Tomasz Drwal +116
Mike Ciesnolevicz -128
Pick: Tomasz Drwal +116
stake: 7/10
Tomasz have the edge in standup and better cardio. Ciesnolelevicz could be dangerous on the ground but Tom have good takedown defence and overall good submission defence. Important thing is also that Tom looked great at the weigh-inns(much better than last time) and had no troubles in making weight. My prediction is Tomasz by TKO 1 r
Good Luck
#1
Dan Henderson vs Michael Bisping
Pick: Dan Henderson
odds: -200
stake: 10/10
10 units to win 5
#2
Dolloway CB vs Lawlor T
Pick: Dolloway CB
odds: -175
stake: 10/10
10 units to win 5.7
I'm very confident of those picks. There is a lot of value in. Comparing withother favourites: GSP is -320 and he's fighting Alves. Next is Bonar - 365 fighting with Coleman... And those are no bets for me.(maybe I will bet Coleman just before the event)
Dan Henderson vs Michael Bisping
Pick: Dan Henderson
odds: -200
stake: 10/10
10 units to win 5
#2
Dolloway CB vs Lawlor T
Pick: Dolloway CB
odds: -175
stake: 10/10
10 units to win 5.7
I'm very confident of those picks. There is a lot of value in. Comparing withother favourites: GSP is -320 and he's fighting Alves. Next is Bonar - 365 fighting with Coleman... And those are no bets for me.(maybe I will bet Coleman just before the event)
#1
Paulo Filho vs Melvin Manhoef
Pick: Paulo Filho
odds: -135
3 units to win 2.2
If Paulo take him down he will submit him quickly. Best weapon for Melvin is strong wrestler/submission guy. But risking only 4 units because Melvin is in my opinion most dangerous striker in mma right now. Paulo had mental problems (painkillers/depression) but now everything seems to be ok. There are no roid tests here in Japan. He looks way much better at the training pics than the last time when he fought Sonnen. First round lasts 10 minutes in Dream and thats a favour for grapplers.
#2
Andre Amade vs Katsunori Kikuno
Pick: Andre Amade
odds: +145
4 units to win 5.8
Katsunori has nice record but he havent fought never outside small Japan island. Well rounded but with no specialisation in any martial art. Amade is a solid K1 level striker. Good matchup for him because Kikuno likes to trade punches. Amade has train before this fight at A. Ribeiro academy. Also taken lightly because it's Japan.
Paulo Filho vs Melvin Manhoef
Pick: Paulo Filho
odds: -135
3 units to win 2.2
If Paulo take him down he will submit him quickly. Best weapon for Melvin is strong wrestler/submission guy. But risking only 4 units because Melvin is in my opinion most dangerous striker in mma right now. Paulo had mental problems (painkillers/depression) but now everything seems to be ok. There are no roid tests here in Japan. He looks way much better at the training pics than the last time when he fought Sonnen. First round lasts 10 minutes in Dream and thats a favour for grapplers.
#2
Andre Amade vs Katsunori Kikuno
Pick: Andre Amade
odds: +145
4 units to win 5.8
Katsunori has nice record but he havent fought never outside small Japan island. Well rounded but with no specialisation in any martial art. Amade is a solid K1 level striker. Good matchup for him because Kikuno likes to trade punches. Amade has train before this fight at A. Ribeiro academy. Also taken lightly because it's Japan.
UFC 101 - August 8
#1
Shane Nelson vs Aron Riley
Pick: Aron Riley
odds: -155
stake: 7/10
bet 7 to win 4.5
It's an unfinished business for me and for Aron Riley. I was betting on Aron when they fought at UFC 96 and I lost because refree has stopped the fight from no reason. This won't happen again.
Nothing much to say. Aron is a better fighter from those two. If nothing unexpected happen he should win via TKO or decision.
UFC 101 weigh-in vid
WEC 42- August 9
#2
Ricardo Lamas vs Danny Castillo
Pick: Ricardo Lamas
odds: -190
stake: 8/10
8 to win 4.2
Both fighters are wellrounded but in my opinion Ricardo have the edge in every aspect of the game - better boxing, wrestling, submissions and cardio.
Not so long time ago Danny was easly submited by Cerrone who start train submissions about 3 years ago. Danny is 7 - 1 - 0 (Win - Loss - Draw) - five of his wins are on fighters with 16 - 38 combined record. His last win with Cardella was after very unfair judging. Those who follow my picks should remember that I was betting against Danny that time. So it's also small unfinished business for me.
Expect Ricardo to win via submission or take unanimous decision.
#3
Ed Ratcliff vs Phill Cardella
Pick: Phill Cardella
odds: +285
stake: 4/10
4 to win 11.4
I didn't expected Ed to be such a favourite. I know that he is a prospect and people like to watch his fight... but hey, he's fighting very experienced bjj black belt. Those who bet on him at -350 may be dissapointed.
Picks taken at 5dimes and bodog.http://www.bodoglife.com/welcome/2588138/sports-betting/mixed-martial-arts.jsp
#1
Shane Nelson vs Aron Riley
Pick: Aron Riley
odds: -155
stake: 7/10
bet 7 to win 4.5
It's an unfinished business for me and for Aron Riley. I was betting on Aron when they fought at UFC 96 and I lost because refree has stopped the fight from no reason. This won't happen again.
Nothing much to say. Aron is a better fighter from those two. If nothing unexpected happen he should win via TKO or decision.
UFC 101 weigh-in vid
WEC 42- August 9
#2
Ricardo Lamas vs Danny Castillo
Pick: Ricardo Lamas
odds: -190
stake: 8/10
8 to win 4.2
Both fighters are wellrounded but in my opinion Ricardo have the edge in every aspect of the game - better boxing, wrestling, submissions and cardio.
Not so long time ago Danny was easly submited by Cerrone who start train submissions about 3 years ago. Danny is 7 - 1 - 0 (Win - Loss - Draw) - five of his wins are on fighters with 16 - 38 combined record. His last win with Cardella was after very unfair judging. Those who follow my picks should remember that I was betting against Danny that time. So it's also small unfinished business for me.
Expect Ricardo to win via submission or take unanimous decision.
#3
Ed Ratcliff vs Phill Cardella
Pick: Phill Cardella
odds: +285
stake: 4/10
4 to win 11.4
I didn't expected Ed to be such a favourite. I know that he is a prospect and people like to watch his fight... but hey, he's fighting very experienced bjj black belt. Those who bet on him at -350 may be dissapointed.
Picks taken at 5dimes and bodog.http://www.bodoglife.com/welcome/2588138/sports-betting/mixed-martial-arts.jsp
