Queen of Hearts Exploiting the NFL week #8 2014

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Tough loss on Minn. A 2 goal lead in hockey is tenuous but a 3 goal lead is nice a large percentage of the time.
 

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have you looked at maybe setting a high limit as well as a low ? yesterday Minn was plus 170 and led the first 2 periods but lost.......the Edmonton was a win at +120 or 25........when they are offering you + 170 and more you must be getting the really worst of it or they wouldn't be offering that much.......tonight Carolina is + 195......wouldn't that make you a little bit leery ?......just wondering if you had looked at maybe setting a high cutoff limit
 

LADY LUCK
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Its the same thing clown.

Its all good biz....JohnBlue isn't a clown.
He just simply thought that you meant pick and choose from the plays. He wasn't trying to belittle your question. Ive never known him to post like that.He is a good guy. I took your question the same way.
Its all good. Lets make some $$ with this.
 

LADY LUCK
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Tough loss on Minn. A 2 goal lead in hockey is tenuous but a 3 goal lead is nice a large percentage of the time.

it was a brutal loss

I don't think Ive ever seen 5 goals scored that fast by one team before. Maybe San Jose but that's still a whole bunch that fast.
 

LADY LUCK
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have you looked at maybe setting a high limit as well as a low ? yesterday Minn was plus 170 and led the first 2 periods but lost.......the Edmonton was a win at +120 or 25........when they are offering you + 170 and more you must be getting the really worst of it or they wouldn't be offering that much.......tonight Carolina is + 195......wouldn't that make you a little bit leery ?......just wondering if you had looked at maybe setting a high cutoff limit

Its been asked a few times

No I have never thought about a high cut off. Ive seen +165 and up hit many many times. I love the +170's and +185's. Those are fun to hit.
I try and keep it as simple as possible. Its working this way and making money. I have not ever seen any pattern to suggest to shy away from +160 and above.

I do have some patterns to avoid though. When those patterns begin to appear, Ill show it in here clearly and they will come both good and bad.
 

LADY LUCK
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Tough loss on Minn. A 2 goal lead in hockey is tenuous but a 3 goal lead is nice a large percentage of the time.

Minnesota was down 1-3 going into the 3rd tonight so I go outside and take a walk. A cold front came in this morning so it feels really good out there. I come back in and its tied 3-3.


a few minutes later ....

cool...getting a taste of what the Rangers did to me the other night. Feels a lot better on the other side.

Minnesota 3 goals in the 3rd... 4-3
 

LADY LUCK
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9-9 is 50%, no?

Yes it is. By the way he ( the OP Loomis, not you) was mocking the 50% shows me that he isn't very good at math. He should probably avoid this thread in the future. Who would want to follow a Theory that is only hitting at a 50% clip ?


The theory is kind of like a snickers bar. No matter how you cut it. The bottom line was based upon 45% of nine seasons.. In other words. 50% to the Theory is almost identical to 60% in the NFl but even better because +120 is simply the starting point. Obviously the avg of the actual plays themselves is much higher than +120.

So yes, he isn't very good at math by what he was insinuating.
You can learn alot about someone from the way that they post.
He is not a sharp cookie. Never has been. Never will be.
 

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