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Yonkers: Saturday 2/27 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 44 - 153 / $271.00

BEST BETS: 6 - 13 / $20.50

Best Bet: TEXAS TERROR N (9th)

Spot Play: UF ROCKIN DRAGON (8th)


Race 1

(1) HARDTS OR BETTOR went a big effort in defeat from the eight hole last week; back from his inside comfort zone tonight he'll be tough to beat. (4) TWIN B FAMOUS went decently from an impossible spot in his debut off the DiDomenico claim; he's up in class here but may be live at a price. (2) MAH SISH N debuts for new connections looking for three straight.

Race 2

(5) WESTERN ROCKSTAR A was a sharp winner in that qualifier at The Meadowlands in preparation for his 2016 debut and he hails from sharp connections. (1) BULLET BOB beat better three back and he drops and draws best. (2) DEMOCRACY N made a rare break last week and was claimed; he's always live from an inside post.

Race 3

(5) BUGGER BRUISER is up in class but has been racing well and faces a very questionable field; worth a look. (7) GOOD DAY MATE certainly fits with these but needs to create some luck from the poor post. (1) ARTIST NIGHT makes his second start for new connections down in class and from the best post but I'm not entirely sold on him.

Race 4

(1) LETTUCEROCKU A had plenty of finishing pace last out and got up late at a price to share in win honors; he lands inside again and a similar trip seems likely here. (2) BEST SAID was much better in his second qualifier and he's more than capable with these if ready. (6) GALLANT SEELSTER failed last out at low odds from a cozy inside post draw; now he's got to overcome the outside.

Race 5

(4) JONES BEACH returns from a stint in Illinois and we've seen this gelding make big moves locally in the past. (3) HALL OF TERROR steps way up in class but has looked good in his two starts for Banca. (1) BENJAMINBANNEKER N powered home after shaking free upon shipping in and he looms large from the rail.

Race 6

(5) POLAK A was a solid two-move winner in last week's Open from the five post and he lands there again tonight; repeats. (3) ROLAND N ROCK ran his race last out but was collared by the top choice; sharp gelding could be second best again. (1) FIRST CLASS HORSE certainly needed last week's start after shipping cross-country; consider underneath from the best post.

Race 7

(2) ROCK ICON went a huge effort in defeat last week and now debuts for Banca via claim; he gets top billing with the post edge on his rivals. (7) BIT OF A LEGEND N has really impressed since arriving and he was in hand winning last week; can he get involved early and avoid coming too late? (5) MELMERBY BEACH failed at odds-on last week; price will be better tonight if you want to try him again.

Race 8

(3) UF ROCKIN DRAGON returns from a troubled effort at The Meadowlands and was a winner when last in at this level; worth a try in this competitive affair. (2) URBANA BAYAMA has been very sharp in his last five efforts. (1) CAUTION SIGNS gave way on the front end last week with little fight; he can be in line for a stalking trip tonight which can yield better results.

Race 9

(1) TEXAS TERROR N hasn't put in a bad effort since arriving in the U.S. and he seems way overdue; class and post relief should get him over the top. (3) LORD OF MISRULE was a winner at this level two back. (2) ASOKA N was third best last out; rates as highly from this inside spot.

Race 10

(1) SAPPHIRE CITY was off the gate for some reason then floated away with no purpose only to storm home missing by a nose last week; I have to back him again tonight despite facing some tough competition. (5) LIMELIGHT BEACH returns locally off a needed start at The Meadowlands and he'll be geared up tonight. (2) VALIDUS DEO will never be far back from this spot and should hit the ticket as a result.

Race 11

(2) CYCLONE KIWI N was run over by a very sharp rival last week and he deserves top billing from this spot, despite losing Bartlett to the Banca trainee (who is owned by his wife). (1) ROYAL HEART finished with pace in behind the top choice last out. (5) CARTOON DADDY was a trip-sitting winner versus lesser just 5 days ago and will need much more to hit the top spot tonight.

Race 12

(3) FORTY FIVE RED was no match for two tough ones last week but this looks like a softer field tonight and he may be able to carry his speed a long way. (2) A BETTOR HAT was overmatched in the Open last week, but paced evenly in a needed start. (8) SAM'S ESCAPE gets another eight hole tonight after being unprepared to handle it last week; who know what to expect.
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Saturday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Aqueduct (4th) Wiredancer, 4-1
(7th) Son of a General, 5-1

Charles Town (1st) Crossing Borders, 7-2
(4th) Gladys's Ring, 3-1

Delta Downs (2nd) Crafty Vision, 5-1
(5th) Boomtownboy, 4-1


Fair Grounds (2nd) Miss Classy Girl, 4-1
(9th) Sunbean, 7-2


Golden Gate Fields (4th) Mistaken Identity, 3-1
(9th) The Ref, 8-1


Gulfstream Park (2nd) Capital City, 4-1
(3rd) Dig Deep, 4-1


Mahoning Valley (2nd) Ticket to Victory, 6-1
(8th) Solidus, 5-1


Oaklawn Park (3rd) Economy of Motion, 6-1
(4th) Strive, 4-1


Parx (6th) Brass Pear, 5-1
(8th) Dan's Gold, 3-1


Penn National (2nd) Denali Pass, 4-1
(3rd) Gold Man, 6-1


Sam Houston (4th) Maddog Cyclone, 6-1
(10th) Two Step Time, 7-2


Santa Anita (2nd) Kiss at Midnight, 7-2
(8th) Miss Loujean, 8-1


Sunland Park (4th) Carsoncity Cotton, 5-1
(5th) J's Fighter, 3-1


Tampa Bay Downs (6th) Ridgeofstone, 9-2
(10th) Unbridled Majesty, 5-1


Turf Paradise (2nd) Aly's Bobcat, 6-1
(8th) Formal Joker, 5-1


Turfway Park (5th) Army Ranger, 7-2
(9th) Whole Lotta Run, 4-1
 
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Sharp Bettor

Sharp Bettor's Free Pick for Saturday, February 27, 2016, NBA.

Oklahoma City is home and will be fired up, but this is no ordinary team they are facing. Oklahoma City is on a 4-10 spread run and faces a defending champion that is No. 1 in scoring, No. 1 in three-point shooting and No. 2 in field goal shooting defense. Oklahoma City is slumping, on a 1-3 run, even losing to New Orleans allowing 123 points and the Thunder are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss.

Play Golden State.
 
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Roz Wins

Roz's Saturday, February 27, 2016, Free NBA Pick:

Brooklyn has the kind of frontcourt muscle you need to play slow-down Utah, 3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS the last six games, winning three times as a dog. The Nets are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Utah is on a 1-4 ATS run at home and the Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on one days rest.

Play Brooklyn.
 
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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp NBA Pick, Saturday, Feb 27, 2016 8:35 PM EST

(509) DETROIT PISTONS VS (510) MILWAUKEE BUCKS

Take: Over the total

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Saturday, February 27 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the Detroit Pistons and the Bucks in Milwaukee. Detroit heads out on the road rested, 9-4 over the total playing on two days of rest, plus 10-4 over against a team with a losing straight up record. They've topped 100 points in two of the last three games, including 111 the last game. Milwaukee is No. 19 in the NBA in points allowed and 8-0 over the total when they face the NBA Central division. They come off a 117-112 loss at Boston, giving up over 100 in three straight. The Over is 8-2 in Bucks last 10 games following a straight up loss. And the Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Play Detroit/Milwaukee Over the total.
 
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Matt Fargo

VCU vs George Washington

Bonus Play VCU

At one point, it looked as though VCU was going to run away with the Atlantic Ten conference as it started 9-0 but has since gone just 3-3 and now finds itself in a three-way tie for first place with three games remaining. St. Joes and Dayton have hung around to force the first place tie and the Rama have a showdown at Dayton to close the regular season next Saturday. That makes these next two games pretty significant and while winning at George Washington is not easy, they will have plenty of motivation as one of their two home losses came against the Colonials earlier this month. George Washington is a game behind St. Bonaventure for fourth place in the conference which is a spot it wants to get and a win here would go a long way. The Colonials have lost twice here this season, once against St. Joes and once against Richmond and this is a big step up in competition here. VCU is coming off a horrible loss at 4-11 George Mason so stepping it up should not be an issue and going back, the Rams are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Play (535) VCU Rams
 
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ASA

Rutgers vs Northwestern

Bonus Play 8* Northwestern -18.5 over Rutgers

This Rutgers team just might be the worst Power 5 team in the last decade. In fact, right now the Knights are on pace to be the worst Power 5 team ever. No Power 5 team has ever ended the season ranked below 300 in the Ken Pom ratings and Rutgers sits at 301 right now. They are 0-15 in the Big Ten and they are not only losing big to the good conference teams, they are getting whipped by everyone in the league. 13 of their 15 Big Ten losses have come by at least 10 points. Going even deeper, only 2 of their 22 total losses have come by less than 10 points. That’s it. Their 6 seasons wins have come against teams rated 351 (out of 351), 329, 313, 294, 274, and a Division 3 team. That obviously means that Rutgers is 0-22 vs teams ranked higher than 274. There is no masking how poor they are. They rank dead last in the Big Ten in offensive & defensive efficiency as well as offensive & defensive eFG%. Making it worse, leading scorer Corey Sanders (16 PPG) will serve the last of his 4 game suspension in this one. Northwestern is just 5-10 on league play but much more talented than in past years. They are still playing hard and off back to back fairly well played losses @ Purdue and @ Michigan. Both of those games were closer than the final score would indicate. This team is hungry for a win and they’ll smell blood here. NW has not faced Rutgers yet this season but for comparison’s sake, let’s see how they fared against the 2nd worst team in the Big Ten, the 2-13 Minnesota Gophers. The Cats destroyed the Gophs on both occasions winning by 25 & 24 points. That’s the same Minnesota team that just played Rutgers earlier this week and beat the Knights by 24 points! NW can name this score. They need a big win and they will run away with this one.
 
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Ray Monohan

Heat vs Celtics

5* NBA ATS Bonus Play Miami Heat

Miami heads into Boston, a team they are currently fighting with in the Eastern Conference, as both teams really could use a win here.

The Heat catch a solid amount of points here, to make them worth a look.

Miami has won 3 or 4 and have really stepped their game up. This is the time where their veteran leadership comes into handy. With Chris Bosh, Dwayne Wade, and Luol Deng leading the charge, the Heat are certainly used to these kinds of games.

Hassan Whiteside has been the major difference for Miami averaging 21.7 points and 18 rebounds over their last 3 games.

Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Heat are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.

Look for Miami to keep this close, with them having plenty of chances to win this one outright.

Back Miami ATS.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.
 
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Jimmy Adams

West Virginia vs Oklahoma State

Bonus Play West Virginia

This line got steamed up right as it opened and there's still plenty of value for us to take advantage of. The Mountaineers are coming off of a nice 10 point win over Iowa State on Monday. If you know Bob Huggins then you know that he won't except anything less from his players then maximum effort. The amount off ball pressure that they put on other teams is unlike any other team in the country. They take you out of your comfort zone, force a ton of turnovers, and those turnovers translate into points.

I don't know what it's going to take for the betting markets to realize how bad this Oklahoma State team is. They've lost 6 of their last 7 games, and since Phil Forte went down with an injury they just haven't been the same team. Offense has been a huge issue for the Cowboys. They can't score the basketball, and playing a team like WVU, which is going to give you a full court press for 40 minutes, is a recipe for disaster.

West Virginia won by 17 the last time these teams met. Oklahoma State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. You can expect that trend to continue here. Take West Virginia.
 
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Bob Harvey

Spurs vs Rockets

Bonus Play San Antonio Spurs

The San Antonio Spurs look to continue their dominance over the Rockets when the two Texas teams meet in Houston. San Antonio destroyed Houston 131-99 in their last meeting on January 27.

The Spurs (49-9, 36-22 ATS) are riding another winning streak having taken 10 of their last 11. They are 6-1 on their eight-game "Rodeo Road Trip" after rolling to a 96-78 win over the Utah Jazz on Thursday. San Antonio is now 21-9 on the road, the second best mark in the NBA behind the Golden State Warriors

The Rockets (29-29, 26-32 ATS) are hoping to build on one of their best efforts of the season. James Harden scored 46 points as Houston erased a 21-point, third quarter deficit en route to a 119-105 victory in Portland on Thursday. Harden has recorded back-to-back 40-point outings as he scored 42 points in Tuesday's loss to the Jazz before the big effort against Portland. However the bearded one hasn’t enjoyed as much success against the Spurs is averaging just 19.7 points in this season's three meetings -- scoring 20 points in two of the contests and 17 in the other. Harden is averaging 34.4 points in five games since the All-Star break and has scored 33 or more points in seven of the past 11 games.

The Spurs are 0-6 ATS in the last six meetings in Houston but 6-0 ATS in their past six games vs. the Southwest Division. The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their past five overall and 4-1 in their last five against the Western Conference.
 
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Scott Spreitzer

Spurs vs Rockets

Bonus Play San Antonio Spurs

I'm recommending a play on the Spurs minus the points on Saturday night. The more that comes out about James Harden and what he has done to Houston's locker room, the tougher it gets to side with the Rockets. And their schedule certainly isn't on their side, facing one of the top teams in the league on Saturday. Houston will play its first home game in three weeks and just played three straight on the road following the all-star break. Defense has been an afterthought for the Rockets, allowing 112 ppg in their last five outings and nearly 107 ppg on the season. We should note the Spurs are on a 31-13 ATS run against teams that allow at least 103 ppg, outscoring those 44 teams by an average margin of 15 ppg. The Spurs continue their lengthy rodeo road trip, but are obviously much better equipped to handle a hectic schedule. They also own 10 wins in their last 11 games. While they're just 5-6 ATS in those outings, they had no trouble at all with Houston on January 27, winning 130-99. They have now beaten Houston by a combined 49 points, going 2-0 against them in 2016. I expect a third straight win tonight and once again by a spread-covering margin. I recommending a play on the Spurs minus the points. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
 
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Mike Lundin

Spurs vs Rockets

5* NBA Free Pick Houston Rockets

The Houston Rockets showed great morale and determination when they battled back from a 21-point, third-quarter deficit in Thursday's 119-105 win at Portland. That game was the last of a five-game road trek and they're 4-0 ATS in their last four home games following a road trip of seven or more days and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The Spurs are also coming off a big win as they played lockdown defense in a 96-78 win at Utah Thursday. They're 0-6 ATS in the last six meetings in Houston though and the Rockets will come into the game looking to revenge a 130-99 loss at San Antonio on Jan. 27. James Harden has totaled 88 points on 32-of-56 shooting in his last two games and is averaging 36.5 over his past six, and I think he alone will be enough to keep this a close game.
 
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Marc Lawrence

Northern Iowa vs Evansville

Play - Evansville

Edges - Purple Aces: 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS home in this series when off a win; and 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in Last Home Games. Panthers: 0-4-1 ATS versus avenging foes after facing Indiana State. With Northern Iowa off a revenge victory over Indiana State, and 0-5-1 ATS in games after facing the Sycamores, we recommend a 1* play on Evansville. Thank you and good luck as always.
 

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