Saturday 06/27/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets
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Phoenix Mercury at Minnesota Lynx (+2.5, 178.5)

The Lynx really miss Seimone Augustus.

Tearing her ACL just 24 hours after dropping 30 points in an 86-83 win at Sacramento, the Lynx watched their star and the team’s leading scorer go down for the remainder of the season. And the squad has greatly missed Augustus’ 21 points per game, as it has dropped two of its past three after winning four of five to start the season.

If Minnesota (5-3) is to regroup and continue its push for the playoffs, it must get past Phoenix (6-3), which has used its up-tempo attack to rocket to first place in the Western Conference standings.

For Minnesota to have a chance, it must get a standout performance from Candice Wiggins (13.3 ppg) to counter Phoenix star Diana Taurasi (22.6 ppg).

Pick: Mercury -2.5


Washington Mystics at Chicago Sky (-5.5, 151)

The sky is the limit for Chicago as long as they have Jia Perkins.

Perkins again saved the Sky when she buried the game-winning jumper in a 99-98 win over the Atlanta Dream. She finished the game with 20 points, further cementing the fact her season averages of 17.9 points, 4.7 rebounds and four assists per game are no fluke.

"She is one of our All-Stars, even though she hasn't been voted in yet," Chicago coach Steven Key told the Associated Press. "Jia put us on her back."

If the Sky are to remain perfect at home, they must take advantage of the mediocre Washington defense which yields 78 points per game.

Pick: Sky -5.5
 

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Cajun Sports

Minnesota Twins vs. St Louis Cardinals (MLB)
Jun 27, 2009 1:10 PM EDT

Play: Minnesota Twins


The St. Louis Cardinals are hosting a three-game interleague set against the Minnesota Twins at Bush Stadium this weekend. The Cards lost game one to the Twins on Friday night 3 to 1 and will want to bounce back from that loss but that may be too tall an order for this Cardinals team on Saturday. St. Louis is facing a Twins team that is 53-18 W/L their last seventy-one interleague games overall. The Twins are 26-7 W/L their last thirty-three interleague games versus teams with a winning record including 8-2 W/L on the road in that situation. More bad news for the Cards as the Twins will send right-hander Kevin Slowey to the bump who is a perfect 7-0 W/L his last seven interleague starts and 10-2 W/L overall on the season. Minnesota’s bullpen has also been solid on the highway with eight chances and seven saves for 87.5 percent with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.149. The Cards will counter with Todd Wellemeyer who has a record of 6-7 W/L overall on the season with an ERA of 5.53 and a WHIP of 1.645. When Wellemeyer takes this hill at home his record is 3-5 W/L with an ERA of 5.47 and a WHIP of 1.627. St. Louis is 1-6 W/L their last seven when Wellemeyer is installed as a home underdog and 1-6 W/L when he takes the hill after the team has suffered a loss in their last game. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects a Twins win on Saturday by 1.6 runs and our Math Model also favors the visitor with a two run victory. So lay the short price with the Twins as they grab the second game of this three-game set to ensure a series win.

Graded Selection: 2* Minnesota Twins 5 St. Louis Cardinals 3
 

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Tom Freese

MLB | Jun 26

Phi Phillies vs. Tor B-jays Total

9 un-115

Philadelphia is 7-2 UNDER their last 9 Interleague road games. Starting pitcher Cole Hamels has a better than 4-1 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. The Phillies are 7-3-1 UNDER in Game 1 of a series and they are 13-6-1 UNDER in the last 20 starts made by Hamels. Toronto starter Ricky Romero has allowed 3 or less runs in 7 of his 9 starts. Toronto is 4-1-2 UNDER vs. a team with a road win percentage of over 60%. The Blue Jays are 5-2 UNDER their last 7 games as underdogs. PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Romero vs. Hamels)
 
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JIM FEIST

(917) CINCINNATI REDS
(918) CLEVELAND INDIANS.
Take: over the total.

Reason: A couple of teams with decent offenses but thin on pitching. The Reds are on a 4-1 run over the total after picking up an extra bat, getting a DH in this Interleague stretch. Young Cincy hurler Homer Bailey still has a ways to go, with a 12.46 ERA. Cleveland is a fine hitter's park and the Indians have been on a 6-3 run over the total. Starter Tomo Ohka is also hittable, with a 4.70 ERA. All in all, look for plenty of hits and runs. Play the Reds/Indians over the total.
 
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Brad Diamond Sports

Saturday
Play on: Philadelphia/Toronto OVER the total

The Phillies are getting a steady diet of left handers in this series up in Canada. However, starter Brad Mills did not throw well down in Philly last week going just 3 2/3 innings. The game ended up being an 8-7 win for the Jays. Opposing hurler Happ of Philadelphia is 4-0 this season, but really struggled in his last outing against Orioles allowing ten hits, but was fortunate as the Phillies made a few super plays in the outfield to keep the youngster from an early out. The Blue Jays are 17-5-3 OVER in the Inter-League sessions and 6-0 OVER in the last six encounters at home. Philadelphia counters at 8-2-2 OVER as a chalk.
 

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Red Dog Sports

Boston at Atlanta (4pm)
Play Boston

The Red Sox seem to play well when Tim Wakefield pitches as thye are 11-3 in his starts while the Braves are just 6-9 when Vazquez is on the hill. The Braves are just 17-20 at home while the Red Sox have done well in interleague play and won last night in Atlanta. Plat the Red Sox at +120.
 

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Karl Garrett

For Saturday, play the OVER between the Reds and the Indians.

These teams opened the weekend at Progressive Field by playing OVER the total last night.
That makes it 4 in a row, and 5 of the last 6 OVER the posted price for the Reds, while the Indians have been HIGH in 2 of their last 3, and 7 of their last 10.
I know full well that starters Homer Bailey, and Tomo Ohka are not likely to be around very long in this game, and I have seen the way the Indians bullpen is just pure garbage this season, so let's go OVER the posted total this Saturday night in the Reds-Indians game.
Bailey and Ohka hit the showers early, the runs add up, and the Reds and Indians combine for 14 runs tonight.

1♦ OVER
 

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Sports Gambling Hotline

The Cubs snapped a 4-game losing streak yesterday aftermoon, and we like them to build on yesterday's win with another "W" on the south-side this Saturday afternoon.
Lou Piniella's team is now 10-5 the last 15 times these teams have met in interleague ball,
Ryan Dempster was a hard-luck loser against the Braves his last time out, as he worked 7 innings of 2 run ball, but took the loss. That makes just 6 runs allowed in Dempster's last 20 innings of work, with an 0-2 mark to show for it.
Mark Buehrle is fresh off a win against Cincinnati, as he worked 7 innings without allowing an earned run. His 2 previous starts saw 9 runs score in 12 innings of work.
We feel the price is right for a shot on the underdog Cubs who have played so well in the Pale Hose ball yard this Saturday afternoon.
Play on the Cubbies.

2♦ CUBS
 

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Chris Jordan

We're siding with the Brewers laying a cheap price to visiting San Francisco, as they scored the easy 5-1 win in last night's series opener and will carry the momentum over to tonight's game.
The Brewers will make it two in a row over San Francisco tonight, as they carry the momentum over from beating up on Matt Cain, and will have their way with southpaw Barry Zito, who has an inflated 7.47 ERA in his last three outings.
Yovani Gallardo was brilliant last night, limiting the Giants to just four hits in a 5-1 win in the series opener, leading the Brewers to their eighth win in the last 10 meetings with the Giants, and the 15th in the last 18 in Milwaukee.
And while I know Zito is 2-1 in his last three starts, and the Giants have won three of his last four outings, but he has struggled against the Brew Crew, losing three of his four career outings against it - including all three in Milwaukee. The southpaw has allowed 21 runs in 14-1/3 innings of work at Miller Park dating back to the 2007 season. Plus, the Giants are now an abysmal 1-15 in his last 16 starts against N.L. Central teams.
I know Seth McClung will be making his first start since September of last year, but he’s been solid out of the bullpen this season, lasting pitching in relief last Tuesday, when he tossed one inning against the Twins. He’s produced a 3-1 mark with a respectable 3.24 ERA along the way, and tonight he’s going to be looking to make a good impression when he toes the slab as the starter.

Take Milwaukee tonight.

2♦ BREWERS
 

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Bobby Maxwell

The Cubs got a 5-4 win over their rivals on Friday night thatnks to a three-run homer from catcher Geovany Soto. The White Sox just don't have enough offense to back in this matchup of two very good pitchers. We're playing the Cubs and Ryan Dempster (4-5, 3.83 ERA) in this one.
Dempster has a 2.10 ERA in his last four starts but his teammates haven't been giving him any run support, scoring a total of five runs for him in those four starts. Monday he gave up two runs in 6.2 innings but the Cubs didn't get him any run support. He will be out to redeem himself after giving up three runs in six innings and walking six in a 4-1 loss to the White Sox on June 17.
The Cubs are 6-2 in Dempster's last eight Saturday starts and 4-0 in their last four interleague road games against teams with losing records. Meanwhile, the White Sox are 3-8 in their last 11 games as a home favorite.
Mark Buehrle starts for the White Sox and he got knocked around in his last home outing, giving up five runs in 6.1 innings to the Tigers in a 7-6 loss. In fact, the White Sox have lost his last three starts at home.
The Cubs have won 12 of the last 17 meetings against their American League rivals and snapped a four-game losing streak with Friday's win. Play the Cubs today.

2♦ CHICAGO CUBS
 

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MLB Weekend Cheat Sheet
Marc Lawrence

The final round of Interleague play for the 2009 season concludes this weekend and the MLB CHEAT SHEET is here to guide you through.

This week we key in on four intra-state rivalries, all of who will be meeting for the second time this season.

Keep in mind that all pitcher records are ‘team starts' unless noted otherwise. Good luck this weekend…

Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox

Most Recent Series Result: White Sox 5-1 last six games vs. Cubs (1-1 this year)

Most Recent Series Result: at the Site: White Sox 3-0 last three home games vs. White Sox

Key Day/Month Stat: Cubs 14-6 on Sundays; White Sox 0-4 home on Sundays

Best Arm in the Series: Cubs' Lilly 8-2 5.94 ERA career team starts vs. White Sox; Zambrano 2-0 3.33 ERA last two away vs. White Sox

Worst Arm in the Series: White Sox' Buerhle 1-4 5.27 ERA last four starts vs. Cubs

Florida Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays

Most Recent Series Result: Rays 9-2 last eleven games vs. Marlins (2-1 this year)

Most Recent Series Result at the Site: Marlins 4-2 last six games away vs. Rays

Key Day/Month Stat: Rays 16-2 home on Fridays; Marlins 1-5 on Fridays

Best Arm in the Series: Rays' Sonnanstine 4-0 3.09 ERA career team starts vs. Marlins; Garza 2-0 1.13 ERA career team starts vs. Marlins

Worst Arm in the Series: Marlins' Johnson 0-1 1.37 ERA away career start vs. Rays

Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Indians

Most Recent Series Result: Reds 8-2 last ten games vs. Indians (2-1 this year)

Most Recent Series Result at the Site: Indians 10-6 last sixteen home games vs. Reds

Key Day/Month Stat: Indians 5-1 home on Sundays; Reds 1-7 on Sundays

Best Arm in the Series: Reds' Cueto 3-0 2.33 ERA career team starts vs. Indians

Worst Arm in the Series: Indians' Sowers 0-2 9.00 ERA home career team starts vs. Reds; Indians' Pavano 0-2 13.10 ERA career team starts vs. Reds

New York Yankees at New York Mets

Most Recent Series Result: Yankees 4-2 last six games vs. Mets (2-1 this year)

Most Recent Series Result at the Site: Yankees 3-1 last four away games vs. Mets

Key Day/Month Stat: Mets 9-1 on Fridays (5-0 home)

Best Arm in the Series: Yankees' Pettite 6-3 2.63 ERA last nine away team starts vs. Mets

Worst Arm in the Series: Mets' Maine 0-2 16.50 ERA career team starts vs. Mets
 
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Dave Cokin

919) DETROIT TIGERS
(920) HOUSTON ASTROS
Take "(919) DETROIT TIGERS"

The Tigers let a 4-0 lead get away last night, and with it went their seven game winning streak. But I give the Motowners a good shot to get back on the beam here. Figaro did a nice job in his debut, and I expect him to receive lots of run support as the Tigers go to work on Felipe Paulino. I'll lay the small spot with Detroit.
 

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