Saturday 4/11/09 service plays chatter /comps/ requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tony Weston

Today's Selection:

Tough loss last night as the Lakers can’t close and cost us a winner in our Comp Play spot.

That’s fine because we’re getting back on the winning track today as we’re headed to Detroit where we’re taking the Over in the Tigers-Rangers matchup.

The number for this matchup is set at around 10 1/2 runs and considering what these two have done recently, they will blow past that easily.

Yesterday, with the Total set at 10, the teams combined for 17 runs. When these two played in their last game of last season they totaled 21 runs with the total set at 11 1/2.

In their last 10 matchups the Over has come in 7 times as the two have totaled, on average more than 15 runs a game (15.2).

Also in their last 11 games in Detroit the Over is 7-3-1.

These two have put up an average of 19 runs in each of their last two games and will put up more offensive fireworks today. Take the Over in this one today.

3♦ RANGERS-TIGERS OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Delaney

Nothing like a walk-off win to piss off the division favorites. And since Milwaukee doused Chicago’s flame last night, I like our chances with this value chalk on Carlos Zambrano, and will lay the price against Dave Bush, who has struggled mightily against the Cubs, going 1-7 in his career. It was actually quite surprising too, because the Brewers’ rally capped a strange day after they didn't return from San Francisco until 3 a.m. local time, roughly 12 hours before started Braden Looper's first pitch to the Cubs.

I’m guessing it’ll all catch up to the Brew Crew tonight, while the Big Z will be motivated to return to the site where he threw the Cubs' first no-hitter in 36 years. I’m banking on him to build off the momentum of a solid opening-day performance, while helping the Cubbies get back in the win column. He was 1-0 with a 0.43 ERA in three starts against the Brewers last year, including the last time he faced the Brewers on their home turf, on July 29, when he threw eight shutout innings, giving up five runs and striking out nine.

CHICAGO CUBS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jeff Benton

I’m on a 9-6 run with Bonus Plays the last 15 days, despite Friday’s terrible call on the Rangers. We’ll make up for it Saturday as we head back to the diamond and take the Cardinals against Houston.

Wondering why St. Louis is a fairly hefty chalk in this game despite the fact it is facing Astros ace Roy Oswalt? Well, you won’t wonder after you see this: Redbirds righthander Adam Wainwright is a perfect 5-0 with a 2.32 ERA in 12 career appearances (six starts) against Houston. In those six starts – which have come over the past two seasons – Wainwright has held Houston to two runs or fewer five times, while giving up just three runs on the other occasion, and he’s posted a 2.14 ERA in those six contests.

Meanwhile, Oswalt just can’t seem to buy a break against St. Louis of late. Despite delivering 10 quality starts in a row against the Redbirds, the Astros have only managed to split those 10 games, including going 0-3 in Oswalt’s last three matchups vs. St. Louis, all one-run losses, and all in St. Louis.

Finally, even though it lost 6-4 to Pittsburgh on Opening Day with Wainwright on the bump, St. Louis is still 16-5 in the righthander’s last 21 home starts and 14-3 in his last 17 as a home favorite. Also, the host has dominated this N.L. Central rivalry, winning seven of the last nine clashes, including the Cardinals’ victory on Friday.

By all accounts, Wainwright – who stands 6-foot-7 – is poised for a breakout season in his third big-league campaign, and my money says he dominates the Astros once again today and gets enough of an offensive boost from sluggers Albert Pujols (.314 career average, 4 HRs against Oswalt), Rick Ankiel and Ryan Ludwick to get this win.

3? ST. LOUIS CARDINALS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Matt Rivers

For Saturday lay a run and a half with Carlos Zambrano and the Cubs.

There's really no rocket science here. I do like the talent on this Milwaukee team for sure as Braun and Fielder are studs and others like Hall, Hardy, Hart and Weeks are pretty solid as well but when push comes to shove the Cubs are still clearly the big brother in this rivalry. Milwaukee had the great ninth inning comeback win on Friday but to be honest with you I love backing teams that are coming off of terrible losses as they seem to rally the next day more times than not.

The pitching matchup also clearly favors the visitors as Zambrano and that heavy sinker is superior to David Bush and his sinker. In the opener Big Z looked great shutting down the Astros in Houston and if you remember back to last season at Miller Park Zambrano threw a no-hitter meaning that he should feel pretty comfortable today. Also it's not like the crowd won't be filled with Cubs fans as they always travel to Milwaukee.

I have no problems with Bush or the Brewers as a whole. They are not bad at all but to get some plus money and all nine at bats makes me believe this thing has 6-2 or so written all over it so laying that extra run is alright with me.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mike Rose

Houston Astros @ St. Louis Cardinals Under 8

Central Division rivals will duke it out at Busch Stadium Saturday afternoon when the Houston Astros and St. Louis Cardinals play the second game of their three-game set. The Cards took the series opener by a 5-3 final tally last night.

Roy Oswalt was a tough luck loser in his first outing of the 2009 season against the Chicago Cubs. He gave up just three runs through seven innings, but got no help from his offense and suffered the loss. The righty has had similar luck against the Cards of late, as his teammates mustered a total of eight runs in his L/3 starts against the Redbirds, and though Oswalt only gave up six runs in those outings, the team is 0-3 for his efforts. He may only be 9-6 in 24 starts against the Cards in his career, but his numbers are stellar. Oswalt has a 2.90 ERA and 1.18 WHIP to go with 124 Ks in 164.2 career innings against St. Louis.

Adam Wainwright faces the dubious task of trying to knock off Houston's top arm. He had a shaky first start of the season in a 6-4 loss to the Pirates lasting just 5.2 innings surrendering a pair of runs to go along with five walks. Wainwright's really come on strong these last two seasons, as he has a 3.52 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in his L/53 starts. He's gotten the win in 25 of those games (25-13 overall). His career numbers against the Astros are also fantastic! Wainwright is 5-0 in 12 career appearances (six starts) and has held Houston hitters to a .210 batting average against. The Cards have yet to lose against Houston with Wainwright toeing the bump in his young career.

Both of today's starting pitchers have been absolutely lights out against their respective opponent, and neither team's offense would be considered hot right now. The total is a full run lower than last night, but it's hard to picture either team plating five runs in this one.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Alex Smart

Houston Astros @ St. Louis Cardinals Under 8

Adam Wainwright the St.Louis Cardinals starting pitcher today against the visiting Houston Astros had an uneventful start to his current season , allowing 2 runs and 3 hits, and a staggering 5 walks against the Pirates in his opening day assignment, that eventually saw the young man take the loss by a 6-4 count. He looked good, and theres a lot to like about this kid overall, but the wild stuff was troubling. There is good news on the horizon, as he faces a Astros team that he is 5-0 against in his career as a starter, along with a stingy 2.14 ERA.

Meanwhile, Roy Oswalt his Astros pitching opponent is off a negative reuslt in his first outing despite of pitching well, thanks in part to a offense that did not supply him with very much run support in his teams 5-3 loss to the Cubs. The usually reliable right hander , should be ready to get back on track against a side that he has pitched well against in the past . The veteran thrower owns a 9-5 record along with a 2.86 ERA in 24 career starts against St. Louis and 1-1 with a 1.83 ERA in five starts in the Cardinals new stadium. During that span , in a recurring theme, Oswalt's offense has let him down in a big way, supplying him with an average of 2.8 RPG.

I am betting on these two viable pitchers to go deep and perform admirably here today, in a contest that I project staying below the number.

Final notes & Key Trends: Under is 9-1 in Oswalts last 10 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 12-1 in Oswalts last 13 road starts vs. Cardinals. These teams have gone under in 7 of the L/8 meetings here in St.Louis.

Play UNDER

 

[fly73]

.....

 

[fly73]

Plus Line Sports


DO NOT POST.

is there issue with them , was not aware, sry just tryin to help

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

is there issue with them , was not aware, sry just tryin to help

n/p, it's in post #1 daily

 

[fly73]

Quote:
Originally Posted by fly73
is there issue with them , was not aware, sry just tryin to help
n/p, it's in post #1 daily


just went back and looked, u mean the very first one, duuh on me

usually never read the fine print, i will try better next time x cpaw
prob still screw up

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Post # 17

Joe Wiz Bonus Plays

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Rays
Rockies

T' Wolves





Post # 28


Joe Wiz NBA

Premium pick big information game Indiana
Pay after you win Phoenix
Executive late phone Orlando

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one post are the Bonus Plays the other are premium and the taking of both sides is Joe Wiz has been known to do this. minny being the comp.

 

[moneyroll]

Any ATS lock baseball card???????? @)

 

[kaptain]

Can'tPick

one post are the Bonus Plays the other are premium.

Exactly....He's gives away a Bonus Play directly opposite one of his Premiums......????????????????

My point exactly as I stated....Conflicting Plays....

 

[up1]

any steve merrill hes 10=1 in bases

 

[PDBLING]

Root anyone? Went 4-0 yest.

 

[TheBoss]

Mike Rose

Has anyone seen Mike Rose?:think2:

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Quote:
Originally Posted by fly73
is there issue with them , was not aware, sry just tryin to help
n/p, it's in post #1 daily


just went back and looked, u mean the very first one, duuh on me

usually never read the fine print, i will try better next time x cpaw
prob still screw up

n/p thanks for helping!<><>

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NHL Picks
Pittsburgh at Montreal
The Canadiens look to take advantage of a Pittsburgh team that is just 2-10 in its last 12 Saturday games. Montreal is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Canadiens favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-110). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 11
Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST
Game 51-52: Carolina at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 10.798; New Jersey 12.013
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-120); Over
Game 53-54: Philadelphia at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.768; NY Islanders 11.031
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-230); 6
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+200); Over
Game 55-56: Vancouver at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.263; Colorado 10.902
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-200); Under
Game 57-58: Chicago at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.418; Detroit 11.414
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-150); 6
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+130); Over
Game 59-60: Boston at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 13.029; Buffalo 11.987
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-110); Under
Game 61-62: San Jose at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.401; Los Angeles 10.031
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-160); Over
Game 63-64: Pittsburgh at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.489; Montreal 12.307
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-110); 6
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-110); Under
Game 65-66: Ottawa at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 10.572; Toronto 11.821
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-110); 6
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); Over
Game 67-68: Tampa Bay at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.188; Atlanta 12.372
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta (-200); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-200); Over
Game 69-70: Minnesota at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.271; Columbus 12.311
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-145); 5
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (-145); Under
Game 71-72: Washington at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.218; Florida 12.819
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-125); 6
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-125); Over
Game 73-74: Anaheim at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 10.855; Phoenix 12.027
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-115); Under
Game 75-76: Edmonton at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.505; Calgary 11.237
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-250); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-250); Under
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks
LA Dodgers at Arizona
The Dodgers look to bounce back from yesterday's loss and take advantage of an Arizona team that is just 1-5 in Yusmeiro Petit's last 6 starts as an underdog. Los Angeles is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-110). Here are all of today's games

SATURDAY, APRIL 11
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Karstens) 14.206; Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.959
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-120); Over
Game 953-954: Houston at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oswalt) 15.501; St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.429
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+130); Under
Game 955-956: NY Mets at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hernandez) 15.519; Florida (Nolasco) 14.918
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Florida (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+135); Under
Game 957-958: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Zambrano) 14.767; Milwaukee (Bush) 15.490
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+130); Under
Game 959-960: Washington at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Lannan) 14.406; Atlanta (Kawakami) 15.475
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-165); Over
Game 961-962: Philadelphia at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Myers) 16.128; Colorado (De La Rosa) 15.118
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Colorado (-110); 10
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+100); Under
Game 963-964: LA Dodgers at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Stults) 14.686; Arizona (Petit) 13.473
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-110); Over
Game 965-966: San Francisco at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Sanchez) 14.524; San Diego (Peavy) 15.686
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-160); Under
Game 967-968: Texas at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 14.841; Detroit (Verlander) 16.060
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-165); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-165); Under
Game 969-970: Toronto at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Halladay) 15.186; Cleveland (Lee) 15.623
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+115); Over
Game 971-972: Seattle at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 14.900; Oakland (Outman) 15.946
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+100); Under
Game 973-974: Boston at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Penny) 15.577; LA Angels (Saunders) 14.078
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+100); Over
Game 975-976: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano); 15.232; White Sox (Colon) 16.767
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+105); Over
Game 977-978: Tampa Bay at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 14.833; Baltimore (Guthrie) 16.285
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-120); Over
Game 979-980: NY Yankees at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.679; Kansas City (Ramirez) 16.863
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-185); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+175); Over
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SATURDAY, APRIL 11
Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST
Game 501-502: Detroit at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 115.806; Indiana 123.003
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 7; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 1 1/2; 208
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-1 1/2); Over
Game 503-504: Orlando at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 125.346; New Jersey 116.540
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 9; 187 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 6; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-6); Under
Game 505-506: Phoenix at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 115.411; Minnesota 117.481
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 2; 225
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 2 1/2; 223 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+2 1/2); Over
Game 507-508: Oklahoma City at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 108.907; Milwaukee 118.249
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 9 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 6; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-6); Over
Game 509-510: Charlotte at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 115.194; Chicago 124.546
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 9 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-9); Under
Game 511-512: Golden State at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 111.947; Utah 123.409
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 11 1/2; 219 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 16 1/2; 228
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+16 1/2); Under
Game 513-514: Portland at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 123.957; LA Clippers 115.770
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 8; 181 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 5 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-5 1/2); Under