Saturday 10/17/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

TECH TRENDS

SATURDAY, OCT. 17

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

EASTERN MICHIGAN at TOLEDO
Toledo 7-0-1 vs. line last eight since last 2014. Rockets have covered 7 of last 8 vs. EMU and have scored 50 or more in last four. Though Eagles have covered three straight on road.
Toledo, based on team trends.

UCF at TEMPLE
UCF 0-7 SU and vs. line since late TY. Temple on 8-2 spread run since last 2014.
Temple, based on recent trends.

BUFFALO at CENTRAL MICHIGAN
CMU sparkling 6-0-1 vs. line last seven since late 2014, though Leipold 4-1 vs. line for UB and 2-0 away. Chips 1-3-1 last five as Mt. Pleasant chalk.
Slight to Buffalo, based on team trends.

MARSHALL at FAU
FAU no covers last five at Boca Raton, though Partridge 6-3 as dog, and Owls 20-7 last 27 as dog. Also covers last two years vs. Herd. Doc Holliday 6-11-1 as visiting chalk since 2010.
FAU, based on team and series trends.

SOUTH FLORIDA at UCONN
Huskies 2-8 vs. line last 10 at home. If chalk note 0-10 mark in role since early 2012. Taggart 4-1 vs. line TY, 7-3 as road dog since 2013, 14-3 in role at WKU and USF since 2011. Bulls have won SU last three in series, and last five "under" in series.
USF and "under," based on team and series trends.

NEW MEXICO STATE at GEORGIA SOUTHERN
NMSU 1-7 vs. line last eight as road dog. GSU has covered four straight since opening loss at WVU, now 5-2 vs. line at Statesboro since LY.
GSU, based on team trends.

FIU at MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Ron Turner 12-6 vs. line since LY, 5-3 as road dog.
FIU, based on team trends.

GEORGIA STATE at BALL STATE
GS on 7-3 spread run last ten as road dog. Lembo no covers last five as home chalk, 2-9 vs. spread last 11 at Muncie.
G-State, based on team trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at CLEMSON
Addazio 6-3 last nine as dog. Eagles 4-0 as visiting dog since LY. Dabo 1-5 last six as ACC chalk.
BC, based on team trends.

SYRACUSE at VIRGINIA
London was 2-8-1 as home chalk 2011-13 before 3-1 mark in role LY, but 0-1 in role TY.
Slight to Cuse, based on team trends.

PURDUE at WISCONSIN
Badgers have won and covered 9 straight vs. Purdue since 2004 (teams didn't meet in 2007-08). Paul Chryst just 13-18 last 31 on board at Pitt & Wiscy. Boilers 5-1 last six as DD dog.
Slight to Wisconsin, based on series trends.

IOWA at NORTHWESTERN
Iowa has won and covered last two and 3 of last 4 vs. Cats. Ferentz 10-2 vs. spread as visitor since 2013 and if favored note has covered last six as road chalk. NU 6-12 last 18 vs. spread at Evanston.
Iowa, based on team trends.

WAKE FOREST at NORTH CAROLINA
Fedora only 2-7 last nine as DD chalk. Heels have won last four SU (3-1 vs. line) in 2015.
Wake, based on team trends.

TEXAS TECH at KANSAS
KU 1-6 vs. line last since last LY. Texas Tech has covered last three visits to Lawrence. Red Raiders 8-1 as visiting chalk since 2011.
Texas Tech, based on team trends.

NEVADA at WYOMING
Wyo no covers last seven at Laramie for Bohl. Pack 7-1 vs. spread last eight as visitor.
Nevada, based on team trends.

LA TECH at MISSISSIPPI STATE
Skip Holtz 6-1 as road dog since LY, also 7-1 last 8 vs. line against non-CUSA. Dan Mullen 15-7-1 last 23 vs. line since late 2013, but just 4-5-1 last ten laying DD.
La Tech, based on Skip trends.

KENT STATE at UMASS
Kent State surprising 10-2 last 11 vs. line as MAC visitor (6-1 for Paul Haynes since 2013). But Mass 6-1 vs. spread last seven as host and won big at Kent State last year.
Slight to Mass, based on team trends.

WESTERN MICHIGAN at OHIO
Solich 5-1 vs. line TY. Also covered 5 of last 6 at Peden Stadium. But WMU 14-4 vs. spread last 18 on board, and 9-4 since 2013 as road dog.
Slight to WMU, based on team trends.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at MIAMI-OHIO
NIU 12-3 vs. spread last 15 as visitor. Also 8-3 last 11 as visiting chalk (though 0-1 in role TY).
NIU, based on team trends.

AIR FORCE at COLORADO STATE
AFA 8-1 SU last nine in series. Though Rams 10-5 vs. spread last 15 at Fort Collins and Force 3-8 last 11 vs. spread as visitor (1-1 TY).
Air Force, based on series trends.

ALABAMA at TEXAS A&M
Nick 2-0 vs. line away and 0-4 vs. spread at home thus far in 2015. Tide had been just 2-7 vs. line last nine as visitor entering this season. Ags only 5-6 as dog for Sumlin and were rolled 59-0 by Tide LY. Sumlin 2-1 vs. line at home TY but just 4-8 vs. number last 12 as host.
Slight to Bama, based on team trends.

FLORIDA at LSU
Les Miles 4-1 SU and vs. line last five vs. crossover SEC foe Gators. But Jim McElwain 5-1 vs. line TY, 26-9 his last 35 vs. spread with CSU & Gators.
Florida, based on team trends.

NEBRASKA at MINNESOTA
Mike Riley 2-4 vs. line TY, 4-14 since LY including OSU. Though Huskers 7-2 vs. spread last nine as visitor. If dog note Gophers 11-5 last 16 in role.
Slight to Minnesota, based on team trends.

MISSOURI at GEORGIA
Pinkel 1-5 vs. line in 2015. Mizzou was 5-0 as road dog past two years before losing at Ky. Road team has won and covered all three meetings since 2012. Richt 4-8 last 12 as DD chalk.
Slight to Mizzou, based on team trends.

OKLAHOMA at KANSAS STATE
Bill Snyder 25-12 as dog since returning to K-State in 2009. Cats 6-1 last seven as home dog. Stoops 8-5 last 13 as visiting chalk.
KSU, based on Bill Snyder dog trends.

PITTSBURGH at GEORGIA TECH
GT has dropped last four SU and vs. spread. Paul Johnson has won and covered last two years vs. Pitt, however. Narduzzi has covered three straight on road.
Pitt, based on recent trends.

VIRGINIA TECH at MIAMI-FLORIDA
Beamer 4-1 as visiting dog past two years. Al Golden only 11-12 last 12 as chalk, 13-18 last 31 overall vs. line.
Slight to VT, based on team trends.

MICHIGAN STATE at MICHIGAN
Dantonio 0-6 vs. line TY. Though MSU is 6-1 SU and 7-0 vs. line last seven in series, and 10-1 last 11 as dog. Harbaugh has covered last three this season.
Slight to MSU, based on extended trends.

WEST VIRGINIA at BAYLOR
Revenge for Art Briles after losing at WVU LY. Briles 4-2 vs. line last six in revenge. Baylor 12-3 as Waco chalk since 2013. Also 16-7-1 laying DD since 2013.
Baylor, based on team trends.

RUTGERS at INDIANA
Hoosiers 8-3 last 11 vs. line, also 5-1 last six vs. points as host. Rutgers 11-6 as road dog since 2011.
Slight to IU, based on recent trends.

IDAHO at TROY
Vandals 7-1 as road dog since last season, four straight covers on Sun Belt road.
Idaho, based on team trends.

TULSA at EAST CAROLINA
Tulsa has covered first two on road. ECU 4-8 as chalk since last season (3-4 at home).
Tulsa, based on team trends.

UTSA at SOUTHERN MISS
USM now 5-1 vs. line after loss at Marshall. Golden Eagles 3-0 vs. line at home this season. Coker has covered last three in 2015.
Slight to USM, based on team trends.

APP STATE at ULM
ULM just 1-3-1 last five as home dog. App 8-3 last 11 on board.
Slight to App State, based on team trends.

CHARLOTTE at OLD DOMINION
ODU 0-5 vs. line TY, now 2-11 last 13 on board, 1-8 vs. spread at Norfolk since LY.
Slight to Charlotte, based on ODU woes.

VANDERBILT at SOUTH CAROLINA
Vandy 9-4-1 vs. spread last 14 on board, 7-1 vs. spread last 8 as visitor (all as dog). Dores have covered last three vs. Gamecocks. SC 2-6 last 8 as home chalk.
Vandy, based on team trends.

OREGON STATE at WASHINGTON STATE
Road team has covered in all five WSU games to date. Cougs 1-4 last five as home chalk. But Beavs 3-14 last 17 on board since 2014.
Slight to WSU, based on recent OSU woes.

ARIZONA STATE at UTAH
Utes just 1-5 vs. line last six as Pac-12 host. Utes 0-4 SU vs. ASU since entering Pac-12 but have covered last two in very close losses.
ASU, based on series trends.

ARIZONA at COLORADO
Cats have won last 3 vs. CU, 2-1 vs. line, closest margin 18. Buffs 8-3 vs. line last 11 at Boulder.
Slight to UA, based on series trends.

AKRON at BOWLING GREEN
BG won and covered past three years vs. Zips. Though BG only 2-4 as Doyt-Perry chalk since LY.
BG, based on series trends.

TCU at IOWA STATE
Frogs just 1-5 vs. line last six as visitor and Cyclones have won and covered first two at home TY.
ISU, based on team trends.

LOUISVILLE at FLORIDA STATE
Jimbo on 5-15 spread skid. Also just 2-8 last ten as home chalk. Petrino has covered last seven in reg season away from Papa John's.
Louisville, based on team trends.

USC at NOTRE DAME
Trojans 2-5 vs. line last seven away from Coliseum. ND has won and covered 3 of last 5 in series after losing 8 in a row SU to Trojans. Irish 4-0 vs. line at home TY.
ND, based on recent trends.

OLE MISS at MEMPHIS
Tigers 3-0-1 last four as dog for Fuente. Memphis also 9-0-2 vs. spread last 11 vs. non-conference foes! Hugh Freeze just 2-5 last seven as road chalk.
Memphis, based on team trends.

PENN STATE at OHIO STATE
Nittany Lions 0-5 vs. spread as visitor for James Franklin. Bucks however no covers last five this season and no covers last six at big horseshoe.
Slight to PSU, based on recent trends.

HAWAII at NEW MEXICO
Norm Chow scoreless in three on road TY and Hawaii 5-12 vs. line last 17 on board. Bob Davie 8-4-1 last 13 as chalk.
New Mexico, based on team trends.

SAN DIEGO STATE at SAN JOSE STATE
Rocky Long 2-0 SU and vs. line against Caragher. Aztecs 9-3 vs. spread last 11 on MW road; SJSU 6-1 last seven as chalk.
Slight to SDSU, based on team trends.

OREGON at WASHINGTON
No Huskies series wins since 2003, eleven straight losses since, also 0-11 vs. line against Ducks that span! Though Petersen is rallying the troops and has covered 7 of last 8 reg season games dating to late 2014.
Slight to Oregon, based on series trends.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SBPI Rankings - Week 7

Here is the second College Football SportsBoss Power Index (SBPI) installment of the 2015 season.

Quarterly Rankings

Without further ado here are the Top 25 rankings through action on Saturday October 10.

The columns OFF/DEF/TOTAL represent where each team statistically ranks across 128 teams in the FBS; we also include the AP Poll, USA Today Poll, ESPN’s FPI & Sagarin’s rankings which can all be used as a solid comparison tool followed by each team’s SOS adjusted RATING and RANK:

TOP 25 RATINGS

Category Raw Unit Ratings Rankings Adjusted Numbers

Team Off Def Total AP USAT FPI SAG Rating Rank

Clemson 24 9 3 5 6 10 5 272.2 1

Alabama 43 5 7 10 9 3 1 267.6 2

Stanford 5 35 7 15 16 14 7 264.3 3

Florida 49 7 12 8 11 13 9 254.7 4

Iowa 22 17 4 17 17 41 26 252.2 5

West Virginia 19 19 5 - 38 22 27 249.0 6

Boise State 24 3 2 21 20 17 11 247.9 7

Notre Dame 7 41 14 14 13 8 12 247.0 8

TCU 2 46 6 3 3 2 4 246.4 9

Michigan 84 1 20 12 14 15 3 237.9 10

Georgia 29 26 16 30 28 12 19 232.7 11

California 16 40 22 23 23 25 23 232.6 12

Arkansas 16 79 41 - - 24 38 231.0 13

Florida State 15 26 10 11 8 19 17 230.7 14

Pittsburgh 82 4 24 - - 47 41 229.9 15

USC 20 48 30 33 35 5 6 229.1 16

Texas A&M 10 52 26 9 10 6 13 227.7 17

Georgia Tech 35 51 37 - - 23 32 227.2 18

Utah 20 65 35 4 7 20 8 226.8 19

Wisconsin 57 7 14 - 31 30 22 225.0 20

LSU 39 29 24 6 5 7 16 224.6 21

Oklahoma State 49 25 27 16 15 21 18 220.1 22

Virginia Tech 57 33 35 - - 32 44 211.6 23

Tennessee 32 72 49 - 42 16 24 211.1 24

Ohio State 53 21 22 1 1 9 14 209.2 25

Breakdown of Top 25 by conference:


AAC: 0

ACC: 5

B10: 4

B12: 3

CUSA: 0

IND: 1

MAC: 0

MWC: 1

P12: 4

SEC: 7

SUN: 0

Here are additional teams of note that did not make the Breakdown of SBPI Top 25 but were ranked inside the Top 25 of at least one of the other four sources I use for comparative purposes:

#26 Duke (#25 AP, #24 USAT)

#28 Washington (#20 SAG)

#29 Ole Miss (#13 AP, #12 USAT, #4 FPI, #10 SAG)

#30 UCLA (#18 AP, #18 USAT, #18 FPI, #21 SAG)

#31 Northwestern (#20 AP, #21 USAT)

#33 Oklahoma (#19 AP, #19 USAT, #11 FPI, #15 SAG)

#35 Michigan State (#7 AP, #4 USAT)

#36 Baylor (#2 AP, #2 USAT, #1 FPI, #2 SAG)

#40 Houston (#24 AP)

#46 Memphis (#22 USAT)

#51 Kansas State (#25 SAG)

#56 Toledo (#22 AP, #25 USAT)

Let’s take a look at the relationship between SBPI & record in matrix form (there is a 71% correlation between SBPI ranking & wins):

TOP 25 RATINGS

Record Top 25 Top 36 Top 50

6-0 5 6 6

5-0 5 6 9

5-1 5 8 9

4-1 2 5 5

4-2 2 4 6

3-2 2 3 5

3-3 2 2 3

2-3 - - 3

2-4 2 2 4

So of the Top 25 SBPI teams 10 are undefeated, 15 have at worst one loss & just 2 are under .500 (Arkansas & Georgia Tech); those two teams have played the 2nd & 7th toughest schedules in the country, respectively, which boosts their rating – if we remove SOS & simply judge strength on performance Arkansas is 41st & Georgia Tech is 37th (3rd numerical column in first matrix).

Of the SBPI Top 50 almost half (24) of the group has a record of 6-0, 5-0 or 5-1 while 29 of the 50 have 0 or 1 losses.

The SBPI, and looking at it in this sort of breakdown, can add value by seeing which teams have suffered perhaps from “bad luck” so far (playing better football than their record indicates), or teams that may have been “lucky” this year (rating lower on the SBPI scale than their record suggests).

Here are the five lowest rated SBPI teams that have a winning record:

#110 South Alabama 3-2

#97 Marshall 5-1

#96 Tulsa 3-2

#95 Washington State 3-2

#91 Georgia Southern 4-1

Strength of each conference taking average RATING of ALL TEAMS:

SEC: 81.46

ACC: 80.16

IND: 80.09

P12: 79.68

B10: 78.22

B12: 77.32

AAC: 72.74

MWC: 71.42

MAC: 71.37

CUSA: 67.68

SUN: 64.39

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ACC Report - Week 7

2015 ACC STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Boston College 3-3 0-3 2-3-1 1-5

Clemson 5-0 2-0 3-2 2-3

Duke 5-1 2-0 4-2 0-6

Florida State 5-0 3-0 2-3 1-4

Georgia Tech 2-4 0-3 2-4 4-2

Louisville 2-3 1-1 4-1 1-3-1

Miami (Fla.) 3-2 0-1 3-2 2-3

North Carolina 4-1 1-0 3-2 2-3

North Carolina State 4-2 0-2 4-2 2-4

Pittsburgh 4-1 2-0 3-2 2-2-1

Syracuse 3-2 1-0 3-2 5-0

Virginia 1-4 0-1 2-2-1 3-1-1

Virginia Tech 3-3 1-1 3-3 4-2

Wake Forest 3-3 1-2 3-3 2-3-1



Louisville at Florida State (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Louisville might not be getting it done regularly in wins and losses, but they are getting it done at the counter, cashing four of five times against the number. And they are an impressive 26-8 ATS in their past 34 road games, while going 19-7 ATS in their past 26 conference tilts. Florida State continues to win games, but they are just 2-3 ATS against the spread this season, including 0-2 ATS in their past two conference games. FSU is also just 1-6 ATS in the past seven home games, and 2-7 ATS in their past nine dating back to last season. Still, people might be surprised to see them open as just a seven-point favorite given the overall records. Really, their success depends on the health of RB Dalvin Cook's hamstring and if he is ready to go full throttle. The under is 8-1 in Louisville's past nine on grass, and 4-1-1 in their past six overall. The under is also 9-3-1 in Louisville's past 13 road games. For FSU, the under is a perfect 4-0 in the past four, 10-1 in their past 11 at the Doak, and 6-1 in their past seven ACC tilts.

Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech (ESPN3, 12:30 p.m. ET)

Both of these teams are hard to figure. Pitt lost ACC Player of the Year James Conner in the opener to a knee injury, but they have persevered. That's because the defense has stepped up and allowed just 264.6 yards per game, seventh-best in all of FBS. That includes an average of just 15.7 points per game in three road contests this season. Pitt has covered four in a row on the road, while the Yellow Jackets are 6-1 ATS in their past seven home contests. However, Georgia Tech has failed to cover in four straight, and they're 0-4 ATS in their past four against teams with a winning overall record. The over has been hot for each, going 7-3-1 in the past 11 for Pitt, though the under is 7-2-1 in their past 10 against losing teams. The over is a perfect 5-0 in Georgia Tech's past five home games, and 6-2 in their past eight overall.

Virginia Tech at Miami-Florida (ESPNU, 3:30p.m. ET)

This is an elimination game of sorts, as the Hokies and Hurricanes renew their rivalry. Virginia Tech saved their season last Friday with a 28-13 win over N.C. State. Miami had a valiant effort, coming up just short in a loss and cover at Florida State. The Canes are suddenly on a two-game losing streak, with both of those setbacks on the road in Cincinnati and Tallahassee. Virginia Tech is just 6-14 ATS in their past 20 away from home, while the Canes are 5-11 ATS in their past 16 ACC tilts. Something's gotta give. The road team has cashed in four of the past five meetings, with the Hokies going 6-1 ATS in their past seven trips to Miami. The underdog is also a sparkling 10-4 in the past 14 meetings. The under has been the play, too, going 5-1 in the past six in Miami, and 9-3 in the past 12 meetings overall. The under is also 8-1 in Miami's past nine ACC games, and 9-2 in Va. Tech's past 11 against conference foes.

Syracuse at Virginia (ESPN3, 3:30 p.m.)

Syracuse got off to a 3-0 start this season, but fell and fell hard at South Florida last week in a 45-24 flop. They're now just 1-2 ATS over the past three, too, after covering their first two. One thing that has been consistent for the Orange - the over. It has cashed in all five games, as they have scored 24 or more points in every game, and allowed 27 or more points in each of the past three. The defense has been slipping lately, too, giving up more points than the previous game in each of the past four. 'Cuse is just 2-7 ATS in the past nine road games against a team with a losing home record, and 1-4 ATS in their past five ACC battles. Virginia is a dismal 1-4 SU, but they're 7-3-1 ATS in their past 11 home games, and 9-4-1 ATS in the past 14 against a team with a winning overall record.

Boston College at Clemson (ESPNU, 7:00 p.m.)

Boston College is coming off one of the lowest scoring games in years, and they were on the short end. BC's defense came up huge again, but their offense sputtered in a 3-0 loss against Wake Forest last Saturday at home. Now, the Eagles hit the road. The under is a perfect 5-0 for BC this season, and they're allowing just 7.2 points per game. Clemson is their biggest offensive test, and they'll have to key on shutting down RB Wayne Gallman who has rambled for at least 111 yards in three in a row. Clemson is averaging 35.4 points per game, so this will be an interesting battle to see if defense or offense prevails. BC is 5-2 ATS in their past seven on the road, including 5-1 ATS in their past six against a team with a winning home record. Clemson has covered five of their past seven overall, but they're just 1-6 ATS in their past seven ACC battles. The underdog has hit in seven of the past 10 meetings. For the total, the under is a perfect 5-0 in the past five meetings at Death Valley, and 5-1 in the past six meetings overall.

Wake Forest at North Carolina (ESPN3, 7:00 p.m.)

Wake Forest evened up its record with a hard-fought 3-0 win at Boston College last weekend. It was their first road cover in six tries. Despite the win and cover, the Deacs are still 7-17 ATS in their past 24 road games against a team with a winning home record. The Tar Heels are working on a 5-2 ATS mark over their past seven conference games, and they're 9-4 ATS in their past 13 following a cover in the previous game. The under has been the play for both lately, as it is 21-8 in the past 29 for Wake and 13-6 in their past 19 road outings. The under is 4-1 in UNC's past five at Kenan, and 6-2 in their past eight games overall. In this series, the home team has covered each of the past four meetings.

ACC teams on bye
Duke, North Carolina State

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Big 12 Report - Week 7

2015 BIG 12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Baylor 5-0 2-0 3-1 4-1

Iowa State 2-3 1-1 2-2-1 1-3-1

Kansas 0-5 0-2 1-4 2-3

Kansas State 3-2 0-2 3-2 3-2

Oklahoma 4-1 1-1 3-2 2-3

Oklahoma State 6-0 3-0 3-3 2-4

Texas 2-4 1-2 2-4 2-4

Texas Christian 6-0 3-0 2-4 4-2

Texas Tech 4-2 1-2 4-1-1 5-1

West Virginia 3-2 0-2 2-3 1-4


West Virginia at Baylor (FOX, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Baylor puts their 18-game home winning streak on the line against an angry West Virginia team coming off a loss last weekend at home against Oklahoma State. The Mountaineers were sloppy in that loss, turning the ball over four times, including three fumbles. They can ill-afford any miscues against a Baylor team averaging 64.2 points per game, including 68.0 PPG in two home games. West Virginia slides into this game 1-5 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning record, and 1-4 ATS in their past five conference tilts. Baylor is 25-6 ATS in their past 31 at home, and 4-1 ATS in their past five against teams with a winning overall mark. In addition, they're 5-2 ATS in their past seven conference games and 25-10-1 ATS in their past 36 overall.

Texas Tech at Kansas (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Texas Tech heads to Lawrence to battle a Kansas team which might be one of the worst squads in FBS. The Jayhawks are reeling after a 66-7 pounding at the hands of Baylor, a team with a similar high-powered offense. Kansas will give QB Ryan Willis a second straight start, as the third-stringer fills in for the injured Montell Cozart (shoulder) and Deondre Ford (thumb). While Kansas might be able to keep it slightly closer than last week, the defense will have its hands full against a Texas Tech offense with 30 plays of 30 or more yards. TTU is 7-1-1 ATS in the past nine games overall, and 5-1 ATS in their past six conference battles. KU is 1-6 ATS in their past seven games overall, and 0-4 ATS in their past four Big 12 outings.

Oklahoma at Kansas State (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Oklahoma is coming off a stunning and disappointing loss to Texas in the Red River rivalry last weekend. K-State has tasted defeat in each of the past two games, and they believe they should have won each of those outings at Oklahoma State and at home against TCU. It will be a tall order to get back on track against an Oklahoma team which has won five straight trips to Manhattan by double digits. In addition, Oklahoma is 15-1 in the past 16 games following their rivalry game with Texas. Oklahoma might be 3-7 ATS in the past 10 conference tilts, but they're 6-2 ATS in their past eight road games against a team with a winning home record. K-State is 7-2 ATS in the past nine home games and 21-7-1 ATS in the past 29 against a team with a winning record. However, the Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their past six at home against the Sooners, and the road team has cashed in six in a row in this series. The over has hit in six of the past seven meetings, and four of the past five in Manhattan.

Texas Christian at Iowa State (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m.)

TCU is back on the road one week after a scare at K-State. The Horned Frogs have averaged 51.0 points per game through six outings, while the Cyclones have allowed 29.4 points per game. TCU annihilated Iowa State 55-3 in Fort Worth last season as Trevone Boykin rolled up 460 yards and a career-high total of 559 yards. TCU is 2-1 ATS at home this season, but they're 0-3 ATS in three road outings. Iowa State has covered two of their three games in Ames. The Horned Frogs have covered 15 of the past 21 games, but they're 1-5 ATS in the past six dating back to last season. The Cyclones are 1-6 ATS in their past seven conference tilts, and 2-7-1 ATS in the past 10 games overall.

Big 12 teams on a bye
Oklahoma State, Texas

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Bonus Play

147 NEVADA at 148 WYOMING 4:00 PM

Take: NEVADA -6

This has been one right season for Wyoming. The Cowboys have been unable to find their way to the winner’s circle, and making matters worse is the concussion epidemic that has descended upon the Cowboys.

Wyoming lost three more players to head injuries last week against Air Force and while all three players are on this week’s depth chart, as of right now, none of them have been cleared to play. Add in two key offensive guys who are still out with their concussions, and you get the picture. This is a bad Cowboys team that is also very beat up.

One silver lining for the Cowboys is that they will finally get to face a four-man defensive front. That’s good news as Wyoming plays that scheme themselves and that should make them familiar with what they’re seeing after opening the season against five straight three-man fronts. Then bad news is that Nevada is off its best defensive game of the season as they very impressively stifled the New Mexico option last week.

There has been some support at the windows for Wyoming this week, but I don’t agree with it. The Wolf Pack showed me something in rebounding from a somewhat demoralizing loss in their big rivalry game with UNLV. They’ve got a little positive momentum right now and Wyoming certainly has none of that.

It’s also what I think is a pretty good match for the Wolf Pack. They’d like to run the football as much as possible. That being the case, Wyoming is a perfect opponent as the Cowboys are running out of healthy bodies on the defensive side and they’re lousy against the run as well.

This isn’t a slam dunk as Wyoming desperately needs to win a football game and it’s not like Nevada is a juggernaut. But I made this game -10 when factoring in all the guys who evidently won’t be playing for the hosts. If the Wolf Pack come to play, this is simply a game they ought to win reasonably comfortably and I’ve already laid the number with Nevada.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Stephen Nover

Bonus Play Northwestern

Talk has begun about Iowa going unbeaten. Usually when that happens the team loses its next game.
I see that scenario happening with the Hawkeyes.
Iowa hasn't won at Northwestern during the past seven years. The Hawkeyes are banged-up and facing what's sure to be an aroused Wildcats squad.
Not only did Northwestern get embarrassed 38-0 to Michigan last Saturday, but the Wildcats have a strong revenge motive after getting crushed by Iowa, 48-7, last season. That was Northwestern's worst defeat since 2010.
It's easy to write off Northwestern after its bad loss to Michigan. But that's a mistake. Not only are the Wolverines very good - a touchdown favorite this week against Michigan State - but the Wildcats have one of the best defenses in the country.
Stanford just scored 56 points on UCLA. Northwestern held the Cardinal to six points. The Wildcats rank in the top 10 in giving up the fewest yards and fewest points at just 12.2 points a game. That number shrinks to six points per game at home.
Iowa quarterback C.J. Beathard isn't 100 percent and the Hawkeyes are using backup offensive tackles, one being true freshman James Daniels. It's the first time during the 17-year era of Kirk Ferentz the Hawkeyes are starting a true freshman on the offensive line. It comes at a bad time, too, for Iowa because Northwestern has two outstanding senior defensive ends.
Also remember that Iowa remains without wide receiver Tevaun Smith -their best deep threat - running back LeShun Daniels Jr. and tight end Jake Duzey.
Northwestern doesn't have a fancy offense, but Justin Jackson is one of the better running backs in the country. He's a two-time Illinois Gatorade Player of the Year.
The Wildcats catch a break because Iowa suffered another key injury in their win last week against Illinois when defensive end Drew Ott suffered an ACL knocking him out for the season. Ott leads Iowa with 7 1/2 tackles for losses and five sacks.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFB TRENDS

Saturday, October 17

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E MICHIGAN (1 - 5) at TOLEDO (5 - 0) - 10/17/2015, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 81-109 ATS (-38.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
E MICHIGAN is 81-109 ATS (-38.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
E MICHIGAN is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.
E MICHIGAN is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
TOLEDO is 69-46 ATS (+18.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
TOLEDO is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
TOLEDO is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TOLEDO is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
TOLEDO is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TOLEDO is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
TOLEDO is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 2-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UCF (0 - 6) at TEMPLE (5 - 0) - 10/17/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
UCF is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
UCF is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 1-1 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 2-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (2 - 3) at C MICHIGAN (2 - 4) - 10/17/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
C MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARSHALL (5 - 1) at FLA ATLANTIC (1 - 4) - 10/17/2015, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
MARSHALL is 36-62 ATS (-32.2 Units) in road games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 36-62 ATS (-32.2 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
MARSHALL is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 2-0 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S FLORIDA (2 - 3) at CONNECTICUT (3 - 3) - 10/17/2015, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW MEXICO ST (0 - 5) at GA SOUTHERN (4 - 1) - 10/17/2015, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 83-114 ATS (-42.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 83-114 ATS (-42.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
GA SOUTHERN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
GA SOUTHERN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
GA SOUTHERN is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA INTERNATIONAL (3 - 3) at MIDDLE TENN ST (2 - 4) - 10/17/2015, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA ST (1 - 4) at BALL ST (2 - 4) - 10/17/2015, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON COLLEGE (3 - 3) at CLEMSON (5 - 0) - 10/17/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SYRACUSE (3 - 2) at VIRGINIA (1 - 4) - 10/17/2015, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PURDUE (1 - 5) at WISCONSIN (4 - 2) - 10/17/2015, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 2-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IOWA (6 - 0) at NORTHWESTERN (5 - 1) - 10/17/2015, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 2-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WAKE FOREST (3 - 3) at N CAROLINA (4 - 1) - 10/17/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS TECH (4 - 2) at KANSAS (0 - 5) - 10/17/2015, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 106-78 ATS (+20.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in October games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 64-42 ATS (+17.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
KANSAS is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
KANSAS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 65-99 ATS (-43.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 78-107 ATS (-39.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 86-115 ATS (-40.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 71-105 ATS (-44.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 45-75 ATS (-37.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 48-72 ATS (-31.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEVADA (3 - 3) at WYOMING (0 - 6) - 10/17/2015, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WYOMING is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WYOMING is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WYOMING is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISIANA TECH (4 - 2) at MISSISSIPPI ST (4 - 2) - 10/17/2015, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENT ST (2 - 4) at MASSACHUSETTS (1 - 4) - 10/17/2015, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-0 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-0 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W MICHIGAN (2 - 3) at OHIO U (5 - 1) - 10/17/2015, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N ILLINOIS (3 - 3) at MIAMI OHIO (1 - 5) - 10/17/2015, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 62-39 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 62-39 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 89-63 ATS (+19.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 1-0 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AIR FORCE (3 - 2) at COLORADO ST (2 - 4) - 10/17/2015, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST is 1-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALABAMA (5 - 1) at TEXAS A&M (5 - 0) - 10/17/2015, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 1-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (6 - 0) at LSU (5 - 0) - 10/17/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
FLORIDA is 76-51 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
LSU is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEBRASKA (2 - 4) at MINNESOTA (4 - 2) - 10/17/2015, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSOURI (4 - 2) at GEORGIA (4 - 2) - 10/17/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
MISSOURI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 1-1 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA (4 - 1) at KANSAS ST (3 - 2) - 10/17/2015, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 81-55 ATS (+20.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 81-55 ATS (+20.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 111-75 ATS (+28.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 138-99 ATS (+29.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 114-82 ATS (+23.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 81-55 ATS (+20.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 46-25 ATS (+18.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (4 - 1) at GEORGIA TECH (2 - 4) - 10/17/2015, 12:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA TECH (3 - 3) at MIAMI (3 - 2) - 10/17/2015, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
MIAMI is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-1 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN ST (6 - 0) at MICHIGAN (5 - 1) - 10/17/2015, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
MICHIGAN ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W VIRGINIA (3 - 2) at BAYLOR (5 - 0) - 10/17/2015, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BAYLOR is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BAYLOR is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 70 since 1992.
BAYLOR is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 1-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 1-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RUTGERS (2 - 3) at INDIANA (4 - 2) - 10/17/2015, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
RUTGERS is 1-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IDAHO (1 - 4) at TROY (1 - 4) - 10/17/2015, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 1-0 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULSA (3 - 2) at E CAROLINA (3 - 3) - 10/17/2015, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
E CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTSA (1 - 5) at SOUTHERN MISS (3 - 3) - 10/17/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN MISS is 1-0 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
UTSA is 1-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

APPALACHIAN ST (4 - 1) at LA MONROE (1 - 4) - 10/17/2015, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 1-0 against the spread versus APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 1-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (2 - 3) at OLD DOMINION (2 - 3) - 10/17/2015, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLD DOMINION is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VANDERBILT (2 - 3) at S CAROLINA (2 - 4) - 10/17/2015, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANDERBILT is 2-0 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON ST (2 - 3) at WASHINGTON ST (3 - 2) - 10/17/2015, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 101-74 ATS (+19.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
OREGON ST is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) in October games since 1992.
OREGON ST is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA ST (4 - 2) at UTAH (5 - 0) - 10/17/2015, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 2-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (4 - 2) at COLORADO (3 - 3) - 10/17/2015, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 52-83 ATS (-39.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 74-110 ATS (-47.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
COLORADO is 102-136 ATS (-47.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
COLORADO is 30-64 ATS (-40.4 Units) in October games since 1992.
COLORADO is 34-70 ATS (-43.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AKRON (3 - 3) at BOWLING GREEN (4 - 2) - 10/17/2015, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AKRON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 2-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 2-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TCU (6 - 0) at IOWA ST (2 - 3) - 10/17/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISVILLE (2 - 3) at FLORIDA ST (5 - 0) - 10/17/2015, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.
LOUISVILLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
LOUISVILLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
FLORIDA ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 1-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

USC (3 - 2) at NOTRE DAME (5 - 1) - 10/17/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in October games since 1992.
USC is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 1-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-1 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OLE MISS (5 - 1) at MEMPHIS (5 - 0) - 10/17/2015, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
OLE MISS is 1-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PENN ST (5 - 1) at OHIO ST (6 - 0) - 10/17/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 166-124 ATS (+29.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 166-124 ATS (+29.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.
OHIO ST is 107-78 ATS (+21.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 151-110 ATS (+30.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 83-57 ATS (+20.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAWAII (2 - 4) at NEW MEXICO (3 - 3) - 10/17/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO ST (3 - 3) at SAN JOSE ST (3 - 3) - 10/17/2015, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON (3 - 3) at WASHINGTON (3 - 2) - 10/17/2015, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 39-17 ATS (+20.3 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OREGON is 68-46 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
OREGON is 68-46 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
OREGON is 137-105 ATS (+21.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OREGON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 55-32 ATS (+19.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
OREGON is 60-37 ATS (+19.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 78-105 ATS (-37.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFB TRENDS

SATURDAY, October 17

12:00 PM
MARSHALL vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Marshall's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marshall's last 5 games
Florida Atlantic is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 6 games

12:00 PM
SOUTH FLORIDA vs. CONNECTICUT
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of South Florida's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of South Florida's last 25 games
Connecticut is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against South Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing at home against South Florida

12:00 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. BAYLOR
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of West Virginia's last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of West Virginia's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baylor's last 8 games at home
Baylor is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games at home

12:00 PM
IOWA vs. NORTHWESTERN
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
Iowa is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
Northwestern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern's last 6 games

12:00 PM
TULSA vs. EAST CAROLINA
Tulsa is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Tulsa's last 18 games
East Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of East Carolina's last 12 games at home

12:00 PM
EASTERN MICHIGAN vs. TOLEDO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toledo
Eastern Michigan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toledo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toledo's last 5 games at home
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

12:00 PM
LOUISVILLE vs. FLORIDA STATE
Louisville is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Louisville's last 14 games on the road
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida State is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games

12:00 PM
BUCKNELL vs. ARMY
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Army's last 5 games
Army is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

12:00 PM
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Florida International is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Florida International is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
Middle Tennessee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida International
Middle Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida International

12:00 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. OHIO
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ohio
Western Michigan is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Ohio is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Ohio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

12:00 PM
MISSISSIPPI vs. MEMPHIS
Mississippi is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Mississippi's last 9 games
Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Mississippi
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

12:00 PM
LOUISIANA TECH vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana Tech's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana Tech's last 6 games on the road
Mississippi State is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 6 games at home

12:00 PM
TEXAS TECH vs. KANSAS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas Tech's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas Tech's last 7 games
Kansas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Texas Tech
Kansas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas Tech

12:00 PM
PURDUE vs. WISCONSIN
Purdue is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Purdue is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Purdue
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Wisconsin's last 8 games when playing at home against Purdue

12:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. GEORGIA TECH
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 5 games at home
Georgia Tech is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Buffalo is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Central Michigan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo

2:30 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
Northern Illinois is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
Northern Illinois is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 6 games when playing Northern Illinois
Miami (Ohio) is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Northern Illinois

3:00 PM
GEORGIA STATE vs. BALL STATE
Georgia State is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia State's last 6 games
Ball State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 6 games at home

3:00 PM
AKRON vs. BOWLING GREEN
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Akron's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Akron's last 19 games on the road
Bowling Green is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Akron
Bowling Green is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Akron

3:30 PM
SYRACUSE vs. VIRGINIA
Syracuse is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
Syracuse is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Virginia is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
Virginia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

3:30 PM
IDAHO vs. TROY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Idaho's last 6 games
Idaho is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Troy is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Troy's last 17 games at home

3:30 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. MICHIGAN
Michigan State is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 6 games when playing Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan's last 6 games when playing Michigan State
Michigan is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Michigan State

3:30 PM
KENT STATE vs. MASSACHUSETTS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kent State's last 6 games on the road
Kent State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Massachusetts is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Massachusetts's last 16 games

3:30 PM
AIR FORCE vs. COLORADO STATE
Air Force is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
Air Force is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Colorado State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado State's last 5 games when playing at home against Air Force
Colorado State is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home

3:30 PM
NEBRASKA vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Nebraska's last 17 games
Nebraska is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 7 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 12 games when playing Virginia Tech
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Virginia Tech

3:30 PM
RUTGERS vs. INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rutgers's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Rutgers's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Indiana's last 23 games at home
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:30 PM
ALABAMA vs. TEXAS A&M
Alabama is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Alabama is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas A&M's last 12 games at home
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
OKLAHOMA vs. KANSAS STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas State
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas State
Kansas State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas State's last 6 games

TBA
CHARLOTTE vs. OLD DOMINION
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 6 games at home
Old Dominion is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home

4:00 PM
VANDERBILT vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vanderbilt's last 8 games when playing South Carolina
Vanderbilt is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
South Carolina is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Vanderbilt
South Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Vanderbilt

4:00 PM
NEVADA vs. WYOMING
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Nevada's last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Nevada's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wyoming's last 6 games
Wyoming is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

4:00 PM
OREGON STATE vs. WASHINGTON STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon State's last 6 games on the road
Oregon State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Washington State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington State's last 13 games when playing Oregon State

6:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. GA SOUTHERN
New Mexico State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 6 games
Ga Southern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ga Southern is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games

7:00 PM
TCU vs. IOWA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of TCU's last 5 games
TCU is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Iowa State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing TCU
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Iowa State's last 9 games

7:00 PM
HAWAII vs. NEW MEXICO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 5 games on the road
Hawaii is 1-21 SU in its last 22 games on the road
New Mexico is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
WAKE FOREST vs. NORTH CAROLINA
Wake Forest is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing North Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 6 games when playing North Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 6 games when playing Wake Forest
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of North Carolina's last 8 games

7:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. LSU
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida's last 10 games when playing on the road against LSU
Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LSU
LSU is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LSU's last 6 games

7:00 PM
BOSTON COLLEGE vs. CLEMSON
Boston College is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Clemson
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 5 games when playing on the road against Clemson
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Clemson's last 9 games at home
Clemson is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston College

7:00 PM
APPALACHIAN STATE vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Appalachian State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Appalachian State's last 5 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 7 games

7:00 PM
UTSA vs. SOUTHERN MISS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of UTSA's last 7 games
UTSA is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Miss's last 6 games
Southern Miss is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games

7:30 PM
CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. TEMPLE
Central Florida is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Central Florida is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Temple is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Temple is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
MISSOURI vs. GEORGIA
Missouri is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 5 games
Georgia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Georgia is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games

7:30 PM
SOUTHERN CAL vs. NOTRE DAME
Southern Cal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Notre Dame
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Cal's last 5 games when playing on the road against Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Notre Dame is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home

8:00 PM
PENN STATE vs. OHIO STATE
Penn State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Penn State's last 6 games
Ohio State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Penn State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ohio State's last 7 games when playing at home against Penn State

9:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games
Arizona is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games
Colorado is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

10:00 PM
ARIZONA STATE vs. UTAH
Arizona State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games on the road
Utah is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games at home

10:30 PM
SAN DIEGO STATE vs. SAN JOSE STATE
San Diego State is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing San Jose State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego State's last 6 games when playing San Jose State
San Jose State is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
San Jose State is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games

10:30 PM
OREGON vs. WASHINGTON
Oregon is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
Washington is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oregon

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFB TRENDS

Saturday - Oct, 17

Eastern Michigan at Toledo, 12:00 ET
E Michigan: 2-10 ATS after playing a game at home
Toldeo: 6-0 ATS in home games off 1 or more consecutive unders

Central Florida at Temple, 7:30 ET
C Florida: 0-6 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game
Temple: 8-0 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs

Buffalo at Central Michigan, 1:00 ET
Buffalo: 4-16 ATS off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival
Central Michigan: 6-0 ATS in all lined games

Marshall at Florida Atlantic, 12:00 ET
Marshall: 2-11 ATS after 2 games where they forced 3 or more turnovers
Florida ATL: 8-1 UNDER after playing a game at home

South Florida at Connecticut, 12:00 ET
S Florida: 13-3 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog
Connecticut: 16-5 ATS after a 2 game road trip

New Mexico State at Georgia Southern, 6:00 ET
New Mexico St: 0-7 ATS on road after allowing 37 pts or more in 3 straight games
Georgia S: 9-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread

Florida International at Mid Tennessee State, 12:00 ET
Florida INT: 13-3 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game
Mid Tenn St: 1-10 ATS after 2 straight games with 40 or more pass attempts

Georgia State at Ball State, 3:00 ET
Geogia St: 7-0 ATS on road after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games
Ball St: 8-1 OVER after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game

Boston College at Clemson, 7:00 ET
Boston College: 10-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Clemson: 5-16 ATS after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins

Syracuse at Virginia, 3:30 ET
Syracuse: 7-20 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
Virginia: 8-1 UNDER against conference opponents

Purdue at Wisconsin, 12:00 ET
Purdue: 16-31 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game
Wisconsin: 21-9 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders

Iowa at Northwestern, 12:00 ET
Iowa: 10-2 ATS in road lined games
Northwestern: 13-4 UNDER in home lined games

Wake Forest at North Carolina, 7:00 ET
Wake Forest: 30-15 ATS in road games after having lost 2 out of their last 3
N Carolina: 3-12 ATS after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins

Texas Tech at Kansas, 12:00 ET
Texas Tech: 8-1 ATS after allowing 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games
Kansas: 7-19 ATS after allowing 37 points or more in 2 straight games

Nevada at Wyoming, 4:00 ET
Nevada: 8-1 UNDER as a favorite
Wyoming: 0-6 ATS in home games after playing a conference game

Louisiana Tech at Mississippi State, 12:00 ET
Louisiana Tech: 6-0 ATS as a road underdog
Mississippi St: 3-12 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14

Kent State at Massachusetts, 3:30 ET
Kent St: 13-4 UNDER after a loss by 28 or more points
Massachusetts: 7-0 ATS after allowing 37 points or more last game

Western Michigan at Ohio, 12:00 ET
W Michigan: 7-0 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game
Ohio: 9-1 UNDER against conference opponents

N Illinois at Miami Ohio, 2:30 ET
N Illinois: 23-9 ATS after allowing 325 or more passing yds in last game
Miami Ohio: 31-13 UNDER in October games

Air Force at Colorado State, 3:30 ET
Air Force: 24-45 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3
Colorado St: 21-9 ATS in home games after having lost 2 out of their last 3

Alabama at Texas AM, 3:30 ET
Alabama: 19-5 ATS on road off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite
Texas AM: 4-13 ATS after the first month of the season

Florida at LSU, 7:00 ET
Florida: 63-41 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival
LSU: 13-26 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins

Nebraska at Minnesota, 3:30 ET
Nebraska: 48-28 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3
Minnesota: 39-19 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3

Missouri at Georgia, 7:30 ET
Missouri: 10-2 ATS in road lined games
Georgia: 15-4 OVER at hone after 2 or more consecutive losses ATS

Oklahoma at Kansas State, 3:30 ET
Oklahoma: 8-1 OVER after having won 3 out of their last 4
Kansas St: 8-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses

Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech, 12:30 ET
Pittsburgh: 35-19 UNDER in road games against conference opponents
Georgia Tech: 22-10 ATS after a loss by 17 or more points

Virginia Tech at Miami Florida, 3:30 ET
Virginia Tech: 14-4 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
Miami FL: 3-13 ATS after playing a conference game

Michigan State at Michigan, 3:30 ET
Michigan St: 0-6 ATS in all lined games
Michigan: 16-5 ATS after outgaining opp by 100+ total yds in 3 games

West Virginia at Baylor, 12:00 ET
W Virginia: 9-1 UNDER after playing a conference game
Baylor: 7-0 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game

Rutgers at Indiana, 3:30 ET
Rutgers: 5-1 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders
Indiana: 1-5 ATS after covering the spread in 2 out of last 3 games

Idaho at Troy, 3:30 ET
Idaho: 0-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread
Troy: 6-0 ATS off a road blowout loss by 28 points or more

Tulsa at East Carolina, 12:00 ET
Tulsa: 35-20 UNDER after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers
E Carolina: 0-9 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 70

Tex San Antonio, 7:00 ET
Tex San Antonio: 2-5 ATS off a home loss
Southern Miss: 13-3 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -4 or worse

Appalachian State at UL Monroe, 7:00 ET
Appalachian St: 1-6 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game
UL Monroe: 1-8 ATS at home after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers

Charlotte at Old Dominion, 3:30 ET
Charlotte: 1-0 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
Old Dominion: 1-8 ATS in home lined games

Vanderbilt at South Carolina, 4:00 ET
Vanderbilt: 20-6 ATS after a win by 6 or less points
S Carolina: 6-16 ATS at home after allowing 6.75+ yds/play in previous game

Oregon State at Washington State, 4:00 ET
Oregon St: 9-0 ATS after allowing 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games
Washington St: 13-3 OVER in home games off a road win against a conference rival

Arizona State at Utah, 10:00 ET
Arizona St: 8-1 ATS in October games
Utah: 24-44 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

Arizona at Colorado, 9:00 ET
Arizona: 7-18 ATS in road games after a win by 21 or more points
Colorado: 34-19 OVER after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in previous game

Akron at Bowling Green, 3:00 ET
Akron: 2-11 ATS as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points
Bowling Green: 8-0 ATS after a win by 21 or more points

TCU at Iowa State, 7:00 ET
TCU: 6-0 ATS off a road win
Iowa State: 0-7 ATS after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game

Louisville at Florida State, 12:00 ET
Louisville: 8-1 ATS in road games after playing a conference game
Florida St: 0-6 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders

USC at Notre Dame, 7:30 ET
USC: 7-0 ATS off a loss against a conference rival
Notre Dame: 18-38 ATS after having won 4 out of their last 5

Mississippi at Memphis, 12:00 ET
Mississippi: 7-0 ATS after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers
Memphis: 12-28 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins

Penn State at Ohio State, 8:00 ET
Penn St: 5-19 ATS in road games after allowing 9 points or less last game
Ohio St: 33-18 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49

Hawaii at New Mexico, 7:00 ET
Hawaii: 4-13 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
New Mexico: 7-0 OVER in home games after playing a conference game

San Diego State at San Jose State, 10:30 ET
San Diego St: 2-10 ATS in road games off a road win against a conference rival
San Jose St: 41-24 ATS as a favorite

Oregon at Washington, 10:30 ET
Oregon: 9-1 ATS off a upset loss as a double digit home favorite
Washington: 8-0 UNDER when the total is between 56.5 and 63

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist's Bonus Play for Saturday, Oct. 17, 2015

Dallas Stars (11)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Soccer: EPL Best Bets - Week 9
By Chris David

Week 8 Recap

Bettors may’ve forgotten what happened two weeks ago and that’s probably a good thing for some clubs. There were a couple of eye-opening results in Week 8 and it started early on Saturday as Manchester City posted a 6-1 win over New Castle United. The result was as expected but watching Sergio Aguero score five goals in 20 minutes was special.

Later that day, Southampton (+375) handed Chelsea another home loss and the 3-1 decision knocked the defending champions into 16th place of the Premier League.

Sunday’s three-game card was highlighted with Arsenal’s ambush on Manchester United at the Emirates. The Gunners opened a 3-0 lead in the first 20 minutes of the match and stifled United for 90 minutes while posting the clean sheet victory.

Including four draws, favorites and underdogs posted a 3-3 record in Week 8 while the ‘over’ went 6-4.

Through eight weeks of EPL action, favorites are 34-22 with 24 draws and the ‘over’ is 41-37-2.

Also, make a note that Liverpool and Sunderland will have new managers on the sidelines this weekend after Brendan Rodgers and Dick Advocaat were removed from their duties respectively. Both clubs play on the road and are listed as underdogs.

Future Action

It’s really amazing that in early August, bettors were pressing Chelsea as a 3/2 favorite (Bet $100 to win $150) to repeat as Premier League champions. Eight games in and bookmakers are now begging bettors to take a chance on the Blues at 20/1 odds (Bet $100 to win $2,000).

Manchester City is now the top betting choice at 7/10 (Bet $100 to win $70) while Arsenal (9/4) isn’t far behind and Manchester United is still in the mix at 7/1 odds.

Considering the season still has 30 weeks left, I wouldn’t be surprised to see all of these numbers shuffle until the end.

Top 4

All four teams have the Champions League on deck next week and with key players returning from games with their national teams, you could see a handful of reserves in action this weekend.

Chelsea vs. Aston Villa (Saturday, USA, 10:00 a.m.)

It’s been very difficult to make a case for Chelsea (-300) this season, especially at home where the club has earned just four points in four games and the lone win came against a short-handed Arsenal squad.

Aston Villa (1-1-6) is currently in the relegation zone and can’t get out of its way lately, dropping four straight EPL games. To be fair, all four losses for the Lions came by one goal and the offense has actually been decent on the road (6) as opposed to at home (2). Not surprisingly, the ‘over’ has gone 3-1 in their four EPL road games.

The Blues swept both games from Aston Villa last season, which includes a 3-0 win at Stamford Bridge.

Chelsea has seen the ‘over’ go 7-1 this season and the oddsmakers have opened this week’s number at 2 ½ and that number has now jumped up to 3 at most betting shops.

Manchester United at Everton (Saturday, NBCSN, 10:00 a.m.)

Oddsmakers are expecting a tight affair for this matchup with Manchester United (+130) listed as the slight favorite over Everton (+220) while the draw is just a tad better (+230) than the odds on the Toffees.

It’s hard to ignore what Everton has done recently, alternating draws and wins in its last five games (2-3-0) and you expect that trend to continue, then a victory at Goodison Park is next up.

Man United had won four straight games in all competitions before getting blasted 3-0 by Arsenal at the Emirates two weeks ago. Was that a sign of things to come or just a fluke performance by United? It was just the second time this campaign that United was blanked and it was the most goals they’ve allowed too.

Everton has gone 1-1 versus Top 4 clubs this season, losing to Manchester City 2-0 and defeating Chelsea 3-1, both games at home. After this game, the Toffees complete their first go ‘round with the quartet by facing Arsenal on the road.

The home team has won three straight and five of the last six in this head-to-head series. The ‘over’ went 2-0 in both encounters last season but was on a 4-0 ‘under’ run in the previous four games.

Manchester City vs. Bournemouth (Saturday, NBC Extra, 10:00 a.m.)

After watching Man City dismantle New Castle United two weeks ago, it’s not surprising to see the Citizens listed as healthy favorites (-310) for this game, especially against newly promoted Bournemouth (+875).

However, the injury bug has hit City hard and the team will be without striker Sergio Aguero for at least a month due to an injury he sustained with his national club Argentina. Manchester will also be without David Silva but Yaya Toure, Samir Nasri and Fernando appear to be fit for Saturday’s game.

The Cherries have gone 1-3 on the road this season but have managed to score in three of those games. The lone win came at West Ham United and it was a wire-to-wire 4-3 victory.

In City’s three wins at home, all have come by two or more goals. The goal-line for this matchup is sitting at -1 ½ (+100) against Bournemouth.

Man City has watched the ‘over’ go 3-1 at home and Bournemouth has produced the same results in its league road games. The total is listed at 3 at most betting shops.

Arsenal at Watford (Saturday, NBC, 12:30 p.m.)

Vicarage Road should be rocking this weekend as newly promoted Watford (+450) will look to pull off a major upset against Arsenal (-200). Bettors will have to decide if the Gunners can break through and finally be the first team to solve the Hornets defensive tactics.

In four EPL home games this season, Watford has allowed one goal and at the same time they’ve only scored one which has led to a perfect 4-0 ‘under’ record.

Arsenal hasn’t been overly explosive this season but eight of its 13 goals have come on the road, which includes a recent 5-2 decision at Leicester City on Sept. 26.

Draw bettors can get back close to 3/1 odds on this matchup and that looks like a good lean considering Watford has four times in eight games but Arsenal (5-1-2) has only saw one of its game knotted.

Watford has only faced one other “Top 4” team this season and it lost 2-0 at Manchester City on Aug. 29.

Fearless Predictions

I’m glad there was a week off after dropping close to a nickel ($490) in Week 8. The first quarter of the season is coming to a close quickly and the deficit isn’t good ($1,580) and I’m being nice. Onto the ninth week and I’m going to toss in a Top-4 ‘chalk’ parlay.

Straight – Over 3 Aston Villa-Chelsea (+115) – 2 Units

Straight – Tottenham (+120) – 1 Unit

Straight – West Bromwich Albion (+100) – 1 Unit

Straight – Chelsea (-1.5, +100) over Aston Villa – 2 Units

Parlay – Chelsea (-325), Man United (+110), Man City (-300), Arsenal (-200) – 1 Unit

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Spreitzer

Louisiana Tech +13½

Louisiana Tech has played well enough throughout the season thus far to warrant my backing in this one. They gave Kansas State an absolute scare in Manhattan before losing by three points in overtime. The Bulldogs gained 23 first downs to just 17 for the Wildcats and they outgained Bill Snyder's team by a 451-355 margin. They can sling the pigskin, ranked 16th in the nation in yards passing per game and QB Jeff Driskel certainly won't be intimidated by a date in SEC country after having started his college career with Florida. Tech's defense has been stingy against the run, allowing just 115 yards rushing per game and Miss State's offense is down a notch this season, ranked 92nd in yards rushing per game, with a ground game consisting mostly of QB Dak Prescott. I don't believe Mississippi State is going to be able to pull away by enough of a margin to cover this number. I expect La Tech to hang around, averaging 494 total yards per contest. La Tech has covered five straight against SEC opponents and they're on a 20-8 ATS run on the road against teams with a winning home record.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Matt Fargo

Florida +7½

No one will be giving Florida a chance here based on the fact that starting quarterback Will Grier has been suspended for the season which is a huge blow. But it not be as big as people think. Sophomore quarterback Treon Harris started the season opener and threw for two touchdowns after an extended quarterback battle with Grier through spring practice and preseason camp. He isn't raw and actually has more career starts than Grier so the offense will not suffer as most think. As for LSU, the jury is still out. LSU sophomore sensation Leonard Fournette is a stud and a Heisman favorite right now. However, he hasn't faced a defense as deep and talented as Florida's this season as the tigers have played a very weak schedule to this point. Mississippi St. has been the toughest opponent and they were fortunate to win that game. The Gators defense is what has kept them undefeated as they are allowing 296.3 ypg which is good for 16th in the nation. Florida's defense has allowed only 12 points in two road games and the Gators are the only team in the nation to play at least two road games and not allow a touchdown. The Tigers have a sophomore quarterback of their own in Brandon Harris and actually has one less start that the other Harris. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a rushing defense allowing 125 or less rushing ypg, after gaining 5.5 or more rushing ypc last game. This situation is 42-16 ATS (72.4 percent) over the last five seasons.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ASA

Arizona St +7

Many have now gone as far as calling Utah the top team in the Pac 12 and we’re not buying it. They are solid but now because of their 5-0 record, over rated in our opinion. The Utes have been outgained in 3 of their 5 games and they are just +50 yards on the season. This team is NOT ranked in the top 20 in offensive or defensive efficiency. They’ve been winning because their opponents are turning the ball over. They are already +11 in turnovers just 5 games into the season. They’ve won the TO battle in every game this year including +3 vs Utah St, Oregon, and last week vs Cal. Their win over Michigan to start the season was while the Wolverines were still feeling their way. A pick 6 also helped the Utes in that 7 point game. Their win @ Oregon is much less impressive as the Ducks are WAY down this year and just lost at home to Washington State last week. Cal turned the ball over SIX times last week and still had a shot to win. Arizona State was considered one of the favorites in the Pac 12 to start the season. Their two losses are not “embarrassing” by any means as they came at the hands of Texas A&M & USC. The Devils seem to be playing much better right now as they rolled over UCLA on the road and then walloped Colorado last week. Since the Utes joined the Big 12 ASU has beaten them all 4 times. We’ll take the points here. The Utes have skated by all season and it catches up with them here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Rickenbach

San Diego St /San Jose St Under 48

The Aztecs continue to be an "under machine" as they're now 22-10 to the under the last 3 seasons combined. San Diego State has allowed a total of just 21 points the last two weeks combined and, in weeks 5 through 9 the last 3 seasons, the under is 9-1 (90%) in Aztecs games. Overall, in the month of October, San Diego State is on a phenomenal long-term 39-18 run to the under. In road games with a posted total between 45.5 and 49 points the under is 14-3 in San Diego State games. The Aztecs defense has dominated the last two weeks with an average of just 170 totals yards allowed per game! The key here is their offense is unlikely to do a whole lot in this conference match-up with San Jose State. The Spartans are allowing an average of just 117 passing yards per game this season. San Jose State will force the Aztecs to stick to their ground game and San Diego State will quickly become one dimensional on offense. The Spartans have allowed under 250 yards of offense in each of their home games this season. In games in weeks 5 through 9, the Spartans are 24-16 to the under.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Nelly

Syracuse +7

With Syracuse coming off three prominent games in a row they were caught in the first road game of the season for the team with a stunning 45-24 loss at South Florida. The Bulls are clearly an improved team and they hit some big plays to get an early lead as the Syracuse only had three fewer first downs in the game. Syracuse had hung with LSU the previous week and picked up wins vs. Wake Forest and Central Michigan, scoring at least 24 points in every game this season despite being down to Eric Dungey at quarterback, the #3 signal-caller as the season started. Dungey has just one interception this season while completing 60 percent of his passes as the freshman has looked like a competent leader moving forward. Virginia has faced a brutal schedule but the Cavaliers don't have a FBS win this season and after last week's valiant effort at Pittsburgh it is not clear what this team will have left in the tank with a 1-4 start and a major overhaul seemingly ahead for the program. The shaky run defense numbers for Virginia make the Cavaliers a difficult team to support in the favorite role and a bounce-back may be in order for an Orange team that has more to play for. Syracuse ahs much better defensive numbers particularly against the run despite having to play LSU and the second road game for the Orange should be a better opportunity than the first.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Boyd

Northwestern +2

I think we are seeing a huge overreaction here to the Wildcats poor showing on the road against the Wolverines. While most expected the defense to play better, that was a horrible matchup for Northwestern’s offense. Michigan has one of the elite defenses in the country and are built to stop the run. They held the Wildcats high-powered rushing attack to just 38 yards on 25 attempts. The same Wildcats rushing attack that hadn’t rushed for fewer than 184 yards in a single game and had put up 225 against Stanford and 201 against Duke.

While Iowa comes in ranked 5th in the country against the run, allowing just 78.0 ypg, a lot of that has to do with an extremely soft schedule. That run defense also took a big hit last week when star defensive end Drew Ott suffered a knee injury that will have him sidelined indefinitely. The Hawkeye’s 6 opponents combined only average 3.8 yards/carry. Even after last week’s awful showing on the ground, Northwestern is still averaging 4.1 ypc against opponents that are allowing just 3.9 ypc.

Northwestern is primed for a big bounce back performance and with the Hawkeyes undefeated and having won at Wisconsin, we are getting some great value here with the Wildcats at home. Not only will Northwestern be motivated off that embarrassing loss, but the home team has dominated this series, winning and covering each of the last 5 meetings.

Iowa’s offense is centered around their running game, which comes in ranked 33rd in the country at 201.2 ypg. Much like their defensive numbers, I feel their production on the ground is a bit inflated given their competition. Iowa’s averaging 4.8 ypc, but their 6 opponents on average are giving up 4.4 ypc. While it wasn’t great last week, Northwestern’s defense comes into this game ranked 9th in the country in total defense, allowing just 269.5 ypg. They are only giving up 3.9 ypc against teams that average 4.3 ypc. Keep in mind their poor defensive numbers last week were a result of their offensive not being able to get anything going, leaving the defense on the field for over 37 minutes.

The two games where Iowa didn’t put up huge rushing numbers were at home against Pittsburgh (105), which they squeaked out a 27-24 win and on the road against Wisconsin (144), where they won 10-6. That win against the Badgers looks good on paper, but Iowa was lucky to win that game. They were outgained by 99 yards and benefited greatly from 4 Wisconsin turnovers.

Wildcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after totaling 275 or less total yards and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 following a SU loss by more than 20 points.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Northwestern
Nebraska
LSU
Arizona St

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Goals plentiful when Tottenham face Liverpool
Andrew Avery

The early game on the Barclays Premier League schedule features Tottenham Hotspur hosting Liverpool and if history has taught us anything, it's that we could be in store for a ton of goals.

Liverpool has won the previous meetings between the two clubs and has tallied 18 goals to Tottenham's four in the process.

Spurs are currently enjoying the longest unbeaten run in the league at seven games, but they would have had this fixture circled on the calendar.

Liverpool begins the Jurgen Klopp era after hiring the former Borussia Dortmund boss prior to the international break. Former manager Brendan Rodgers was sacked after the side drew 1-1 to Everton on Oct. 4.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Jurgen Klopp era begins as Liverpool visit Spurs
By SOCCER AUTHORITY

The Premier League returns after the dreaded international break with many sub plots front and center. Chelsea will look to snap a dreadful run of results and Liverpool plays its first match under new manager Jurgen Klopp are just a couple of examples of what to expect.

Soccer Authority breaks down what to look for in this weekend's Premier League schedule.

Chelsea vs. Aston Villa

Jose Mourinho's team has endured a disappointing opening to the season, taking eight points from as many matches and appearing a shadow of the team that became champions in dominant fashion just five months ago.

The 3-1 home loss to Southampton before the international break left Chelsea in 15th place and they head into Saturday's match only four points better off than third-from-bottom Villa.

Out-of-form defender Branislav Ivanovic is expected to miss out for Chelsea after picking up a hamstring injury on international duty with Serbia, while Diego Costa is suspended. Jose Mourinho has never lost successive home BPL matches as a manager, he’ll be hoping this record isn’t broken on Saturday.

Defenders Ciaran Clark (hip) and Jores Okore (knee) remain out for Villa, who will assess Adama Traore (ankle) and Gabriel Agbonlahor (calf) before the game.

Injured (Chelsea): Courtois, Ivanovic.

Key Stat: Chelsea have conceded at least two goals in seven of their eight BPL matches this season (the other game was a 2-0 win against Arsenal).


Everton vs. Manchester United

Everton has won the last three meetings between the sides at Goodison Park and have done so without conceding a goal. Everton’s hopes of maintaining that record have been bolstered by the likely return of highly-rated defender John Stones.

Manchester United know that they need to end their bad run of results against Everton. Untied led the BPL briefly a couple of weeks ago, but were humbled by a resurgent Arsenal in the last match day.

With fierce-rivals Man City expected to easily beat Bournemouth, there is a lot of pressure on Louis Van Gaal’s men to take all three points in this game.

No new injuries have surfaced for Martinez following the international break, although Leighton Baines remains around two weeks away following an ankle problem.

Injured (Manchester United): Luke Shaw. Unlikely to feature: Carrick, Herrera, Schweinsteiger, Rooney

Key Stat: Anthony Martial has touched the ball in the opposition box more often than any other BPL player this season (every 9.2 minutes, minimum of 90 minutes played).


Spurs vs. Liverpool

The early kick-off on Saturday will hopefully see the Barclays Premier League return with a bang. Struggling Liverpool travel to White Hart Lane to take on Tottenham. Than goodness the international break is over!

Much of the focus regarding this game is on the appointment of Jurgen Klopp as manager. We feel that the market is over-valuing Klopp's appointment, as statistically teams do poorly in their opening game when there is a change of manager during the season. Especially new Liverpool bosses, with no Reds boss winning their opening game for nearly 20 years.

Klopp inherits a side which has stuttered since the start of the season as they have recorded just three wins, three draws and two defeats from their eight Premier League games so far. We expect this to be a hard-fought encounter, here’s some more stats to consider:

Spurs sit in eighth position heading into the clash, two places above Liverpool. A victory here for Spurs could see them make inroads on the top six as the table begins to take shape. Spurs are the only Barclays Premier League team not to have lost since the opening weekend (W3 D4).

Injured - Liverpool: Roberto Firmino, Jon Flanagan, Christian Benteke, Jordan Henderson, Dejan Lovren, Joe Gomez. Spurs: Dier, Mason, Bentaleb, Son.

Key Stat: Goals are never far away when these two sides collide, and with the last six meetings between the pair having produced three or more, expect that trend to continue in North London.


Manchester City vs. Bournemouth

Top of the table City will be keen to extend their lead at the top with a big win over newly-promoted Bournemouth. The Cherries have been impressive in some games this season, but injuries to crucial players mean they will struggle even more than expected against City and other top teams.

City do have injury concerns themselves with Sergio Aguero and David Silva out, but they have plenty of quality options. Kevin De Bruyne has scored three goals and assisted two in his three BPL starts for Man City. De Bruyne has scored six times in his past seven outings for club and country. City manager Manuel Pellegrini will be keen for him to extend this run of form with Sergio Aguero and David Silva in the treatment room.

A big boost for City will be the return of captain Vincent Kompany, who is set for his first taste of club action since sustaining a calf problem during last month's UEFA Champions League defeat to Juventus. However, Pellegrini's opposite number Eddie Howe is short of reinforcements after a succession of cruel injury blows. Bournemouth will have to do without record signing Tyrone Mings, top scorer Callum Wilson, as well as captain Tommy Elphick (centre-back) and explosive winger Max Gradel.

Injured (Man City): Sergio Aguero, Silva, Delph. Unlikely to feature: Yaya Toure, Kolarov

Key Stat: Manuel Pellegrini's side have scored in all but one of their last 24 league matches, including each of the last 17.


Watford vs. Arsenal

A 3-0 win over Manchester United moved the Gunners to within just two points of league leaders Manchester City before the latest round of friendlies and qualifying matches for UEFA Euro 2016 and the 2018 FIFA World Cup.

Arsenal take on a Watford side with just one win in their last five matches in all competitions. Wenger has some concerns over the fitness of Alexis Sanchez, with the Chile star, who has scored five goals in his last two league matches, having played both recent World Cup qualifiers for his country.

Arsenal boast a strong record against Watford, having won all five of their previous meetings, including the last four in the BPL. Nigeria forward Odion Ighalo has scored Watford’s last five BPL goals, Arsenal will need to watch Ighalo closely.

Injured (Arsenal): Koscielny, Wilshere, Rosicky, Welbeck

Key Stat: Petr Cech has the best save percentage in the Barclays Premier League this season (82%, minimum 5 saves).