Reverse Line Movement 2009 Thread

[cowpokes]

Cris, 5 Dimes and Pinnacle are all 1 full point.

oh sorry, need to sync up with you on that. I will add 5 dimes.

 

[MetsFan44]

Looks like Indiana as much as I hate to say it. Is another play +4 Along with Kansas State Pk

 

[cowpokes]

Going to need a breathing bag and a pint of vodka for this game

 

[yonko]

official plays boys?

 

[cowpokes]

Ya it is. I got it at 4.5, but officially it will be INDIANA +4

Both losses today were by a combined 2 points. Hopefully we can get back to .500 on the day with this play. goodluck

 

[MetsFan44]

yes

 

[cowpokes]

Crap almost forgot! KSTATE IS A PLAY AT +1

 

[MetsFan44]

I had added K State in my initial post a few posts ago, but i had at PK, been generous all day with these lines......+1 it is.

 

[cowpokes]

I had added K State in my initial post a few posts ago, but i had at PK, been generous all day with these lines......+1 it is.

Hahaha sorry i was so frantic to get it turned in i didnt even check. Thanks for being on the ball with that one.

 

[MetsFan44]

Reverse line movement in the Chicago Blackhawks game.....dropped from -185 to -165/-155 might be worth following. 78% on them

 

[fighter654]

Why's K State a play? I'm confused :s

 

[MetsFan44]

74% of money on Nebraska yet the line went from Nebraska -2.5 to -1. 1.5 movement in opposite direction. Sharp money is on Kansas State

 

[yonko]

you been doing this with hockey too?

 

[MetsFan44]

No but ive read that it works in all sports. Just depends on the criteria you set. Reading sportsinsights looks like they set the criteria at 60% where we are setting it at 70%. Their numbers are pretty much around 59.5% success. Cow says he has been hitting close to 70% on these plays after superbowl.

 

[fighter654]

... ok I got confused because I thought I saw bodog have Kansas st at a pick'em then it moved to +1...

 

[MetsFan44]

Yeah all the late movement after 15 mins to gametime is insignificant to this model we are using

 

[cowpokes]

... ok I got confused because I thought I saw bodog have Kansas st at a pick'em then it moved to +1...

Also have to remember that the books we use for this system are considered early line post, early move books. They opened at nebraska
-2.5 and dropped to -1 and pick'em. So even if the books went to -1.5, kstate would still be a play because over 70% was on nebraska and the books dropped at least 1 point in reverse line movement.

 

[MetsFan44]

Indiana +4 :smoking:

:smoker2:

 

[MetsFan44]

Portland and Charlotte Under in NBA is a reverse line mover....will just monitor after 0-2 yesterday in totals

 

[MetsFan44]

Keep an eye on Ohio +4.5 as they fit that other model.

Winner 2-0 on day with these plays.....Central Michigan -3 (up 7) still pending. CS Northridge and Santa Clara fit same model a little later in the night if % holds up