Saturday 12/10/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

Search
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Preview: Trail Blazers (12-12) at Pacers (11-12)

Date: December 10, 2016 7:00 PM EDT

INDIANAPOLIS -- The Portland Trail Blazers will make their one and only visit of the season to Indianapolis on Saturday night to take on the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers (11-12) are returning home from a five-game Western Conference road trip. They finished the trip 2-3 and lost to the league's worst team, the Dallas Mavericks on Friday night 111-103.

"We are consistently inconsistent right now," said guard Aaron Brooks. The Pacers have been within two games of .500 the entire season, and have never won or lost more than two straight games. When it looks like they've turned the corner, they suffer another loss like the one on Friday night.

"We needed to bring more energy on the defensive end, and that didn't happen," coach Nate McMillan said. "We leave off this road trip with just two wins and have a team waiting on us at home. We've got to get back to it."

For the season, the Pacers have been a lot better on their home court. They're 8-4 at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, compared to 3-8 away from it. Playing a back-to-back after a long Western trip will be no easy task, however, even at home. The Blazers were one of the teams the Pacers just saw on this trip, and Portland scored 131 points in that win over Indiana.

Portland (12-12) is coming off a tough loss to Memphis on Thursday night. Late free throws by Toney Douglas put the Blazers away.

"It was a tough loss," Blazers coach Terry Stotts said. "Our offense all game struggled. We struggled to make shots, and we didn't finish around the rim."

Both teams are in similar positions in the standings, but in different conferences. There could be a lot of points scored in this game, as the Blazers are second worst in the NBA in defensive rating (109.1 points per 100 possessions given up). The Pacers are 11th worst in the same statistic and, as previously mentioned, will be playing on a back-to-back after a long trip out west.

Coming into Friday night, these two teams were 8th and 9th in the league in pace of play.

Damian Lillard is a tough matchup for the Pacers. He scored 28 points to go along with 10 assists in their win over Indiana earlier this season. He averaged 29.5 points in the two games against the Pacers last season.

Conversely, Pacers star Paul George only averaged 11 points in the two games against the Blazers last season, his lowest average against any team. He was injured and did not play against Portland when these teams matched up recently.

Like the Pacers, Portland has played a lot better at home. They are just 5-8 on the road to start the season.

After missing Thursday's game against the Grizzlies, starting small forward Maurice Harkless has been upgraded to probable for Saturday's game (NBA.com). He's averaging 13.0 points per game this season and is an important part of the Blazers success. Despite that bit of good news for Portland, forward Al-Farouq Aminu has been downgraded to doubtful for the game with a back contusion.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Preview: Hornets (14-9) at Cavaliers (16-5)

Date: December 10, 2016 7:30 PM EDT

The Cavaliers hope to get a little healthier Saturday when they host the Charlotte Hornets. The only question now is what to do with DeAndre Liggins?

The Cavs are hopeful J.R. Smith can return to the starting lineup after missing the last two games with a hyperextended left knee. Liggins started in his place and played exceptionally well defensively, which just so happens to be one area of need on a Cavs team that easily loses focus on the defensive end.

Coach Tyronn Lue indicated after Friday's lopsided win against the Miami Heat that Liggins has done enough to remain in the rotation. Where exactly he fits, however, remains a mystery.

"If J.R. doesn't get hurt, we don't know where Liggs would be right now," Lue said. "Everything happens for a reason. We see what Liggs can bring to this team defensively. Defensively the last three games we've been great. I like what I've seen as far as being in the right position, being in the right spots, helping our teammates out, shrinking the floor, and then getting back out with the multiple effort. We've been great at doing that these last three games."

The Cavs have been searching for a backup point guard all season, and while Liggins isn't a prototypical point guard, Lue is hopeful he can replicate the role Matthew Dellavedova held for the Cavs last season as a tenacious defender and knockdown 3-point shooter off catch-and-shoots. Liggins made 7-of-19 3-pointers during his one season in Oklahoma City and he's 3-of-3 from the 3-point line in Cleveland.

"Setting the tone defensively and that's what I did for the past three games," Liggins said. "I'm going to continue to try to build off that."

Like the Cavs, the Hornets have won their last three games to move five games over .500 for the first time since starting the season 6-1. Nic Batum has shined during the streak, averaging 14.7 points, 13 rebounds and 5.6 assists after signing a five-year, $120 million deal with the Hornets over the summer. The Hornets smashed the Orlando Magic on Friday, 109-88, allowing the starters to rest the fourth quarter before beginning this five-game road swing against the defending champions.

"It's good momentum, obviously," Hornets coach Steve Clifford said. "I think any time you go on an extended trip like this, it's good to win the last home game. You want to build as much of a cushion as you can.

"These last two games I feel like we played better. I thought we had good readiness, good energy, and we've started to shoot the ball well again, which obviously is critical for our team."

Channing Frye remains away from the Cavs to attend his father's funeral and will not play against the Hornets. LeBron James played 37 minutes in Friday's win against the Heat, but is still expected to play on the Cavs' unique home-and-home, back-to-back.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Preview: Mavericks (5-17) at Rockets (16-7)

Date: December 10, 2016 8:00 PM EDT

HOUSTON -- Patrick Beverley was front and center in the waning moments of Houston's 102-99 victory over Oklahoma City on Friday night, defending Thunder guard Russell Westbrook with vigor as the Rockets clutched a one-possession lead.

For those aware of the value that Beverley brings to the Rockets (16-7) as a tenacious defender and reliable 3-point shooter, his impact on their turnaround isn't a surprise. However, how well Houston has performed since Beverley returned from preseason knee surgery is noteworthy after the Rockets improved to 10-2 with him.

"Pat has contributed in so many ways," said coach Mike D'Antoni, whose will lead the Rockets against the visiting Dallas Mavericks on Saturday night at Toyota Center.

"He's just good. That's a winning spirit and the ripple effect of what he does with his energy just in the locker room before games, after games, on the bus. Whatever it is, it's all about winning.

"I wish we had him all year now. I'm ticked off that he was hurt."

Despite being unable to find his shot (1 of 8 from the floor) and occasionally struggling to defend without fouling (five personal fouls), Beverley made a positive impact even before harassing Westbrook into errant shots inside the final minute. He finished with two steals, five assists and 12 rebounds, four on the offensive end.

He entered Friday second on the team to center Clint Capela in defensive box plus/minus, and his 35.9 percent 3-point shooting is good enough to deliver as at best a tertiary perimeter option. His 4.7 assists per game represent a career high.

But Beverley helped the Rockets win for the seventh time in eight games by forcing Westbrook into an air ball in the closing seconds. It was a routine, game-saving play.

"Pat's defense was tremendous, ridiculous," Rockets forward Ryan Anderson said. "He's so valuable to this team just from plays like that. That was huge."

For one game at least, the Mavericks (5-17) found the inspiration necessary to parlay their postgame team meeting on Wednesday night into something substantive. Despite missing forward Dirk Nowitzki (right Achilles), guard J.J. Barea (left calf) and center Andrew Bogut (right knee), Dallas exacted a measure of revenge against the Indiana Pacers with a 111-103 home victory on Friday night. The Mavericks dropped their season opener in Indianapolis.

Dallas suffered a 31-point walloping against the Kings on Wednesday, prompting an impromptu locker room meeting after the loss. The Mavericks remain in last place in the Western Conference, but their energy and effort, lacking against the Kings, were present and accounted for with Indiana paying a visit.

Until the Mavericks, 0-2 against the Rockets this season, are made whole again, their intensity and execution must carry them. That truth was underscored Friday.

"We just wanted to come out and compete," Mavericks forward Dorian Finney-Smith said. "We felt like we left a lot out there on the court the other night. We had a good practice and we tried to come out and give it our all and let the chips fall."
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Preview: Heat (7-16) at Bulls (12-10)

Date: December 10, 2016 8:00 PM EDT

CHICAGO -- The Chicago Bulls have proved they can beat the NBA's elite. But they haven't been nearly as impressive against the league's also-rans.

The Bulls are a week removed from toppling the defending NBA champion Cleveland Cavaliers and are coming off handing the San Antonio Spurs their first road loss of the year. But the Bulls, who have already lost to one last-place team, welcome another one, the Miami Heat to the United Center on Saturday night.

The question that begs answering is simple: Which Bulls team shows up?

"We talked about it after the Cleveland game, so that's the scary thing," Bulls coach Fred Hoiberg said after Chicago's 95-91 over the Spurs on Thursday night. "If we go out with that type of focus, we'll win a lot of games. It can't just be against the top teams. It's got to be every night."

The Bulls (12-10) will put that focus to the test against the Heat, who lost for the fourth straight time Friday night in a lopsided 114-84 setback at Cleveland. Miami (7-16) shot a season-low 34.8 percent from the field in the loss and was 6 of 27 from 3-point range.

The 30-point differential provided the Heat's worst loss of the season and the 84 points also was a season low.

The Heat, who were led by Derrick Williams' 17 points, were short-handed and played with the league minimum of eight players. Miami captain Udonis Haslem was excused from Friday's game for personal reasons.

According to the Miami Herald, a team spokesman said Haslem was not with the team and it was uncertain whether Haslem would play in Chicago, according to the Herald.

The Heat's lack of depth showed against the Cavaliers. But the play of center Hassan Whiteside, who was benched after scoring eight points on 4-of-10 shooting didn't help matters either.

Heat coach Erik Spoelstra said Miami would "wash this one off" and get ready for Chicago. But Spoelstra made it clear he expected more from Whitehead.

"This league is for competitors only," Spoelstra said.

Added point guard Goran Dragic, who scored 15 points: "He's our franchise player and we need him. When he plays like that, our chances to win are smaller. It's tough when he's not at the level he can be."

But whether the Bulls can capitalize on the Heat's struggles will depend on whether they can play to the level they have showcased against premier competition.

Against the Spurs, Dwyane Wade scored 20 points and the Bulls snapped a three-game skid despite Jimmy Butler seeing his streak of games in which he scored at least 20 points end at 15.

But the return of Doug McDermott, who had been out with concussion symptoms, sparked Chicago's bench as the Bulls knocked off another top team. All five starters reached double figures and the Bulls led by as many as 18 points before holding on down the stretch.

The Bulls will attempt to carry the momentum of Thursday's win over to Saturday against the slumping Heat.

"We know we can play with the best and lose with the worst," Bulls guard Rajon Rondo told reporters Thursday after nearly notching his second triple-double of the season.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Preview: Warriors (20-3) at Grizzlies (16-8)

Date: December 10, 2016 8:00 PM EDT

The new Kevin Durant road show plays Memphis for the first time this season Saturday night when the Golden State Warriors face the Memphis Grizzlies.

Both teams will take impressive winning streaks into a rematch of the 2015 Western Conference semifinals, which was won 4-2 by the Warriors en route to the championship.

The Warriors have fashioned a 13-1 road record since adding Durant via free agency over the summer.

They began a rough seven-day, five-day trip with wins over the Los Angeles Clippers (115-98) and Utah Jazz (106-99) on Wednesday and Thursday, giving them four wins in a row overall and eight in succession on the road since losing to the Los Angeles Lakers more than a month ago (Nov. 4).

Not surprisingly, the Warriors lead the NBA in several offensive categories in road games, including points per game (115.2), field goal percentage (48.5) and assists (30.8).

Durant has helped lead the way, averaging 24.8 points on 53.4-percent shooting on the road.

Alas, Durant's history in Memphis as a member of the Oklahoma City Thunder wasn't nearly as successful. He was held under 20 points in two of his most recent five visits, with the Thunder losing three of those five games.

The Grizzlies will take a five-game winning streak into Saturday's game. All five of the wins have come by five or fewer points -- the first time a team has fashioned that kind of streak since the 2009-10 season.

And Memphis has done it without Mike Conley (back), Chandler Parsons (knee) and Vince Carter (hip), all of whom have been out with injuries.

Marc Gasol led the way for the Grizzlies in their winning streak, scoring more than 25 points in four of the five games while shooting 50 for 98 overall and 10 for 20 on 3-pointers.

Memphis has won nine of its 13 home games this season, allowing only 97.9 points per game on 43.1-percent shooting.

The Warriors have triumphed in their last three visits to Memphis despite never having scored more than 107 points. They did so by holding the Grizzlies to 84 points twice and 99 the other time.

The clubs played a 100-99 nail-biter in the Warriors' last visit in April. That's exactly the type of game the Grizzlies would like Saturday.

After all, they've already won a whopping 10 games by five or fewer points this season.

In fact, they've prevailed in their last 12 contests that either went to overtime or were decided by five or fewer points.

"I wish I could tell you," Gasol admitted to reporters Thursday night when asked if he could explain the impressive run in close games. "We just keep fighting. You've seen it many games now where we just don't let go of the rope."

Several opponents have let go of the rope early against the Warriors, whose eight-game road winning streak includes five wins by 16 or more points, and just one in a game decided by five or fewer.

Golden State has begun beating teams so regularly on the road, the hometown fans haven't enjoyed their recent visits.

"My first year was kind of a surprise and everybody seemed to love us," Warriors coach Steve Kerr, discussing his team's reception on the road, told reporters Thursday in Utah. "Now maybe it's changed a little bit. It honestly makes no difference to us."
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Preview: Nets (6-15) at Spurs (18-5)

Date: December 10, 2016 8:30 PM EDT

The Brooklyn Nets will carry a modicum of momentum and a modest one-game winning streak with them to San Antonio to play the Spurs on Saturday at the AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas. But don't expect the Spurs to be cordial hosts, even with the holidays looming.

San Antonio has struggled at home this season, going just 5-4. But Brooklyn hasn't won in Alamo City since George W. Bush's first year in office (and it's never won in the AT&T Center, which opened in October 2002), so the Nets understand the task at hand is a tall order.

The Spurs lost on the road for first time this season on Thursday, falling 95-91 at Chicago to snap a four-game overall winning streak in the process. San Antonio won its first 13 road games and could have tied Golden State's record of 14 straight (set last year) with a win over the Bulls. Not only did the Spurs not win in Chicago on Thursday, they never even led.

Kawhi Leonard paced San Antonio in the loss to the Bulls with 24 points, Patty Mills added 16 points and Pau Gasol had a double-double (13 points, 10 rebounds) in his return to Chicago after leaving via free agency in the offseason.

"Most of our games, we haven't been starting with the same edge and energy as we have in the second half, but because of our talent and quality of play, we are able to make up ground," Gasol said. "We've been able to end up winning most of them. Tonight, we were down (18) and were able to make up some ground, but in the end it wasn't enough."

San Antonio (18-5) scored just 32 points in the first half, its lowest output in any half this season.

"We played 24 minutes again, just like we have the last 10 games," Spurs coach Gregg Popovich. "We go through the motions and that's it. We had one free throw in the first half. We played harder in the second half, but our opponents have outplayed us most of the season in the first half."

Brooklyn (6-15) heads to the Alamo City off a 116-111 home win against Denver in which it led tip to horn and held off a torrid Nuggets comeback attempt. The Nets are 1-8 on the road this season.

All five Brooklyn starters scored in double figures in the victory Wednesday, with each of them netting 10-plus points in the first half. The Nets became just the second team in the NBA to have all five starters score in double figures by halftime this season.

"It shows great mental strength and persistence the way we held on," said Brooklyn center Brook Lopez, who led the Nets with 24 points. "I just kept telling them, 'Same way, same way.' Every time I was just trying to just repeat it: 'Just get in. Get out there. Trust each other. Share the ball. Move. Attack the basket. Be aggressive.'"

Nets coach Kenny Atkinson lauded his team after the win for its effort and its balanced contributions.

"We took a punch, two punches, maybe five punches, and we got off the floor and finished it out," Atkinson said. "That's how we have to do it. We have to do it by committee. We have to share the ball. We have to get everybody involved. That's our goal, our end goal offensively, really sharing it and making sure everybody's got a piece and it hopefully carries over to the defensive end."

The Spurs won the past 13 games the two teams have played in San Antonio, dating back to a 92-86 loss on Jan. 22, 2002. The Spurs were 2-0 against Brooklyn last season, winning 102-75 in their home opener on Oct. 30, 2015 and adding a 106-79 victory at Barclays Center on Jan. 11, 2016.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Preview: Kings (8-14) at Jazz (14-10)

Date: December 10, 2016 9:00 PM EDT

SALT LAKE CITY -- Staying above water has become a challenge for the Utah Jazz. Injuries decimated the roster almost to the breaking point this season.

For Utah, the latest attack from the injury bug meant that only one regular starter, Rudy Gobert, was not sidelined during the team's 106-99 loss to Golden State on Thursday night. Both Gordon Hayward (finger) and Rodney Hood (hamstring) sat out against the Warriors after suffering injuries against Phoenix on Tuesday.

George Hill (toe) and Derrick Favors (knee) have already missed several games in a row with serious injuries and Alec Burks (ankle) has yet to play a minute this season. This slew of injuries has messed with the Jazz rotation from game to game and for some reserves to take on much bigger roles than originally anticipated.

Jazz coach Quin Snyder acknowledged that fighting against frustration isn't easy but the team is trying to make the best of the situation.

"We'd like to try to be consistent," Snyder told reporters before Thursday's game. "We're trying to keep the defense solid. It's harder to do that when guys are playing extended minutes. Hopefully, there's a silver lining. We got some guys that are getting minutes that may not be getting minutes otherwise."

Utah (14-10) is getting increased offensive production from key players that could prove valuable if the starting lineup and playing rotations return to normal soon. Gobert is making the biggest impact. The center has averaged 13.8 points and 13.2 rebounds in December so far. He has finished with double-doubles in three straight games.

Colbert totaled a career-high 22 points against the Suns earlier in the week. Then, against the Warriors, he became just the fifth player over the last 20 seasons to record at least 20 points, 15 rebounds and shoot 100 percent from the field in a single game. Colbert finished the game with 20 points on 8 of 8 shooting and collected 17 rebounds.

With Hayward expected to return to action on Saturday, the Kings could have their hands full containing the duo. Sacramento (8-13) has lost five of its last seven games -- the latest being a 103-100 defeat to New York on Friday night. The Knicks also beat the Kings 106-98 on Sunday.

Sacramento ultimately could not overcome struggles to keep up with New York on the glass. The Knicks finished with a 40-33 edge overall in rebounds, including a 12-6 advantage on the offensive glass.

"We're giving up a lot of second opportunities," center DeMarcus Cousins said. "Not just giving up baskets, but just giving them chances to score. We've got to correct those things or we're going to keep losing close games."

If Sacramento can pull off its second consecutive road victory, it will likely fall on the shoulders of Cousins to get it done. He has a recent history of success against the Jazz. In three games against Utah last season, the Kings' center averaged 30.0 points and 13.0 rebounds.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Preview: Pelicans (7-16) at Clippers (16-7)

Date: December 10, 2016 10:30 PM EDT

LOS ANGELES -- The thrill is gone, J.J. Redick says. Dropping five of seven games, including a crushing 17-point loss Wednesday to Golden State, will sap the strength and exhilaration from some of the best NBA teams.

"I think the big takeaway for me after the game (Wednesday) was just like, we've got to play with some joy," the Los Angeles Clippers guard told the Los Angeles Times. "Basketball's meant to be fun. We're serious, you've got to be prepared, you've got to follow the game plan and all that, but I just think we're better when we play with joy.

"The Warriors certainly do that on a nightly basis. I'm not going to continue to compare the two teams, but they're sort of the standard right now, along with the Spurs and the Cavs. Those are the teams that have won the last three championships. Those teams play with joy."

The Clippers will attempt to find glee again when Anthony Davis and the New Orleans Pelicans visit Staples Center on Saturday night.

The Clippers have enjoyed seeing the Pelicans many times, particularly at home where they have captured seven consecutive wins. Los Angeles has won 14 of the last 18 meetings between the two. In their last matchup on Dec. 2, the Clippers rolled to a 114-96 win in New Orleans behind Blake Griffin's 27 points.

However, Griffin is a game-time decision for Saturday's game, apparently ailing from a knee injury. Griffin endured one of his poorest outings of the season against the Warriors, managing just 12 points on 5-of-20 shooting from the floor.

Despite roaring out of the gate with an NBA-best 14-2 mark, the Clippers (16-7) have struggled recently. Some of their troubles have resulted in a large disparity in points in the paint, where they have been been outscored by 20 or more points in the past two games.

They also had some controversy stir up after the loss to Golden State with former Warriors and now Clippers forward Marreese Speights complaining about his teammates crying about officiating.

"First we need to really stop and leave the refs alone," Speights said.

Speights backed off that assessment a day later.

"It's just something I should have just said it in different kind of ways," he said, according to the Times.

The Pelicans (7-16) have lost four in a row but reached perhaps their lowest point on Thursday when the Philadelphia 76ers ended a 23-game road skid by beating the Pelicans 99-88. Afterward, Pelicans coach Alvin Gentry was asked if he feared his job might be in jeopardy.

"I really don't give a (expletive) about my job status," Gentry said, according to the New Orleans Advocate. "I'm going to work hard and coach until the day they tell me I'm not the coach here anymore. It doesn't matter. I don't ever worry about that."

Davis has been the lone constant for New Orleans, averaging a league-high 31.4 points per game and 2.77 blocks before Friday's games. His 11.4 rebounds per game ranked seventh.

The Pelicans also have gotten a boost from guard Jrue Holiday, who is averaging 15.4 points per game.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Free NBA Picks: Saturday, Dec. 10, 2016, Opening Line Report and Handicapping
by Alan Matthews

I'm not a big Los Angeles Clippers fan, but they are an entertaining team to watch. I want them to do well for that reason and because I so dislike the Lakers and thus want the Clips to own that town, even if briefly. While I don't want to overreact to one NBA regular-season game in early December, I have little faith now that the Clippers can give the Warriors a fight in a potential playoff series -- meaning this team is probably going to be broken up next offseason. L.A.'s first true litmus test of the season was Wednesday night at home against Golden State, and the Clippers failed miserably in a 115-98 loss that didn't even feel that close. If you can't beat the Warriors when they are just 7-for-30 from long range and both Kevin Durant and Steph Curry are held under 20 points, then you aren't ever going to. The Clippers are now 1-8 vs. Golden State since Steve Kerr took over as coach in 2014. Now the goal -- other than hoping for a major Golden State injury -- would be to at finish with the second-best record in the West and at least avoid the Warriors until the West Finals, a place the Clippers have never been.

Bucks at Wizards (-4.5, 212.5)

Milwaukee hosted Atlanta on Friday. Washington beat visiting Denver 92-85 on Thursday. Bradley Beal had 26 points and the Wizards forced 29 Nuggets turnovers. John Wall was held to 15 a game after a career-high 52. The Wizards won the four-game season series against the Bucks last season, 3-1. Washington averaged 113.0 points in its three wins. The Bucks have lost four straight in D.C.

Key trends: The favorite is 7-1 against the spread in the past eight meetings. The "over/under" is 11-5-1 in the past 17.

Early lean: Wizards and over.

Nuggets at Magic (+1.5, 200)

Orlando was in Charlotte on Friday. Denver lost a second straight Thursday, 92-85 in the second of a back-to-back at Washington. Starting point guard Emmanuel Mudiay missed it with a sprained ankle, and Kenneth Faried simply was a DNP-CD. He should go in this one, but Mudiay will be questionable. Orlando was 2-0 vs. Denver last year and has won 19 of the past 23 at home in the series.

Key trends: The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings. The over is 5-2 in the previous seven.

Early lean: Wait on Mudiay, but I don't think Orlando should be a home dog.

Trail Blazers at Pacers (-2, 215.5)

Indiana comes off a Friday game in Dallas. Portland lost a second straight Thursday, 88-86 at Memphis in the second of a back-to-back. CJ McCollum led the Trail Blazers with 24 points, and Damian Lillard had 19. Maurice Harkless sat out with an injury and Evan Turner got his first start of the season. Portland has won five straight regular-season games over the Pacers and seven of the last eight dating back to the 2012-13 season. The Blazers won at home 131-109 over Indiana last Saturday.

Key trends: The Blazers are 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings. The over is 5-2 in the previous seven.

Early lean: Pacers and over.

Hornets at Cavaliers (TBA)

Charlotte hosted Orlando on Friday and Cleveland was home to Miami. Both J.R. Smith (knee) and Kevin Love (back) were questionable for the Cavs vs. the Heat and Channing Frye was out Friday and won't play here, either, for personal reasons. Cleveland has won three straight in the series against Charlotte after a 100-93 home victory on Nov. 13 as LeBron James led a rally playing the entire fourth quarter with reserves. The Hornets have lost five in a row in Cleveland.

Key trends: The Hornets are 1-5-1 ATS in the past seven meetings. The over is 11-1 in Charlotte's past 12 in the second of a back-to-back.

Early lean: Wait on Love and to a lesser extent Smith.

Heat at Bulls (-8, 198.5)

First of an NBA TV doubleheader. Banged-up Miami was in Cleveland on Friday. I took the Bulls and the 4 points on Thursday at home vs. San Antonio as I thought Chicago would win that game against the tired Spurs and they did: 95-91 to end a three-game losing streak. Dwyane Wade had 20 points and Rajon Rondo was an assist shy of a triple-double. Doug McDermott returned from a long concussion absence and had eight points. Chicago won in Miami 98-95 in Wade's return there on Nov. 14, a game with 19 lead changes. But the Heat have taken the past three in the Windy City.

Key trends: The Heat are 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings. The under is 8-2 in the past 10.

Early lean: I would worry about a Bulls letdown here in a big way, but Miami is really short-handed and playing a second game in 24 hours. More prefer the under.

Warriors at Grizzlies (+10.5, 210)

Golden State won a fourth straight Thursday, 106-99 in Utah in the second of a back-to-back. Steph Curry finished with 26 points and had 14 during a 29-1 run that gave Golden State a 29-5 lead. Game was over then. Kevin Durant added 21 points and 11 rebounds. Shaun Livingston got the night off to rest. Draymond Green tweaked his ankle, but it's not thought to be anything. Memphis won a fifth straight Thursday, 88-86 over Portland. Marc Gasol had 36 points and Toney Douglas hit the wining free throws with less than a second left. He was just signed off the street because of all the Grizzlies injuries. Golden State has won six straight in the series and past three in Memphis.

Key trends: The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings. The under is 8-2 in the past 10.

Early lean: Warriors and over.

Mavericks at Rockets (-13.5, 210)

Dallas hosted Indiana on Friday and Houston was in Oklahoma City. Dallas coach Rick Carlisle had a rare team meeting after the Mavs were blown out by the Kings on Wednesday. Carlisle was so ticked off at his team's effort that he took technical fouls for calling extra timeouts twice in the fourth quarter. The Rockets swept a home-and-home series against Dallas in late October by a combined nine points. The Mavs have lost their past two in Houston.

Key trends: The Rockets are 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings at home. The under is 4-1 in the past five overall.

Early lean: Rockets and under.

Nets at Spurs (-13.5, 210)

San Antonio had a chance to tie the NBA record of 14 straight wins to open a season on Thursday in Chicago, but the Spurs were weary in their third road game in four nights and lost 95-91. The Spurs cut an 18-point deficit midway through the third quarter to four in the closing minutes, only to come up short. Kawhi Leonard had 24 to lead San Antonio. Tony Parker did play after missing a game and had eight points. Brooklyn ended a three-game slide with a 116-111 home win over Denver on Wednesday but nearly blew a 29-point lead. The Nets have won six straight games against the Nuggets for their longest current streak against any opponent. San Antonio blew out Brooklyn twice last year, and the Spurs have won 13 straight at home in the series.

Key trends: The home team is 5-1 ATS in the past seven meetings. The under is 11-5 in the Spurs' past six at home.

Early lean: Love the under here.

Kings at Jazz (TBA)

Sacramento hosted the Knicks on Friday. Utah lost 106-99 at home to Golden State on Thursday to end a three-game winning streak. I thought the Jazz had a shot to win that (did cover), but then they ruled out Gordon Hayward (finger), Rodney Hood (hamstring) and George Hill (toe). Plus Derrick Favors (knee) has been out for a while. The Hayward injury was the surprise there. Sacramento won two of three vs. Utah last year, including the one in Salt Lake City.

Key trends: The Jazz are 6-0-1 ATS in their past seven vs. the West. The over is 4-1 in the past five meetings.

Early lean: Wait on all the Jazz guys.

Pelicans at Clippers (TBA)

Second NBA TV game. New Orleans dropped a fourth straight Thursday, 99-88 at home to Philadelphia, which had lost 23 straight road games. Anthony Davis had 26 points and 11 rebounds in the loss. Jrue Holiday and E'Twaun Moore sat out again, but you still can't lose at home to the Sixers. Los Angeles has lost five of seven overall following that loss to Golden State on Wednesday, and four of its seven losses on the season are at home. Blake Griffin was awful vs. the Warriors, scoring 12 points on 5-for-20 shooting with seven turnovers. J.J. Redick was invisible with two points and was minus-23. L.A. has won 14 of the past 19 meetings vs. New Orleans and took a 114-96 home decision on Dec. 2.

Key trends: The Pelicans are 2-5 ATS in their past seven in L.A. The over is 6-2 in the past eight meetings overall.

Early lean: Wait on Holiday -- he makes a big difference.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
NBA

Saturday’s games

Denver lost five of its last six games, is 7-4 as road underdog. Over is 6-1-1 in Nuggets’ last eight games. Magic lost their last four home games, are 0-4 as a home underdog this season; under is 10-4 in their last fourteen games. Orlando won last two games with Denver, after losing previous five; over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Nuggets won three of last five visits to Magic Kingdom.

Milwaukee won five of last seven games; they’re 3-4 on road, 1-4 as a road underdog. Under is 5-2 in their road games this season. Washington lost four of last five games, are 5-7 at home, 5-5 as home favorites. Four of last five Wizard games went over total. Wizards won seven of last nine games with Milwaukee; Bucks lost last four visits here, by 5-29-11-13 points. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Portland lost seven of last nine road games; they’re 2-6 as road underdogs. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Pacers are 4-3 in last seven games; they’re 8-4 at home, 4-4 as home favorites; four of Indiana’s last five games went over the total. Trailblazers won seven of last eight games with Indiana, winning by 9-10 points in last two visits here. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Hornets won/covered their last three games; they’re 6-3 on road, 2-0-1 as road underdogs. Four of last five Charlotte road games went over. Cavaliers won/covered last three games, winning last two by 32-30 points. Cavs are 5-6-1 as home favorites. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Cleveland won seven of last eight games with Charlotte, which lost last five visits to Lake Erie (0-3-1 vs spread in last four). Three of last four series games went over.

Mavericks are 1-10 on road, 4-7 as road underdogs; their last three games went over the total. Houston won its last five games (4-1 vs spread); they’re 4-3 as home favorites. Six of Rockets’ last eight games went over the total. Rockets won four of last five games with Dallas, which lost four of last five visits here (2-3 vs spread). Four of last five series games stayed under the total.

Miami lost its last four games; they lost by 3 in Cleveland last night. Heat is 5-8 on road, 6-4 as road underdogs. Three of Heat’s last four games stayed under. Bulls lost three of last four games, are 6-3 at home, 3-3 as home favorites. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Miami won/covered four of last five games with Chicago; Heat won last three visits here, by 12-5-22 points. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Golden State won its last eight road games (6-2 vs spread); Warriors are 7-5 as road favorites. Under is 5-1 in their last six road games. Memphis won its last five games (4-1 vs spread); they’re 8-4 at home, 4-2 as home underdogs. Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 home games. Warriors won their last seven games with Memphis (6-1 vs spread); Golden State won its last four visits here, by 17-13-1-16 points. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Brooklyn is 1-8 on road, 1-3-1 vs spread in last five games as a road underdog. Over is 10-3 in their last 13 games. San Antonio is 13-2 in its last 15 games, but 2-7 vs spread as a home favorite. Five of Spurs’ last six games stayed under total. Spurs won eight of last ten games with Brooklyn (7-2 vs spread in last nine); Nets lost last five visits to Alamo (0-4 vs spread in last four). Under is 7-1-1 in last nine series games.

Sacramento lost at home to the Knicks last night; they’re 4-8 on road, 3-7 as road underdogs. Four of their last five games stayed under total. Utah won seven of last nine games; they’re 3-6 as home favorites. Six of last seven Jazz games went over total. Jazz won six of last nine games with Sacramento; Kings lost three of last four visits to Salt Lake City (1-1-2 vs spread). Four of last five series games went over total.

Pelicans lost four in row, six of last seven games; they’re 3-5 as a road underdog. Four of last six New Orleans games stayed under. Clippers lost five of last seven games, are 5-4-1 as home favorites. Over is 11-4 in their last fifteen games. Clippers won five of last six games with New Orleans; Pelicans lost last five visits here (2-3 vs spread) losing by 3-21-7-20-32 points. Six of last eight series games went over total.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
StatFox Super Situations

NBA*|*BROOKLYN*at*SAN ANTONIO
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games
231-141*since 1997.**(*62.1%*|*75.9 units*)
8-6*this year.**(*57.1%*|*1.4 units*)

NBA*|*DENVER*at*ORLANDO
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (DENVER) after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games
92-61*over the last 5 seasons.**(*60.1%*|*43.2 units*)
6-3*this year.**(*66.7%*|*0.3 units*)

NBA*|*GOLDEN STATE*at*MEMPHIS
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games against opponent after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games
29-8*over the last 5 seasons.**(*78.4%*|*20.2 units*)
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Saturday's Tip Sheet
By Brian Edwards

**Duke at UNLV**

-- For the first time in nearly a quarter-century, Duke and UNLV will meet Saturday at T-Mobile Center in Las Vegas. These storied programs haven’t faced each other since the 1991 national semifinals when Duke won a 79-77 decision over the previously-undefeated Runnin’ Rebels. Anderson Hunt’s brick at the buzzer was off the mark to give the Blue Devils the thrilling victory. Hunt had been put in a bad spot when Larry Johnson passed on an open jumper from the wing with five seconds remaining. Bobby Hurley’s pivotal 3-ball with just over a minute remaining was crucial, as it sliced UNLV’s five-point lead down to two. Jerry Tarkanian’s Rebels had run Duke out of Denver by a 103-73 count in the 1990 NCAA Tournament finals the year before.

-- As of late Friday afternoon, one offshore book had Duke (9-1 straight up, 5-4 against the spread) installed as a 20.5-point favorite.

-- Duke is playing its first true road game here, but it has played four neutral-court games outside of Durham already. The Blue Devils beat Florida 84-74 as seven-point favorites Tuesday night at Madison Square Garden in New York City. The 158 combined points soared ‘over’ the 146.5-point total. Luke Kennard stole the show with a sensational performance that was reminiscent of the way fellow southpaw Chris Mullin used to light up MSG when he played for St. John’s in the mid-1980s. Kennard countered every UF run with one of his silky-smooth jumpers. The sophomore shooting guard knocked down 11-of-16 shots, including 5-of-7 from 3-point range, on his way to a game-high 29 points. Amile Jefferson added 24 points, 15 rebounds and two blocked shots. The senior power forward made 11-of-14 shots. Jayson Tatum, who was playing in just his second collegiate game, scored 22 points and pulled down eight boards.

-- Kennard is scoring a team-high 20.4 points per game. The lefty is making 52.2 percent of his shots from the field, 41.0 percent from beyond the arc and 88.1 percent from the free-throw line. Kennard is also averaging a 6.2 rebounds per game and has a 31/17 assists-to-turnovers ratio.

-- Grayson Allen is one of the team’s veterans. The junior, who played a key role in Duke’s win over Wisconsin in the finals of the 2015 NCAA Tournament, is scoring at a 15.9 PPG clip. He has been dealing with an ankle injury for a few weeks, but only missed one game. Allen has dealt out a team-high 36 assists compared to 18 turnovers. His shot has suffered as he’s making only 36.0 percent from the field and 32.3 percent from long distance.

-- Jefferson is averaging 15.6 points and 10.3 rebounds per game. He’s also rejecting 2.0 shots per game. Frank Jackson is also scoring in double figures (14.0 PPG).

-- Tatum and Marques Bolden missed the first eight games, but they’ve played in the last two outings. In only 14 minutes of playing time, Bolden has contributed seven points, five rebounds and one blocked shot. Harry Giles, who is expected to be the No. 1 pick in the 2017 NBA Draft, still hasn’t touched the court. However, Mike Krzyzewski has indicated that he’ll likely make his season debut before Christmas. The likely target date is a Dec. 19 home game vs. Tennessee State.

-- Duke owns quality wins over Rhode Island, Michigan State, Florida and Penn State. With the exception of the win over the Spartans at Cameron Indoor Stadium, all of those wins were on neutral floors. The Blue Devils took their only loss to Kansas by a 77-75 count at MSG as 2.5-point favorites. Kennard had 22 points, five boards and five assists in the losing effort vs. KU.

-- UNLV (5-3 SU, 5-2 ATS) returned only three players from last season’s roster. The new head coach is Marvin Menzies, who was previously at New Mexico State. Menzies scored the job after one of the stranger coaching searches in recent college basketball history. First, UNLV courted Cincinnati’s Mic Cronin, who visited Las Vegas and was given royal treatment. According to AD Tina Kunzer-Murphy, Cronin verbally agreed to contract terms before leaving Vegas to go back to Cincinnati, where he signed a contract extension with the Bearcats 36 hours later. The whole episode played out in the press and left UNLV looking extremely foolish. Everything appeared good, however, when Arkansas Little Rock’s Chris Beard was hired after an impressive NCAA Tournament showing. But then 17 days later, Beard bolted for Texas Tech because of his previous ties to the school, prompting UNLV to settle for Menzies.

-- With five UNLV players turning pro early, only two of which were drafted, Menzies was left with a stiff challenge in filling out the roster. He went about it by signing a pair of grad transfers, five freshmen and three juco transfers.

-- UNLV is off its worst loss of the season at Arizona State, where the Sun Devils captured a 97-73 win as seven-point home favorites. Jalen Poyser scored a team-best 20 points, while Tyrell Green added 18 points and nine rebounds in the losing effort.

-- UNLV has posted a 1-1 spread record in a pair of underdog situations. The Runnin’ Rebels lost 63-59 to TCU but took the cash as 5.5-point home ‘dogs. They took their other loss of the year in the opener, as South Alabama came to Thomas & Mack and won a 76-68 decision as a six-point road ‘dog.

-- Poyner, a sophomore guard, is averaging team-highs in scoring (17.5 PPG) and assists (3.9 APG). Christian Jones, a grad transfer from St. John’s, is averaging 14.0 points and 7.0 rebounds per contest. Green (12.8 PPG) is hitting 48.5 percent of his shots from downtown and pulling down 6.2 RPG.

-- UNLV has won four of its six home games while compiling a 5-1 spread record.

-- Totals have been an overall wash (4-4) for the Rebels, but they’ve seen the ‘under’ go 4-2 in their six home contests.

-- The ‘under’ is 7-2 overall for Duke, but the ‘over’ has hit in two of its last three outings.

-- ESPN will provide the broadcast at 5:15 p.m. Eastern.

**Michigan at UCLA**

-- UCLA (9-0 SU, 7-2 ATS) has had all week to move past a monster 97-92 upset win over Kentucky as an 11-point underdog last Saturday at Rupp Arena. Six players scored in double figures led by Isaac Hamilton’s 19 points. T.J. Leaf produced 17 points, 13 rebounds, five assists, one steal and one blocked shot, while Lonzo Ball, Bryce Alford and Thomas Welsh scored 14 points apiece. Ball, a dynamic freshman point guard, finished with seven assists and six boards. The Bruins made 35-of-66 attempts from the field (53.0%), including 10-of-23 from long distance (43.5%).

-- As of late Friday afternoon, the Bruins were favored by 9.5 points at one offshore shop.

-- UCLA leads the nation in field-goal percentage (55.1%) and 3-point shooting (45.4%). Also, the Bruins are second in the country in scoring (97.0 PPG).

-- Steve Alford’s team is unbeaten in five home games at Pauley Pavilion. The Bruins are 3-2 ATS.

-- Hamilton is leading UCLA in scoring with an 18.1 PPG average. The senior shooting guard has made 45.3 percent of his launches from 3-point land. Leaf (17.2 PPG) is pulling down 9.4 RPG and has made 67.4 percent of his shots from the field. Alford, the senior guard who is the head coach’s son, is averaging 15.3 PPG with a 25/11 assists-to-turnovers ratio. Ball, a true freshman who was a five-star recruit, is averaging 14.6 points, 5.0 rebounds, 9.3 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.0 blocked shots per game. Ball has drained 55.4 percent of his shots from the field and 43.5 percent from downtown. He has a stellar 84/24 assists-to-turnovers ratio. Ball has dished out 10 assists or more in four games.

-- Michigan (7-2 SU, 2-4 ATS) has been an underdog just once this year, beating SMU 76-54 as a 1.5-point ‘dog at Madison Square Garden in NYC. Derrick Walton Jr. led the winners with 23 points and five assists without a turnover.

-- Michigan lost 61-46 at South Carolina as a three-point road favorite on Nov. 23. The Wolverines took their second loss at home to Va. Tech (73-70) a week later as 6.5-point ‘chalk.’ They’ve won back-to-back games since then.

-- Michigan is off a 53-50 win over Texas on Tuesday night in Ann Arbor. The Wolverines failed to cover the number for a third straight game as 9.5-point favorites. They scored the last five points of the game. Sophomore forward Moritz Wagner produced the go-ahead bucket at crunch time and then blocked a shot by Texas’s Eric Davis with five seconds left. Wagner finished with 15 points and five rebounds. Walton had more turnovers (five) than assists (two) and scored only seven points on 3-of-9 shooting from the field. D.J. Wilson and Duncan Robinson contributed 13 and 12 points, respectively.

-- John Beilein’s squad is ranked 10th in the nation in scoring defense (58.2 PPG). The Wolverines are eighth in free-throw shooting, burying 79.1 percent of their attempts from the charity stripe.

-- Michigan has a balanced scoring attack with seven players averaging at least 6.9 PPG. Zak Irvin is scoring a team-best 13.6 PPG. Walton is averaging 12.1 points and 3.8 RPG while dishing out 35 assists compared to 18 turnovers.

-- The ‘over’ is 6-3 overall for the Bruins, 4-1 in their home games.

-- The ‘under’ is 4-2 overall for the Wolverines, 1-0 in their lone road assignment.

-- These schools have met nine times since 1998 when the Bruins captured an 85-72 win over Michigan as a 6.5-point underdog in a Round of 32 matchup at the Ga. Dome in Atlanta. (Baron Davis tore his ACL in that game.) Since then, they have split eight games. In the last encounter in Ann Arbor on Nov. 23 of 2011, Michigan cruised to a 79-63 victory as a 5.5-point home ‘chalk.’

-- Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- A pair of unbeaten teams and former Big East rivals will collide at noon Eastern in Newark, N.J., at the Never Forget Tribute Classic. CBS will have the telecast with Villanova, the defending national champion, taking on Notre Dame, which has advanced to the Elite Eight in back-to-back seasons. As of late Friday afternoon, an offshore book had Villanova (9-0 SU, 5-4 ATS) favored by six points. Jay Wright’s squad has won eight of its nine games by double-digit margins. The Wildcats took the cash in their only prior single-digit ‘chalk’ spot by winning 79-76 at Purdue as 2.5-point road favorites. Josh Hart leads ‘Nova in scoring (17.6 PPG), assists (3.8 APG) and rebounds (6.7 RPG). Notre Dame (9-0 SU, 4-0 ATS) has won seven of its nine games by double-digit margins. The Fighting Irish has three quality wins over Iowa at home and over Northwestern and Colorado on a neutral floor.

-- Cincinnati will visit Hinkle Fieldhouse to take on Butler at 4:30 p.m. Eastern on Fox Sports 1. One offshore had the Bulldogs listed as five-point home favorites late Friday afternoon. Butler just took its first loss of the year a few nights ago, coughing up a late lead in a 72-71 loss at Indiana State. The Bearcats, who are ninth in the nation in scoring defense (58.1 PPG), have seen the ‘under’ go 5-2 overall. They’ve been an underdog once this year in their lone road assignment, winning 55-54 at Iowa State last Thursday as 6.5-point ‘dogs.

-- UT Arlington won its seventh straight game and handed Saint Mary’s its first loss on Thursday night. The Mavericks beat up on the Gaels 65-51 as 15-point road underdogs, hooking up money-line supporters with a 10/1 return (paid $1,000 on $100 wagers). Scott Cross’s team also has a win at Texas during its winning streak. Since Nov. 12, the Mavs haven’t had more than two days off between games, but they now have eight days off until playing at Bradley. Don’t be surprised to find Scott Cross’s team in the Round of 32 come March.

-- Wisconsin and Marquette are set to square off at 2:00 p.m. Eastern on Fox Sports 1 at the Bradley Center in Milwaukee. One offshore had the Badgers favored by 2.5 points late Friday afternoon.

-- East Tennessee State brings a five-game winning streak into Saturday’s showdown at Dayton. The Buccaneers, who were 7.5-point ‘dogs late Friday afternoon, are led by T.J. Cromer, who is averaging a team-best 18.2 PPG.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
NCAAB

Saturday’s games

Rhode Island is playing 4th straight top 100 game; they’re 2-3 overall in top 10 games, with best win by 5 over Cincinnati; 6-7 F Martin is out for URI which hurts their depth. Rams beat Houston 67-57 LY, in brickiest where teams combined to go 3-23 on arc and URI was 13-27 on foul line. Houston is 6-2, losing its two top 100 games, to LSU/Arkansas; their best win is by 1 over #102 Vermont on a neutral floor. A-14 road underdogs are 9-7 vs spread. AAC home favorites are 9-6. AAC favorites are 2-5 vs spread in last seven games vs A-14 opponents.

Marquette-Wisconsin are 7-7 in last 14 meetings with no team winning three in row during that time; Badgers are 3-2 in last five visits to Milwaukee. Wisconsin is 8-2 but lost its only true road game at Creighton by 12; they lost finals of Maui Classic to North Carolina. Badgers have whole team back from LY- they’re 4-2 in top 100 games. Marquette won its last five games; they’re 2-2 in top 100 games, losing by 18 to Michigan on neutral floor in their only top 50 game. Eagles play #24 tempo, Badgers play #348 tempo. Big 14 teams are 16-15 vs spread in last 31 games vs Big East opponents.

Oklahoma is young team subbing a lot; they’re 6-2 vs schedule #275, losing two of three top 100 games- their best win is over Clemson on a neutral floor. Sooners are making 41.9% on arc (#9) but turning ball over 20.9% of time (#251). Wichita State won its only true road game by 15 at Colorado State; Shockers are 8-2 overall; 1-2 vs top 100 teams, with best win over #92 LSU, 0-2 vs top 50 clubs, losing by 10 to Louisville, 5 to Michigan State in Atlantis. Wichita is forcing turnovers 22.6% of time, has #9 eFG% defense. Wichita is shooting 38.4% behind arc.

Butler rallied to win 78-76 at Cincinnati LY, after trailing by 9 with 12:31 left; Bulldogs were 8-0 before losing last game 72-71 at #125 Indiana State- Butler lost despite making 10-18 on arc. Bulldogs are forcing turnovers 24.5% of time (#10), are 4-0 vs top 80 teams with only one of those wins at home. Cincinnati is 1-1 in top 100 games, winning in OT at Iowa State, losing to URI on neutral floor. AAC road underdogs are 6-9 vs spread; Big East home favorites are 15-9. Big East teams are 8-1 in last nine games vs AAC teams (6-3 vs spread).

Xavier went out west in last week and lost by 10 at Baylor, by 2 at Colorado; Musketeers are 7-2 with neutral floor win over Clemson and two wins over Northern Iowa (3-2 vs top 100 teams). Xavier has played #39 schedule, with no opponents outside top 150, unusual for Big East team. Utah is 6-1 vs schedule #347, with only loss by 9 at home to Big East’s Butler, only team they’ve played that is ranked above #227- this is also their first game away from home. Big East home favorites are 15-9 vs spread; Pac-12 underdogs are 5-14 away from home.

UConn is struggling with youth/injuries; they’re 3-4 vs schedule #69, with three wins by total of seven points. Huskies are #257 experience team with #299 eFG%; they can’t shoot, but they did upset Syracuse in MSG Monday- they won only other D-I true road game by 3 at LMU. Ohio State is 7-2, but lost its last game at home in OT to #220 Florida Atlantic; Buckeyes are 1-1 vs top 100 teams, losing by hoop at Virginia, beating Providence by 5. AAC road underdogs are 6-9 vs spread; Big 14 home favorites are 22-24. AAC teams are 8-5 vs spread in last 13 games with Big 14 opponents.

Arizona State is 3-4 in its last seven games, 0-4 vs top 100 teams, with three of four losses by 19+ points. Hurley ripped his team after 97-64 loss to Purdue in NYC Tuesday; curious to see what he gets out of them here. San Diego State has slipped some; they missed NCAAs LY, are 4-3 this year, losing last couple games to Loyola IL, Grand Canyon; Aztecs are #262 at forcing turnovers which reduces number of easy baskets they get- their eFG% is #295- they shoot 40.8% inside arc. Mountain West teams are 17-10 vs spread in last 27 games vs Pac-12.

NC-Wilmington won its two true road games, at Eastern Kentucky by 9 in OT, at Western Michigan by 5; Seahawks are #73 experience team that forces turnovers 24.1% (#18) of time- they’ve played schedule #107). St Bonaventure won its last five games; their best wins are over Siena/Buffalo- they lost only top 100 game to Florida by 5 in Lakeland. Bonnies are #92 in experience, are decent protecting ball- their subs play 9th-least minutes in country. A-14 home favorites are 13-24 vs spread. CAA road underdogs are 10-6 against the spread.

VCU won five of last six games vs former CAA rival Old Dominion; Rams won three of last four visits here, but lost 73-67 in last one two years ago. VCU lost last two games to Illinois/Georgia Tech after a 6-1 start; they’re #25 experience team thats played #88 schedule- this is their first true road game. Old Dominion is 5-3 vs schedule #44; they lost 51-39 at URI in last game. Monarchs are bad at offense, with 5th-worst eFG% in country- they shoot 28.6% on arc, 37.7% inside it, 60.6% on line. Conference USA underdogs are 25-24 this year, 3-5 at home.

Michigan is #60 experience team that plays pace #348- they lost only true road game by 15 at South Carolina. Wolverines are 3-2 vs top 100 teams, with other loss by 3 at home to Virginia Tech- their best win was over #36 Marquette on a neutral floor. UCLA is 9-0 vs schedule #211; they won at Kentucky, beat Nebraska of Big 14 by 11 on neutral floor. Bruins have really good guards, play at pace #10, are shooting 45.4% on arc, 60.8% inside it- they’ve got #1 eFG% in country. Big 14 underdogs are 19-14 vs spread, Pac-12 home favorites are 20-19.

Colorado outscored BYU 13-0 in first 4:14 of second half in 92-83 home win over the Cougars LY; Buffs made 10-24 on arc in that game. Colorado is 7-2 this year, beating Portland by 15 in only true road game so far; Buffs are #48 experience team with #17 eFG% defense. BYU is 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Valparaiso by 3, USC by 7- their best win is over #56 Princeton at home. Cougars play #3 pace in country but are shooting just 29% on arc. Pac-12 teams are 14-12 vs spread in 26 games vs WCC opponents, 11-7 as favorites.

National champ Vlllanova is 9-0 vs schedule #79; they’ve got four top 100 wins, but 79-76 win at Purdue is their only top 50 win. Wildcats have #7 eFG% in country, are making 40.6% of their 3’s- they’re #91 experience team and that is quality experience. Notre Dame is 9-0 vs schedule #336; they beat Colorado by 4, Northwestern by 6 on neutral floor- only other decent teams they played were Iowa/Ft Wayne, both at home- they’ve played five teams ranked #273 or lower. Big East favorites are 12-13 away from home; ACC underdogs are 6-11- this game is in Newark, NJ

East Tennessee State is 7-1 against a lame schedule; they’ve got lot of transfers/JC kids, so they’re little older than most teams. Buccaneers are forcing turnovers 22.9% of time, have #3 eFG% in country, making 62.6% of 2-pointers (#1 in country). ETSU lost at NC-Wilmington by 9 in only true road game this year; their best win is over #165 Cal-Irvine. Dayton is 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Saint Mary’s/Nebraska by total of six points- they won by 5 at Alabama. SoCon road underdogs are 13-10 vs spread. A-14 home favorites are 13-24.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
NCAAF Game of the Day: Navy vs Army

No. 25 Navy Midshipmen vs Army Black Knights (6, 47.5)

It didn't take long for Navy to get over its loss in the American Athletic Conference championship game because all it had to do was look at the next game on the schedule. The Midshipmen try for their 15th consecutive victory over Army on Saturday in Baltimore but must do so without key injured players, including senior quarterback Will Worth and senior running back Toneo Gulley as they suffered season-ending foot injuries in the 34-10 loss to Temple for the AAC title Dec. 3.

Navy sophomore quarterback Zach Abey makes his first career start and while he will probably produce less than Worth (1,198 rushing yards, 25 touchdowns on the ground), he's ready for the challenge, telling reporters: "It is going to be a big responsibility and I will be up for it." Abey saw his first career action in the last three games, rushing for 197 yards and two touchdowns on 26 carries while all his passing numbers - 7-of-13 for 104 yards and two interceptions - came against Temple. The Black Knights have three weeks to prepare for the Midshipmen after rushing for 504 yards in a 60-3 victory over FCS member Morgan State on Nov. 19 and boast the No. 2 ground attack in the nation at 328.9 yards per game with Navy third at 327.5. President-elect Donald Trump will be on hand to witness the first meeting between winning teams since 2010, but won't see much passing as the clubs each average less than 11 attempts.

TV: 3 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE HISTORY: The Midshipman opened as 8.5-point favorites and that line has slowly been dropping all week to 6.5 Thursday afternoon. The line opened at 48 and has faded one full point to 47.

INJURY REPORT:

Navy - SB Toneo Gulley (out for season, foot), QB Will Worth (out for season, ankle), S Jerry Thompson (questionable, ankle), SB Dishan Romine (questionable, undisclosed), SB Darryl Bonner (questionable, undisclosed), FB Chris High (questionable, ankle), WR Craig Scott (questionable, undisclosed), S Kyle Battle (questionable, knee), LB Josiah Powell (questionable, leg), SB Joshua Walker (questionable, shoulder), CB Elijah Merchant (questionable, concussion), G Marcus Edwards (questionable, personal)

Army - Andy Davidson (questionable, undisclosed)

WEATHER REPORT: Sunny to partly cloudy skies are expected for kickoff at M&T Bank Stadium, with temperatures in the low 40s and slight wind coming in from the north west.

ABOUT NAVY (9-3 SU, 7-4-1 ATS, 8-4 O/U): The Midshipmen, who scored 183 points in victories over Tulsa, East Carolina and SMU prior to the Temple game, lost more than 41 percent of their rushing yards with the injuries to Worth and Gulley (427 yards). Junior fullback Chris High (483 yards, five touchdowns), senior fullback Shawn White (421, seven) and Abey are among those who must fill the void. Navy is also banged up on defense as three starters - cornerback Elijah Merchant (concussion), outside linebacker Josiah Powell (leg) and inside linebacker Hudson Sullivan (knee) - are questionable to play Saturday.

ABOUT ARMY (6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS, 4-7 O/U): Junior quarterback Ahmad Bradshaw (646 rushing yards, six touchdowns on the ground) directs the offense and his most effective maneuver is getting the ball to sophomore running back Andy Davidson (team highs of 818 yards, nine touchdowns). The Black Knights boast the No. 5 total defense in the nation (288.9 yards allowed per game) with senior linebackers Jeremy Timpf and Andrew King each recording a team-best 88 tackles. Army also enters the game less than 100 percent with a pair of freshmen safeties - Jaylon McClinton and Elijah Riley - converted to cornerback, moves necessitated by injuries and the death of Brandon Jackson, who was killed in a September car crash.

TRENDS:

* Midshipmen are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
* Black Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
* Under is 7-1 in Midshipmen last 8 neutral site games.
* Under is 9-1 in Black Knights last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
* Under is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings in Army.
* Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

CONSENSUS: Navy are the team of choice in this one for the betting public, with 69 percent taking the Midshipman. 66 percent of Covers users taking the over.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Preview: Army Black Knights (6-5) at Navy Midshipmen (9-3)

Date: December 10, 2016 3:00 PM EDT

An injury-marred Navy will have to rely on some backups to earn its 15th consecutive victory over Army in the 117th meeting between the archrivals Saturday in Baltimore.

Midshipmen starting quarterback Will Worth and slotback Toneo Gulley suffered season-ending injuries in the American Athletic Conference championship game last week against Temple. Tago Smith, who opened the year as the starting quarterback, and linebacker Daniel Gonzales, a co-captain with Gulley, went down earlier in the season.

As a result, the Black Knights have a prime opportunity to end a 14-year losing streak, the longest drought in the history of the series. However, Navy head coach Ken Niumatalolo is 8-0 against Army and the Black Knights know he will have an effective game plan ready to maintain that success.

"I feel terrible for the guys that got injured in that last game," said Army coach Jeff Monken, whose team enters the game with six wins for the first time since 2010. "Those kids have had great seasons. They mean so much to their team, and playing in this game means so much to them. It's tough to lose players like that, but Kenny does such a great job that he'll have somebody step in at each one of those positions and they'll be ready to go."

Another challenge is that Navy (9-3) did not have the usual extra week to prepare for Army because of the AAC championship game. The Black Knights, on the other hand, have not played since Nov. 19 when they beat Morgan State 60-3.

This will be the first time since 1941 the Midshipmen have not had more than one week to prepare for its game against Army (6-5).

"You don't want to make excuses, but it's not the most ideal situation," Niumatalolo said. "When we joined the league, we saw that was going to be the schedule. The championship game would be right before this game. I don't think you want to do anything to change (Army-Navy) being a standalone game and what it represents to our country. Obviously, you'd like some time in-between."

This is also the second time Navy has to thrust a new quarterback into the starting lineup to run the triple option. Worth took over the job when Smith went down with a knee injury in the season opener. Worth then broke a bone in his foot in the 34-10 loss to Temple, forcing sophomore Zach Abey into action.

Abey completed 7-of-13 passes for 104 yards with two interceptions. He also had 70 yards on 14 carries, including a 47-yard scamper late in the third quarter.

Abey hopes the extended reps this week in practice will get him ready for the biggest game of not only the season, but of his life.

"It is going to be a big responsibility, and I will be up for it," said Abey, who will be making his first career start. "As a second stringer, you have to warm up every game as if you are going to play, which showed today. My preparation is going to be the same and act as if I am going to play anyway. I will be ready to play next Saturday if that comes to it."

Slotback Darryl Bonner was also lost for the season against Temple. The Midshipmen, however, are deep at that position and Niumatalolo is confident other players will take advantage of playing time, with Calvin Cass Jr. likely to serve as the primary back.

Nonetheless, this appears to be an advantage for the Black Knights' defense, which is ranked second nationally behind Michigan in total yards allowed (3,178). Army is led by a pair of talented linebackers in Andrew King and Jeremy Timpf. King has five sacks, while Timpf who managed 88 tackles, including nine for a loss.

"This game is the biggest game of the year," Timpf said. "The guys are going to come out fired up in Baltimore."

Navy leads the all-time series, 60-49-7, and is 3-0 against the Black Knights in games played at M&T Bank Stadium.

Navy's focus, however, is solely on this year and not the previous 14 victories.

"We never really talk about the streak," Niumatalolo said. "We just talk about beating Army. Nothing from any other years matters this year. It's not like you can carry over points or anything. We just have to get ready for this game."
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
'Injuries Could Sink Midshipmen in Army-Navy Game'

The No. 25 Navy Midshipmen (9-3 SU, 7-4-1 ATS) have made a tradition of beating the Army Black Knights (6-5 SU and ATS) in the annual Army-Navy Game. The Black Knights haven't won this rivalry since 2001, and they're 6-point underdogs at press time for Saturday's matchup, kicking off from Baltimore's M&T Bank Stadium at 3 PM ET on CBS.

While Army have failed to win these games straight-up, they've done just fine against the spread, covering four of the last five contests – including both games since Jeff Monken took over as head coach. And Navy are in trouble after quarterback Will Worth hurt his ankle in last week's 34-10 loss to Temple (+3 away) for the AAC title. Worth is out for the remainder of the season, along with injured running backs Toneo Gulley and Darryl Bonner.

As a result, most of the early action for Saturday's game has landed on Army's side. The Midshipmen opened as 8.5-point favorites on Monday before slipping to –6. Running is what Navy are all about; both these military programs use a version of the triple-option offense, and Worth was good for 25 rushing touchdowns this year, tops in the FBS.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
At the Gate - Saturday
By Mike Dempsey

No sooner had I switched my tack from New York to Florida, we had a $837,570 Pick 6 carryover at Aqueduct for Friday.

I completed my Gulfstream Park report and was going to go ahead and do Aqueduct anyway, but the boss and I had tickets to see the 80’s band The Fixx, and I just would not have enough time.

I told my girlfriend I was too tired to take in the concert and she got on the phone to try to give the ticket away. My plan was working.

I downloaded Friday’s past performances and just as I was getting ready to start handicapping, she said nobody wanted the tickets and we were going, no excuses.

I did mention she was the boss, right?

Well, the bad news was The Fixx were incredibly mediocre, the good news is I doubt any of you needed my help to solve the Pick 6.

There were 827 winning tickets sold, each worth $2,934.

The betting favorites won the first four legs of the sequence —Storm Pursuit ($4.60), Bow Town Cat ($3.80), Chilly Bon Bon ($7.80) and Smile Big ($4.20).

Doyouknowsomething won the seventh race as the third choice returning $9.90 and in the finale third choice Leftovers ($7.30) competed the Pick 6.

The consolation payoff for 5 of 6 returned $41.

No worries about the Big A for Saturday. I have my full card reports for both Aqueduct and Gulfstream Park posted, as well as my Best Plays Report which includes my 10 strongest plays from the two tracks.


Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:

GP Race 1 Alw $50,000s (12:00 ET)
#9 Jermyn Street 3-1
#11 Lost Innocence 10-1
#3 Ventina 5-1
#6 Pop's Irish Rose 9-2

Analysis: Jermyn Street broke her maiden last out in her second career start and first on turf, tracking the early pace and drawing clear late to win by two lengths. She was sent off as the 2-1 favorite when she made her debut two back in a 12 horse field on the main track at Keeneland where she ran second behind repeat winner What What What who beat $20,000 non-winners of two in her next outing on Nov. 1o at Delta Downs by 11 1/2 lengths. She looks like a good fit and is in good hands with Ward.

Lost Innocence made a good late rally to get up late and break her maiden in her debut at GP West, sent off at 7-2 in a field of eight. The Speed fig came up on the light side but she looks capable of moving forward here with some extra ground. She is out of an Elusive Quality mare that has dropped two other winners including stakes winner

Wagering
WIN: #9 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 9,11 / 3,6,9,11
TRI: 9,11 / 3,6,9,11 / 3,6,8,9,11

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:

AQU Race 7 Clm $20,000 (3:14 ET)
#2 Evolution 7-2
#3 Dad'z Laugh 3-1
#6 Galardonado 8-1
#7 Ackeret 4-1

Analysis: Evolution took the field gate to wire over a wet track at Belmont Park to beat $25,000 non-winners of three. The runner up and sixth place finisher came out of that race to win next out. Our top pick was claimed out of the race by the Nevin barn that is 20% winners first off the claim. He steps into open company here but fits and he picked up his maiden score on the inner track here back in February.

Dad'z Laugh dueled for the early lead and finished gamely to beat $16,000 claimers by a nose. He was claimed out of the race, the fifth straight start in which he was taken. He goes today for the RRod barn that is 32% winners (with a +ROI) first off the claim. The six-year-old owns solid early and mid pace numbers and has landed in the exacta in 4 of his 5 trips on the inner in his career.

Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 2,3 / 2,3,6,7
TRI: 2,3 / 2,3,6,7 / 2,3,5,6,7

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:

GP Race 10 The Wait a While (4:34 ET)
#14 Create a Dream 3-1
#9 Lady Alexandra 6-1
#8 Party Boat 5-1
#1 Queen Del Valle 12-1

Analysis: Create a Dream draws a tough post but the Brown trainee should be able to overcome it. The filly was a sharp winner of the Chelsey Flower last out at Belmont Park over good ground in her last outing. She made her U.S. debut two back in the Ms Grillo (G3) where she ran fourth behind the winner New Money Honey, who came back to the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1) in her next outing. She makes her third start off the bench and will be tough facing easier here.

Lady Alexandra broke her maiden in the mud at six furlongs last out in her debut in a race washed off the turf. Castellano departs to stick with our top pick and Gallardo gets the call. The $300,000 Ocala purchase has a decent turf pedigree, by More Than Ready to of a King's Best mare that has dropped just one other foal to race, not yet a winner.

Wagering
WIN: #14 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 9,14 / 1,8,9,14
TRI: 9,14 / 1,8,9,14 / 1,2,8,9,14

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Aqueduct
R1: #4 Preziosa 10-1
R1: #5 Beyond Discreet 8-1
R3: #1 Ready Strike 8-1
R4: #5 Distorted Union 12-1
R5: #6 Jeter 8-1
R6: #1 Hard Hitter 10-1
R7: #6 Galardonado 8-1
R8: #2 Disco Chick 8-1
R8: #4 My Savannah Belle 15-1

Good luck today!
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Freehold Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Post: 12:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 72 - Purse:$3300 - NON-WINNERS $1,500 IN LAST 5 STARTS NON-WINNERS LAST 3 ALLOWED $500 HORSES THAT RACED FOR PURSE OF $6,500 OR HIGHER LAST 2 STARTS INEL AE:NON-WINNERS 3 EXTENDED PARI-MUTUEL RACES. OPT. CLAIM $7,500
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 5 OPENING NIGHT GEM 4/1
# 2 SAM LUCKY 9/2
# 7 SPORTY ALEX 5/2

OPENING NIGHT GEM is the clear stand out bet in the eyes of the group. It's a bit risky to consider based only on class, but this gelding has among the best class ratings of the group of animals. SAM LUCKY - When the starter calls, interesting entrants beginning out of the 2 position have more wins than is normal. With a competitive 68 speed figure last time out, will clearly be a factor in this race. SPORTY ALEX - He has been racing solidly and the speed ratings are among the finest in the group of animals. Could be considered for this one if only for the very nice TrackMaster Speed Rating recorded in the last race.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 10 - Post: 10:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 95 - Purse:$22000 - NON-WINNERS OF $20,000 IN LAST 5 STARTS
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 5 DOCTOR BUTCH 2/1
# 2 ESCAPE THE NEWS 7/2
# 4 MOJO TERROR 20/1

DOCTOR BUTCH more than likely looks to be the solid standardbred to beat today. Can't pass over based on speed ratings which have been top notch (98 avg) lately. This horse has been competing against some of the most competitive company in this pack recently. Could beat this pack, just look at the speed fig - 94 - from his last event. ESCAPE THE NEWS - This trainer, and the driver Cushing, go together like hot dogs and buns. Their results together are exemplary. Post 2 has been winning at a much higher than average clip, suggesting good probability of success in this race. MOJO TERROR - Pace makes the race is a favorite saying of this consortium. Pace figures here point to a very promising play.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hawthorne

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 82

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JUNE 10. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 10 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 3 BANK ACCOUNT 2/1

# 4 AZEG 9/2

# 6 LIGHTS ON BRITE 8/1

BANK ACCOUNT appears to be the wager in here. Apperson has this gelding running well and is a quite good selection based on the respectable Equibase Speed Figures earned in sprint races as of late. Recent figs for the jock - 23 win percent - make this gelding stand out in this field. He looks quite good in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point. AZEG - Could provide positive dividends based on very good recent Equibase Speed Figs with an average of 74. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Manley have shown strong results lately. LIGHTS ON BRITE - Have to take notice when any horse makes a quick turnaround.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,812
Messages
13,573,559
Members
100,877
Latest member
kiemt5385
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com