**** Riggs Totals Formula As Promised ****

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Dr. Is IN
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Riggs

I think the majority are willing to give you a chance, I think if you spent less time responding you would get less feedback and we could keep this thread where its suppossed to be.
Regards,
joe
 

the maker of steam
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Guys,in all honesty I believe this guy is a joker,and not a serious capper.I've read over and over again,and while I wish he was on to something,he really's just yanking your chains.



Northern Lights, a buddy of mine says you are a respected guy,therefore,let me start by wishing you all the best,as he talks highly of you,and second,don't waste your time with this guy.nothing but bad for the site.totally disrespectful




RIGGS,if you are truly serious about your system,and have a large bankroll obviously as you have stated.why not put up 3k in a capping challenge.I'll do it once a month with you if need be.


3k a shot.have someone make up the rules.should be no problem taking my money since you are THE MIGHTY RIGGS



I'll check back soon on your answer
 

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RIGGS,

After reading this thread for the last couple of days and reading your response to Northern Star, I couldn't just sit back any longer without posting. You have made some outlandish claims of hitting over 70% in totals, going 8-0 in the AFL, among other claims. Like Northern Star said, there have been many people who have claimed to have this "secret formula" or secret "system" to be a huge money maker. Although there have been some great systems (mike chad, tatehill,) posted on this site, there is no system that is going to hit 70% over the course of the season. The fact that you are even saying this is foolish and reprehensible. Also, by making your fantasy claims of how much money you will win people and saying that you "wont believe your eyes" at the amount you are winning, you are just asking for trouble. Like Northern Star said, there are great handicappers who specialze in one sport or one aspect of the sport. To come on this forum and make your claims about your unreal formula in NBA totals, and then post in the AFL forum about going undefeated and then also post NCAA and NBA sides just shows me that you are a joke. Maybe, you have come up with a system in the NBA for totals that can be lucrative over the course of the season. But, to come on here and make all the claims that you have is just ridiculous. Also, when you bash other people when they are just giving their thoughts and opinions on your system, you are just making yourself look bad. Play your games without all the bullshit and if you give out winners the respect will come. But, there is no way that you cracked the secret of Vegas and now you will get rich off of it. And I don't need any math degrees or need to specialize in calculus or statistics to know this. Any capper who knows this business can see right through your BS. Give me a break guy! What a joke!

SB

P.S. Nice 0-3 night last night by the way. Funny how you never had a night without winning a game prior to last night. And then on your second night posting, you have an 0-3 night. Must be a coincidence, huh? :finger:
 

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Riggs

Riggs I'm with you man...<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>

<o:p></o:p>

To tell you the truth I could care less how your system works or how many degrees you or anyone else has. This isn't a dick measuring contest. If your system works it works... In my book, all that matters is whether or not you have a "W" on your chest at the end of the day. We are all here to win some money and you seem to be on to something "positive" (no pun intended).<o:p></o:p>

<o:p></o:p>

I appreciate your efforts and insight. Now that doesn't mean I am a believer yet, but I am definitely going to track you and see how this whole deal pans out. I wish you nothing but the best... and to all you haters :finger: <?xml:namespace prefix = v ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:vml" /><v:shapetype id=_x0000_t75 stroked="f" filled="f" path="m@4@5l@4@11@9@11@9@5xe" o:preferrelative="t" o:spt="75" coordsize="21600,21600"><v:stroke joinstyle="miter"></v:stroke><v:formulas><v:f eqn="if lineDrawn pixelLineWidth 0"></v:f><v:f eqn="sum @0 1 0"></v:f><v:f eqn="sum 0 0 @1"></v:f><v:f eqn="prod @2 1 2"></v:f><v:f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelWidth"></v:f><v:f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelHeight"></v:f><v:f eqn="sum @0 0 1"></v:f><v:f eqn="prod @6 1 2"></v:f><v:f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelWidth"></v:f><v:f eqn="sum @8 21600 0"></v:f><v:f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelHeight"></v:f><v:f eqn="sum @10 21600 0"></v:f></v:formulas><v:path o:connecttype="rect" gradientshapeok="t" o:extrusionok="f"></v:path><o:lock aspectratio="t" v:ext="edit"></o:lock></v:shapetype><v:shape id=_x0000_i1025 style="WIDTH: 27.75pt; HEIGHT: 11.25pt" alt="" type="#_x0000_t75"><v:imagedata o:href=\"http://forum.therx.com/images/smilies/finger.gif\" src="file:///C:DOCUME~1JASONB~1LOCALS~1Tempmsohtml1\01clip_image001.gif"></v:imagedata></v:shape>

 

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Riggs

First off, a friend asked me to view this thread on this forum. It is hysterical. I have lurked on other forums before and even signed up for one over a year ago, but I had to sign up here today and respond to the nonsense in here.

Secondly, I have a doctorate from MIT in Statistical Analysis and was valedictorian there and in High School. I wrote my thesis on "The Prediction of Random Effects in Sports Gambling using BLUP (Best Linear Unbiased Predictors)". I contacted a Sportsbook in Vegas and they set me up with a Vegas company that sent me over two decades worth of information in multiple sports so I could back-test line data and game results. The results were quite staggering.

Given two random variables with a joint bivariate normal distribution, the estimated mean of one corresponding to a specified value of the other is known as a predictor of the particular realization of the random variable. Recent literature has tended to use the term predictor, rather than estimator, when referring to random effects. When prediction is based on the regression line, the preictor is known as a best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP) of the ranom effect.


In relation to the prediction used in plant and animal breeding, the BLUP of Gcorresponding to a particular value P(i) of the phenotype will always be closer to the population mean than P(i) itself. Compared to P(i), the BLUP of G(i) is shrunken towards the mean. The degree of shrinkage depends on the variance-covariance structure of the bivariate distribution. In general, the shrinkage factor will be the ratio of the covariance between the two variables to the variance of the conditioning variable.




BLUP is an important principle in mixed model analysis.






The example I used for sports betting was similar to:



Y[ijk] = m + F(i) + R[j] + FR[ij] + e[ijk], where F(i) represents the fixed effect of the vegas lines, R[j] represents the random effect of line movement [j], FR[ij] represents the random indeteration between the vegas lines and the line movements, and e[ijk] represents a random error associated with a particular observation. Assume that R[j] are random samples from a population with mean zero and variance V[R], FR[ij] are random samples from a population with mean zero and variance V[FR], and e[ijk] are random samples from a population with mean zero and variance V[e]. Furthermore, assume that R[j], FR[ij] and e[ijk] are independent.




With this model, the expected value of any observation Y[ijk] is m + F. The variance of any observation is V[R] + V[FR] + V[e]. The covariance between any two observations from the same machine-operator combination is V[R] + V[FR]. The covariance between two observations from the same operator but different machines is V[R]. The covariance between two observations from different operators is zero.


Anyway, it is pointless to try and explain how this works using these formulas unless you have the background to understand it.


Bottom line is this:


This RIGGS guy is a total moron. An idiot. A bully who talks tough on the Internet and makes wild promises. He claims to have found the "golden goose", as Northern Star points out (more on him later). "Bobby" Riggs is obviously a narcissistic egomaniac.


The part that cracks me up the most (and I cannot believe nobody else has picked up on this) is the part where he actually believe that He and Vegas are actually in a "chess-match" with each other!!! Hysterical!!! LMAO!!! He actually thinks that Vegas knows the outcomes of these games and then in turn produces these Over/Under "cycles" to throw the bettors off. LMAO!!!

And of course, since Riggs is suck a friggin "genius", he has "discovered" what Vegas is "secretly" up to and is "cleaning up" now, making "piles and piles" of money. And gosh, how nice of this clown to SHARE this "discovery" with the general public for free!! How nice. How altruistic. How much BS can this guy shovel out???


He claims the formula is based on calculus and algebra, yet when pressed, it is REALLY just simple addition and subtraction, and the only "trick" is for this "genius" RIGGS to figure out when Vegas is "changing their cycles" around. LMAO!!!


Last night, just his 2nd time posting here, he goes 0-3 and of course that is the first 0-3 he has ever had with this system. LMAO!!! He explains this as "vegas messing with me". ROTF LMAO!!! Yeah, Vegas sees him posting at the RX now, so they "pulled a fast one" and reversed the cycle on him yesterday!! ROTF LMAO!!!! How utterly ridiculous, laughable and absurd.


And now Mr. Internet Tough Guy Riggs is going to be "up all night" crunching numbers and tweaking formulas for us so he can figure out what Vegas is up to. How tricky of Vegas to reverse that cycle on poor Mr. Riggs last night out of the blue. How unfair of Vegas to do that!! LMAO!!!


This guy is a FRAUD. He last about 2 weeks at covers.com, lost his ass there with this "system" he "discovered" that "hits 70%". He had the same wild claims there, and as soon as he went into the tank, which was quick, the sharks swam in after this tough guy, who was now chum, and ate him alive, which is already starting to happen here. And of course this bully, like ALL bullies, just attacks his attackers by "yelling louder", using worse insults than they did and just being unbearably condescending, always acting like he is the "expert" and everyone else is the "moron". I see in just 2 days, the same pattern is already happening here. No surprise.


This guy has no formula based on calculus, in fact, he has no friggin clue in the world how to hit even 60% with this fairytale system, let alone 70%. Somebody needs to send a boat over to Fantasy Island and bring Riggs back to reality. But I doubt he'll ever leave, so say hello to Mr. Rourke for me, ok numbskull?


Anybody can claim to be a friggin genius on the Internet. That's the beauty of the Internet. Anyone can type whatever they want, live in whatever fantasy world they want, and who is to say it isn't true?


Take Northern Star, who wrote that eloquent rebuttal today. Here is part of it:


"In regards to my abilities, I scored in the top one tenth of one percent in math on my college entrance test ( a perfect score ), I received a full ride scholarship, I have an aerospace engineering degree and I will probably be the only person you know that has had information so good that they couldn't get a $5 (grocery store dollars that is) bet accepted at a major sportsbook in Las Vegas. Let me know when Ceasar Palace or some other major sportsbook tells you "I am sorry sir but we don't want you action on a $5 bet" (I think it would have paid about $50)"


And twice in your response, you said you have been gambling for "over 30 years", which of course coupled with the above "abilities" gives you instant "credibility", right?? Well, all it takes is one look at your profile to see your birthday is January 26, 1969. So I guess you were gambling at Age 3, 4, 5 or 6, then, huh?

You see, this is the "beauty" of the interent. you can lie-lie-lie all day long and who can really prove it?

Just because you typed those impressive "credentials" on an Internet forum, Northern Star, doesn't mean they are true. Anybody can type that BS. It doesn't make it fact. The same way I typed my "credentials" at the top of my reply. None of that is actually true. None of it. But how would you know if I didn't tell you?? You wouldn't. Yes, I understand you were just trying to call this a-hole Riggs out and the best way to argue with a narcissistic bully is to pump yourself up full of "credentials" the same way the LIAR RIGGS did, so you are forgiven.

But the "Almighty Riggs"......You are a farce, a liar, a bully, a JOKE. Period. You are already 7-7 and won't get much better than that.

I will say what everyone in here is thinkig but haven't said:

I am rooting against you. I am rooting against ALL of your picks, unless I happen to bet one of them myself, and believe me, if I am on the same side as you on a pick from time to time, it has NOTHING to do with you being on it, believe me, loser. You are a blowhard, fraudulent, narcissistic bully. Why don't you get out now and cut your losses? Stop posting immediately and save yourself further humiliation.

There is no "secret formula" to picking winners, people, like Northern Star said. And I've seen hundreds of clowns come along on forums like this with ridiculous stories like this.

BEWARE!!


This guy is nothing but an attention whore. All he talks about is how many views he got at covers. That's ALL that he REALLY cares about, here. He is a lonely, broke loser who needs attention, so this kind of interaction with "people" on the Net fulfills all the things that are missing in his life.

This is a sports forum. NOBODY cares about secret formulas, calculus, algebra, inside information, cycles and whatever else.

All people care about here is WINNERS. If you cannot pick winners, people don't care. Ok, Mr. Riggs?? They don't care if your system is a monkey throwing darts at a dartboard, if it hits 60% over the course of the season, THAT is all that matters. You dopes here on these forums are all too wrapped up in providing a "secret" system or "mathematical" system or "fade" system or "quit factor" system. All of which are ridiculous.

You want attention, just pick winners, nobody really cares how you did it if you can do it consistently.

WAKE UP, people.
 
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I can't get enough of this thread.

It is unfortunate that the All-Star break occured when Riggs introduced his system. It could be a legitimate reason things took a turn for the worse yesterday.


IS
 

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Vegas_Insider: I don't need to share all of my personal information on a forum including my age and birthdate by my choice. Information in regards to my educational background and experiences in gambling are accurate. I typically refrain from posting. My opinion in general is that handicapping in general is an inate ability and some people are better at handicapping than others. Some are better and some sports for whatever reason. I personally tend to struggle the most at handicapping football. I am best off trying to take a team I would hate to bet on and play them or see what I feel the public is on and play the other side. In other sports I have some theories that I believe have logic to them and can produce winners. If I do post my picks in some of those sports I will do so just in an attempt to help the average bettor win more games than they lose. I will probably keep my logic to myself or a close circle of friends. I use to gamble professionally and it can be a fun way to make a living and at the same time a very hard way to make a living. The emotional rollercoaster was tough on me personally, for that reason I am now a recreational player. I make very small plays and watch a game and walk on my treadmill. At least it makes excercising less painful and if a can manage a small profit great if I lose my life doesn't change. Many gamblers can not approach it that way. After spending alot of time trying to find what I call the "golden goose" I think the best advice I can give is gambling and gamblers go on streaks. You can either ride a hot player or just as successful for me is going against a cold player. the hard part is knowing when the streak is over. My basement has boxes of stats on handicapping services. I could tell you the goldsheets plays from 10 years ago, the size of the play and wether it wonor lost. I could tell you their record in college and pro football, playoff records, o/u, monday night record, super 7, top plays and regular plays as an example. It just became too much time and energy and I have a family that needs my attention now. Manage your money, show displine and look for hot or cold players if you don't handicap on your own. As Always Good Luck and if you ever have a question or idea that you would like to bounce off me I would be happy to try to help, I think I have a good understanding of the industry and love it when someone has original or different idea. Good Luck Again
 

You play... to win... the game
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Insider--

Throwing out every part of this tirade of yours that was bashing Riggs (none of which I minded, most of which I thought was pretty funny), you leave in ton of insight that is sometimes lost in the shuffle. I don't think that people are against insight on the board. It actually shows that they know information... it's whether you choose to believe it. Personally, I only post facts that can typically be found on the internet, and when applicable, I leave a website in which the information can be viewed. Any stat that I give can be traced. I go to the assumption that everyone else is the same way with every other sport, but I don't coattail anyone in here.

But regardless, you've opened the eyes of many on this board with your most recent post and I for one thank you for it. Very insightful information indeed.

Best wishes,
--AFLGuru:toast:
 

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I can't wait for tonights (Neg.) games. I just got done reading Vegas_Insiders post. I started about 4 AM this morning, and as I said, I just finnished! Wow, this CLOWN needs a smoke.

When I go 6-3 or 8-1 tonight, and 30-10 this week, I wonder were NERDS like Vegas are gonna be? Do you think for a minute that this is the first time that this has happened to me? Hell, I'm used to 5,000 posts on my threads everyday! How many MORONS do you think were on those? And yet they still kept comming back. Wonder why? Winning baby! That's why! Don't worry, there will be more 8,000 word posts from others. At least 3 or 4 more this week alone.

Bottom line? You see the dates and numbers. Do the backtesting yourself, forget trusting me. I just hate when they never show up again after it proves right. That's the thing that happens more than anything. You'll see. This CLOWN (Vegas) will drop like a fly in the next week, and someone can then take his username and start all over. Like he said, don't believe everything you read.



RIGGS:dancefool on Vegas_Insiders grave! :finger:
 

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Hey Steam Maker -


How do I get those LARGE MIGHTY RIGGS words on my posts?

:lolBIG: :lolBIG: :lolBIG:


THE MIIIIIIGHTY RIIIIIIIGGS.:dancefool
 

EX BOOKIE
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IN ALL MY YEARS AS A BOOKIE I HAVE SEEN ABOUT 10 PLAYERS



LIKE MIGHTY RIGGS



THEY DONT LAST LONG...... I'M ONLY POSTING THIS BECAUSE IT A NEGATIVE WEEK:biglaugh:


I'M ACE-ACE AND I APPROVE THIS MESSAGE!!!!
 

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ACE-ACE said:
IN ALL MY YEARS AS A BOOKIE I HAVE SEEN ABOUT 10 PLAYERS



LIKE MIGHTY RIGGS



THEY DONT LAST LONG...... I'M ONLY POSTING THIS BECAUSE IT A NEGATIVE WEEK:biglaugh:


I'M ACE-ACE AND I APPROVE THIS MESSAGE!!!!


Classic ACE-ACE! :103631605
 

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Come on Riggs, take on SteamMaker, you can kick his ass in a capping contest.
 

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Hey, where's all those MIGHTY RIGGS supporters when I really need ya? So typical of message boards. Just call me WILLIAM WALLACE I guess.


To JHOV81, Joelatti, and Inspades! Thanks guys for having the BALLS to get up here in the front lines with me! All you other NERDS and so-called SUPPORTERS, will never get help from me ever again. Just try and get in my camp now!


The four of us will DOMINATE the thread now, just try and get in.........


THE MIGHTY RIGGS and his crew!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 

EX BOOKIE
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RIGGS.....EVERYBODY SEEM TO HAVE YOUR NUMBER! IF

YOU ARE THE NEXT "MESSIAH" .....I WISH YOU LUCK...

ONLY A WINNING RECORD IS NEEDED TO GAIN RESPECT....

YOU TALK ABOUT "I HAD OVER 5,000 POST IN MY THREAD"

THAT GREAT

IF YOU HIT MY NAME(ACE-ACE)
GO TO FIND ALL THREADS STARTED
AND GO TO NFL WK16......
THAT THREAD WAS FOR 7 DAYS....34,867 POST

I DID IT WITH-OUT FIGHTING WITH ANYONE....

ALL ANY ONE WANT IS GOOD CAPPING....AND GOOD TALK.....I HOPE YOU HERE ME......

THE MORE PLAYERS WE HAVE THE MORE WE ALL CAN LEARN...

WELCOME TO THE FORUM...

GOOD LUCK IT UP TO YOU....
 

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