of last 15 games; over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 road games. Pittsburgh won four of last six games; under is 6-2-1 in their last nine home games.

Nationals @ Braves
Scherzer is 1-0, 2.57 in his last three starts; over is 4-1 in his last five outings.

Colon is 1-3, 8.77 in his last five starts- over is 6-1 in his last seven.

Washington lost six of its last seven road games; over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Atlanta won six of last eight games; over is 7-0-2 in their last nine home games.

Rockies @ Reds
Senzatela is 6-1, 3.49 in eight starts this year; his last five starts went over.

Adleman is 2-2, 6.56 in five starts this year (over 3-2).

Colorado won seven of last ten road games; under is 10-5 in their last 15 games. Reds lost seven games in row; over is 5-0 in their last five games.

Giants @ Cardinals
Samardzija is 1-1, 4.08 in his last four starts- under is 6-1 in his last seven starts.

Martinez is 3-0, 3.15 in his last three starts; four of his last five starts went over.

Giants won six of last seven games; four of their last five games went over. St Louis is 3-7 in its last ten home games; over is 11-3 in their last 14 home games.

Diamondbacks @ Padres
Ray is 0-3, 5.82 in his last four starts; under is 3-0 in his road starts.

Perdomo is 0-1, 4.72 in six starts this season (over 3-3).

Arizona won its last four games; under is 7-2 in their last nine road games. San Diego lost nine of last 11 games. Over is 11-4 in their last 15 home games.

Marlins @ Dodgers
Straily is 0-3, 2.60 in his last six starts (over 4-3-1).

Urias is 0-1, 3.43 in four starts this year (under 2-1-1).

Miami lost ten of its last 11 games; under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Dodgers won their last three games; over is 6-2-2 in their last ten home games.

——————————–

American League
Blue Jays @ Orioles
Bolsinger is 0-2, 6.97 in two starts this year (over 1-1).

Gausman is 1-3, 9.24 in his last six starts; three of his last four went over.

Blue Jays lost four of last five games; over is 9-3 in their last 12 road games. Baltimore lost six of its last eight games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.

Bronx @ Tampa Bay
Tanaka is 2-1, 9.60 in his last three starts (over 6-2). New York scored 28 runs in those three games.

Andriese is 2-0, 2.60 in his last three starts (over 4-4).

New York won eight of last 11 road games; over is 13-6 in their last 19 games. Tampa Bay won five of last seven games; over is 9-1-1 in Rays’ last 11 games.

Rangers @ Tigers
Griffin is 4-0, 2.61 in his last five starts (over 5-1).

Verlander is 2-1, 3.46 in his last four starts, three of which stayed under.

Rangers won their last ten games; four of last six Ranger games went over total. Detroit won three of last four games; over is 3-1-1 in their last five games.

Royals @ Twins
Young is 0-0, 12.15 in two starts this season (over 2-0).

Mejia is 0-1, 6.52 in three starts this season (under 2-0-1).

Kansas City won seven of its last 11 games; over is 5-3 in their last eight road games. Minnesota lost three of last five home games; over is 7-4 in last 11 games at Target Field.

Indians @ Astros
Clevinger is 1-1, 2.70 in two starts (10 IP, under 2-0).

Fiers is 1-0, 6.48 in his last three starts (over 4-2 in his last six starts).

Indians lost five of last eight games; four of last five Cleveland games went over total. Houston won nine of last 11 games; over is 4-2 in Astros’ last six home games.

White Sox @ Mariners
Pelfrey is 0-4, 6.47 in five starts this year (under 3-2).

Gallardo is 1-0, 3.63 in his last three starts (over 4-4).

White Sox lost ten of their last 13 games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Seattle won three of its last five games; over is 11-6-1 in their last 18 games.

Red Sox @ A’s
Pomeranz is 2-3, 5.32 in his last five starts; three of his last four starts went over.

Manaea is 1-3, 6.14 in six starts this season (over 4-2).

Red Sox are 4-6 in their last ten games; over is 7-2 in their last nine road games. Oakland won three of last four games; over is 14-6 in their last 20 games.

__________________________

Interleague

Angels @ Mets
Meyer is 2-0, 3.09 in his last two starts (over 3-1).

Wheeler is 1-0, 1.50 in his last two starts (over 5-1-1).

Angels won four of their last five games; under is 14-5 in their last 19 road games. Mets lost seven of their last eight games; over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Wsh-Atl: Scherzer 5-3; Colon 4-4
Mil-Chi: Anderson 4-4; Arrieta 4-4
Phil-Pitt: Velasquez 2-5; Nova 4-4
Col-Cin: Senzatela 7-1; Adleman 2-3
SF-StL: Samardzija 3-5; Martinez 5-3
Az-SD: Ray 4-4; Perdomo 2-4
Mia-LA: Straily 3-5; Urias 2-2

American League
NY-TB: Tanaka 5-3; Andriese 4-4
Clev-Hst: Clevinger 1-1; Fiers 4-3
KC-Min: Young 2-0; Mejia 0-3
Bos-A’s: Pomeranz 4-3; Manaea 1-5
Tor-Balt: Bolsinger 0-2; Gausman 4-5
Tex-Det: Griffin 6-0; Verlander 4-4
Chi-Sea: Pelfrey 1-4; Gallardo 3-5

Interleague
LAA-NYM: Meyer 2-2; Wheeler 3-4

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Wsh-Atl: Scherzer 2-8; Colon 3-8
Mil-Chi: Anderson 1-8; Arrieta 3-8
Phil-Pitt: Velasquez 3-7; Nova 1-8
Col-Cin: Senzatela 4-8; Adleman 2-5
SF-StL: Samardzija 3-8; Martinez 2-8
Az-SD: Ray 4-8; Perdomo 3-6
Mia-LA: Straily 0-8; Urias 1-4

American League
NY-TB: Tanaka 4-8; Andriese 5-8
Clev-Hst: Clevinger 0-2; Fiers 5-7
KC-Min: Young 1-2; Mejia 1-3
Bos-A’s: Pomeranz 4-7; Manaea 1-6
Tor-Balt: Bolsinger 1-2; Gausman 2-9
Tex-Det: Griffin 1-6; Verlander 4-8
Chi-Sea: Pelfrey 2-5; Gallardo 4-8

Interleague
LAA-NYM: Meyer 3-4; Wheeler 3-7

_________________________

Umpires
National League
Wsh-Atl: Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Fairchild games.
Mil-Chi: Under is 5-2 in Hoye games this season.
Phil-Pitt: Four of last five Culbreth games went over; underdogs won five of his last six games.
Col-Cin: Over is 5-1-2 in Wolf games this season.
SF-StL: Home team won six of seven Carapazza games.
Az-SD: Three of last four HGibson games stayed under.
Mia-LA: Over is 3-1-1 in last five Demuth games.

American League
NY-TB: Over is 6-2 in Barry games this season.
Clev-Hst: Under is 5-2 in LBarrett games this season.
KC-Min: Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Miller games.
Bos-A’s: Four of six Whitson games went over the total.
Tor-Balt: Over is 3-1-1 in last five Woodring games.
Tex-Det: Four of last six Everitt games went over.
Chi-Sea: Under is 3-1-1 in last five Wegner games.

Interleague
LAA-NYM: Six of last eight Cederstrom games went over.

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 22-10 AL, favorites -$81
AL @ NL– 20-16 AL, favorites -$123
Total: 42-26 AL, favorites -$204

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 15-17-1
AL @ NL: Over 24-13
Total: Over 39-30-1

Teams’ records in first five innings:

Team (road-home-total)- thru 5/19/17
Ariz 6-8-3……14-8–4…….20-16–7
Atl 9-11-3……6-8-2……..15-19–5
Cubs 9-11………..9-8-3……..18-19-3
Reds 4-12-2……11-9–2……..15-21-4
Colo 12-6-2…..11-10-2…….23-16–5
LA 9-11-2……14-5-2…….23-16-4
Miami 6-14-1…….8-9-3……..14-23-4
Milw 12-4-4…….11-10-2…….23-14-6
Mets 8-10-1……..8-11-2…….16-21-3
Philly 7-11-4………7-7-2…….14-18-6
Pitt 7-14-2…….9-8-2……..16-22-4
St. Louis 7-5-2……..13-6-4……..20-11-6
SD 5-14-4…….9-10–2……..14-24-6
SF 4-14-4……11-7-3………18-21-7
Wash 14-6-2……9-8-2………23-14-4

Orioles 10-10-2……….10-7………20-17-2
Boston 7-11-2………9-10-2……..16-21-4
White Sox 6-13-5……..8-7–1……..14-20-6
Cleveland 9-11-2……..6-11-1……..15-22-3
Detroit 9-9-2…….11-7-2……..20-16-4
Astros 8-8-5……..11-9-1……..19-17-6
KC 5-10-3…….13-8-2……..18-18-5
Angels 5-11-5……12-6-5………17-17-10
Twins 9-5-2………9-8-5………18-13-7
NYY 10-9-1……….11-8…..…….21-17-1
A’s 7-11-3……..8-8-5……..15-19-8
Seattle 6-12-5……..12-4-4……..18-16-9
TB 11-7-3……..16-5-2……..27-12-5
Texas 11-4-4……..11-8-5…….22-12-9
Toronto 6-15-1……..6-9-5……..12-24-6

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 5/19/17)
Ariz 5-17……..9-26……….14
Atl 5-23……..5-16………..10
Cubs 4-21……..8-20………..12
Reds 4-18……..10-23………14
Colo 7-20……..8-23……….15
LA 7-22……..9-21..……..16
Miami 6-21……..7-20……….13
Milw 8-20……..11-23………19
Mets 8-19……..11-21……….19
Philly 8-23……..4-16…………12
Pitt 6-23……..8-19…………14
StL 6-16……..7-23………..13
SD 11-23……6-21………..17
SF 3-25……..6-21………..9
Wash 8-22……..7-19……….15

Orioles 2-23……..5-17………..7
Boston 6-20……..5-21………..11
White Sox 5-24…….8-16………..13
Clev 6-22……..8-18………..14
Detroit 5-20……..9-20………..14
Astros 7-21……..11-21……….18
KC 2-18……..4-23…………6
Angels 6-21…….5-23………..11
Twins 3-16……..6-22……….9
NYY 6-20……..9-19……….15
A’s 3-21……..5-21……….8
Seattle 9-23……..10-20………19
TB 6-21……..11-23………17
Texas 7-19……..8-24………15
Toronto 6-22……..4-21………10

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Saturday, May 20

Trend Report

2:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. MINNESOTA
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Kansas City is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

2:20 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CHI CUBS
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games at home

4:05 PM
BOSTON vs. OAKLAND
Boston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Oakland's last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland's last 9 games when playing Boston

4:05 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. PITTSBURGH
Philadelphia is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Pittsburgh is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games

4:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Washington is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

4:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TAMPA BAY
NY Yankees are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games on the road
NY Yankees are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home

4:10 PM
COLORADO vs. CINCINNATI
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Colorado is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado

4:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. HOUSTON
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Cleveland's last 25 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

7:15 PM
LA ANGELS vs. NY METS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing NY Mets
LA Angels are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road
NY Mets are 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing LA Angels

7:15 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
San Francisco is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games

7:15 PM
TEXAS vs. DETROIT
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing at home against Texas

7:35 PM
TORONTO vs. BALTIMORE
Toronto is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 12 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto

10:10 PM
MIAMI vs. LA DODGERS
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Miami's last 21 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing Miami
LA Dodgers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Miami

10:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. SEATTLE
Chi White Sox are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 12 games at home
Seattle is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

10:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. SAN DIEGO
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday's NBA Western Conference Finals Game 3 Betting Preview: Warriors at Spurs

Kevin Durant and Stephen Curry were both named to the All-NBA second team on Thursday while forward Draymond Green was a third-team selection.

Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs (+6, 212.5)

Warriors lead series 2-0

The Golden State Warriors have yet to lose in the postseason and certainly didn't look like a team that was on the verge of taking its first "L" while blasting the San Antonio Spurs in Game 2 of the Western Conference finals on Tuesday. The Spurs had a few days off to get healthy and try to put the 136-100 thrashing behind them and will get the chance to play host when the series shifts to San Antonio for Game 3 on Saturday.

The Spurs watched Game 1 turn when superstar small forward Kawhi Leonard went down with an ankle injury and are hoping he can return to the lineup for Game 3, though a change in attitude is necessary whether or not Leonard is on the floor. "I don't think they believed," San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich told reporters after watching his team get crushed in Game 2. "And you have to believe. I don't think as a group they really did, which means probably a little bit feeling sorry for themselves psychologically, subconsciously, whatever psycho-babble word you want to use. … That was disappointing." The Warriors are feeling pretty good about themselves after shooting 56.2 percent from the floor in Game 2 while holding the Spurs to 37 percent. "We just came out and played our game," Golden State forward Kevin Durant told reporters. "We moved the ball. Everybody touched it and felt good about themselves, and that generated some good looks."

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: The Warriors opened as 6.5-point road chalk against heading into Game 3 in San Antonio and that line has been bet down to an even 6. The total hitting the betting board at 212 and has yet to move off the opening number.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "The San Antonio Spurs learned to adjust without Kawhi Leonard in their Game Six rout over Houston in they year’s playoffs. However, they’ve looked lost without him in this series, having been outscored by 59 points since he left the floor and failed to return in Game One. Compounding the problem has been LaMarcus Aldridge’s disappearance on the floor (one field goal in the first half of Tuesday’s rout). After being hogtied and embarrassed, expect a concerted effort from the Spurs tonight." - Marc Lawrence

INJURY REPORT:

Warriors - SG Andre Iguodala (Questionable, knee), C Zaza Pachulia (Questionable, heel), PF Draymond Green (Questionable, back), SF Kevon Looney (Out Indefinitely, hip)

Spurs - SF Kawhi Leonard (Questionable, ankle), PG Tony Parker (Out For Season, quadricep).

ABOUT THE SPURS (69-27 SU, 49-45-2 ATS, 54-40-2 O/U): Leonard is the only player in the series to make the All-NBA first team but sat out two of the last three playoff games due to left ankle issues and did not do any on-court work while reporters were at the San Antonio practice facility on Thursday. If Leonard is limited or unable to go, the Spurs will need more from LaMarcus Aldridge, who managed eight points on 4-of-11 shooting in Game 2. "LaMarcus has to score for us," Popovich told reporters. "He can't be timid. He turned down shots in the first quarter. He can't do it. You've got to score. Scoring has to come from some place."

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (77-15 SU, 46-43-3 ATS, 39-53-0 O/U): Durant and point guard Stephen Curry were both named to the All-NBA second team on Thursday while forward Draymond Green was a third-team selection. All-Star shooting guard Klay Thompson was left off the All-NBA teams and is one of the few Golden State players struggling in the postseason while averaging 14.6 points on 38.8 percent shooting - down from 22.3 points on 46.8 percent shooting in the regular season. "When you look around, what did we win? Sixty-seven games or something like that? And we probably just handed teams three or four," Green told reporters when asked about Thompson missing out on an All-NBA team. "You're talking a possible 70-win season. I think Klay is one of our top three guys, and to not be on an All-NBA team, I think it's pretty crazy."

TRENDS:

* Over is 7-1 in Spurs last eight games following a ATS loss.
* Over is 13-3 in Spurs last 16 overall.
* Over is 5-1 in Warriors last six games following a ATS win.
* Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. NBA Pacific.
* Warriors are 9-0 ATS in their last nine road games.

CONSENSUS: 56 percent of users are taking the road favorite Warriors and 70 percent are on the Over.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, May 20


Golden State @ San Antonio

Game 723-724
May 20, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
132.047
San Antonio
131.026
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 1
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 6
212
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(+6); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, May 20

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GOLDEN STATE (77 - 15) at SAN ANTONIO (69 - 27) - 5/20/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1004-877 ATS (+39.3 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 510-428 ATS (+39.2 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 81-53 ATS (+22.7 Units) in home games in all playoff games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 75-50 ATS (+20.0 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 181-134 ATS (+33.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 104-88 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 149-120 ATS (+17.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 91-67 ATS (+17.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 90-70 ATS (+13.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-6 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-5 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Saturday, May 20

Golden State is 10-0 (6-4 vs spread) in playoffs, 4-0 on road (4-0 vs spread) with three of four road wins by 11+ points. Leonard didn’t practice Friday, is ?able here; Spurs led by 23 when he went out in Game 1, have been outscored by 61 points in 5.5 quarters since then. Warriors are 2-3 in last five visits to San Antonio; four of last five series games went over the total. Underdogs are 4-2 vs spread in last six series games. Six of Warriors’ last seven wins were by 11+ points- over is 6-2 in their last eight games overall. Over is 8-2 in Spurs last ten games.

Conference finals:
San Antonio-Golden State
GState 113-111, -10, O209.5
GState 136-100, -13, O211

Cleveland-Boston
Clev 117-104, -4.5, O219
Clev 130-86, -5, U218.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Saturday, May 20

Trend Report

9:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. SAN ANTONIO
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Golden State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games at home
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA
Dunkel

Saturday, May 20


Minnesota @ Dallas

Game 663-664
May 20, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
117.147
Dallas
104.522
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 12 1/2
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 8 1/2
165
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-8 1/2); Under

Connecticut @ Indiana

Game 661-662
May 20, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
106.144
Indiana
115.755
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 9 1/2
163
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 4 1/2
159
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-4 1/2); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, May 20

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (0 - 1) at INDIANA (0 - 2) - 5/20/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games in May, June, or July games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 5-2 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-2 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (2 - 0) at DALLAS (1 - 0) - 5/20/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA

Saturday, May 20

Trend Report

7:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Connecticut's last 18 games when playing Indiana
Connecticut is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games

8:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday’s Stanley Cup Playoffs betting preview: Predators at Ducks

Filip Forsberg was labeled "Mr. Clutch" by teammate Harry Zolnierczyk and it's hard to argue after the forward again came through by scoring the tying goal with 34.5 seconds in Game 4 to force overtime.

Nashville Predators at Anaheim Ducks (-115, 5)

Series tied 2-2

Having handed the Nashville Predators their first home defeat of the postseason, the Anaheim Ducks return to Honda Center to host Game 5 of the Western Conference final on Saturday night. Anaheim's dramatic overtime victory in Thursday's Game 4 ended Nashville's 10-game home winning streak and turned the series into a best-of-3.

The winning goal by Corey Perry came as the result of a fluke deflection, preventing a potentially crushing defeat for the Ducks, who blew a two-goal lead in the final 6 1/2 minutes of regulation. “The last three or four years, we’ve obviously gone through a lot,” Anaheim goalie John Gibson said. “More downs in the playoffs than ups. I think we just learned from that and I think now we have a sense of calmness. And we have the ability to always regroup, whether we’re up or we’re down or something bad happens." While the Ducks reclaimed home ice with the 3-2 overtime win, Nashville won the series opener at Honda Center and posted three wins at Anaheim in last year's first-round playoff matching, including a winner-takes-all Game 7. “It’s an open series," Predators goaltender Pekka Rinne said. "It’s 2-2, but we have a lot of confidence. I don’t think we need to change a lot of things going into Game 5."

TV: 7:15 p.m. ET NBC, CBC, TVAS

LINE HISTORY: The Ducks opened as -111 home favorites for Game 5 and by Friday evening that money line was up to -116. The total hit the betting board at 5 and has yet to move off the opening number.

INJURY REPORT:

Predators - C Mike Fisher (Questionable, eye), RW Craig Smith (Questionable, undisclosed), LW Kevin Fiala (Out For Season, leg).

Ducks - C Rickard Rakell (Questionable, undisclosed), RW Logan Shaw (Out indefinitely, lower body), RW Patrick Eaves (Out indefinitely, lower body), D Simon Despres (Out indefinitely, concussion)

ABOUT THE PREDATORS (51-32-9-4, 43-41 O/U): Filip Forsberg was labeled "Mr. Clutch" by teammate Harry Zolnierczyk and it's hard to argue after the standout forward again came through by scoring the tying goal with 34.5 seconds in Game 4 to force overtime. Forsberg, who registered two goals and two assists over 14 games in the 2016 playoffs, also netted the tying tally in Game 3 against Anaheim. A 31-goal scorer during the regular season, Forsberg set a franchise single-season mark with his seventh goal of the postseason and is the first player in seven years to score in each of the first four games of a conference final.

ABOUT THE DUCKS (56-27-11-3, 35-40 O/U): Corey Perry offered a simple assessment after scoring Anaheim's only goal on a bad-angle shot in Game 3, basically telling reporters you can't score if you don't shoot, and he reinforced that point with the decisive tally Thursday. Perry threw a shot at the net from the right point that deflected off the stick of Predators defenseman P.K. Subban and past Rinne to give the Ducks new life. “I’ll take it,” Perry said. "I was trying to create traffic or create a bounce and create havoc in front. And that’s what they say in overtime. Throw it on net, you never know what can happen.”

TRENDS:

* Predators are 5-1 in their last six road games vs. a team with a home winning percent of greater than .600.
* Under is 10-2-4 in Predators last 16 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
* Under is 5-1-3 in Predators last nine vs. Western Conference.
* Over is 5-1-2 in Ducks last eight Conference Finals games.

CONSENSUS: 69 percent of users are siding with the home chalk Ducks on the moneyline and 59 percent are on the Over.