Queen of Hearts Exploiting the NFL week #8 2014

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LADY LUCK
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This is how the +120 Theory came to be a “Theory”.


Now before you read what I am about to post, I want to make it very clear that in no way what so ever am I disrespecting the source. Sherwood is fully aware of my Theory and is fully aware of what I started 4 seasons ago. As a matter of fact, on a very few occasions, Sherwood has even stepped in during my absence and attempted to help me fill in a few gaps. Here is an example of what I am referring to:




And his response, pure class I must say.






There is no doubt that Sherwood is a bad ass when it comes to the NHL. I have just taken his work, dissected it, mathematically broke it down into a fine dust and made it even better in my opinion.

Now here is the kicker!!! Pay attention because I feel that it is necessary for you to know this before I go any further. No way that I would leave this out. These are words of wisdom from a true winner who does not tout his action. Sherwood is against “pay for plays”. He is one of us and would never accept compensation for his action.


Originally Posted by sherwood

Personally, I don't like the only +122 and above. My philosophy has always been to look for value and let the chips fall where they may. There's a response in this thread from Heartman who said, "Sports gambling is about trying to predict the outcome of a sporting event. It's about picking winners".

That to me is untrue. I never try and pick the outcome of a sporting event. I look for value, bet it and let the chips fall where they may. 90% and that number may be low, of all games against the spread is determined by pure luck and there's no crystal ball in the world that can predict such things.

I know for sure that Philadelphia has a great chance of winning tonight. If Bryzgalov allows three softies, so be it, Philly might score 6. In the long run, you either tail them all or tail none, as there is going to be days when I go 2-0 in +120 or less and 0-2 in +122 or more. A 2-2 winning day will turn into an 0-2 losing day. Of course the opposite can occur too but if you played every one of my games over the course of the past six years, you would be up over 200 units. Best of luck whatever you do.


I love you Sherwood and I have read every single word that you have written over the last four seasons. I could not accept that my +120 Theory was wrong and I had to move forward with it. I have put in boocoos of hours watching, tracking, researching, calculating, dissecting and investing my hard earned money into your work. I knew that I was going to be right very quickly after I dove right into you. I think it was 9 years of records that confirmed my grounds for developing the Theory. What you have done is absolutely amazing.

As you know now, The Theory has only seen red ink one time for a brief spell over four years and over 300 plays. While your full YTD is definitely money, the Theory itself has only trailed you for a brief spell one time late in the 2013 season but did end up well ahead.

Unlike you Sherwood, I believe that you put in more work on all of your action that is +120 and higher and much more selective than all of your other action and it clearly shows. You call it “luck”. I do not think so. You are not just lucky my friend. You are a very wise man and once again I want to thank you for being such a good sport about what I have done with your work in the public eye.


Now to the few of you who have been watching the Theory.
The Theory is very simple. It did start out as +122 for mathematical reasons. It was changed to +120 because the first two weeks after it started we could not get any action. I wanted action and +120 and +121 and +119 were winning and the Theory was squatting. The magic number was moved to +120 and the reasoning was only crossing my math by about .05%. Regardless of the 2 point change, before October of 2013, the Theory had never trailed Sherwood in winning %, YTD $ earned, and had never seen a drop of red ink. That brief spell of red ink did not last long and everything went right back to normal soon after.

So the bottom line is this. If you play every piece of action that Sherwood plays of +120 and higher in the NHL, you should slowly build your Bankroll until the end of time. I have been doing it for three years in a row now. If yall want me to explain why and how I spent all of the time devoted to this then I will explain and show my work if you want me to. It goes all the way back to the 2005-2006 season. There is a lot to understand and lots in the proving that it was going to work from the beginning and has been successful. I did not just pull it out of my ass and go for it. I invested lots of time and money into this man and the fruits of my labor have been rewarded over and over and over again.
 

Biz

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So play any Sherwood play that is +120 or more.
 

LADY LUCK
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OK so its more about the man than the plan correct?

Well,

Sherwood is low key. He does not push his NHL action the way that I have pushed my NFL action here at the RX. I have a lot of friends here. After my 2009 and 2010 NFL seasons, My EXP NFL threads developed a huge following. I helped a whole bunch of guys and girls make lots of $$ during those two seasons. As a direct result of those seasons, I have busted literally thousands over the last three seasons because of those threads. Somewhere along the way, I started doing something wrong and became a loser to a very high degree. I feel really bad about that. If you were to read the hundreds of PM's and emails that I have received after going cold, you would want to do something about it also.

I found a way to make money doing this thing that we all do here and I want to share it in hopes that all of those that I help bust can earn some of that money back. It felt great when I was winning but the letters after losing made it hard to sleep at night.

So I would say yes its more about the man and trying to do anything to help direct traffic to the money.
 

LADY LUCK
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So play any Sherwood play that is +120 or more.

No

Play ALL of his +120 and above regardless of what you feel about the game. Play every single one of them for $100.

After you reach +$400, increase your action to $125 per play.
After you reach +$800, increase your action to $150 per play.

Make it a ritual every single day.
 
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I wonder what you happen if you put a filter on the results for just +120 to +180 ? Or even down to 160. You should run two


separate query's to see if it would

matter. I think it might.
 

Biz

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No

Play ALL of his +120 and above regardless of what you feel about the game. Play every single one of them for $100.

After you reach +$400, increase your action to $125 per play.
After you reach +$800, increase your action to $150 per play.

Make it a ritual every single day.

If I say play any, isn't that the same as saying all??
 

RX Cowbell Ringer
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If I say play any, isn't that the same as saying all??

No. Play all means 100% of the games that meet the criteria. Play any means that you have the option to play any of the games that meet the criteria. Could be one, two, three or all. Play any means that you have options. Play all means you have no option other than to play every single game.
 

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I think you need a new title to your threads because the last thing you are doing is exploiting the NFL. Making more wagers than normal when you're not doing well is the typical move of a square.
 
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Not sure if laying that much $$ against the Saints at home on prime time is a smart move...Not to mention after giving Detroit a gift last week. I kinda see NO smashing Green Bay tonight, difficult game to cap.

GL w/ your bet..Hope you hit it.
 

LADY LUCK
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10/26
NHL +120 Theory

Washington +125 OT inc
$125


Was +150 a few minutes ago....

I have noticed that unlike the past, if you wait closer to game time, then you will get better odds most of the time. You just gotta be on your toes.
I may begin hitting it for 1/2 early and wait and put the other half a little closer to game time for a few weeks and see how that works out.

Now it has dropped back to +140.
 

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Queen,

I have to offer you some advice. Please, stop wagering money on bad teams with bad QB's. Doing that week after week is just not going to produce good results.

I mean, grab a game that's -3 to +3 either way and put your money on a good solid team, with a good fundamental QB that plays good fundamental defense. I would've much rather layed the -5.5 NE than +6 Jax.
 

LADY LUCK
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Queen,

I have to offer you some advice. Please, stop wagering money on bad teams with bad QB's. Doing that week after week is just not going to produce good results.

I mean, grab a game that's -3 to +3 either way and put your money on a good solid team, with a good fundamental QB that plays good fundamental defense. I would've much rather layed the -5.5 NE than +6 Jax.

Thanks for the advice Enfuego. Its seldom that I invest into a OPR below 80.1. I saw a few dogs that I liked this week and took a chance. It did not work out. The last time that you gave me advice seemed to work out pretty good.


OT- Long time no chat with you!!! I think its been years now. Crazy how time passes us by.
How are things going in the battle zone in late October 2014 ?

Nice to see you drop in Enfuego :)
 

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Thanks for the advice Enfuego. Its seldom that I invest into a OPR below 80.1. I saw a few dogs that I liked this week and took a chance. It did not work out. The last time that you gave me advice seemed to work out pretty good.


OT- Long time no chat with you!!! I think its been years now. Crazy how time passes us by.
How are things going in the battle zone in late October 2014 ?

Nice to see you drop in Enfuego :)

Things are alright. Gearing up for a good NBA and CBB season.
 

LADY LUCK
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So this is what I see for 10/27 NHL.

Personally I believe that Minnesota-' will be the only Theory play manana.
That's just an educated guess. It is in no way official. I love it though.
Not a chance that he gets down on the Rangers. I cant see that happening.

The only value IMO for Monday is Minnesota one way or another. I would think no action on the other game.
 

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