Woodbine Harness: Saturday 12/10 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 9,10/3,4,5/3,7,8/2,5/1,2,8,10 = $28.80
EARLY PICK 4: 2,5/1,2,8,10/4/1,4,7 = $24
LATE PICK 4: 2,3,5,6/1,4/1,3/1,3,4,9 = $64
MEET STATS: 44 - 166 / $244.00 BEST BETS: 8 - 16 / $25.80
SPOT PLAYS: 3 - 16 / $15.20
Best Bet: PINK PISTOL (6th)
Spot Play: QUICK FUN N (10th)
Race 1
(10) SWEET ROYALTY was ready to roll first time out for team Baillargeon despite missing more than a month's action. He can double up here for his new connections despite the post. (9) KEEGAN HO ships in with tremendous form, the only concern being the gap in activity. (3) DEVILS ADVOCATE was on a full gallop heading to the gate last week, but she recovered and notched her first win of the year. She is likely to take a smaller share here. (7) MAJESTIC PRESENCE stayed in last week and rallied for a slice. She seems destined for more of the same here.
Race 2
(4) WASAGA BEACH gets McNair back and moves to the middle of the gate. I think it's reasonable to expect a mile similar to her win two back. (5) LADY JEN is in great form and she can take a lot of air; using. (3) KILLEAN FINALE parlayed a covered trip into a win last time. She is capable of a repeat, but driver's tactics could also get her buried late. (10) FOREVER LIZA is the class of this field, but it's hard to predict what intent will be coming off a break and drawing the worst post. I will play to beat her.
Race 3
(8) AWESOMENESS made several moves to win last week for his new connections. He should be tough to beat in here. (3) LYONS SANDS has had a great year racing mostly on smaller tracks but he should be in the hunt here. (7) SENIOR K was a solid 2nd to the choice last time now he gets McNair back. He's not out of this. (2) MGSPERKG BLUEGRASS has a penchant for taking smaller shares and that scenario seems likely here.
Race 4
(2) TWOMACSONEMACH was only inches short of chasing down the leader last week in a good tightener for this stakes series; top call. (5) THINK ON IT faced tougher last week in between stakes series and raced evenly. He should have much more to offer here. (7) BREAKTIME HANOVER ships in with some decent form but notice he is more likely to take a slice than a win. (1) CAMS LUCKY SAM was used up early last week. He could do better here if he is tripped out.
Race 5
(2) MACH PRIDE is on a real roll and he could take another here if he gets a trip similar to last week's. (10) COMPANY MAN was full value for a lifetime-best score last week. He can be dangerous here again, even from out there. (1) COOL ROCK could really trip out here behind rapid fractions; using. (8) DOMETHATAGAIN drops in class an keeps Jamieson; using.
Race 6
(4) PINK PISTOL set solid splits on her way to an easy win last week. If she repeats that mile here, her rivals will be racing for 2nd. (9) BATOUTAHILL was a closing 2nd to the choice last week. Her consistency should be respected. (5) SAFEKEEPING is another that never misses the ticket that should be considered for exotic wagers here. (3) THE LAND SHARK should be a pace factor and if he pockets up behind the choice early, he could complete a decent-paying exacta.
Race 7
(4) PAPARAZZI HANOVER couldn't chase down a determined winner last week but he was game to the wire despite racing uncovered. I'll give him a slight nod here. (7) CARRACCI HANOVER comes back quicker and drops in class again which should produce a more aggressive steer here. (1) SPINFINITI is still winless this year but he is capable of closing for a piece. (5) ARRIVED LATE also figures to pass horses in the back 1/2 and take a share.
Race 8
(3) D GS PESQUERO dropped some money off her card to the point where she can now drop to the level where she jogged on November 18th; top call. (6) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE is in top shape and her tactical speed is dangerous in this spot. (2) REGALLY READY could get a good set up for her late charge here. Toss her on Pick 4 tickets. (5) DAZZLING ROCKETTE raced well in the top class at Hoosier but she may need this one after missing a month.
Race 9
(1) PRESCOTTS HOPE couldn't do much on cover last time because that's not his best trip. Don't be shocked if Hudon sends him this time and tries to bottom out the field. (4) TRASHYTONGUETALKER was as game as they come last week, holding off a host of challengers in deep stretch; respect. (2) PRINCE CLYDE is in great form but he takes a big jump here and is likely to take a slice. (5) ASAP HANOVER will likely revert to a closing style here and take a smaller share.
Race 10
(3) QUICK FUN N made a huge third 1/4 brush then held on late last week despite having missed more than a month. He can double up for his new connections here. (1) WAZZUP WAZZUP was rusty last week having missed 4 weeks of racing. Better is expected here. (4) DREAMY FELLA is in top shape and he can be raced effectively from anywhere. He is an exacta factor. (6) IMKEEPNTHISGUY loomed boldly at a huge price last week then hung a bit late. He can close for a piece here.
Race 11
(3) SINGLE WHITE SOCK is an infrequent winner, but he fits well in this class and McNair had a test drive last week; slight nod. (1) DARCEE N raced okay first-up last week. He could do if he can find a live helmet here. (9) SURPRISE HANOVER won last time he raced in a similar class. Expect early aggression from this gelding. (4) SHADOW MARGEAUX should be much better here leaving from the inside. (2) RISE UP NOW figures to take a small share off a following trip near the front.
