Saturday's NCAAB Top 25 betting cheat sheet
We are just a couple of weeks out from college basketball's Conference Tournament weekend. So as ranked teams look to secure high seeds and bubble teams hope to stamp their dance ticket, we break down Saturday's Top 25 action in our betting cheat sheet.
Texas Tech Red Raiders at No. 2 Kansas Jayhawks (-13.5, OFF)
* The Red Raiders reached a new high with Tuesday's 83-79 comeback win over TCU, notching a fifth straight conference victory for the first time in their 20-year stay in the Big 12.
* Kansas has rattled off eight straight victories, covering the spread in each game, following Tuesday's 66-60 win at Baylor to take a two-game lead over Oklahoma and West Virginia with three games to go.
Trends:
* Texas Tech is 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Kansas is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games overall.
* Under is 6-1 in Kansas' last seven games overall.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
Rhode Island Rams at No. 22 Dayton Flyers (-8.5, OFF)
* Depth is a major concern as top reserve Christion Thompson (concussion) missed Tuesday’s 65-54 loss at Davidson on Tuesday and is likely out for Dayton contest. The Rams must depend on top scorer Jared Terrell (13.9), who averaged 18.3 over the past three games.
* Dayton, which is tied with VCU and Saint Joseph’s atop the league, is shooting 39.4 percent from the field – 24.2 beyond the 3-point arc – its last three outings after Tuesday’s 52-49 overtime win at Saint Louis. The Flyers will likely be without forward Kendall Pollard (knee) for the fifth straight game.
Trends:
* Dayton is 0-4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.
* Over is 5-1 in Rhode Island's last six games overall.
* Over is 5-1 in Dayton's last six games overall.
* Home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
Louisville Cardinals at No. 11 Miami Hurricanes (-3, OFF)
* Louisville's only remaining goal is to win the ACC regular-season title as a result of its self-imposed postseason ban. Freshman forward Deng Adel (4.1 points per game), who started in place of injured power forward Raymond Spalding (bruised shoulder) against Pitt, has provided a needed boost over the past three games, averaging 12.3 points and 6.3 rebounds.
* Miami rode the hot shooting of junior forward Davon Reed (21 points, including 5-of-6 on 3-pointers) to bounce back from their humbling 25-point loss at North Carolina with a 64-61 home win over No. 3 Virginia on Monday.
Trends:
* Louisville is 1-7 ATS in its last eight road games.
* Miami is 13-3-1 ATS in its last 17 home games.
* Under is 7-1 in Louisville's last eight games overall.
* Under is 5-1 in Miami's last six games overall.
No. 1 Villanova Wildcats at Marquette Golden Eagles (+8.5, OFF)
* Villanova ranks 13th in the nation entering Friday in points allowed (62.5) but gave up a season-high 90 points in Wednesday's seven-point setback at No. 5 Xavier. Top scorer Josh Hart (15 ppg) has shot poorly in three of his last four outings and he also struggled in a 15-point win over Marquette last month, shooting 4-of-12 (0-of-5 from the arc) in that one.
* The Golden Eagles have notched a pair of quality victories against Providence - the last team to defeat Villanova prior to this week and at Creighton its last time out behind a double-double by Henry Ellenson. The Golden Eagles are likely headed for the NIT, but a win over Villanova combined with a late-season push could create a tough call for the Selection Committee.
Trends:
* Villanova is 4-0 ATS in its last four meetings at Marquette.
* Favorite it is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
* Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings at Marquette.
* Over is 4-1 in Villanova's last five overall.
No. 10 Arizona Wildcats at No. 23 Utah Utes (-3, OFF)
* Arizona, meanwhile, brought a six-game winning streak into its two-game late-week road trip but was upended 75-72 at Colorado on Wednesday night. The Wildcats’ five conference losses have been a combined 17 points, and they haven’t suffered a double-digit defeat since Feb. 27, 2013.
* The Utes have won five straight, including an 81-46 rout of Arizona State on Monday, to close within a half-game of the Ducks at 11-5. The Utes hit 16 3-pointers against the Sun Devils – one off the school single-game record – and are shooting 42.9 percent from beyond the arc during their five-game win streak.
Trends:
* Arizona is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Under is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings.
* Utah is 4-0 ATS in its last four games overall.
* Over is 4-0 in Arizona's last four games overall.
No. 4 Oklahoma Sooners at No. 25 Texas (Pick, Off)
* No. 25 Texas begins arguably the toughest three-day Big 12 stretch in school history when it hosts No. 4 Oklahoma on Saturday. The Longhorns then come right back Monday to welcome KansasTexas gave the Sooners all they could handle in the first meeting on Feb. 8 in Norman, losing 63-60 on a Buddy Hield 3-pointer from the left wing with 1.4 seconds to go.
* The Sooners come into the contest tied for second place with West Virginia two games behind the Jayhawks, who can clinch the regular season Big 12 title with a victory Saturday. The Longhorns, who are 3-0 at home this season against top-20 ranked teams, enter the weekend tied for fourth place with Baylor just a game behind Oklahoma and the Mountaineers.
Trends:
* Underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
* Over is 4-0 in Tezxas' last four games overall.
* Under is 5-0 in Oklahoma's last five games overall.
* Texas is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games overall.
No. 14 Kentucky Wildcats at Vanderbilt Commodores (+1.5, OFF)
* Kentucky's Tyler Ulis has been spectacular with four double-doubles over the last six games. Ulis is averaging 18.5 points and 10.2 assists over his last six games and has shot at least 50 percent from the floor in five of those contests. While Ulis and Jamal Murray have been Kentucky's top players this season, Alex Poythress provided a big lift against Alabama on Tuesday with 14 points in 17 minutes after missing the previous five games with a knee injury.
* Most projections have Vanderbilt squarely on the NCAA Tournament bubble with the regular season nearing its conclusion. Vanderbilt enters the weekend tied for fourth place in the SEC standings, two games behind first-place Kentucky. Only a buzzer-beating loss against Mississippi State has separated the Commodores from a five-game winning streak, while the team's last five victories have all come by double digits.
Trends:
* Kentucky is 1-6-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
* Over is 6-0 in Vanderbilt's last six games overall.
* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Kentucy is 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus a team with a winning SU record.
DePaul Blue Demons at No. 24 Providence Friars (-12.5, OFF)
* DePaul already claimed the first meeting with a 77-70 triumph on Feb. 2 and it snapped a four-game slide with an eight-point win over St. John's the last time out. Billy Garrett Jr. had 19 points and 10 assists in Thursday's rare offensive outburst for DePaul, which ranks last in Big East action in scoring (66.4 points per game).
* The Friars were hoping that a week off between games would have them rested and ready for the visit to Seton Hall, but the spreading illness hampered three starters - Kris Dunn, Rodney Bullock and Junior Lomomba. The trio combined with fellow starter Ryan Fazekas to score 10 points on 4-of-21 shooting, while Bentil carried the load with 31 points before his ejection for a flagrant-2 foul in the closing minutes.
Trends:
* Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Providence is 0-6 ATS in its last six games overall.
* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Over is 6-1 in DePaul's last seven games overall.
No. 20 Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Florida State Seminoles (+2, OFF)
* After a last-second loss at Georgia Tech last weekend, the Irish won a 13th consecutive game following a defeat with a 69-58 victory over Wake Forest on Wednesday. Senior forward Zach Auguste continued his impressive play with 18 points and 12 rebounds against Wake Forest while forward Steve Vasturia added 16 points and fellow junior guard Demetrius Jackson chipped in 15. The Irish have lost just 13 games since the start of last season and have gone nearly two years without a losing streak.
*The Seminoles will be attempting to snap a season-long five-game losing streak after Thursday’s 80-65 loss at Duke. Sophomore point guard Xavier Rathan-Mayes scored 13 points while freshman guard Dwayne Bacon added 12 and 10 rebounds against the Blue Devils.
Trends:
* Notre Dame is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.
* Florida State is 0-5 ATS in its last five games overall.
* Under is 4-1 in Notre Dame's last five games overall.
* Over is 6-2 in Florida State's last eight overall.
No. 21 Texas A&M Aggies at Missouri Tigers (+9.5, OFF)
* The 21st-ranked Aggies have rebounded to win three straight since their five-game SEC losing streak, leaving them one game behind first-place Kentucky – whom Texas A&M defeated last Saturday to claim the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Wildcats. Four of Texas A&M’s five straight losses in league play came on the road, where it hasn’t won since posting a 79-45 rout of Georgia on Jan. 16.
* The Tigers are looking for their third straight home victory after registering wins over Tennessee and South Carolina last week. They’ve lost two straight on the road since then and are coming off an 85-76 defeat at Ole Miss on Tuesday in which foul trouble severely tested their lack of depth. The Aggies beat the Tigers 66-53 at home on Jan. 23 and have won three straight in the series.
Trends:
* Texas A&M is 0-4 ATS in its last four road games.
* Missouri is 6-0-1 ATS in its last seven games overall.
* Under is 11-2 in Texas A&M's last 13 games overall.
* Under is 4-1 in Missouri's last five home games.
No. 9 Maryland Terrapins at No. 19 Purdue Boilermakers (-3.5, OFF)
* The Terrapins are near the top of the conference in a number of defensive categories during league play, ranking first in blocked shots (97) as well as second in scoring defense (65.7), field-goal percentage defense (39) and 3-point percentage defense (31). Melo Trimble (team-high averages of 14 points, 5.2 assists and 1.3 steals) has 146 assists - the most by a Maryland player since Greivis Vasquez had 208 in 2009-10 - but has committed 18 turnovers in the last three games alone and is 10-of-48 from the field over his last five outings.
* While the Boilermakers have committed more turnovers than the opposition in eight straight games and shot only 67.7 percent from the foul line over their previous five outings, they are converting 47.3 percent of their 3-point attempts over their last six excluding a dismal 3-for-25 effort against the Terrapins in the first meeting.
Trends:
* Maryland is 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall.
* Purdue is 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall.
* Under is 13-3 in Maryland's last 16 games overall.
* Under is 11-3 in Purdue's last 14 Saturday games.
Kansas State Wildcats at No. 17 Iowa State Cyclones (-9.5, OFF)
* Kansas State is struggling entering the contest, having lost four its last five, and at 4-11 in the Big 12, ranks above only Oklahoma State (3-12) and TCU (2-13) in the league standings.
* Iowa State has lost five of their last eight games to slip to sixth place in the conference. The issue certainly hasn’t been offense for Iowa State, which is pacing the Big 12 in scoring (83.1 points per game) and field-goal percentage (second nationally at 50.4).
Trends:
* Kansas State is 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall.
* Iowa State is 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall.
* Under is 4-0 in Kansas State's last four road games.
* Over is 5-0 in Iowa State's last five games overall.
No. 12 West Virginia Mountaineers at Oklahoma State Cowbos (+6.5, OFF)
* West Virginia served noticed just how competitive it can be come March when it flattened 17th-ranked Iowa State, 97-87, on Monday. Senior guard Jaysean Paige, slowed by an ankle injury in back-to-back losses to Texas and Oklahoma, came off the bench to score a career-high 34 points while guard Daxter Miles Jr., who had missed two games with a right hamstring injury, added three points, three assists and two steals in 13 minutes of action.
* Only TCU scores fewer points in the Big 12 than the Cowboys (67.9) who lost their top scorer, all-Big 12 honorable mention guard Phil Forte (13.3), after three games to an elbow injury and will likely be without freshman star Jawun Evans (12.9 points, 47.5 3-point shooting) for the rest of the season due to a shoulder injury.
Trends:
* West Virginia is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Oklahoma State is 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall.
* Over is 6-2-1 in West Virginia's last nine road games.
* Under is 9-2 in Oklahoma State's last 11 home games.
No. 6 North Carolina Tar Heels at No. 3 Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5, OFF)
* The Tar Heels moved one step closer to locking up the conference’s top seed with a comfortable 80-68 victory Wednesday at North Carolina State, overcoming a slow start as Brice Johnson scored 22 points with 11 rebounds. North Carolina has won four of its last five coming into the matchup.
* The Cavaliers trail the ACC-leading Tar Heels by two games in the conference standings, and despite a career-high tying 28 points from Malcolm Brogdon, Virginia did not do enough defensively in Monday’s 64-61 loss at No. 11 Miami. The Cavaliers have dropped two of their past three following a seven-game winning streak.
Trends:
* North Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games.
* Virginia is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.
* Under is 5-0 in North Carolina's last five road games.
* Under is 7-0 in Virginia's last seven games overall.
No. 16 Baylor Bears at TCU Horned Frogs (+8.5, OFF)
* The Bears start the weekend three games behind league-leading Kansas and one back of Oklahoma and West Virginia - their final two opponents of the regular season. Rico Gathers, who leads the Big 12 in rebounding, has come off the bench in each of the last two games after dealing with an illness, but the Bears have gotten big minutes from Johnathan Motley. Baylor is 8-0 against TCU as conference rivals, winning by an average of 19.9 points.
* Chauncey Collins continued his hot streak for last-place TCU - which has lost four straight - with a career-high 29 points against Texas Tech. JD Miller has had two solid starts as the Horned Frogs have been without two regular forwards recently.
Trends:
* Baylor is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
* Under is 5-0 in TCU's last five home games.
* TCU is 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a ATS win.