Saturday 4/25/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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For Saturday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Aqueduct (5th) Adirondack Posse, 7-2
(6th) Carolinian, 3-1

Charles Town (3rd) Dream Magic, 6-1
(6th) Red Penny Princess, 7-2

Churchill Downs (4th) You Should Be Here, 7-2
(10th) Silvertron, 4-1

Emerald Downs (3rd) Shadow Code, 4-1
(8th) Seeking the Light, 3-1


Evangeline Downs (3rd) Curley Joe, 9-2
(5th) Permission Slip, 9-2


Golden Gate Fields (5th) Zorrito, 6-1
(8th) Hail Mary, 3-1


Gulfstream Park (2nd) Comet Sixty Two, 7-2
(6th) B.F. Forever, 7-2


Hawthorne (2nd) Chica Silver, 5-1
(3rd) Kisses from Ocala, 4-1


Indiana Grand (1st) Unfaithful, 9-2
(3rd) Poblanita, 9-2


Lone Star Park (5th) Malacrianza, 3-1
(10th) Valid Message, 6-1


Mahoning Valley (2nd) Tynah Tyme, 3-1
(6th) Midsummer's Eve, 4-1


Mountaineer Park (4th) Wacky Indian, 9-2
(6th) Goose No Fruit, 3-1


Parx Racing (6th) Bobby C, 5-1
(7th) Frame, 7-2


Penn National (3rd) Dreaming of Andy A, 7-2
(4th) Sully's Approach, 6-1


Pimlico (6th) Trusted Choice, 3-1
(7th) A Prettydixie, 3-1


Prairie Meadows (2nd) Fantastical, 4-1
(5th) Colerful Bride, 4-1


Santa Anita (5th) Somethingaboutnick, 3-1
(7th) Rule He Will, 3-1


Tampa Bay Downs (3rd) Sunny Forest, 6-1
(9th) Intense Intense, 7-2


Woodbine (4th) More Than Bandeau, 7-2
(5th) Why the Ring, 3-1
 
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NHL Preview: Canucks (48-29) at Flames (45-30)

Date: April 25, 2015 9:00 PM EDT

VANCOUVER, British Columbia (AP) - The Vancouver Canucks are brimming with confidence after a season-saving win.

The Calgary Flames are headed home with a chance to advance to the next round.

Facing elimination on Thursday, the Canucks beat the Flames 2-1 in Game 5 to stay alive in their Western Conference playoff series. Now they are talking up the pressure on the Flames to close it out Saturday night and avoid a return trip to Rogers Arena for a winner-take-all Game 7.

'It's hard to close out a series,' goaltender Ryan Miller said after Friday's practice. 'I've been in those situations and you do let doubt get into your mind sometimes. Our job is to keep reinforcing that and keep reminding them we are a good team and they are going to have to beat us.'

Calgary split the first two games of the series in Vancouver and then won back-to-back games at home. It is trying to advance to the second round for the first time since 2004.

The Flames had a similar scenario at the end of the regular season. Needing to win their last home game against the Los Angeles Kings or their finale in Winnipeg to make the playoffs for the first time in six years, the Flames took advantage of the first option.

'We had to win one out of two and we took care of business,' coach Bob Hartley said. 'We took care of the defending Stanley Cup champions right in our barn in front of our fans and we did it.

'Tomorrow, it's exactly the same challenge and we believe in ourselves. I like our players' demeanor.'

Canucks captain Henrik Sedin has been on both sides of 3-1 series leads and said the longer it takes to get that fourth win, the more it can wear a team down.

'There's a lot of pressure on them going back home. Being up 3-1 you have a chance to win it,' said Sedin, who picked up an assist on his brother Daniel's winning goal in Game 5. 'I felt they looked a little tired at the end of the game. We have to bring the same energy. For them to go home and face their crowd, there's a lot of pressure there.'

Miller had 20 saves Thursday night in his first start of the series after replacing Eddie Lack in Game 4.

The Flames were unable to get much traffic in front of Miller, while Calgary goalie Jonas Hiller had 41 saves.

It was the sixth time that the Flames, who led the NHL in blocked shots, allowed over 40 shots this season.

'He plays a little more active game, a little more reactive in the net, whereas Eddie is a little calmer, but I don't think we challenged him enough last night by driving the net and getting in front of him,' Hiller said. 'They blocked a lot of shots that didn't make it to the net.

'If you want to score in this league, it's not always going to be pretty. You have to work for it, put pucks on net and drive the net and I think we were a little too cute last night.'
 
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Predators' Weber will not return in first-round
Stephen Campbell

Nashville Predators star defensemen Shea Weber will not return for the duration of his team's first-round playoff series against the Chicago Blackhawks.

Weber suffered a lower-body injury in Game 2. The void left by the stalwart blueliner has been filled by Ryan Ellis and Seth Jones on the Preds' top defensive pairing.

In light of Thursday's convincing 5-2 victory, the series shifts back to Chicago with the Hawks holding a 3-2 lead. Books are currently dealing the Preds as +149 underdogs on the moneyline.
 
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Blackhawks to stick with Darling in net for Game 6
Stephen Campbell

Despite allowing four goals on 28 shots in Thursday's 5-2 loss to the Nashville Predators, Chicago Blackhawks goaltender Scott Darling will be between the pipes in Game 6 Saturday.

Darling, who relieved struggling incumbent starter Corey Crawford in Game 3, has led his squad to three wins in the first-round series. The Hawks own a 3-2 lead with the Windy City set to play host once again on the weekend.

Books are dealing Chicago as healthy -165 moneyline favorites for the postseason clash.
 
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Soccer: EPL Best Bets - Week 34
By Toby Maxtone-Smith

This weekend’s Premier League action saves the best until last as Arsenal meet Chelsea on Sunday. Arsenal, who have 33/1 odds to win the title, need to keep up any hopes of winning the league. If Chelsea get the three points at the Emirates, they can win the league if they beat Leicester next Wednesday night.

But it is at the bottom of the league where things are most interesting. QPR’s tough run-in means they are the rock solid 1/7 favourites to be relegated, with Burnley 4/11. Leicester amazing recent run has seen them drift from near-certainties to 9/4 in the past weeks. This leaves Hull (4/5) and Sunderland (5/6) with big chances of being relegated to the Championship.

Fans of big prices may be interested in Newcastle at 50/1. The Magpies have 35 points already, but have lost their last six and it is hard to see where their next win is coming from.

Let's handicap Week 34 of the Premier League.

The Banker: Manchester United to win at Everton at 23/20
(Sunday, 8:30 a.m. ET)

Louis van Gaal called Man Utd’s performance in a 1-0 defeat at Chelsea their ‘best performance of the season’, and while that may be a slight exaggeration, there was plenty to encourage United fans at Stamford Bridge. They face Everton at Goodison Park on Sunday, and are quite a juicy price to cement their position in the top 4 of the EPL.

While United dominated possession against Chelsea, they did not create many real openings. This was largely because Chelsea stuck Kurt Zouma on United’s man-of-the-moment, Marouane Fellaini. Everton manager Roberto Martinez is more of a proactive than a reactive type, and will set out to beat United at their own game. This may be a bad strategy. Everton’s defence has shown time and again this year that quick movement can unlock it, and United will be given enough space to create lots of chances. At 23/20 they look a good bet.

The Solid Bet: Arsenal to draw with Chelsea at 23/10
(Sunday, 11:00 a.m. ET)

The biggest game of the weekend may also turn out to be the most predictable. Arsenal will dominate the ball, probably having more than 70% of possession; Jose Mourinho will cram as many defensive midfielders as he can into his Chelsea side and look for opportunities to find Eden Hazard on the counter-attack. Chelsea will be happy with a draw.

Arsene Wenger has never beaten Jose Mourinho. Mourinho’s record of seven wins and five draws against Wenger shows that he is simply a better one-on-one manager than his counterpart. He will have studied Arsenal for months ahead of this game and will have a plan to stop Sanchez, Cazorla and Özil. Chelsea are experts at digging out the result they need, and at 23/10 the draw looks a very strong bet.

The Outsider: Swansea City to win at Newcastle United at 23/10
(Saturday, 10:00 a.m. ET)

In the 20 league games Newcastle United have played since Alan Pardew left, they have picked up just 15 points and have arguably been the worst team in the league. They certainly are now, having lost six on the spin. This late drop of form has probably come too late for relegation this year, but it will be interesting to see the price on a Newcastle relegation in 2015/16.

Swansea are just a good team who are a nightmare to play against if you’re out of form. They are never too far away from a win, having won four of their last eight games. With Newcastle’s current form there is no way Swansea should be 23/10 - they would be far shorter against teams slightly below Newcastle who are all showing more signs of promise than John Carver’s side.

The First Goalscorer: Harry Kane for Tottenham Hotspur at Southampton at 11/2
(Saturday, 7:45 a.m. ET)

The Harry Kane-sceptics have been waiting all season for a drop in form that just has not materialised. The Spurs youth product made it 30 for the season with the last of his side’s goals in a win at Newcastle, and he should be favourite to score the first goal when Spurs go to Southampton for Saturday’s early kick-off.

It is probably right that Southampton are narrow favourites - their home form has kept strong all season - but it is not right that Kane is rated as less likely to score the first goal than 9/2 Graziano Pelle, who has managed just three in his last 21 appearances. Kane is the real deal. He has been arguably the story of the season and the 11/2 about him breaking the deadlock shows that bookies have not quite caught up with this yet.
 
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Detroit had 2-1 series edge and 2-0 lead with 6:00 left in Game 4, but gave up two goals in 1:14 and then lost in OT, so they go back to Florida with series tied. Red Wings lost four of last five visits to Tampa; Lightning is 2-21 on power play in series, Red Wings 2-15. Lightning won nine of their last 13 games vs Detroit- under is 8-4-1 in last 13 series games. Tampa Bay won five of last seven games overall, allowing 14 goals. Under is 5-2-2 in Lightning's last nine games. Red Wings won three of last five road games.

Islanders are 5-9 in last fourteen games overall, with under 3-2-1 in last six vs Caps. Isles are 0-12 on power play in series-- only 22 penalties total were called in last four games (Washington is 1-10 on power play in series). Caps won eight of their last 12 games; they outshot Islanders 41-23 last game, 42-27 in third period of last four games. Caps split last four road games, with last three all ending up in 2-1 finals. Islanders split last four at home; they scored total of seven goals in last four games overall. Home side won seven of last nine series games.

Nashville showed onions, winning Game 5 at home to stave off elimination after losing Game 4 at 1am local time in triple OT; Predators lost nine of last 11 games overall with pair of multiple-OT losses in this series- they lost six of last nine games with Chicago, with five of last six going over total. Predators scored 6-5 goals in two series wins, 3-2-2 in losses- they lost last four road games, scoring total of seven goals. Home side won four of five games in this series, with four of five games in this playoff series going over total.

Calgary is up 3-2 in this series, has won five of last seven games with Vancouver- under is 5-1-2 in last eight series games, but Canucks outshot them 43-21 in Game 5, staying alive in series they're favored to win. Flames have now won eight of last twelve games; under is 7-2-1 in last ten Calgary games. Vancouver is 2-14 on power play in series, Calgary is 4-14- they've only scored eleven goals in whole series. Home teams are 23-15 in this round; over is 17-15-6. Vancouver needs win to force seventh game at home.
 
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NBA Saturday's Early Tips
By Brian Edwards

**Atlanta at Brooklyn**

-- As of early Friday afternoon, most betting shops had Atlanta (62-22 straight up, 50-32-2 against the spread) installed as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 200.5 points. Gamblers can back the Nets on the money line for a +120 return (risk $100 to win $120). For first-half bets, the Hawks are favored by one with a total of 98.5.

-- Atlanta took a 2-0 lead with a pair of home wins in the first two games of this best-of-seven series. Now we move to Barclays Arena for Games 3 and 4 on Saturday and Monday. The Nets have taken the cash in the first two encounters, but we're obviously looking at a more reasonable number in Game 3.

-- Atlanta has won all six head-to-head meetings between these clubs this year, including a pair of games in Brooklyn. The Hawks took a 2-0 advantage with Wednesday's 96-91 triumph, but the Nets took the cash as 9.5-point road underdogs.

-- Atlanta All-Star power forward Paul Millsap was the catalyst in Game 2. After missing five games with a shoulder sprain, Millsap returned to the court in the regular-season finale and in Game 1. Wearing a protective pad, however, he struggled with his shooting by going just 4-of-20 from the field. But Millsap shed the pad for Game 2 and was clearly more comfortable. He drained all four of his 3-point attempts and finished 7-of-11 from the floor en route to scoring a team-best 19 points. Millsap also had seven rebounds and a pair of blocked shots. Kyle Korver scored 17 points, including a pair of game-clinching free throws in the final seconds. Jeff Teague had 16 points and six assists, while Al Horford posted a double-double with 14 points, 13 rebounds, seven assists and a pair of blocked shots.

-- In the Game 2 loss, veteran reserve point guard Jarrett Jack was nothing short of sensational while playing in the town where he had a storied collegiate career at Ga. Tech. Jack produced a game-high 23 points by hitting 9-of-13 shots from the field, including a trey that trimmed the deficit to 90-89 with two minutes remaining. Jack also had five rebounds, three assists and one steal. Brook Lopez was outstanding as well, tallying 20 points, seven boards and three rejections. Joe Johnson finished with 19 points and nine rebounds, while Alan Anderson came off the bench to score in double figures with 13 points. Deron Williams had a solid floor game, snaring 10 rebounds and dishing out eight assists, but he was only 1-of-7 from the field and scored two points. Williams missed a potential game-tying shot in the final minute on a clean look from 15 feet out on the baseline. Don't be surprised if Lionel Hollins give Jack more of Williams's minutes in Game 3.

-- Brooklyn (38-46 SU, 41-41-2 ATS) went 19-22 SU and 16-23-2 ATS at home during the regular season.

-- Atlanta owns a 24-15-2 spread record on the road this season.

-- Totals have been an overall wash (42-42) for Atlanta this season. The 'over' has hit at a 22-19 clip in the Hawks' road assignments.

-- The 'under' is 47-37 overall for Brooklyn, 21-20 in its home games.

-- TNT will have Saturday's broadcast at 3:05 p.m. Eastern.

**Chicago at Milwaukee**

-- As of early Friday afternoon, most books had Chicago (53-32 SU, 42-43 ATS) listed as a five-point favorite with a total of 188.5. Gamblers can back the Bucks to win outright for a +175 return (risk $100 to win $175). For first-half wagers, the Bulls are favored by 2.5 with a total of 95.5.

-- Chicago will be going for the kill shot in this spot after taking a 3-0 series advantage with Thursday's overtime win. The Bulls captured a 113-106 win in double overtime to hook up their backers with a super-fortunate cover as 2.5-point road 'chalk.' Derrick Rose was the catalyst with 34 points, eight assists, five rebounds and three steals. Jimmy Butler's spectacular play in this series continued, as the Marquette product played 53 minutes and tallied 24 points, three steals and a pair of blocked shots. Pau Gasol added 17 points, 14 boards, five assists and two blocks, while Tony Snell scored 16 points from off the bench.

-- In the crushing Game 3 defeat, Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 25 points and pulled down 12 rebounds. Michael Carter-Williams contributed 19 points, nine assists, four rebounds and two steals, while Khris Middleton had 18 points, seven assists and a pair of steals. John Henson was terrific from off the bench, producing 15 points, 14 boards and three rejections. Jared Dudley was also in double figures with 11 points, but the Bucks couldn't finish at the end of regulation. Rose answered a go-ahead bucket from Middleton, who put Milwaukee up one with 10 seconds remaining, by making 1-of-2 free throws with 4.9 ticks left to force the first extra session. Middleton got a good look for the win moments later, but he was off the mark and OT ensued.

-- Milwaukee (41-44 SU, 46-38-1 ATS) was ahead of the number for 47 minutes and change in Game 2, yet its backers suffered a heartbreaking defeat (for our ATS purposes) in the 91-82 loss as a 7.5-point road underdog. Middleton scored a team-high 22 points in the setback, while Butler's 31 points for Chicago were a game-high.

-- With Thursday's spread cover in Game 3, Chicago improved to 21-21 ATS on the road this year.

-- Chicago is in the midst of a seven-game winning streak and has gone 6-1 versus the number during that span. The Bulls are a perfect 3-0 ATS in this series, while the 'over' has gone 2-1.

-- The Bucks are 20-22 ATS at home in the Bradley Center this season.

-- The 'over' is 43-41-1 overall for the Bulls, but they have watched the 'under' cash at a 23-18-1 clip in their road assignments.

-- The 'under' is 46-39 overall for the Bucks, 24-18 in their home contests.

-- Tip-off is scheduled for 5:35 p.m. Eastern on TNT.
 
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Game of the Day: Saturday's NBA playoff action


Atlanta Hawks at Brooklyn Nets (+2.5, 200.5)

Hawks lead series 2-0

Atlanta forward Paul Millsap went 2-of-11 from the field while playing with a bulky shoulder brace in Game 1. The All-Star ditched the brace for Game 2 and ended up going 4-of-4 from 3-point range and 7-of-11 from the floor en route to a team-high 19 points. “Definitely more range and definitely more mobility,” Millsap told reporters. “When you can’t pick your arms up above your ears, your shoulders up above your ears, it’s kind of tough. So I was able to do that (in Game 2), and more than likely I’ll go without it again the next game.”

Deron Williams, who drew criticism from former teammate Paul Pierce questioning his desire on the eve of the playoffs, is 6-of-18 from the field in the first two games of the series. "He was defending,” Brooklyn coach Lionel Hollins told reporters of Williams. “He made some hustle plays. Shooting comes and goes. People can criticize all they want, but if you are not in the game performing and doing it and going through the battle, you can't say anything.” Backup point guard Jarrett Jack led the team with 23 points in Game 2.

TRENDS:

* Hawks are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings in Brooklyn.
* Under is 5-1 in Nets last six overall.
* Hawks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic.


Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks (+4.5, 188.5)

Bulls lead series 3-0

The Chicago Bulls are eyeing a sweep when they visit the Milwaukee Bucks in Saturday’s Game 4 of the Eastern Conference first-round series. The Bucks have lost nine consecutive playoff contests and blew an opportunity to make it a series by falling 113-106 in double-overtime on Thursday.

Milwaukee led by as many as 18 points in Game 3 but squandered the lead and later came up empty with chances to win in the final seconds of both regulation and the first overtime. “We had a great chance to win the game twice,” Bucks coach Jason Kidd told reporters. “Effort was there the whole night, and guys played their hearts out to give us a chance to win against a very elite team.” The Chicago backcourt of Derrick Rose (34) and Jimmy Butler (24) combined for 58 points in Game 3 and the Bulls knocked down 14 3-pointers – five from Rose and four apiece from Mike Dunleavy and Tony Snell. Chicago center Joakim Noah is averaging 14 rebounds in the series and power forward Pau Gasol (12.7 points, 14.3 rebounds) has posted three straight double-doubles.

TRENDS:

* Bulls are 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.
* Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Over is 12-2 in Bulls last 14 Saturday games.


Golden State Warriors at New Orleans Pelicans (+7, 205)

Warriors lead series 3-0

Steph Curry finished with 40 points and Klay Thompson added 28, but Draymond Green’s third double-double of the series and Golden State’s rebounding down the stretch were just as big. Curry missed several shots from deep late in regulation but offensive rebounds led to second chances, including Marreese Speights’ offensive board before the game-tying shot. “It was just determination and will,” Green told reporters. “We have a group of guys whose competitive spirits are through the roof. We never give up.”

Anthony Davis went for 29 points and 15 rebounds in the loss but missed a free throw at the end of regulation that would have put the game out of reach and came up empty on a tying attempt in the final seconds of overtime. The 22-year-old also had trouble keeping the Warriors off the offensive glass down the stretch, even when Golden State went to a small lineup. “We're down 0-3 and it's a must win and we all know that,'' Williams told reporters. ''We had it and we let it go and I can't say it enough, we just didn't execute in the fourth quarter.”

TRENDS:

* Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.
* Warriors are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall.


Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trail Blazers (-3, 188.5)

Grizzlies lead series 2-0

The Portland Trail Blazers still have time to make it a series with Memphis but they need to chime in with a strong Game 3 performance on Saturday to make it happen. The Grizzlies won each of the first two games of the Western Conference first-round series by double digits while controlling both contests.

Memphis’ physical style appears to be more than the Trail Blazers can handle as Portland has lost all six meetings this season with the Grizzlies and trailed by as many as 29 points in the opener and 18 in Game 2. “We can’t look at the first two games and say it’s impossible,” point guard Damian Lillard told reporters. “We’ve just got to keep believing.” Trail Blazers star LaMarcus Aldridge averaged 28 points and 14 rebounds in the first two games and the Grizzlies were still able to hold Portland to an average of 84 points. And Aldridge had to hoist 54 shots – making a subpar 37 percent – to score one-third of the Trail Blazers’ points.

TRENDS:

* Grizzlies are 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Trail Blazers are 0-6 ATS in their last six vs. Western Conference.
 
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Grizzlies are on fire ATS vs. Trail Blazers
Stephen Campbell

The Memphis Grizzlies head west to Portland for Game 3 of their first-round series on Saturday carrying a 2-0 series lead.

History is showing that the Grizz have simply been too much for the Blazers both on the court and at the betting window. The Grizzlies are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 contests against Portland.

The Trail Blazers are presently listed as 3-point underdogs with a total of 188.5.
 
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Warriors have become a bad bet all of a sudden
Stephen Campbell

It's been six straight games since the Golden State Warriors covered the spread, a trend Dubs bettors will hope reverses itself Saturday in New Orleans.

The Warriors, who hold a 3-0 lead in their first-round series over the Pelicans, have been tabbed as 7-point road favorites for the clash.

The total was sitting at 205 as of this writing.
 
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Chicago made 38-98 from arc in first three series wins- they held the Bucks to 39%/36%/42% from floor. Bulls won nine of last ten games with Milwaukee (8-1 vs spread in last nine)-- seven of last 11 games stayed under total. Chicago won last six games. Bucks are 14-52 from arc in two games; they've only turned ball over 24 times in three games- six of their last eight games went over total.

New Orleans lost 11 of last 13 games with Golden State, losing by 7-10 in first two games, then blowing 20-point lead in 4th quarter of Game 3. Golden State won 11 of last 13 games, but covered only one of last nine - they got to line 34 times in Game 1, but only 49 times in last two games. Very difficult for Pelicans to bounce back and win game, after they had Warriors by throat last game but got beat in overtime.

Brooklyn lost last seven games with Atlanta, losing by 7-5 in first two series games. Hawks made 22 of 61 from arc, 35-41 on line in pair of home wins. Nets had only ten fast break points in losing twice- they won seven of last nine home games. Johnson was just 12-33 for Nets in Atlanta; he'll have to do better. Hawks lost last two road games- their last road loss was here by 3 on April 8.

Memphis held Portland to 34%/39% from floor in winning first two series games; they were up 19-11 at half in two games. Grizzlies won six in row, 11 of its last 12 games with Portland, covering ten of last eleven. Memphis held the Blazers to 13 fast break points in first two games. Portland is 14-46 from arc in two games, forcing only 13 turnovers in two games. Afflalo is expected back; if he is healthy, that should help Portland a lot.

Home favorites are 10-9 in this round, home dogs are 1-2; home teams are 15-7 SU, with four of six road wins in OT-- over is 9-13.
 
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NBA Odds and Predictions: Saturday, April 25 Opening Line Report and Handicapping
by Alan Matthews

The NCAA Tournament the NBA playoffs are not. Remember the first day of the 2015 Big Dance with all those upsets (things were mostly chalk after that)? Well, that can happen in a single-game elimination format but not in a best-of-seven series. Three teams now hold a 3-0 lead in the first round of the NBA playoffs, and four more teams have the chance to grab a 3-0 lead starting Friday. This could be the most lopsided first round since 1983-84, when the NBA moved to a 16-team playoff format. So let's get to the conference semifinals already. Two teams can on Saturday.


Game 3: Hawks at Nets (+2.5, 201)

It's a 3 p.m. tip on TNT. Atlanta is 6-0 against the Nets this season so is there any reason to pick Brooklyn here? The Nets have been competitive in this series. In Wednesday's 96-91 loss, Deron Williams had a 15-foot shot on the baseline with about 10 seconds left to tie but it rimmed out -- rather symbolic of his tenure in Brooklyn. The Hawks got the rebound and made some foul shots to clinch. From a glass half-full perspective, the Nets held the Hawks to just 38.9 percent shooting and outrebounded Atlanta again. Brook Lopez more than doubled his shot attempts from Game 1 and had 20 points and seven rebounds. Joe Johnson also was better with 19 points and nine rebounds. However, Williams had just two points in 28 minutes on 1-for-7 from the field. What is he doing taking the last shot? Boding very well for Atlanta was the play of Paul Millsap. He has been struggling with a shoulder injury but played without a protective pad and looked better, shooting 7-for-11 from the field for 19 points. Al Horford played through a dislocated finger and had 14 points, 13 rebounds and seven assists. The unselfish Hawks assisted on 77 percent of their field goals Wednesday, a statistic they led the NBA in this season.

Updated series line: Hawks -15000, Nets +3000.

Key trends: Atlanta has covered one of its past five on the road. The Nets are 6-2 against the spread in their past eight home games against teams with a winning road record. The "over/under" has gone over in four of Atlanta's past five on the road.

Early lean: Atlanta has played 39 playoff series entering this one without sweeping. I don't think it happens here. Take the points and the under.


Game 4: Bulls at Bucks (+5, 188.5)

Start time of 5:30 p.m. on TNT. Now you see why the Bulls wanted the No. 3 seed instead of the No. 4. They knew they could dispatch the Bucks pretty easily instead of having to deal with Washington in the first round, and that looks smart with how the Wizards are dominating the Raptors. Chicago needs to finish this off and get as much rest as possible ahead of facing the Cavs in the most anticipated Eastern Conference series of the playoffs. I presume the Cavs will sweep out Boston on Sunday. Chicago won 113-106 in double overtime in Game 3 on Thursday. Derrick Rose had maybe his best game of the season with 34 points, eight assists and five rebounds in 48 minutes, the most he has played in forever. Jimmy Butler played 53 minutes and had 24 points. Guard Kirk Hinrich played for the first time this series off injury but only six minutes. The Bulls were without top bench guy Nikola Mirotic, and I doubt he plays here. The Bucks missed shots at the end of regulation and first OT to win it. Giannis Antetokounmpo woke up and was very aggressive with 25 points and 12 rebounds. John Henson was great off the bench with 15 points and 14 rebounds. That bench could again be superior with Mirotic out.

Updated series line: none

Key trends: The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their past five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Bucks have covered just three of their past 16 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The under is 5-2 in the past seven meetings.

Early lean: I think Rose might be a bit off in this one after playing so many minutes and with less than 48 hours to recover. Take the points.


Game 4: Warriors at Pelicans (+7.5, 205)

This begins at 8 p.m. on ESPN. Young teams generally have to lose first in the playoffs before advancing -- ask Michael Jordan's early Bulls teams. So while New Orleans probably is swept out on Saturday, the Pelicans clearly are a team on the rise. They were dominating the Warriors for three quarters but somehow coughed up a 20-point fourth quarter lead and lost Game 3 123-119 in overtime. Steph Curry went nuts in that fourth quarter, hitting the tying 3-pointer in the final seconds and finishing with 40 points. When he's feeling it, there's nothing better to watch in the NBA. Since the NBA instituted the shot clock, Golden State had been down 20 to start a fourth quarter 358 previous times and never won (but Warriors were 3-3 in the regular season when trailing a game at any point by 20). Davis had 29 points and 15 rebounds but missed a free throw with 9.6 seconds left in regulation that would have given the Pelicans a four-point lead. Curry's amazing 3-pointer followed (YouTube it).

Updated series line: none

Key trends: The Warriors are 0-6 ATS in their past six games. New Orleans is 6-0 ATS in its past six at home. The over has hit in eight of Golden State's past 11 following an ATS loss.

Early lean: I'm curious how the Pelicans respond to blowing that one. I'll say Warriors will finish it out but take the points. Go over.


Game 3: Grizzlies at Trail Blazers (-3, 188.5)

Tip time of 10:30 p.m. on ESPN. This line confuses me. Are oddsmakers not aware that Memphis is 6-0 against the Blazers this season? That the Grizzlies won Game 1 by 14 points and then Game 2 97-82? That Blazers point guard Damian Lillard is a ghastly 10-for-37 in this series? That Mike Conley is outplaying him despite his injured foot? Shoot, Grizzlies backup point guard Beno Udrih is outplaying Lillard. It does appear that Portland will get back starting shooting guard Arron Afflalo for this one. He has missed the first two games but was close to playing Game 2. That should help. He's not star but a solid player. C.J. McCollum started at shooting guard in the opener for Afflalo and had two points in 37 minutes. Allen Crabbe started in Game 2 and had three points in 23 minutes. It's not clear if Blazers reserve center Chris Kaman will play after missing Game 2 with a sprained ankle. Being as it's desperation time, I would guess he does.

Updated series line: Grizzlies -900, Blazers +675.

Key trends: The under is 4-0 in the past four meetings. Memphis is 5-1 in the past six in Portland.

Early lean: Maybe being at home fixes Lillard and having Afflalo helps. I'm still taking the points and going under.
 
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MLB Preview: Dodgers (10-6) at Padres (10-8)

Game: 2
Venue: PETCO Park
Date: April 25, 2015 8:40 PM EDT


The San Diego Padres' offense has cooled off considerably, but that's fairly common at home against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

With Ian Kennedy back on the mound for the first time in over two weeks, the Padres will try to get the offense going in an attempt to end their longest losing streak of the season Saturday night against the Dodgers.

San Diego (10-8) is batting .208 with five runs during a three-game skid, a tremendous drop from its .304 average while scoring 6.0 runs per game while winning nine of the previous 11.

The Padres collected six hits - five singles - in Friday's 3-0 loss to the Dodgers (10-6). Those offensive woes may not be resolved in the remainder of this three-game set since San Diego has hit .204 while averaging 2.7 runs over the past 29 home meetings with Los Angeles.

Brandon McCarthy (2-0, 4.50 ERA) has won his last two starts at Petco Park while yielding one run in 14 innings and is 5-1 with a 2.96 ERA over seven career starts against San Diego. However, he served up a pair of homers and four runs in five-plus innings of a 7-4 home win over the Padres on April 8.

The right-hander is coming off his best start of the season, allowing three hits with six strikeouts in six innings of Sunday's 7-0 win over Colorado. He credited catcher A.J. Ellis with the performance, which came after he gave up nine runs and six homers in 12 innings over his first two starts.

"I made better pitches and stayed away from the middle of the plate, for the most part," McCarthy said. "A.J. just took me along with him, and we just kept attacking the hitters. But we did it without being stupid and didn't leave it in a spot where they could drive it."

McCarthy, though, has allowed Matt Kemp to go 4 for 9 off him.

Kemp is 7 for 17 (.412) with two doubles and three RBIs in four games against his former team.

Carl Crawford is looking to continue hitting Padres pitchers hard after connecting for a solo homer and a double Friday to help Los Angeles snap a three-game skid. He is 15 for 26 (.577) with two homers, seven doubles and seven RBIs during a seven-game hitting streak against San Diego, and he's 10 for 20 versus Kennedy since 2013.

Kennedy is returning to the rotation after injuring his hamstring in his season debut and landing on the disabled list. The right-hander threw 2 1-3 scoreless innings before coming out against San Francisco on April 9.

Odrisamer Despaigne moves to the bullpen as the Padres' leader in innings pitched (201) and strikeouts (207) from last year returns to the rotation. Kennedy also tied Tyson Ross with a team-high 13 wins.

"We're counting on Ian to be one of the anchors in our rotation," manager Bud Black told MLB's official website. "This was a little bit of a hiccup with the strained hammy that put him on the DL and missed a couple spots, but he'll resume his spot in the rotation."

Kennedy, though, is 0-5 with a 4.86 ERA over his last nine starts against the Dodgers.
 
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Runs down in April, overs still cashing in
By JUSTIN HARTLING

There are many who will tell you to blindly bet the under in the early days and weeks of the MLB season. With weather and rust taking an affect on batters, it seems only logical that runs would be scarce.

Even Detroit Tigers manager Brad Ausmus seems to agree, telling the media "I don't think that the cold weather helps anyone. I'd bet that scoring is down in April across the board."

Ausmus is correct.

Runs have been on a steady decline in the cruelest month with an average of 9.86 runs crossing the plate per game in 2006 compared to just 8.3 this season. Only twice in the past decade has there been more runs scored scored in April than the previous year (2009, 2013).

The average runs per game of the past three seasons are three of the four lowest in the past decade, but they carry a combined over/under record of 1026-908-98. That's a steady 53 percent over rate, with this season topping the total at a 54 percent clip.

It seems that players still haven't found their swings since kicking up their feet in the warm weather of Spring Training, but books are aware of this and will likely be posting lower totals in the early months of the MLB calender.
 
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Five To Follow MLB Betting: Saturday, April 25, 2015 Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews

I know several Detroit Tigers fans. You will rarely hear cheers from a fan base when it is learned that their team's closer has been lost to a season-ending injury. Yet that's what every Tigers fan I know is thinking with the news that Joe Nathan suffered a torn UCL and tendon in his pitching elbow while on a minor-league rehab assignment and will need Tommy John surgery. I'm presuming that's it for the former All-Star considering he's going to be 41 in November and in the last year of his contract (he says he wants to pitch again). Nathan was a gas can last season and the object of much derision in Tigers home games. He made only one appearance this year. Joakim Soria has done well in his spot.


Mets at Yankees (+110, 7)

The Mets are now the toast of New York and could be going for their 13th straight win in this one. And it will be a great crowd at Yankee Stadium for this matinee with the "Dark Knight," Matt Harvey, on the mound for the visitors. Harvey (3-0, 3.50) is now the most popular player in the city -- I don't count Alex Rodriguez. Harvey has a mild ankle sprain but has been cleared to start. He pitched against the Yankees in 2013 and allowed a run and six hits over eight innings. Thus not many current Yankees have faced him. Former Met Carlos Beltran is 1-for-3 with two strikeouts. He has been terrible this season entering Friday with a .184 average and 15 strikeouts. CC Sabathia (0-3, 4.35) goes for the Bombers. He has gotten better each time out. Michael Cuddyer has faced him more than any Met with 11 hits in 55 at-bats, a homer and six RBIs.

Key trends: The Mets are 2-7 in their past nine interleague games vs. a lefty. They are 1-4 in Harvey's past five on the road. The Yankees have lost six straight Sabathia starts. The "over/under" has gone over in seven of his past 10 at home.

Early lean: Mets and under.


Giants at Rockies (-120, 10)

It's obviously not breaking news that the Rockies can rake but struggle to pitch, especially at home. Yet ace Jorge De La Rosa was great at Coors Field last year, going 10-2 with a 3.08 ERA in 15 starts. His 2015 season debut was delayed due to a groin injury and it was ugly as De La Rosa was bombed for nine runs and nine hits in 2.0 innings at home vs. the Padres on Monday. That could be an ominous sign or maybe De La Rosa was simply rusty. De La Rosa was 1-2 with a 4.87 ERA in five starts vs. the Giants in 2014. Buster Posey is 8-for-28 with two doubles, a homer and seven RBIs off him. Tim Hudson (0-2, 3.93) gets the call for the Giants. He lost at home to the Rockies on April 14, allowing three runs and eight hits in seven innings. Corey Dickerson, who is off to a strong start, is 4-for-10 with a homer off Hudson.

Key trends: The Giants are 6-1 in their past seven vs. a lefty starter. They are 1-6 in Hudson's past seven vs. the NL West. Colorado is 8-2 in De La Rosa's past 10 at home vs. the Giants. The over is 8-2 in his past 10 vs. the NL West.

Early lean: Rockies and over.


Dodgers at Padres (-110, 7)

Ian Kennedy returns to the rotation for San Diego. He injured his hamstring in his season debut on April 9 against the Giants and left after 2.1 scoreless innings. Kennedy is healthy now and will be activated, pushing Odrisamer Despaigne back to the bullpen. Last season, Kennedy was 13-13 with a 3.63 ERA over 201 innings. He was 0-3 with a 4.00 ERA in six starts, by far his most against any team, against the Dodgers. Andre Ethier should get a start in the L.A. outfield as he is 11-for-34 with two homers and five RBIs off him. Yasiel Puig is just 3-for-21 off Kennedy. Maybe he gets the night off. Brandon McCarthy (2-0, 4.50) starts for L.A. His season debut was against San Diego, allowing four runs and nine hits in five innings, striking out nine. Yonder Alonso is 5-for-15 with two doubles and a homer vs. McCarthy.

Key trends: San Diego is 9-3 in Kennedy's past 12 at home. The under is 5-2 in his past seven overall.

Early lean: Kennedy might be rusty. Take L.A. and the over.


Royals at White Sox (TBA)

Kansas City is carrying an "us against the world mentality" that seems to be working as the Royals have the best record in the AL, but they act like a******* sometimes. The Royals had their second brawl of the season Thursday night with the White Sox, and it was totally K.C. pitcher Yordano Ventura's fault. So keep an eye on these two teams the rest of this series -- especially Sunday in the finale. Royals pitcher Edinson Volquez came off the bench during the scrum and was one of the guys ejected Thursday but he still should pitch Saturday. Even if suspended, which I doubt happens that quickly, guys always appeal. Volquez (2-1, 1.99) has been great. He is 1-1 with a 4.26 ERA career against Chicago (allowed one run over eight innings vs. the Sox in his season debut) but has never pitched at U.S. Cellular. Adam LaRoche is 6-for-19 with a homer and four RBIs off him. Lefty John Danks (0-2, 6.06) goes for the Pale Hose. His debut was in Kansas City and he allowed four runs and seven hits in 5.2 innings. Eric Hosmer is a .364 hitter off him.

Key trends: Chicago is 1-7 in Danks' past eight vs. teams with a winning record. The over has hit in four of his past six at home vs. Kansas City.

Early lean: The books likely are waiting on a Volquez suspension, and he probably will be suspended as it appeared he took a swing at a White Sox player. I still say he pitches Saturday and the Royals will be favored. Take them as Danks isn't very good.


Twins at Mariners (-155, 7.5)

Seattle is clearly one of the disappointments in baseball thus far despite a huge start from Nelson Cruz: .328, eight homers, 17 RBIs entering Friday. This is one of those series that the M's should sweep to get rolling and back to .500. One reason the M's are struggling is the lousy start from lefty James Paxton (0-1, 8.40). The Canadian was routed for seven runs and 10 hits in 2.2 innings last time out against Texas yet avoided a loss. He didn't face the Twins last year. Torii Hunter has faced him, going 1-for-5 with a solo homer. Trevor May (1-1, 4.76) goes for the Twins. He dominated the Indians last time out. The only Mariner to face him is Cruz, who is 0-for-2 with a strikeout.

Key trends: Minnesota is 2-5 in its past seven against a lefty. The Mariners are 7-1 in Paxton's past eight in Game 2 of a series. The over is 9-2 in May's past 11 starts. The under is 5-1 in Paxton's past six at home.

Early lean: Mariners and over.
 
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'Division rivals clash'

The second matchup of a three game series is today’s baseball betting focus as the Philadelphia Phillies host the Atlanta Braves this evening at Citizens Bank Park. Right-hander Shelby Miller will toe the rubber for Atlanta, bringing a 2-0 record to the hill with a 1.69 ERA over three starts (3-0 TSR). Miller will be matching pitches with Phillies right-hander David Buchanan, who has struggled in each of his first three starts going 0-3 with a whopping 9.22 ERA (0-3 TSR). According to the current betting odds the Braves enter this contest as $1.35 road favorites. Taking a road favorite in baseball can be perilous at times, but today’s pick appears to have enough in its favor to counteract such concerns. Despite last night's 1 run loss the Braves have flourished in Philadelphia winning 8 of their last 11 trips into the City of Brotherly Love and Shelby Miller in great form has a 6-1 Team Start Record in April. Philadelphia doesn't help itself here sending Buchanan to the mound. Phillies have lost 5-of-6 at home w/Buchanan after a team win the previous effort and the hurler is winless in twelve starts dating back to last season with Phillies 1-11 over the span. The numbers above clearly illustrate Atlanta is the right choice.
 
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Saturday's six-pack

-- Royals-White Sox game was suspended at 2-2 in 8th inning Friday night; it will be resumed Saturday, before the regularly scheduled game.

-- Mariners 2, Twins 0-- Two complete games; no walks, 18 strikeouts.

-- Rockets 130, Mavericks 128-- Houston was 13-24 from arc, Howard grabbed 26 rebounds in a game that didn't have that many missed shots.

-- Spurs 100, Clippers 73-- LA starters were a combined minus-130. Oy.

-- Rangers 2, Penguins 1 OT-- Four of five series games ended up 2-1.

-- Five of the eight NBA playoff series are 3-0. No bueno.
 
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Chase Diamond

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

10* Bonus Play Philadelphia Phillies

This game features the 8-8 Braves at the 6-11 Phillies. I think the Phillies are probably the worst team in Baseball but this game has trap written all over it. First off you have a pitcher for the Braves who has done great 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA going against a guy who is 0-3 with a 9.22 ERA. Seems just to easy to me and the public has bitten on this game as 82% are taking the road Braves yet this line is not moving if anything it's asking for more Braves Money. I think Buchanan know he needs a good start or he could be out of the Phillies rotation and this team plays better at home. The Braves have lost 4 straight. Take the Phillies tonight at plus money at home for a 10* winner.
 

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