You seem to not understand that by teasing through 0 you're buying 5 or 6 points that are next to worthless in the outcome of the game. That is like gambling 101.
Phewww !!!
A pure sign of solid confidence is how I feel about it.
Its like this MCM, an old friend of mine taught me many things several years ago. While most of it has been thrown in the garbage, there are two things that I cherish and live by:
1) Don't fuck with someone who has 15-20 years of wisdom on you because you will lose.
2) ( most important) There are many roads to the $$.
I chose to pave my own road. I will win today.No desperation, chasing or lack of confidence here. I say put your money where your mouth is honey or kick rocks. My $$ is down and ready to tangle. There is plenty more where that came from . I'm not playing with scared $$. If I was, I surely would not be here.
Never tease period! The only teaser I would do is a 2 teamer with a planned hedge on game 2. Example, best game on sunday to the fave on monday. Watch the line move up and take dog monday night for 8,9 point middle. 7 point tease for 1100/1000 then 1100/1000 on dog monday night. Risking 100 to win possible 2k.
When I was in the biz I never wrote a teaser that didnt look good to me yet the players lost all the time !
Suppose you were an advantage player and could pick nfl games slightly above break even; say 53% win rate. Would it make more sense to bet 2 team parlays rather than single game point spread bets?Let's go over the argument (hog wash) that points matter. 12% for the year. The early games went 1/6/1 were the point spread made a difference. The Cleveland game the only game, and the Detroit game landing on a 3 for a tie.
Now for a math class all those silly money line parlays, teasers, and TT cost you 3 bets. If you would of just bet your 4 bets in the ML parlay laying the points you would have juiced out. Instead of losing $140 it's $2,905. See the math? I tried to open your eyes for years that parlays are nothing but swamp land.
Throw out those books and anything anybody has shown you. It's just doesn't work. If you are lucky you will win. Some people are just born unlucky. No matter what they do it turns to crap.
In the NFL if the game looks like gold it's probably crap. If the game looks like crap it's probably gold. That's how you handicap the NFL. Throwing darts.
+1
It seems that people think that just because there has been a pointspread established that a game should end up somewhat close to that preconceived number. As we know this is not necessarily true. Dam, it's hard enough to conjure up a winner out of two teams in one game. Do people really believe they can overcome the permutations of multiple games!! Wake up and smell the crap the books are offering you.