Reverse Line Movement 2009 Thread

[cruisin]

Winner 2-0 on day with these plays.....Central Michigan -3 (up 7) still pending. CS Northridge and Santa Clara fit same model a little later in the night if % holds up

These are pretty solid, hope to see more. Northridge and SClara 2nite, is that it for these for today?:toast:

 

[Shaker11]

refresh me on the other model ankles so i dont have to sift through all the pages,i know it was a double system play on yale that one outright on friday thanks

 

[MetsFan44]

Basically, you look for all OPENING lines that you have a home favorite anywhere from 3.1 to 8.5. If you have 70% or more on either side you go the opposite way. If 70% or more is on the visitor, you go with the home team and lay the points, this has proved to go 60% in the past 5 years according to sportsinsights.

If you have the home team with 70% or more on them, you take the points with the visitor.

 

[MetsFan44]

That Yale play fit the reverse movement as the starting line for Brown was -4 and it dropped to -3 with more than 70% on Brown. Now this also fit the other model as more than 70% of the money was on Brown the home favorite with a starting line of -4. Gonna keep track of these where they both apply and see how much stronger the winning % is

 

[Shaker11]

Thanks again!

 

[MetsFan44]

Kansas State looks solid! hno:

 

[cowpokes]

2 plays for 7:00, PEPPERDINE OVER 144.5, GONZAGA UNDER 139 good luck

 

[cowpokes]

I will be heading out to watch the ufc fights tonight, dont know how much more i will be able to post. good luck all and hope your other plays stay hot ankles.

 

[MetsFan44]

I wont ruin it for you, but the fights are already over.

 

[Shaker11]

ankles have Mich at 69% not quite good enough

 

[MetsFan44]

nope and its too close to game time to even monitor......if it was 70 or more then you go with Ohio St with that other model

 

[cowpokes]

Wow taken to the cleaners with both games. Now 1-4 on the day for rlm plays

 

[MetsFan44]

Oregon State/Washington OVER looks like its shaping into a play

 

[cowpokes]

Well im out for the night guys. Hopefully we can get some wins.
Ankles, check out the wyoming total. think it needs 1% swing for a play as well.

:toast:

 

[MetsFan44]

Later, im out here soon too......Washington OVER is a play as of now

 

[MetsFan44]

UNLV under and Washington over are both plays that should do it for the night. good luck

 

[MetsFan44]

scratch Washington just dropped with more than 20 to go. Only UNLV under is the final play for the day

 

[MetsFan44]

Too many of these totals today are dropping in % and even going the other way with minutes till tip. Maybe we need to lay off the totals....they were awful today

 

[MetsFan44]

Pushed with the UNLV under last night....Cowpokes if you want to post the current record, since you have been keeping track.

For the home fav model, it went 4-1 yesterday. Not bad. Should only hit about 60%, but ill take that any day

 

[i8rice]

For the home fav model it looks pretty good. can you post every game or it only works on saturday. thanks in advance