NBA Totals Plays: 7-4-0
CBB ATS Plays: 4-2-0
I am going to continue using this thread for the days to come, for my daily plays for one reason and one reason only. I explained a couple of posts ago how this formula works, and I'd like to get everyone an opportunity to take a look at it. As for today, here are the NBA formula plays:
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NBA THURSDAY 2/ 24/ 05
PHILADELPHIA/NEW YORK UNDER-201
SACRAMENTO/DALLAS UNDER-212
MINNESOTA/LA-CLIPPERS OVER-183
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Now I would normally stay away from injuries and trades, so let's see what happens with the whole 'Webber' trade. The O'neil injury killed me last night for sure. With him in there, I go 8-3
RIGGS.
CBB ATS Plays: 4-2-0
I am going to continue using this thread for the days to come, for my daily plays for one reason and one reason only. I explained a couple of posts ago how this formula works, and I'd like to get everyone an opportunity to take a look at it. As for today, here are the NBA formula plays:
***********************************************************
NBA THURSDAY 2/ 24/ 05
PHILADELPHIA/NEW YORK UNDER-201
SACRAMENTO/DALLAS UNDER-212
MINNESOTA/LA-CLIPPERS OVER-183
***********************************************************
Now I would normally stay away from injuries and trades, so let's see what happens with the whole 'Webber' trade. The O'neil injury killed me last night for sure. With him in there, I go 8-3
RIGGS.
mos eyesly -
Go up to post #37 in this very thread, I want everyone to understand how my formula works. So you don't have to rely on myself when I'm gone. The way I broke down the formula, it's pretty elementary. Just read it a coulple of times and do some backtesting and you'll get how it works. But yes, we are in the midst of a NEGATIVE week.
RIGGS.
Go up to post #37 in this very thread, I want everyone to understand how my formula works. So you don't have to rely on myself when I'm gone. The way I broke down the formula, it's pretty elementary. Just read it a coulple of times and do some backtesting and you'll get how it works. But yes, we are in the midst of a NEGATIVE week.
RIGGS.
Riggs-
I don't want to beat a dead horse but I am still having trouble figuring out the play on Chicago last night. The Stardust opening was 197 with the scoring average of 196.3. You made the play an over at 196, which is less than the 2 point deviation from the average.
I guess I have two questions:
1. When the line is less than 2 points different from the scoring averages and doesn't move enough to create a 2 point difference would this be a no play?
2. If the line didn't move the required 2 points what made the Chicago game an over play?
Any explanation you can provide would be greatly appreciated.
Baker
I don't want to beat a dead horse but I am still having trouble figuring out the play on Chicago last night. The Stardust opening was 197 with the scoring average of 196.3. You made the play an over at 196, which is less than the 2 point deviation from the average.
I guess I have two questions:
1. When the line is less than 2 points different from the scoring averages and doesn't move enough to create a 2 point difference would this be a no play?
2. If the line didn't move the required 2 points what made the Chicago game an over play?
Any explanation you can provide would be greatly appreciated.
Baker
Don't associate a NEGATIVE week with under. Associate NEGATIVE with going against the bookie's move from the average total. SA/Hou averages 194, but the bookies set the line at 179.5 (down from the average - ie, they think the totals will be low). So, the NEGATIVE week tells you to go against the bookies and bet the OVER. If it were a positive week, then you should go with the bookies and bet the UNDER.
Devil, I think 'Baker' already understands that. What he wants to know is, when the line comes out 1 point different than the AVG, then is that a no play? The answer is yes but, it's a very rare thing for that to happen. These totals move like no other line in sports. I got the line at 195 but, my post said 196. I do that so everyone can see the current line. You have to wait for a 2 pt diff. When that happens, jump on it!
If the line would have stayed at 196 and the AVG was 197 and we are in a negative week then if you have the guts and all other signals say go, then yes, it would STILL be an over. Hope you are writing all this down 'Baker'.
RIGGS.
If the line would have stayed at 196 and the AVG was 197 and we are in a negative week then if you have the guts and all other signals say go, then yes, it would STILL be an over. Hope you are writing all this down 'Baker'.
RIGGS.
I think I have neg. and pos., thank you devil. Believe me, I'm not dumb, but I don't feel this 2 point differential was really explained. 2 points between the line and the team's averages? 2 point move in a certain direction relative to your pos. and neg. direction at the time? Sorry, I'm just not 100% certain and I want to be. Very impressive, hope this holds up!:drink:
Thanks Riggs-
No need to write it down, my mind is like a steel trap (or at least it rhymes with trap). One more questoin. How do you round the scoring averages? Still using Chicago as an example, the scoring average was 196.3. It would seem you rounded this up to 197 as you made a play on it at 195, is this what you would normally do?
Baker
No need to write it down, my mind is like a steel trap (or at least it rhymes with trap). One more questoin. How do you round the scoring averages? Still using Chicago as an example, the scoring average was 196.3. It would seem you rounded this up to 197 as you made a play on it at 195, is this what you would normally do?
Baker
Riggs...fyi
The BCN Contest is closed to new players sir.
Rules ---> http://forum.therx.com/showthread.php?t=236660
The BCN Contest is closed to new players sir.
Rules ---> http://forum.therx.com/showthread.php?t=236660
