Saturday 06/27/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Sportsaholic]

Rocketman

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Bonus Play SATURDAY (57% lifetime...Past 13 years)

Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox 4:05 PM EST
Play On: Chicago White Sox (Dempster/Buehrle) Listed

These two teams come in with similar records on the season as the Cubs are 35-35 this year while the White Sox are 35-38 this year. Chicago White Sox are 9-2 this year when playing on Saturday. Cubs have lost four of their last five games overall. White Sox have won four of their last six games overall. Chicago Cubs are scoring only 3.8 runs per game on the road. Cubs team batting average is low with a .247 average overall, .237 average on the road and .244 average against left handed starters. Much lower than I anticipated this year. Ryan Dempster is 1-4 on the road this year and 0-2 his last 3 starts. Mark Buehrle is 7-2 with a 3.17 ERA overall, 4-1 with a 2.68 ERA at home and 1-0 his last 3 starts. Dempster is 1-2 with a 6.61 ERA overall vs White Sox since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on the Chicago White Sox today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

 

[Sportsaholic]

Dr. Vegas

FREE Saturday Selection

Detroit -115 over Houston

 

[Sportsaholic]

TV Hotline

Free Saturday MLB Pick

Cleveland -145 over Cincinnati

 

[Sportsaholic]

Huddle Up Sports

Free Selection

SF/Milwaukee over 9

 

[Sportsaholic]

Nevada Sharpshooter

Free Selection: MLB

San Diego +140 over Texas

 

[Sportsaholic]

Easy Money Sports

Lee's Free Saturday Selection

ATLANTA w/Vazquez -130

 

[Sportsaholic]

Harry Doyle Sports

Free Selection: MLB

A's - 140

 

[Sportsaholic]

Michael Cannon

Bonus Play

Minnesota -115 at ST. LOUIS

Take the Twins for the road win over the Cardinals.

Kevin Slowey gets the start for Minnesota today and he’s established himself as the ace of the staff. The right-hander is 10-2 on the year with a 4.04 ERA. Slowey has also fared well in interleague play, going 7-1 with a 2.48 ERA in 10 career starts against the NL, including 3-0 with a 2.79 ERA this year.

Minnesota as a team has fared well in interleague play as well, particularly on the road. The Twins are 11-5 against the senior circuit this year, with a 5-2 mark on the road.

Going back further, the Twins have won 25 of 35 interleague games away from home since June, 2005.

St. Louis has lost three straight, scoring just three runs during that slide. The Cardinals are hitting a woeful .206 as a team in losing four of their last five.

Todd Wellemeyer will start for the Cards and he’s just 1-3 with a 6.52 ERA in five June starts.

Take the Twins as they grab the road win.

4? MINNESOTA

 

[Sportsaholic]

Dominic Fazzini

Bonus Play

Philadelphia +115 at TORONTO

Blue Jays left-hander Brad Mills made his big league debut on June 18 in Philadelphia and wasn’t very effective, allowing four runs on six hits and four walks in 3 2/3 innings. He threw 94 pitches, including 53 strikes, but was bailed out by his offense and got a no-decision.

Mills makes his second major league start today, and again faces the Phillies, this time in Toronto. He will be opposed by Philadelphia lefty J.A. Happ (4-0, 3.47 ERA), who will be making his seventh start of the year following 12 relief appearances earlier in the season.

Happ is 2-0 with a 4.08 ERA as a starter, and is 2-0 with a 2.20 ERA on the road. He allowed two runs on 10 hits in six innings last Saturday against Baltimore in his last start.

Happ, who has never faced Toronto, has pitched in 27 big league games in his career (11 as a starter) and hasn’t lost since his major league debut in 2007.

The Phillies have had good success against southpaws this season, at 16-11, and I think they will make Mills’ second start against them as miserable as his first. Go with Philadelphia.

2? PHILADELPHIA

 

[Sportsaholic]

LT Profits

Bonus Play

Los Angeles Angels @ Arizona Diamondbacks

John Lackey of the Los Angeles Angels still does not look healthy since coming off of the Disabled List, and with the Halos offense in high gear, we look for a slugfest when they visit the Arizona Diamondbacks today.

Lackey is one of the best pitchers in baseball when he is healthy, bit he is obviously not 100 percent yet. He is 2-3 with an uncharacteristic 5.83 ERA and 1.58 WHIP, and the alarming part is that he is not getting any better.

He has allowed at least nine hits in each of his last three starts, during which time he has an ugly 6.75 ERA and 1.80 WHIP. He has also thrown 217 pitches over his last two games, which may have an effect on him considering his first start was not until May 16.

Now granted, Doug Davis has pitched much better than his 3-8 record for Arizona, but he has questionable stamina, which means that the bullpen will almost certainly be called upon tonight. That unit has imploded recently with a collective 5.40 ERA over the last 10 games, and the ineffectiveness of that unit is also the main reason that Davis does not have a better record with his 3.34 ERA.

Finally, do not lose sight of the fact that the Angels have scored 12 and 11 runs in their last two games respectively, so they are fully capable of gong Over this total by themselves.

Pick: Angels/Diamondbacks Over 9.5

 

[Sportsaholic]

Nelly

Bonus Play

St. Louis + over Minnesota

The Twins pulled out a narrow win last night but the offense has not been productive on the road. Kevin Slowey has a great record but he has not pitched as well as the wins indicate. Minnesota is a lousy road team and the Cardinals should bounce back at home.

 

[Sportsaholic]

VEGAS EXPERTS

Bonus Play

Los Angeles Angels at Arizona Diamondbacks

Over the last two seasons, the Angels are a perfect 8-0 when coming off back to back wins by four runs or more. In those two games, one a win over Arizona, the other a win over Colorado, they outscored the opposition 23-6. The Dbacks have scored three runs or less in five of their last seven, losing all of those games. Quietly, LA has dominated IL play winning 36 of 52. Another easy winner here.

Play: LA Angels

 

[Sportsaholic]

The Spread

Comp.

Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays, 1:07PM ET

Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto

Philadelphia is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games

Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Pick: Philadelphia


Minnesota Twins at St. Louis Cardinals, 1:10PM ET

Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road

Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis

St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

St. Louis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

Pick: Minnesota


Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves, 10:05PM ET

Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road

Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

Pick: Boston

 

[Sportsaholic]

John Ryan

Bonus Play

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets

Play: New York Yankees

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Yankees over the Mets. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 50-12 80% winning system. Play on all favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 10 games against opponent after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs. Mets are only 7-12 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in home games with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games over the last 3 seasons. Brief report, but clearly sums up the teams.

Take the Yankees.

 

[joe361]

Dominic Fazzini

Bonus Play

Philadelphia +115 at TORONTO

2? PHILADELPHIA

I wonder when the fucknuts are going to spell his last name right. :lol:

 

[Sportsaholic]

LARRY NESS

Bonus Play

Colorado Rockies @ Oakland Athletics

PICK: Oakland Athletics

The Rockies hit over .300 as a team (.305) while winning 17 of 18 games from June 4-22 but then dropped consecutive games to the Angels on Tuesday (4-3) and Wednesday (11-3). After an off-day on Thursday, the Rockies beat the A's 4-2 last night, giving them 18 wins in their last 21 games. The win also snapped a seven-game road losing streak in Oakland to the A's. Oakland has now dropped 11 of its last 16 overall and continues to struggle at the plate, entering this game with a ML-low .235 team batting average. Rookie Trevor Cahill will try to change his team's "mojo" and why not? He's 3-0 with a 2.13 ERA in his last four starts (all Oakland wins), after going 2-5 with a 4.33 ERA in his first 11 outings.A closer look at his 5-5 (3.38 ERA) season shows that he's had two starts in which he's allowed seven ERs, lasting a total of just five innings in those outings. In Cahill's other 13 starts, he's allowed two ERs or less 12 times, while allowing just three ERs in the other one. Eliminate those two awful outings and the rookie owns a 2.34 ERA in his other 13 starts, which is really quite impressive. Jorge De La Rosa (3-7, 5.85 ERA) gets the start for the Rockies. The lefty opened the season 0-6 with a 5.43 ERA in his first 10 starts (team was 2-8) but is 3-1 in his last four starts, despite a 6.97 ERA. Is he really getting better? I think not and if not for the fact that Oakland is just 10-17 (3.6 RPG) vs lefties in 2009, I'd be "all over" the A's in this one. As is, let's make Oakland a small play.

 

[Sportsaholic]

Alex Smart

Bonus Play

Milwaukee Brewers -130

The San Francisco Giants starting pitcher Barry Zito, has an ugly history in Miller Park as is evident by a 0-3 record along with a extremely bloated 10.50 ERA. That is not a good omen for his team, against a Brewers squad, that is at their best vs southpaw starters averaging 5.1 RPG via a 0.344 OBP in 2009. It must be noted that Ryan Braun the Brewers all star hitter, owns a .415 BA (22 for 53) with four homers and 13 RBIs against left-handers this season. I am betting on Zitos negative results under this venue to come back to haunt him in this spot. Final notes & Key Trends: The Giants are 2-15 when Zito starts against NL Central opposition dating back to last season. The Brew Crew are 31-7 L/38 home games against a NL foe like SF with an on base percentage .315 or less.

Play on the Brewers

 

[Sportsaholic]

Jorge Gonzalez

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Play SF Giants

The San Francisco Giants (39-32) will be sending one of the hottest pitchers in the league to the mound when they take on the Milwaukee Brewers (38-33). Matt Cain (9-1, 2.28 ERA) will take on face off against Yovani Gallardo ( 7-4, 3.00). The Giants have one of the surprises this season. The Giants were predicted by many to finish last in the National League West Division. The Giants have won the last nine straight games the Cain has started. San Francisco has won five of their last six games and will be taking on a Brewer team that has struggled winning just once in their last seven games a home favorite. Both pitchers are budding stars that could easily pitch their team to a victory. Take the Giants here with the value of being the underdog despite playing better baseball as of late.

 

[Sportsaholic]

SportsPic

Bonus Play

Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox

Play: Chicago White Sox

Cubbies opened the Northside vs. Southside weekend series with a 5-4 victory over White Sox on Friday however making it two straight at U.S. Cellular Field will be tough at best. The second installment of this cross-town rivalry featuring Mark Buehrle (7-2, 3.17 ERA) and Ryan Dempster (4-5, 3.83) on respective mounds will go White Sox's way. Pale Hose are an incredible 18-4 (+$1148) the past twenty-two at home with Buehrle outscoring foes 6.2 to 3.0. Meanwhile, Cubbies have lost Dempster's last four trips to the mound and enter 1-8 (-$805) on the highway this season with the righty. Lay the expected -$1.40 on White Sox knowing Cubbies have not been great underdog bets this season winning just twice in fourteen attempts and are 2-7 their last nine away facing a left-handed starter. For those who play totals, Buehrle is 12-4 'Under' at home with the total set at 7.0-8.5, Cubbies are 15-5 'Under' last twenty on the road, 8-3 'Under' away with a 7.0 to 8.5 total.

 

[Sportsaholic]

Tony Weston

Today's Free Selection

We came through with a strong win yesterday as the Blue Jays take care of business.

We’re making it 2 in a row today as we’re taking the Twins on the road at the Cardinals.

The Twins come into today having won 3 of their last 4, including their 3-1 win over the Cardinals in Game 1 of this series yesterday. Over their last 16 games the Twins have gone 10-6 and have won 7 of their last 10 games on the road.

Consider, too, that Twins’ scheduled starter Kevin Slowey has been dominant lately as the Twins are 5-1 his last 6 starts.

On the other side, Minnesota gets a shot at the Cardinals’ Todd Wellemeyer, who only has one win his last 5 starts. And over his last 9 starts, he’s only chalked up 3 wins. Consider, too, that at home St. Louis is only 1-2 his last 3 starts and is only 2-3 his last five in front of the fans at Busch Stadium.

Overall, St. Louis is only 1-4 its last 5 games and has lost 3 straight. Today, the Cards will lose No. 4 in a row. Take the Twins on the road in this one today.

3♦ TWINS