Woodbine Harness: Saturday 1/14 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 3,5,6/1,8/1,3,6/3,4/1,3,4,6,9 = $36
EARLY PICK 4: 3,4,/1,3,4,6,9/2,3,4/3 = $30
LATE PICK 4: 2/1,4,5/1,7,8/1,2,5,8,10 = $45
MEET STATS: 70 - 281 / $428.30 BEST BETS: 11 - 26 / $39.10
SPOT PLAYS: 8 - 25 / $38.20
Best Bet: DOVUTO HANOVER (7th)
Spot Play: JUSTICE JET (2nd)
Race 1
(5) MUCH ADOO couldn't chase down a class-dropping leader last week but she gets to come right back in the same class and she should be tough in here. (3) LIGHTS GO OUT could be more prominent early with the driver change here; using. (6) KISS ME OR NOT has been producing good late speed. She could upset here if she is close enough turning home. (1) MISS COCO LUCK is always around the money. She should share here again.
Race 2
(8) JUSTICE JET was too far back and got going too late last time. Maybe he can beat a couple off the gate here from the improved post which could make all the difference. (1) HLDONTGHTTOYURDRMS has been in great form out of town and these aren't that much tougher; using. (2) KINETIC KING rarely wins, but he is in good form now and he should make the ticket here. (7) CHARLIE IS A JOKER got no breathers last time when racing in the slop. His race two back is a better indicator of what he can do in this class.
Race 3
(6) NICKLE BAG could get a contested early pace to chase here; slight nod. (1) ALEXAS JACKPOT is in top form and he is sure to be prominent throughout here. (3) MODERN LEGEND couldn't sustain a first-over bid last week. He will be looking for a live helmet to follow here and if he finds one, he could take this. (5) PRESCOTTS HOPE continues to take smaller shares and he should do so here as well.
Race 4
(4) NATURESCAPE closed well in his comeback race now he faces a field where he fits better. Expect early aggression this time. (3) SIR GALAHAD couldn't keep up in a wicked fast mile at Flamboro last time. He should rebound with a better effort here. (10) DRAGON STRIKES is worth a look at a price for vertical plays as he will be passing horses late. (9) GOOD FRIDAY THREE is in the best form he has been in many months. He's another to consider at a square price here.
Race 5
(3) DREAMY FELLA should get a solid pace to track here; price play. (4) YORK SEELSTER provided an instant return for Allard off the claim and he comes right back in the same class here; using. (6) SHADOW PLACE was a predictable winner a class lower and he should be a contender vs. these, too. (1) SENIOR MARKET brings solid form with him from out of town and he can take a slice off a following trip near the front here.
Race 6
(3) LISVINNIE goes for Allard off the claim here right back in for the same tag. Expect an early move from Jamieson here. (2) SHOCK N ROCK was a winner at a big price last time he raced for a tag; using. (4) MUSSELSFRMBRUSSELS was taken by Auciello last start and he should get rolled early here, which is when he does his best. (5) PANEDICTINE can pass a few of these late and fill one of the bottom rungs of the exotics.
Race 7
(3) DOVUTO HANOVER takes a big drop here making his second start off a break; top call. (4) J JS DELIVERY was out the route last week which destroyed his chances. A better trip makes him a contender here. (2) UF BETTORS HANOVER will be closing late as is his custom. Keep him in mind for exacta/tri bets. (1) NEWBIE should last longer here leaving from the inside.
Race 8
(2) DOMETHATAGAIN drops from the top class here to face much easier. He will be tough to beat. (8) VEGAS ROCKS was a strong second two back when he raced in this class. He should be a threat here. (1) THREE OF CLUBS was nailed late by a tripped-out rival last time. He can stick around for a good share here, too. (7) SPORTSMANSHIP has been racing great out of town and he is one to consider for vertical wagers here.
Race 9
(5) WEATHERLY faces much easier here which should mean he will be put into the race earlier; top call. (1) ER ZACH ATTACK had good speed early and late when second to a class-dropper last week. He could take this if provided with a good trip, but notice the 14 slices vs. only four wins in his past 33 starts. (4) DIALAMARA drops slightly off an even effort. He's another in with a decent chance here. (8) DARCEE N will be closing for a smaller share again.
Race 10
(7) THE REV raced evenly vs. better last week. Expect him to be blasting early this time. (8) ASAP HANOVER is another that drops slightly who will likely be looking for a spot near the front at the start this time; using. (1) REEL should get a much better trip starting on the pylons this time. Keep him in mind when constructing Pick 4 tickets. (6) HALF A BILLION will be passing many of these late for a smaller share.
Race 11
(8) TRASHYTONGUETALKER got hung out to dry in the third 1/4 last week but he gamely hung in to the end. A better trip makes him a major player here. (5) SENIOR K is in the best form of his life now and he should be prominent throughout here. (10) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT took advantage of a major pace battle last week and rolled by late for the win. He is capable of being more forwardly-placed and is a contender here despite the post. (2) ARTFUL BLISS moves up off a perfect trip win; minor share predicted. (1) FLAHERTY should fit better here and he can better this prediction.
