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Meadowlands: Saturday 2/13 Analysis
By Derick Giwner

DRF HARNESS

Race 3 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 5 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 9 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 94 - 313 / $544.70 (-$81.30) BEST BETS: 12 - 23 / $49.90 (+$3.90)

Best Bet: ROCKEYED OPTIMIST (8th)

Spot Play: CONNECTING FLIGHT (2nd)


Race 1

(8) MESMERIZED came up flat in his debut for this barn but perhaps that can be attributed to missing more than two months of action. I'm going to take another shot at what seems likely to be a decent price. (1) BJANTHONY blew them away a week ago and is clearly the one to beat again. (5) LAZURUS has been knocking at the door. Maybe the addition of Gingras in the bike will get him over the top.

Race 2

(8) CONNECTING FLIGHT showed no signs of bad behavior and dominated at this level last week. The best part is that he should still offer fair value due to the presence of (5) MISSILE J, who looked like he was shot out of a cannon in the stretch in his last start. (3) CHILLN MATISSE wasn't bad in his career debut; more now?

Race 3

(2) WORLD CUP came up empty in the stretch last time but there were a few from this barn that raced similarly (see first race pick). Classy 7-year-old is in cheap and should show what he is made of tonight. (4) TWO HIP DIP couldn't sustain his rally on the rim when dropped to this condition last week. I'm not giving up on him yet. (7) STONEBRIDGE IDOL moves down in class and has the early speed to make some noise.

Race 4

(7) BO'S SO HOT was sneaky good in his qualifier. In a field lacking form, I'll take a shot. (8) MR DE LUCA has displayed enough at times to win here but has yet to get that elusive trip to the winner's circle. (3) BRISK CLIPPER is 0 for 27 since the start of 2015, but he does have a couple of third-place finishes in his last three starts.

Race 5

(4) STRATOCASTER has proven himself a major contender in this condition and only needs a reasonable trip to win. (1) ADDWATER moves back to the inside and seems to be in a prime spot to attempt one brush to the front. (2) ESCAPE THE NEWS will enjoy the move back to an inside post.

Race 6

(1) SPEED TRAP clearly needed the race last time after missing three months of action. He is fast enough to compete and should offer some value. (5) MUDSLIDE looks fine on paper if you ignore the recent scratched-sick line. (7) GIANT SLAYER has been awesome in consecutive weeks. Can he handle another class rise? (10) LATE NIGHT JOKE returns to the Big M at a much reduced level; worth including on your pick 4 and 5 tickets.

Race 7

(4) ALEX BULLVILLE was flat last week but that was a spot where I wasn't expecting a big effort. Now he returns to the basement condition and gets Gingras in the bike. (3) JUNGLE OF TERROR & (5) HERE COMES SWIFTY are also dropping down the class ladder and either seems capable. (1) FOR A BETTOR TIME should stick close from the inside and get a piece of the pie.

Race 8

(7) ROCKEYED OPTIMIST raced very well off the bench and actually better than I expected in his 2016 debut. This guy should be ready to roll now. (6) ASLAN wasn't going far from post eight at Yonkers. This looks like a spot that should be up his alley. (4) SWEET BEACH went a serious mile on the engine while finishing third last out. I wouldn't be shocked if he raced well again at a good price.

Race 9

(7) ART HISTORY is another Steve Elliott trainee who put in a credible effort after a long layoff last week. One would think this 5-year-old will be showing some early speed this week and take the field a long way. (1) JET AIRWAY is clearly sharp but can't seem to get his picture taken. (9) KINGOFTHEJUNGLE wasn't as bad as the seventh-place finish looks last week and he does drop down a notch this time.

Race 10

(5) ROCKIN THE HOUSE has plenty of mile track experience and has won at the Meadowlands in the past. He ships in sharp for a solid barn and should have a big shot in a competitive race. (4) ALLSTAR LEGEND was locked in the pocket last Saturday and while he looks like a serious contender tonight, you know he'll be overbet. (6) HOPE FOR BADLANDS drops back down to the level of his last win, but this is a better field than he beat that night. (9) ROCK OUT almost went down the road in his first start since September; improvement is likely. (2) FIRST OF ITSKIND came home fast with no chance last week; another contender.

Race 11

(3) MCARDLES LIGHTNING had no shot but flew home in 26 2/5 in his first start since September. He is just another of many Elliott-trained horses that have a big chance. (1) COBALT MAN finds a field without a ton of early speed and could take charge. (5) DUNE DUDE has been looming week after week and could get over the top at some point.

Race 12

(3) YIPPITY HANOVER added Lasix and responded with a strong late rally last time. He could finally be ready to win again. (6) INTHEBLINKOFANEYE has high early speed and plenty of form; must use. (2) GOLD ROCKS & (1) LENNON BLUE CHIP are both dropping back down to the NW5000 condition and either seems capable.

Race 13

(4) PIECE OF THE ROCK never got into the action from post 10 last week. This time around he gets in against a field that seems ripe for a down the road winner and he should have every opportunity if those tactics are taken. (2) UF LARRY ALLTHEWAY hasn't exactly had the smoothest of trips recently but is clearly in form and should stick close to the action. (6) WAYWARD SON has a chance to surprise if they surprisingly mix it up on the front; using underneath.

Race 14

(4) THAT'S MY OPINION seems to pace the same speed week after week and it just comes down to whether the rest of the field can go quicker. This race shapes up as a slow one on paper and should suit him nicely. (3) BOOGIEWOOGIEBRIAN has early speed and could take this dull group a long way. (6) THE GREEN KNIGHT took a tour of the track after a long break; more now? (1) DREAMZZZ R FOR U should try to stick close from his inside post.
 
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Yonkers: Saturday 2/13 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 35 - 117 / $218.60

BEST BETS: 5 - 10 / $18.00

Best Bet: CYCLONE KIWI N (10th)

Spot Play: MELMERBY BEACH (7th)


Race 1

(1) HIGHVIEW CONALL N hasn't fired with his best in his last two after a nice local debut; class and post relief can get him over the top tonight. (6) SNAP TO IT A also gets needed class relief but Bartlett has to get aggressive early for his best chance. (3) MAINLAND KEY N needed his last start and the veteran fits with these; consider at a decent price.

Race 2

(2) ALLERAGE STAR ships from The Meadowlands into a seemingly easier spot; she's logical but won't offer much value. (1) SPIDER BLUE CHIP toured the track in his debut for new connections; expect more from the inside post. (6) WARRAWEE ONYX gets tested for class tonight but has been super in his three starts for DiDomenico.

Race 3

(3) WINDS OF CHANGE loses Bartlett to the Banca rail piece but he's got plenty of speed and could get the jump on these. (1) CARTOON DADDY has raced well since the barn change and should be right there. (2) DIAL OR NO DIAL has been racing well and has plenty of back class but has missed almost three weeks.

Race 4

(7) PANCHESTER UNITED is up in class and stuck outside but in his first start for these new connections he looked so sharp I'm inclined to give him another play. (3) URBANA BAYAMA chased the top one second best; he's also razor-sharp. (1) HEEZ ORL BLACK N raced gamely last week to dead-heat for the win and now the Vallee charge draws best.

Race 5

(4) SANTANNA ONE raced well in his last two while coming from too far back; this is not a strong field and the Ruiz trainee should take charge. (2) BLATANTLY BEST was second best versus similar last week. (1) THE LUNCH PAIL gets needed class relief and from the best post he has no excuse not to land a share.

Race 6

(8) CRAZSHANA is banished to the eight hole tonight but he's been so good in his first two starts for Bamond I'm going to endorse him on top. Price should be ok, too. (1) MONEY MAVEN has been super for Julie Miller and he gets a very generous spot. (7) RED HOT HERBIE is back with Dube, who steered this trotter to his last two victories.

Race 7

(3) MELMERBY BEACH gets some class relief off a series of aggressive efforts; he deserves top billing despite Bartlett opting off. (6) CASIMIR JITTERBUG has come back sharp this season for O'Sullivan and has a chance here. (7) HARDTS OR BETTOR has made a ton of money for Banca since the claim; let's see how he does from a rare outside post for the leading trainer.

Race 8

(7) PHIL YOUR BOOTS has shown little from his last two poor posts, with a solid front-end victory in between; lets home for some early action from him off the gate tonight. (4) ROLAND N ROCK steps up to this level off back-to-back big winning efforts. (1) TYE SEELSTER backed up last week leading to this week's Banca rail assignment; Bartlett's back driving and he could hang around for a share.

Race 9

(3) SAPPHIRE CITY was baked up on the front end last week; I like that he's right back in, and from an improved post. (5) NORTHVIEW PUNTER N was just shy in his U.S. debut after gapping the pocket; he seems capable of improving off that effort. (4) ONE THROUGH TEN just missed at this level last out.

Race 10

(3) CYCLONE KIWI N went a rugged effort in defeat last out just missing in a :27 last quarter and the Bamond charge appears way overdue. (5) DRUNKEN DESIRE A gets some needed class relief. (6) BIT OF A LEGEND N took action in his U.S. debut and was a sharp two-move winner versus lesser; contender.

Race 11

(6) CLEMENTINE DREAM has been right there in her last three starts at this level yet still may offer value in this competitive event. (5) TWEET ME and (1) ZOOMING both drop from Open competition, where they had been overmatched; either or both could wake up here.

Race 12

(4) TWIN B HOLLISTER was used hard twice in the mile last week yet still lasted gamely for second; three back he was also sharp in defeat. Banca charge deserves top billing. (3) THE COURT JESTER A closed belatedly from an outside spot after having no chance upon arrival from Australia; he's got a big chance with the better post, but good luck getting 8/1 like his morning line indicates. (1) CAUTION SIGNS gets needed post relief and should land a share.
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Saturday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Aqueduct (3rd) Court Dancer, 3-1
(6th) Easy Comparison, 8-1


Charles Town (1st) Baby Bell, 3-1
(7th) Nay's Back, 7-2


Delta Downs (5th) Shyloh's Friend, 6-1
(10th) Side's Song, 7-2


Fair Grounds (1st) Mad Heiress, 9-2
(7th) After the Goldrush, 4-1


Golden Gate Fields (4th) Financial District, 8-1
(6th) Lucky Views, 3-1


Gulfstream Park (5th) Wild About Jass, 10-1
(11th) Decent, 4-1


Laurel (1st) D'Humerus, 5-1
(8th) Clothes Fall Off, 8-1


Oaklawn Park (1st) Substitute, 5-1
(10th) Crimson Valor, 6-1


Penn National (3rd) Birch Creek Crazy, 7-2
(4th) Beau Who, 5-1


Sam Houston (1st) Yeowzer, 7-2
(8th) Rule Breaker, 6-1


Santa Anita (4th) Desert Thief, 6-1
(9th) Lady Valeur, 3-1


Tampa Bay Downs (6th) Miss Giacomo, 9-2
(12th) Ms Hoochie Coochie, 5-1


Turf Paradise (6th) Local One Thirty, 7-2
(7th) Peppy Miller, 9-2


Turfway Park (4th) Social Butterfly, 8-1
(10th) Regal Market, 9-2
 
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Saturday's six-pack

Six of the top minor league prospets of the Cleveland Indians........

1) Bradley Zimmer, OF-- Expected to be Indians' CF in 2017.

2) Clint Frazier, OF-- No many teams' top two prospects are both OFs.

3) Brady Aiken, P-- Top pick in 2014 draft turned down $5M from Astros, then got hurt and had to have Tommy John surgery. Tribe gave him $2.5M

4) Jordan Sheffield, P-- Turned down chance to pitch at Vanderbilt.

7) Mike Clevinger, P-- Allowed 127 hits in 158 IP in Eastern League LY.

15) Yandy Diaz, 3B-- Cuban infielder hit .315 in Eastern League LY.
 
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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Saturday

541 XAVIER @ 542 BUTLER 2:30 PM

Take: 542 BUTLER -3

The very bottom of the Big East might not be much with St. John’s and DePaul each having very difficult campaigns. But 1-8 this is a very good outfit, and I don’t think it’s a stretch to suggest there are a number of teams in this conference that could do some damage come March Madness. Two of those squads get together here as Butler plays host to Xavier.

Butler will definitely be in payback mode today. The Bulldogs were beaten up at Xavier back in early January. The Musketeers exploited what on that day was a soft Butler interior and scored a load of easy buckets en route to a convincing 88-69 win. That was the early portion of what turned out to be a really lousy stretch of basketball for Butler. The Bulldogs eventually dropped all the way to 3-6 in league play, and the three wins were against the two aforementioned Big East weaklings.

But things are looking up for Butler. They’ve now mowed down three straight opponents, and it looks like whatever was ailing the Bulldogs has been remedied. They’re now flashing the form they displayed early in the season, when they were looking like a powerhouse. That Butler team earned some very impressive wins, and I’m banking on those Bulldogs to be in action today.

Xavier is obviously anything but a pushover. The Musketeers don’t figure to be in a very good mood following a bad game at Creighton. History buffs will, in fact, most likely be all over X here. They’ve pretty much owned Butler over the years, with an impressive 9-1-1 STS ledger in the last 11 meetings, including 5-1 vs. the line on this court.

But I’m putting more weight on what’s happening right now rather than what has taken place in the past. As I frequently mention at this time of the season, I’m a fan of backing avenging home teams that are coming in with positive momentum. I won’t give the exact parameters of how I break this down, but teams fitting what I look for in this scenario win far more often than they lose. This angle, if you want to call it that, has popped at roughly a 60% clip going back several seasons, and it’s 11-6 so far this year. Butler does indeed qualify as a play and my projections also have them winning the game as far as the math goes.

I wouldn’t expect this to be easy by any means, but I see Butler winning this one and with the number where it is. I’m willing to spot the points today with the Bulldogs.
 
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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp NBA Pick, Saturday, Feb 13, 2016 8:30 PM EST

(503) TEXAS VS (504) IOWA STATE

Take: UNDER THE TOTAL

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Saturday, February 13, 2016 is in the Big 12 college basketball scheduled contest between Texas and Iowa State. Texas is playing great defense for coach Shaka Smart, on a 6-0-1 run under the total. They come off a loss at No. 1 Oklahoma, 63-60, going under the total, shooting 40%, while allowing 40%. Texas was just 6-of-23 on threes. This is their 5th road game in 8 games, so it's tired situational spot. The Under is 17-5 in the Longhorns last 22 vs. the Big 12. Iowa State is on a 1-3 SU/ATS run and they play their best defense at home. 6-9 Jameel McKay (12.4 ppg, 9 rpg) has missed the last two games (suspension) but will be back Saturday, a great rebounder and shot blocker in the low post. The Under is 7-2-1 in the Cyclones last 10 games following a straight up loss. Play Texas/Iowa State under the total.
 
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Scott Spreitzer

Xavier vs Butler

Bonus Play Xavier

I'm recommending a play on Xavier plus the points on Saturday. The Musketeers can ill afford a loss here, trailing Villanova by two games in the Big East standings. Xavier played quite possibly their worst game of the season last time out, ending in a 70-56 loss to Creighton. Muskies' coach Chris Mack was not a happy man following the loss in Omaha, calling out his team after saying they virtually ignored the gameplan right out of the blocks. XU certainly looked out of sync for most of the night and they paid for it with their third loss of the season. Butler seems to have a case of bad timing. This marks the second time this season they have played Xavier and both times, the Musketeers were coming off a rare loss. They were no match for an angry XU squad in Cincinnati and lost 88-69 in January. Xavier has now won 9 of the last 12 meetings at Hinkle Fieldhouse, and they're 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings, overall. Butler has shot well most of the season, but not against the defensively sound Musketeers, making just 38.7% of their FGA in the first meeting. I do believe XU will throw a wrench into the Bulldogs' offensive plans again. Finally, Butler has struggled at home against teams with a winning record, currently on a 0-5 ATS slide in this role. I'm recommending a play on Xavier plus the points on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
 
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Mike Lundin

Xavier vs Butler

5* CBB Free Pick Xavier Musketeers

I like the 21-3 Xavier Musketeers to bounce back from a rare loss as they visit the 17-7 Butler Bulldogs Saturday afternoon. The Musketeers had won five straight before falling 70-56 to Creighton Tuesday and they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine Saturday games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games. They hammered the Bulldogs 88-69 on their own building on Jan. 3 as they shot 56.4% from the field while holding Butler to just 38.7% shooting. The Bulldogs are 1-9-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings between the two teams and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with winning records. I don't think they got what it takes to roll with this balanced Musketeers team today, and taking the points looks like a no brainer.
 
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Matt Fargo

UTEP vs Florida Atlantic

Bonus Play Florida Atlantic

We played against UTEP in its last game Thursday and unfortunately, the Miners were able to win their first road game of the season but I do not expect a repeat of that. They came into the game against Florida International with seven straight road losses to start the season but shot 56.2 percent from the floor including 57.9 percent from long range to take out the Golden Panthers. That was their third straight win and fourth straight cover but now they are favored on the highway for just the third time this season. Florida Atlantic has had one of the toughest schedules around as 17 of its first 25 games have been away from home and the Owls have gone 2-15 in those games. They are 5-3 in their eight home games including a 4-1record in the conference and here is another very winnable game. They are just a game behind UTEP in the C-USA standings and have a much better home/road split yet are catching points and are 2-0 ATS at home this season against teams with a winning record while going back, the Miners are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. Play (612) Florida Atlantic Owls
 
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Jamie Michaels

Texas Tech vs Baylor

1* Free Pick on Texas Tech +10

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (14-9, 4-7) travel to Waco to face the #21 Baylor Bears (18-5, 7-4) who have lost 3 of their last 6 games and look to gain some momentum as they head down the final stretch of games in this highly competitive Big 12 Conference. Baylor took the first meeting in Lubbock on January 16 by a narrow 3-point margin. The Red Raiders have only won 3 of their last 11 games but they are coming into this game with confidence having just pulled the upset over Iowa State at home. Texas Tech simply outplayed the Cyclones. Iowa State shot better from the field, but the Red Raiders out-rebounded their opponent, made 10 of 26 from the 3-point arc, and shot 74% from the charity stripe bringing in an additional 17 points. Baylor is a physical team, averaging over 19 fouls per game and free trips to the line for the Red Raiders may be the difference in this game as well. Neither team has fared well ATS lately, and Ferrell Center is a tough place to win. Although February has been the month of upsets, I don’t expect Texas Tech to pull them back-to-back, but I do think they keep this one close. Pick Texas Tech +10!
 
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Bob Harvey

Bonus Play Chicago Blackhawks

The Chicago Blackhawks look to snap a rare home losing streak when they host the Anaheim Ducks. The Blackhawks have dropped the first two games of their four-game homestand and have seen their home record fall to 16-13. Anaheim is 10-11-2-2 as a visitor and has dropped four straight to the Windy City skaters.

While the Blackhawks are trying to get things together at home, the Ducks (26-19-5, 24-29 PL) are looking to right their ship after a pair of tough losses. After winning five straight, they’ve lost two of the first three contests on their current seven-game road trip. In its last outing, Anaheim squandered a two goal lead en route to a 4-3 shootout loss to the last-place Columbus Blue Jackets. Ducks goalie Frederik Andersen has been solid during the up and down stretch securing at least one point in each of his last eight decisions (6-0-2).

The Blackhawks (36-18-4, 26-32 PL) are hoping their netminder Corey Crawford will continue his dominance of the Ducks. The two-time Jennings Trophy recipient improved to 11-4-1 with three shutouts and 1.77 goals-against average vs. Anaheim after stopping 62-of-64 shots en route to winning both overtime encounters this season.

Chicago is 12-2-2 versus Pacific Division representatives while Anaheim is 6-6-2 versus Central Division foes.

The OVER is 5-0-1 in Anaheim’s past six road games and 4-0-1 to the high side in the last five series meetings. However, the two teams are a combined 50-38 to the UNDER this season.
 
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Heath Mac

Gonzaga vs SMU

Bonus Play Gonzaga Bulldogs +6

The Zags have been quietly going about their business in the WCC, where it is tight at the top between Gonzaga, St Marys (CA) and BYU with all three capable of beating each other. The Bulldogs haven’t been great at covering this season at 9-13-1, however they have been winning games and most of their misses have been when not covering 20 point starts, etc.

SMU have fallen away after setting the world on fire to begin the season. They’ve lost 3 of their last 5 games outright (all as favorite) and have been even worse than Gonzaga ATS this season, with an 8-11 ATS record, including 3-7 ATS at home. SMU are 1-4 ATS at home in their last 5 games.

Although not as good as previous seasons, this Gonzaga side is still a good side and should play in the big dance next month, even if they don’t win the WCC (which they likely will). SMU is a good side, but with no prospect of playing next month due to their ban, it looks like the players are beginning to think about other things. This just looks like too many points to give a good side with plenty to play for against an out of form side with nothing other than pride to play for.

Gonzaga is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games on the road. Mustangs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Mustangs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

For our Bonus Play, take the Bulldogs +6 points.
 
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Red Dog Sports

Burnley vs Reading

Bonus Play Draw +210

The total is set at 2 so they are expecting a low score. I think it has a solid chance to end 1-1.

Burnley 1

Reading 1
 

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Damn I played usc cause I thought he was on them.. Wonderful

If you pay the man then you know for sure !! just sayin.....can't complain about
someones post on a free board !!
 

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I guess if Ron burgundy doesn't post teddy covers u should stay away
 

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