My decision in making this wager doesn't lie with who I think will gain or lose votes
It simply has to do with if people think Biden will make it to the next election for various & obvious reasons
As you mentioned earlier, they may grade it a loser even if he isn't the Democratic winner
That's something I have to look further into
But if Biden does run, I lean him being the victor
If he wins, I win
If he loses, I win
Hache the thread seemed to lock in the OS so I made a thread on it, you can delete it
Predict has Biden 65% or so to be the nom, which lines up with -110/230 discrepancy. No opinion on that really, sounds right. He’ll probably run, but you’re definitely trying to hit a parlay at +230
He has to run and then win
They will not cancel the wager though, I’ve already explained this. You just lose. Why would a +230 be cancelled if he doesn’t run? The 230 vs 110 discrepancy is you are being given more reward for betting on Biden instead of Dems because again, there is some chance he may not run.
Predict has Biden 65% or so to be the nom, which lines up with -110/230 discrepancy. No opinion on that really, sounds right. He’ll probably run, but you’re definitely trying to hit a parlay at +230
He has to run and then win
They will not cancel the wager though, I’ve already explained this. You just lose. Why would a +230 be cancelled if he doesn’t run? The 230 vs 110 discrepancy is you are being given more reward for betting on Biden instead of Dems because again, there is some chance he may not run.
I agree with this 100% but just hoping there is a clause that says better
However, he isn't +230 because of that reason
He went from minus to +230 because of the recent poll this week
He was always around +180 to +220 range, now a bit lower
you actually have threads from 4-6 months ago that you posted, check them. You will see those as the odds
I guess a site could’ve posted Biden -130 to lure some people but he was always +180ish,
was usually him around that and Dems/GOP close to 50/50
Betonline.
| ||||||
| 399201 | Donald Trump Sr. | +165 | ||||
| 399200 | Joe Biden | +175 | ||||
| 399203 | Gavin Newsom | +800 | ||||
| 399210 | Michelle Obama | +1400 | ||||
| 399211 | Nikki Haley | +1600 | ||||
| 399202 | Vivek Ramaswamy | +1600 | ||||
| 399204 | Ron DeSantis | +1800 | ||||
| 399206 | Kamala Harris | +2000 | ||||
| 399205 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | +2200 | ||||
| 399240 | Elizabeth Warren | +5000 | ||||
| 399209 | Glenn Youngkin | +6500 | ||||
| 399212 | Mike Pence | +6500 | ||||
| 399208 | Tim Scott | +9000 | ||||
| 399207 | Chris Christie | +10000 | ||||
| 399213 | Hillary Clinton | +10000 | ||||
| 399217 | Gretchen Whitmer | +12500 | ||||
| 399216 | Joe Manchin | +12500 | ||||
| 399218 | Pete Buttigieg | +12500 | ||||
| 399215 | Brian Kemp | +15000 | ||||
| 399220 | Amy Klobuchar | +20000 |
Justbet
U.S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION 2024
Kamala Harris+3013
Mike Pence+14064
Nikki Haley+2109
Joe Biden+223
Andrew Yang+100514
Pete Buttigieg+35168
Michelle Obama+1355
Bernie Sanders+80402
Beto O Rourke+160827
Donald Trump+166
Stacey Abrams+251346
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+100514
Andrew Cuomo+130670
Tim Scott+15068
Elizabeth Warren+7000
John Kasich+201067
Mark Cuban+120615
Ted Cruz+65324
Michael Bloomberg+35168
Amy Klobuchar+35168
Cory Booker+125655
Donald Trump Jr.+30143
Gretchen Whitmer+11552
Josh Hawley+160827
Dan Crenshaw+100514
Deval Patrick+201067
Sherrod Brown+150775
Tom Cotton+150775
Tulsi Gabbard+100514
Ron DeSantis+2007
Mike Pompeo+150775
Tucker Carlson+35168
Val Demmings+120615
Kristi Noem+40193
Hillary Clinton+22102
Michael Bennet+231221
Candace Owens+110568
Gavin Newsom+1004
Glenn Youngkin+10044
Liz Cheney+100514
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.+2259
Vivek Ramaswamy+1707
Chris Christie+20093
Joe Manchin+25118
Brian Kemp+32655
Jamie Dimon+32655
Marianne Williamson+90455
Dwayne Johnson+70352
Doug Burgum+50245
J.B.Pritzker+
U.S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION 2024
Kamala Harris+3013
Mike Pence+14064
Nikki Haley+2109
Joe Biden+223
Andrew Yang+100514
Pete Buttigieg+35168
Michelle Obama+1355
Bernie Sanders+80402
Beto O Rourke+160827
Donald Trump+166
Stacey Abrams+251346
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+100514
Andrew Cuomo+130670
Tim Scott+15068
Elizabeth Warren+7000
John Kasich+201067
Mark Cuban+120615
Ted Cruz+65324
Michael Bloomberg+35168
Amy Klobuchar+35168
Cory Booker+125655
Donald Trump Jr.+30143
Gretchen Whitmer+11552
Josh Hawley+160827
Dan Crenshaw+100514
Deval Patrick+201067
Sherrod Brown+150775
Tom Cotton+150775
Tulsi Gabbard+100514
Ron DeSantis+2007
Mike Pompeo+150775
Tucker Carlson+35168
Val Demmings+120615
Kristi Noem+40193
Hillary Clinton+22102
Michael Bennet+231221
Candace Owens+110568
Gavin Newsom+1004
Glenn Youngkin+10044
Liz Cheney+100514
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.+2259
Vivek Ramaswamy+1707
Chris Christie+20093
Joe Manchin+25118
Brian Kemp+32655
Jamie Dimon+32655
Marianne Williamson+90455
Dwayne Johnson+70352
Doug Burgum+50245
J.B.Pritzker+
I mean guys gonna be 82 in Jan ‘25, slightest hint of weakness and they’re gonna can him for Newsom or some other gov like the KY guy Brashear
If Newsom gets in you will lose money and be distraught over political results, double whammy
My guess is most inside party want to replace him, but good luck telling a sitting President that. I wouldn’t give that up either, I’d be like y’all gotta kill me
If Newsom gets in you will lose money and be distraught over political results, double whammy
My guess is most inside party want to replace him, but good luck telling a sitting President that. I wouldn’t give that up either, I’d be like y’all gotta kill me
You don’t have to look no further .
I can assure you if Biden is not the nom and the Dems still win the election you lose
This is not difficult to understand and requires no research
The bet you want to be making is Dems -120 which Pats told you several times already .
On that bet yes you win the bet even if Biden is not the nom and the Dems win
Betonline.
| ||||||
| 3999091 | Democrats | -120 | ||||
| 3999090 | Republicans | +100 | ||||
| 3999092 | Any Other Party | +3000 |
I have no interest in -120
Huge difference between risking -6000 to win 5000 compared to risking -5000 to win 10,150
The purpose of the thread is asking the opinion of those who follow their party closer and how confident they are in Biden making it that far and running again if he does
