Playing a 7/5 T
USF +10.5
Under 73.5
3 units
Thoughts: USF the better Rushing Team with the Better Defense. Last thing you want to do with WKY is get into a shootout. If i'm in the head of the USF Coach I figure a way yo slow this game down and give me the best opportunity to win. WKY stayed Under this Total against SEC Teams. Last wo games were shootouts with USM and Marshall. The rest of the Defenses they faced were terrible. This will be the 3rd best Defense WKY has faced. Most points USF has given up since September was 29. And other than the LSU game, most points WKY has given up on Defense was 28.
gl
USF +10.5
Under 73.5
3 units
Thoughts: USF the better Rushing Team with the Better Defense. Last thing you want to do with WKY is get into a shootout. If i'm in the head of the USF Coach I figure a way yo slow this game down and give me the best opportunity to win. WKY stayed Under this Total against SEC Teams. Last wo games were shootouts with USM and Marshall. The rest of the Defenses they faced were terrible. This will be the 3rd best Defense WKY has faced. Most points USF has given up since September was 29. And other than the LSU game, most points WKY has given up on Defense was 28.
gl
Red, I absolutely LOVE your analysis on your play for the Miami Beach Bowl.
Unfortunately, at the shit book I use, I can only use 2 play 6 point legs on side/total.
Therefore, my teaser (with current lines in parenthesis) will be:
USF +9 (+3)
UNDER 75 (69)
I'll take my chances with this -110 play.
Good luck, Red, see you after the game! :toast:
Unfortunately, at the shit book I use, I can only use 2 play 6 point legs on side/total.
Therefore, my teaser (with current lines in parenthesis) will be:
USF +9 (+3)
UNDER 75 (69)
I'll take my chances with this -110 play.
Good luck, Red, see you after the game! :toast:
Updated Record:
NFL 15-8 21.65 Units
College 28-16 37.40 Units
MLB 1-0 +3 Units
1st game will be a Pass for me. Of 24 combined games, only 7 have been by 7 points or less and despite having solid numbers on Defense, both sides, Utah St gave up 26 or more points in the last 6 of 7 games. Emotions are high for different reasons. Utah St is Senior laden and they want to send QB Chuckie Keeton out with a W on what could have been had he not had two devastating knee injuries. Akron is headed to a Bowl Game for the 1st time in 10 years, a real rebuilding progress by Terry Bowden, who lists this team as his greatest accomplishment.
I've looked at every angle and the numbers simply don't tell you anything. This is a true gamblers bowl. Anyone with an angle is a liar despite the outcome. If you have to bet flip a coin and play small.
gl
NFL 15-8 21.65 Units
College 28-16 37.40 Units
MLB 1-0 +3 Units
1st game will be a Pass for me. Of 24 combined games, only 7 have been by 7 points or less and despite having solid numbers on Defense, both sides, Utah St gave up 26 or more points in the last 6 of 7 games. Emotions are high for different reasons. Utah St is Senior laden and they want to send QB Chuckie Keeton out with a W on what could have been had he not had two devastating knee injuries. Akron is headed to a Bowl Game for the 1st time in 10 years, a real rebuilding progress by Terry Bowden, who lists this team as his greatest accomplishment.
I've looked at every angle and the numbers simply don't tell you anything. This is a true gamblers bowl. Anyone with an angle is a liar despite the outcome. If you have to bet flip a coin and play small.
gl
Over 56 Boise -130 for 3 Units
NIU basically faced 5 decent Offenses all Season yet they are 66 in Rush D and 77 in Pass D. Their Offense surprisingly with a Top 30 Rushing Offense is 113th in Time of Possession. Their bend not break D did well this Season, but in a Bowl Game in sunny San Diego, I think Boise can score. Boise was its own worst enemy at times with key turnovers. Despite that they average 37 points per game and although their Defensive numbers look strong, when they did play Top 50 Offense like NIU (44th) they gave up 35 and 37 points. And only playing two Top 50 Offenses all season concerns me as well.......
gl
NIU basically faced 5 decent Offenses all Season yet they are 66 in Rush D and 77 in Pass D. Their Offense surprisingly with a Top 30 Rushing Offense is 113th in Time of Possession. Their bend not break D did well this Season, but in a Bowl Game in sunny San Diego, I think Boise can score. Boise was its own worst enemy at times with key turnovers. Despite that they average 37 points per game and although their Defensive numbers look strong, when they did play Top 50 Offense like NIU (44th) they gave up 35 and 37 points. And only playing two Top 50 Offenses all season concerns me as well.......
gl
