RedElephants Bowls

[RedElephants]

FYI....I like Under in the UC game as well, but my Local Line does not match up with Vegas and I am no longer going to post those plays. We'll just say its higher and I was able to grab a key number. gl

Well the bad streak continues, 2 more losses and 5.5 units gone....the only play I hit is the one I did not post due to an inflated line 2 points bigger than Vegas, but it was a win for me and cut my losses in half.

Boston College -2.5 for 5 Units-

This play is strictly the Rushing Stat tradition......BC MUCH better than Penn St running the football, not even close, and their Defense is comparable to PSU's. You look at schedules and BC has good wins over Southern Cal, NC State, and Virginia Tech. Penn St's best wins were a long time ago to UCF and Rutgers.

Can I be so lucky to middle the ASU/Duke game? This Bowl year says........NO.

 

[DayTraderNation]

Well the bad streak continues, 2 more losses and 5.5 units gone....the only play I hit is the one I did not post due to an inflated line 2 points bigger than Vegas, but it was a win for me and cut my losses in half.

Boston College -2.5 for 5 Units-

This play is strictly the Rushing Stat tradition......BC MUCH better than Penn St running the football, not even close, and their Defense is comparable to PSU's. You look at schedules and BC has good wins over Southern Cal, NC State, and Virginia Tech. Penn St's best wins were a long time ago to UCF and Rutgers.

Can I be so lucky to middle the ASU/Duke game? This Bowl year says........NO.

I feel you.....Pretty much how my week has gone....Losing nba games heading to the 4th quarter and only way to lose is with a 60+ point quarter when they never scored more than 44, well they scored 68....

Loved Va. tech today but been running cold, laid off......Well, we seen how that worked out....

One of those weeks. Gl to you on BC. Like anything in the USC game?

 

[MackDonald]

Just keep punching Red, there is always a calm after the storm.......

 

[RedElephants]

I feel you.....Pretty much how my week has gone....Losing nba games heading to the 4th quarter and only way to lose is with a 60+ point quarter when they never scored more than 44, well they scored 68....

Loved Va. tech today but been running cold, laid off......Well, we seen how that worked out....

One of those weeks. Gl to you on BC. Like anything in the USC game?

I think the OL injuries for Nebraska are really going to hurt them. But hey, I'm the biggest fade on the Board right now and I admit it.

 

[RedElephants]

2-8 for -23.2 Units

I had an Oh Shit moment this morning and will not regret it, but long story short, my confidence with Arizona St changed to bad vibes and made me step to the sidelines. I've got ASU -6.5, -125 for 2 Units and Duke +7.5, -105 for 2.25 Units. A win will be 4.25 Units with ASU winning by exactly 7 points. A loss either way will be either -.35 or -.36 units. No regrets just moving on from the game. The Duke motivation with basically the entire backfield intact from last year just drove me away from confidence.

It just wasn't meant to be but my goodness if ASU had converted that 2 pt conversion........damn it. Had a guy wide open too....nevertheless looks like buying out of ASU was the right thing.

 

[ANOTHERDAY]

Like anything today Red?

I'm thinking of hanging it up till next year cause the i cant buy a winner the past 2 months...does not feel good.

 

[jackmyhoggoff]

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[919]

Get back up on that horse Red

 

[packer2012]

Hang in there Red.

 

[tmader7]

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I called animal control this morning to have the remaining mutts rounded up. Time for some chalk. GLTA

~T~

 

[XSPower]

Good luck today my friend!!!

 

[RedElephants]

Hang in there Red.

Hanging.....by a thread. The Official Bowl Record is 2-11 for -34.2 Units

I have an open Teaser that was Arky -2 and LSU -1.5 for anyone wondering.....and I had A&M yesterday and Yes I lost with Oklahoma.

I also have another LSU Teaser -2 with Georgia -1.

My strongest play or FADE (lol) of the day is LSU. I think the only way this gets close is if Notre Dame's Defense is putrid enough to give up huge plays and put LSU's D back onto the field....They've got a decent Offense, but this Malik deal is definitely an experiment for the future. Otherwise.....LSU grinds this game out and wears out ND....I think its as easy win for LSU. LSU and Georgia....on the Rushing theory.....both have statistically Top 30 Defenses and sound running games......Chubb and Fournette are hoss's and they should both be utilized to wear down the opposition. Louisville will have Radcliff but not Dyer, and is 83rd in Rushing and Notre Dame is 81st in Rushing with ALOT of injuries over the course of the season, not mention the original starters suspended for academics.

Still looking at Stanford....strange game statistically.....Stanford has only given up more than 20 points twice all season and Maryland, despite being 105th in Total Offense and 102 in Rushing Offense somehow managed to average 29 points per game. They were even 60th in Turnover Margin so thats not it. With Diggs back you have that quick play scoring ability....Maryland is 114th in Time of Possession as well so that is obviously what they do. Feels like a game straight up to stay away from.....

 

[919]

On LSU as well. Good luck

 

[PatrickPowers]

Red - Still time to turn this bus around. I use many of the same metrics as you when you break down a game ex: top 50 offenses / defenses faced / t.o.p / rz% etc.. Anyways if you see this game the way I do you have to be on Zona right? Lets get back on track.

 

[RedElephants]

Red - Still time to turn this bus around. I use many of the same metrics as you when you break down a game ex: top 50 offenses / defenses faced / t.o.p / rz% etc.. Anyways if you see this game the way I do you have to be on Zona right? Lets get back on track.

TCU was my favorite play.....Ole Miss back to being Ole Miss. Boise is always a tough draw because they are always motivated. Like the Over tonight. My bus has crashed I'm done for the year. So my advice is probably good now. Just a bad year for me.....brutal.

 

[duckhunter]

TCU was my favorite play.....Ole Miss back to being Ole Miss. Boise is always a tough draw because they are always motivated. Like the Over tonight. My bus has crashed I'm done for the year. So my advice is probably good now. Just a bad year for me.....brutal.

Ive had those streaks this year, Red...........that's part of gambling. i enjoy your threads and I look for your picks. GL2U in whatever you decide to do. Happy New Year.

 

[indiana]

Red..........you and your family have a great and successful New Year.............appreciate the time, effort and thoughts to your treads............indy

 

[StevieRay]

Happy New Yr Red

Good luck on your team and quest for another National Championship

 

[gobucks]

Streaks are definitely part of sports betting. I really appreciate how you approach handicapping and there is no doubt that long term you are a winner. Thanks for sharing.

 

[RedElephants]

Thanks guys....Happy New Year to everyone. If LSU had won by 3 and not choked I would have been on quite a roll. It would have been 6 winners in a row if the Over hits tonight. Nevertheless....there are no woulda shoulda's and I'm relaxed and ready for tomorrow, burnt out.
My strongest play tomorrow would be Wisconsin, followed by Baylor and Alabama. Gl