Originally Posted by sherwood
Personally, I don't like the only +122 and above. My philosophy has always been to look for value and let the chips fall where they may. There's a response in this thread from Heartman who said, "Sports gambling is about trying to predict the outcome of a sporting event. It's about picking winners".
That to me is untrue. I never try and pick the outcome of a sporting event. I look for value, bet it and let the chips fall where they may. 90% and that number may be low, of all games against the spread is determined by pure luck and there's no crystal ball in the world that can predict such things.
I know for sure that Philadelphia has a great chance of winning tonight. If Bryzgalov allows three softies, so be it, Philly might score 6. In the long run, you either tail them all or tail none, as there is going to be days when I go 2-0 in +120 or less and 0-2 in +122 or more. A 2-2 winning day will turn into an 0-2 losing day. Of course the opposite can occur too but if you played every one of my games over the course of the past six years, you would be up over 200 units. Best of luck whatever you do.
OK so its more about the man than the plan correct?
So play any Sherwood play that is +120 or more.
No
Play ALL of his +120 and above regardless of what you feel about the game. Play every single one of them for $100.
After you reach +$400, increase your action to $125 per play.
After you reach +$800, increase your action to $150 per play.
Make it a ritual every single day.
If I say play any, isn't that the same as saying all??
10/26
NHL +120 Theory
Washington +125 OT inc $125
Queen,
I have to offer you some advice. Please, stop wagering money on bad teams with bad QB's. Doing that week after week is just not going to produce good results.
I mean, grab a game that's -3 to +3 either way and put your money on a good solid team, with a good fundamental QB that plays good fundamental defense. I would've much rather layed the -5.5 NE than +6 Jax.
Thanks for the advice Enfuego. Its seldom that I invest into a OPR below 80.1. I saw a few dogs that I liked this week and took a chance. It did not work out. The last time that you gave me advice seemed to work out pretty good.
OT- Long time no chat with you!!! I think its been years now. Crazy how time passes us by.
How are things going in the battle zone in late October 2014 ?
Nice to see you drop in Enfuego