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Yonkers: Saturday 10/29 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF

MEET STATS: 378 - 1100 / $2,070.00

BEST BETS: 50 - 90 / $164.90

Best Bet: IDEAL COWBOY (11th)

Spot Play: SANTANNA ONE (3rd)


Race 1

(3) GRIN FOR MONEY ships in sharp from Canada and joins the Milici barn; Bartlett's choice of three live ones in here. (1) SO BAD IM GOOD gets much-needed post relief and is a logical player. (5) ITSONLYROCKNROLL A was overmatched last week versus 40K claimers; gelding has ability but needs to find the right level.

Race 2

(7) WHAT I BELIEVE has to contend with the outside post but he's been razor-sharp. (6) P L HELLCAT did flash early speed then did little else on a night that the Milici horses weren't firing; he will be on the move early. (2) MAGIC MANNY qualified willingly.

Race 3

(4) SANTANNA ONE is reunited with Bartlett and finds a pretty soft spot here off a decent closing effort last out; lots to like. (1) DRUNKEN DESIRE A was second best in his last two at this level from inside posts. (5) SHADY CITY is capable but needs a good setup.

Race 4

(1) STARSKY'S DREAM N could not fire off cover last out but two back he jogged at this level in his debut for Milici. (3) MOONWRITER ships from Mohawk for the capable Andrew Harris barn and he looks like a good fit here. (2) TYLER was used too hard in the early stages last week; prior efforts were good.

Race 5

(1) SOHO JACKMAN A was a sharp winner four back at this level and he should be in line for a live trip from the best post. (4) SNAP TO IT A was going nowhere last week up in class and from the outside post but he was a winner two back from a similar post. (6) MACHS BEACH BOY has shown flashes of his former self recently; Dube drives tonight.

Race 6

(5) P H SUPERCAM appears to be the class of this contest and the veteran should find a way to get the job done. (3) BIG N BAD had no realistic chance in his last three; class and post relief helps. (1) SOMEWHERE FANCY bumps up to face tougher off a win and the Allard trainee has been sharp.

Race 7

(1) BLOOD BROTHER has been begging for an inside post and he finally gets it tonight; down the road. (3) BORDER CONTROL A has made his way up the class ladder for the Milici barn and he could be in line for a live trip. (8) ROCK N ROLL WORLD has been razor sharp winning his last two but he's assigned outside tonight in a race with plenty of early speed signed on.

Race 8

(5) BIT OF A LEGEND N was second best to Wiggle It Jiggleit last out in that 250K invite after chasing from the pocket; assuming he's put in play early he's got a huge chance versus these. (2) KEYSTONE VELOCITY was nailed in a tough beat last week after airing it out on the front end in his second start for the Allard barn. (7) TAKE IT BACK TERRY has been super in his last two with Lasix added but he will likely have too far to come tonight.

Race 9

(3) TENDTOWIN has had his moments and appears overdue; gelding draws well enough in a very shaky field. (2) KEYSTONE HONOR is usually live from inside posts. (1) SOMETIMES SAID could show more in his second start off the brief vacation.

Race 10

(5) MASTERSON raced pretty well to be second best to the front-running (1) DOJEA SOLO last week; perhaps he reaches tonight. The latter has been a solid speed commodity all season and he draws best here; one to catch. (4) SPORTSKEEPER has raced well in all recent starts off less-than-ideal trips.

Race 11

(5) IDEAL COWBOY returns from a sharp off-the-pace score at Philly and the Bamond trainee has always raced well here; Bartlett's choice. (4) ST LADS MOONWALK has raced well in his last three upstate. (6) MCERLEAN rallied for a small share last out and he's more than capable when in the mood.

Race 12

(1) WESTERN ROCKSTAR A was rebuffed by the sharp winner last out but he can rebound given the post relief. (5) TWIN B IMPRESSIVE has been just that taking his last two local efforts by open lengths. (3) SECOND WIND N has been close up in all recent.
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Saturday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Belmont Park (1st) Panama Papers, 4-1
(2nd) Canarsie Kid, 4-1


Charles Town (5th) George Jet, 3-1
(8th) Deer Dog, 3-1


Delta Downs (1st) Wild Bandit, 4-1
(4th) Hero's Divide, 7-2


Finger Lakes (3rd) Outrun Em All, 6-1
(6th) Lorimer Street, 4-1


Golden Gate Fields (1st) Belle de France, 7-2
(2nd) Flicker of Luck, 5-1


Gulfstream Park West (4th) Loving Valentina, 4-1
(8th) Express Jet, 6-1


Hawthorne (5th) Ice Climber, 8-1
(6th) Patricia's Image, 5-1


Indiana Grand (1st) Mizumi, 3-1
(6th) Gifted Justice, 7-2


Keeneland (2nd) Ore Pass, 7-2
(6th) Silent Drifter, 8-1


Laurel Park (1st) Silly Face, 9-2
(2nd) Cold Spice, 9-2


Mahoning Valley (1st) Speedy Mobile, 3-1
(2nd) Cut Rates, 6-1


Mountaineer (5th) Baltic Coast, 8-1
(9th) Fiery Dream, 8-1


Parx Racing (4th) Bennie Luke, 8-1
(7th) Diamond Play, 3-1


Penn National (3rd) Van Persie, 9-2
(6th) Haunted Vision, 4-1


Remington Park (7th) Doc Radke, 4-1
(8th) Code West, 3-1


Retama Park (4th) Lodi Street, 6-1
(7th) Expect Royalty, 7-2


Santa Anita (7th) Lyrical Passage, 5-1
(9th) Iron Curtain, 5-1


Turf Paradise (7th) Hawkeye Gold, 7-2
(8th) Keepin It Lucky, 8-1


Woodbine (3rd) Wind N Waves, 5-1
(4th) Harbour Grace, 4-1
 
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MLB

World Series Game 4

Indians @ Cubs

Kluber is 3-1, 0.74 in his first four postseason starts, all this month. Indians won four of his last five road starts.
Lackey is 2-1, 3.79 in his last seven starts, 8-5, 3.26 in 22 postseason starts. Cubs won six of his last seven home starts.
Cubs are 8-5 in playoffs this year, 4-2 at home; they’ve been shut out in four of their last eight games. Chicago is 8-1 in playoffs if they score a run. Obviously Chicago hasn’t been in World Series since 1945, Indians since 1997. Cleveland is 9-2 in playoffs, 4-1 on road- they’ve tossed shutouts in postseason.
Maddon is 25-27 as a playoff manager, 12-10 with Cubs. he lost 2008 World Series with Rays. Francona won World Series with Boston in 2004, 2007; he is 37-20 as a postseason manager.
 
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Saturday’s six-pack

Some college football trends to ponder…….

— Underdogs are 5-2-1 vs spread in last 8 Kansas State-Iowa State games.

— Favorites covered four of last five Stanford-Arizona games.

— Home side won eight of last nine Clemson-Florida State games.

— Georgia is 2-7-1 vs spread in last 10 games as an underdog.

— Ohio State is 11-4 vs spread in games off a SU loss.

— Underdogs covered five of last six Tennessee-South Carolina games.
 
Joined
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MLB

World Series Game 4

Indians @ Cubs

Kluber is 3-1, 0.74 in his first four postseason starts, all this month. Indians won four of his last five road starts.
Lackey is 2-1, 3.79 in his last seven starts, 8-5, 3.26 in 22 postseason starts. Cubs won six of his last seven home starts.
Cubs are 8-5 in playoffs this year, 4-2 at home; they’ve been shut out in four of their last eight games. Chicago is 8-1 in playoffs if they score a run. Obviously Chicago hasn’t been in World Series since 1945, Indians since 1997. Cleveland is 9-2 in playoffs, 4-1 on road- they’ve tossed shutouts in postseason.
Maddon is 25-27 as a playoff manager, 12-10 with Cubs. he lost 2008 World Series with Rays. Francona won World Series with Boston in 2004, 2007; he is 37-20 as a postseason manager.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Saturday’s six-pack

Some college football trends to ponder…….

— Underdogs are 5-2-1 vs spread in last 8 Kansas State-Iowa State games.

— Favorites covered four of last five Stanford-Arizona games.

— Home side won eight of last nine Clemson-Florida State games.

— Georgia is 2-7-1 vs spread in last 10 games as an underdog.

— Ohio State is 11-4 vs spread in games off a SU loss.

— Underdogs covered five of last six Tennessee-South Carolina games.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Preview: Indians (94-67) at Cubs (103-58)
By Jeff Reynolds, The Sports Xchange

Game: 4
Venue: Wrigley Field
Date: October 29, 2016 8:08 PM EDT

Indians come back with Kluber in Game 4

CHICAGO -- The Cleveland Indians hand the ball to their ace on Saturday night at Wrigley Field with a 2-1 lead in the best-of-seven World Series.

Devout creature of habit Corey Kluber, an 18-game winner this season, starts Game 4 with only three days off for the second time this postseason. A win would push the Chicago Cubs to the brink of elimination.

"I think they're obviously going to make adjustments based on last game," Kluber said. "I'm going to make adjustments based on last game. And it's just going to be that cat-and-mouse game."

A 1-0 victory on Friday night gave Cleveland a 2-1 series lead. It was the fourth time in 13 games this postseason the Cubs were shut out.

"To be the best this time of year, you've got to beat the best," Cubs manager Joe Maddon said.

Kluber had the Cubs' lineup kowtowing in Game 1, leaving after 88 pitches in the top of the seventh inning with a shutout. Kluber had much more in the tank, but the Indians went into the series planning on getting three starts from their ace: Games 1, 4 and 7. Kluber won Tuesday at Progressive Field for his 21st victory of the season and third win in the playoffs, where his ERA is 0.74.

"Kluber has made himself, through hard work, one of the elite pitchers in the game," Indians manager Terry Francona said. "Once he got here he didn't take his foot off the gas. I mean, this kid's routines are impeccable. He works hard. Every time he picks up a ball, there is intent. There's a reason its October 28 and his gas tank, the needle's full."

Kluber's between-starts-routine and machine-like focus earned him the nicknamed Klubot in Cleveland. The Cubs are planning to reprogram their approach to Kluber in Game 4, a must considering the first three hitters in their lineup -- Dexter Fowler, Kris Bryant and Anthony Rizzo -- are a combined 1 for 22 against the right-hander. The rest of the lineup also has weak results in the matchup.

"Kluber was outstanding in Game 1," Maddon said. Then again, a second look at Los Angeles Dodgers ace left-hander Clayton Kershaw was a much different story than the first in the National League Championship Series.

And Maddon is not convinced bringing a pitching back on short rest is an advantage.

"To throw a guy out there on less days rest, of course they can do well," Maddon said. "But that's something that was done more prominently back with Jim Lonborg or Bob Gibson or the guys back in the day that would run them out there more readily. It's just not part of the baseball culture these days. However, I do like having the solid fourth guy. You would think it would be more difficult for guys coming back on short rest, but you have to play the game to find out."

Should Kluber find trouble Saturday, the Indians can turn to their potent bullpen. Andrew Miller picked up the win Friday and like closer Cody Allen, threw less than 20 pitches in 1 1/3 innings of work in Game 3. Both could be available for multiple innings in Game 4.

While Kluber is a relatively new look for most Cubs who'll dig in Saturday, Cubs veteran righty John Lackey has plenty of history, and that's just the way he likes it.

Lackey makes his 23rd career postseason start Saturday night, and first since making two in 2013 with the Boston Red Sox. He also started two games and appeared in a third with the Angels in 2002.

"It's kind of been a crazy schedule for me, for sure. I feel like I'm pitching every two weeks kind of deal," said Lackey, who allowed 10 earned runs in 26 1/3 career innings in the Fall Classic. "I like scouting reports. I like having a little bit of history. I'm a guy that studies film, studies reports, studies past history. So I think some of that information can help.

"But then again, you talk to hitters, most of the time they feel like a pitcher has an advantage over them the first time they see them. They get better as they see most guys. So it can work both ways. You've still got to execute pitches."

A teammate of Lackey's for the past two seasons -- first in St. Louis with the Cardinals and this season with the Cubs -- right fielder Jason Heyward, who signed an eight-year, $184 million contract with a $20 million signing bonus on Dec. 11, sat for the fourth consecutive postseason game Friday night.

Heyward, a .157 career hitter in the playoffs, has two hits in 30 at-bats in these playoffs and team president Theo Epstein said Friday that any correction for Heyward would be offseason maintenance. But Maddon did not rule out starting him against Kluber.

"I'm trying to do this one moment at a time," Maddon said. "I do like Jason in the latter part of the game."

Heyward is one of the best outfield defenders in baseball.

And Maddon has another wild card to play late in games, pinch-hitter Kyle Schwarber. The Cubs could use him in the heat of the game given Schwarber's solid contact against him in Game 1. Schwarber, still not 100 percent from knee surgery, was not cleared to play in the field. He popped out as a pinch-hitter on Friday night.

While Schwarber tattooed his first hit of the season Tuesday, a double to the gap in right, contact was suppressed by the Indians in the opener. The Cubs struck out 15 times.

Four days later, Kluber hasn't lost his edge.

"It's doing the same stuff, just one less day," Kluber said.
 

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