Saturday 09/12/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants (-108, 8)

The hottest team in the NL West are the Rockies, but there’s nothing like a weekend set against the hated Giants to help the Dodgers get some breathing room.

Los Angeles is 7-5 against the Giants this year, including take two of the three most recent meetings. Plus, the Dodgers send their secret weapon to the mound: Vincente Padilla. The aging hurler has been a pleasant surprise for the blue and white, as the team has won each of his past three starts.

But then again the Dodgers' bats also have plenty of pop. Los Angeles is hitting .272 as a team, the third-best mark in the majors. The team also averages 4.7 runs per game with an OPS of .757.

The Giants have a solid pitching staff, but the Dodgers have the better team.

Pick: Dodgers +103


Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals (-104, 8.5)

It’s easy to peg the Cardinals as an offensive juggernaut with sluggers Albert Pujols and Matt Holiday swinging hot sticks. But the dirty truth is that the team loves to fall under the total.

The Cardinals over/under record at home is a surprising 25-42-2 and 57-77-7 overall. Each of the Red Bird’s past three games have also fallen under the total, including six of the past 10.

Atlanta, meantime, is a virtual wash on the road, posting an over/under record of 35-36-1. However, the Braves have been locked in numerous low-scoring tilts the past two weeks. Overall, four of the team’s past five have gone under.

The Cardinals are trying to improve their playoff positioning and the Braves are trying to stay in the NL Wild Card chase. This has both teams playing postseason ball early, and expect lots of tight, low-scoring games with plenty of station-to-station baseball.

Pick: Under 8.5
 
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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Randy Wells (Chicago Cubs)

The way the season is going for Chicago, the 27 year old just might end the year as its best starter.

Wells (10-8, 2.45 ERA) has allowed only one earned run in his past 12 2-3 innings. For the month of September, he is 1-1 with a 0.71 ERA and six strikeouts and just two walks. The last time Wells took the mound he lasted six innings and gave up only one earned run to the Mets. The right-hander’s 2.45 ERA is the eighth-lowest in the NL, and figures to improve against the lowly Reds, a team Wells has shut down twice this year and is among the major’s worst against right-handed pitchers.

"He's pitched exceedingly well," Cubs manager Lou Piniella told the Associated Press. "What a nice job, huh? Where would we be without this young man?"

John Danks (Chicago White Sox)

Welcome to one of the few bright spots for the White Sox pitching staff this season.

Danks (12-9, 3.84 ERA) has been one of the team’s most consistent starters this year, putting together a streak of six straight quality starts during the season’s stretch run. During that span, Danks is 3-1, yielding just 12 earned runs over his past 40 2-3 innings. In his most recent start, he held Boston to just three runs over six innings, including four strikeouts and only one walk.


Slumping

Scott Richmond (Toronto Blue Jays)

The right-hander is in such a deep slump, he hasn’t seen the sun for weeks.

Richmond (6-9, 4.76 ERA) has allowed at least four earned runs in each of his past four starts. Over the past 16 innings, he has given up 16 earned runs on a staggering 24 hits. Even worse, he has struck out just 11 batters against eight walks over the same span. In Richmond’s most recent start, a 6-3 loss to the mediocre Twins, he allowed all the runs on eight hits over six innings.

"We've played a couple teams in the wild card. We're trying to be spoilers," Richmond told the Associated Press. "We're trying to stir the pot a little bit and fell short."

But Richmond’s been just short the past few months. He hasn’t won since June 24.

Sergio Mitre (New York Yankees)

Things couldn’t have gone much worse for Mitre in his last start.

The 28 year old was tagged for 11 runs on 11 hits in just 4 1-3 innings of a 14-8 loss to the Blue Jays. Mitre is 3-2 this year, but has an absurd, 7.02 ERA and has lasted more than six innings just once this season. He is still feeling the effects of taking a line-drive to his right forearm late last month. It’s a good thing the Yankees score runs by the boat load.
 

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Maddux

#306 - NCAA - 3 units on Connecticut +4
#327 - NCAA - 3 units on South Carolina +7
#330 - NCAA - 4 units on Tennessee -9
#364 - NCAA - 4 units on Southern Miss -14.5
 

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anyone with 3G SPORTS and JIM KRUGER??

thanks
 

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hey guys,i was wondering if someone could PM the other website that has red color in the background that has service plays as well.i had success with both the rx site and the other one,but somehow it got deleted from my favorites.i cannot for the life of me,think of it. thanks for any help,and good luck
 

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MP,why do you keep posting doubles,you posted randizzle twice,you posted maddux when it was the 1st post of the day in this section,...please don't waste space,look before you post if its been posted already

thanks
 

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Keyman,

If you do not mind, please DO NOT POST ANY REQUEST in this thread. Please don't waste space. Take this to the request thread.

MP,why do you keep posting doubles,you posted randizzle twice,you posted maddux when it was the 1st post of the day in this section,...please don't waste space,look before you post if its been posted already

thanks
 

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I never thought I would say this but I would like to see what Adam Meyer has today. He has been pretty hot in cfb
 
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Logical Approach

COLLEGE SELECTION OF THE WEEK: OHIO STATE + 7 over Usc - What a difference one game can make! For most of the summer the advance line for this contest was USC by 3. Then USC manhandles San Jose State as expected, 56-3. Meanwhile OSU barely survives against a well disciplined, well prepared Navy team, 31-27 and the line jumps more than a FG. This is a HUGE game for Ohio State as they seek to avenge last season's 35-3 loss at USC. This time it's USC with the rookie QB making his first road start in hostile environs. The Buckeyes were looking ahead last week and showed little versus Navy and although it almost cost them, there's no reason for Buckeye backers to panic. Most teams have trouble preparing for the Navy offense and had OSU not been putting in more time preparing for USC we might have well seen the one sided game many expected. USC is the better team and deserves to be favored. But there are some flaws on both sides of the ball the San Jose was unable to expose. Yet the results of the first week give plenty of ammo for those who think Ohio State will be overmatched again this season. But not so fast. Ohio State has been pointing towards this game all summer and while they may not have the talent to prevail they will give USC all they can handle. And will validate the number that was posted all summer. USC wins but by just 24-21.

Other Featured College Selections

South Carolina + 7 over GEORGIA - South Carolina won their opener on the strength of their defense against North Carolina State. Georgia's offense was pretty much held in check at Oklahoma State but the 'Dawgs' defense played well against the high powered and experienced OSU offense. This series has been low scoring and competitive over the past decade with 6 of 10 decided by a TD or less. Only once has the winner of the game scored more than 24 points and neither team has scored more than 20 points in any of the last 5 meetings. That makes getting a full TD extremely attractive especially when the favored team is still working out the kinks in their offense as Georgia replaces a pair of Top 12 NFL draft choices (QB Stafford and RB Moreno). Though Carolina coach Spurrier is noted for being an offensive innovator he also has long recognized the value of an athletic, speedy defense. That's his strength here. Georgia wins but by just 17-13.

Louisiana Tech + 7 over NAVY - Louisiana Tech was outclassed by a talented Auburn team that greatly underachieved in 2008. Navy was well prepared for their battle at Ohio State and nearly caught the Buckeyes at the end, failing when their attempted 2 point conversion was returned for a deuce the other way in OSU's 31-27 win. Both teams step down in class here but Tech has the better athletes. Next week they play regional FCS foe Nicholls State while Navy has a big revenge game at Pitt. La Tech may be the second best team in the WAC behind Boise and the program is well coached as noted last week. True, Navy did show more balance than expected last week against Ohio State, completing 9 of 13 for 156 yds. But that was against a most disinterested defense. With both teams off of expected losses each will want to avoid an 0-2 start and should give maximum effort here. In such instances it's best to side with the more talented team. And it's even more attractive when that team is made the underdog. Louisiana Tech pulls the upset, winning 31-23.

Virginia + 11 over Tcu - Losses can provide powerful motivation. Embarrassing losses can take that motivation to a higher level. That's where Virginia is this week after losing to FCS foe William & Mary 26-14 on their home field. It was their first loss to a non-FBS team in more than 20 years. Virginia has been a decent program for much of this decade although did drop from 9-4 in 2007 to 5-7 last season. TCU was one of two teams not to play last week and that can be a disadvantage here as they see live game action for the first time against a team having already played. TCU has been a solid program at the mid-major level all decade and has fared well on occasion when stepping up in class against BCS competition. Again, Virginia's loss last week adds great value to this line. TCU wins with defense but is nothing more than average on the offensive side of the football. Virginia has athletes every bit as talented as TCU's. Both teams have solid coaches with good track records. TCU's opened well on the road recently but asking them to win by a moderate margin when they don't clearly outclass the opponent is asking a lot. TCU wins but by just 27-21.

Best of the Rest (Recommendations) GEORGIA TECH - 5 over Clemson [1] CONNECTICUT + 5 over North Carolina
East Carolina + 6 over WEST VIRGINIA Iowa - 6 ½ over IOWA STATE
Mississippi State + 14 ½ over AUBURN Byu - 17 over TULANE
OREGON -12 over Purdue MICHIGAN + 3 ½ over Notre Dame
BUFFALO + 10 ½ over Pittsburgh Air Force + 4 over MINNESOTA
INDIANA - 1 over Western Michigan Bowling Green + 19 over MISSOURI
Kansas - 11 over UTEP Central Florida + 15 over SOUTHERN MISS
LSU - 14 ½ over Vanderbilt Tulsa - 17 ½ over NEW MEXICO
SAN JOSE STATE + 13 ½ over Utah Oregon State - 7 over UNLV
Arkansas State + 23 over NEBRASKA Troy + 36 ½ over FLORIDA
 

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Teddy Covers

East Carolina +6.5
Louisiana Tech +7.5
Air Force +3
Southern Miss -14.5
North Texas +2.5
20* Big Ticket: Auburn -14


Could someone let me know how good Teddy Covers is at College Football?
I think I remember him being good at NFL.
Does anyone know how solid he is, or how important the 20* Big Ticket is? is that 20* Big Ticket something he releases often?

Also, where do I go to be able to track Teddy Covers record(like his records last season)
Would appreciate any feedback, I will start contributing to this forum again so I will start helping out. BOL to all today!
 

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