Queen of Hearts Exploited by the NFL 2016 week #6

Search

New member
Joined
Nov 4, 2015
Messages
369
Tokens
Guys please don't run her off. I have been fading the queen for 3 years now and won tons of $$$. It's money in the bank!
 

Member
Joined
Sep 3, 2006
Messages
890
Tokens
They matter a lot........it makes no difference in how many times it matters in the outcome of a game........it makes a difference in who you pick

Thanksgiving ?????
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
14,836
Tokens
I just cant get over toning it down with 700 teasers and ml pars. No offense but not how I would choose to regroup.
 

Biz

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 29, 2011
Messages
14,669
Tokens
You seem to not understand that by teasing through 0 you're buying 5 or 6 points that are next to worthless in the outcome of the game. That is like gambling 101.

+1000%

Never buy a teaser thru zero.

Tease a favorite down towards zero, or tease a dog away from zero. Buying thru zero defeats the purpose of playing a teaser.
 

Biz

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 29, 2011
Messages
14,669
Tokens
Phewww !!!

A pure sign of solid confidence is how I feel about it.

Its like this MCM, an old friend of mine taught me many things several years ago. While most of it has been thrown in the garbage, there are two things that I cherish and live by:

1) Don't fuck with someone who has 15-20 years of wisdom on you because you will lose.
2) ( most important) There are many roads to the $$.

I chose to pave my own road. I will win today.No desperation, chasing or lack of confidence here. I say put your money where your mouth is honey or kick rocks. My $$ is down and ready to tangle. There is plenty more where that came from . I'm not playing with scared $$. If I was, I surely would not be here.

Your friend should have added #3.

3) Never tease thru zero
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
14,836
Tokens
Never tease period! The only teaser I would do is a 2 teamer with a planned hedge on game 2. Example, best game on sunday to the fave on monday. Watch the line move up and take dog monday night for 8,9 point middle. 7 point tease for 1100/1000 then 1100/1000 on dog monday night. Risking 100 to win possible 2k.
When I was in the biz I never wrote a teaser that didnt look good to me yet the players lost all the time !
 

Member
Joined
Nov 5, 2006
Messages
2,246
Tokens
Never tease period! The only teaser I would do is a 2 teamer with a planned hedge on game 2. Example, best game on sunday to the fave on monday. Watch the line move up and take dog monday night for 8,9 point middle. 7 point tease for 1100/1000 then 1100/1000 on dog monday night. Risking 100 to win possible 2k.
When I was in the biz I never wrote a teaser that didnt look good to me yet the players lost all the time !

+1

It seems that people think that just because there has been a pointspread established that a game should end up somewhat close to that preconceived number. As we know this is not necessarily true. Dam, it's hard enough to conjure up a winner out of two teams in one game. Do people really believe they can overcome the permutations of multiple games!! Wake up and smell the crap the books are offering you.
 

Member
Joined
Jun 4, 2015
Messages
2,710
Tokens
NFL Teasers can be quite profitable if you understand numbers.

She is not the only one who posts a lot here that crosses through dead numbers. It's her money. Let her do her thing.

Good luck rest of the way.
 
Joined
Dec 19, 2011
Messages
2,383
Tokens
Let's go over the argument (hog wash) that points matter. 12% for the year. The early games went 1/6/1 were the point spread made a difference. The Cleveland game the only game, and the Detroit game landing on a 3 for a tie.

Now for a math class all those silly money line parlays, teasers, and TT cost you 3 bets. If you would of just bet your 4 bets in the ML parlay laying the points you would have juiced out. Instead of losing $140 it's $2,905. See the math? I tried to open your eyes for years that parlays are nothing but swamp land.

Throw out those books and anything anybody has shown you. It's just doesn't work. If you are lucky you will win. Some people are just born unlucky. No matter what they do it turns to crap.

In the NFL if the game looks like gold it's probably crap. If the game looks like crap it's probably gold. That's how you handicap the NFL. Throwing darts.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
2,669
Tokens
Ace ace is a crackpot. Unlearn everything he taught. Again too many eagles one basket. Never a bookie wants to help a player
 

New member
Joined
Oct 12, 2016
Messages
32
Tokens
Let's go over the argument (hog wash) that points matter. 12% for the year. The early games went 1/6/1 were the point spread made a difference. The Cleveland game the only game, and the Detroit game landing on a 3 for a tie.

Now for a math class all those silly money line parlays, teasers, and TT cost you 3 bets. If you would of just bet your 4 bets in the ML parlay laying the points you would have juiced out. Instead of losing $140 it's $2,905. See the math? I tried to open your eyes for years that parlays are nothing but swamp land.

Throw out those books and anything anybody has shown you. It's just doesn't work. If you are lucky you will win. Some people are just born unlucky. No matter what they do it turns to crap.

In the NFL if the game looks like gold it's probably crap. If the game looks like crap it's probably gold. That's how you handicap the NFL. Throwing darts.
Suppose you were an advantage player and could pick nfl games slightly above break even; say 53% win rate. Would it make more sense to bet 2 team parlays rather than single game point spread bets?
 

Yinzer
Joined
Sep 16, 2011
Messages
401
Tokens
Hate to say everyone saw this coming.

Don't get too down. Its only money. My only advice is next week stick to straight wagers. No teasers/parlays. I know you said earlier you've been on them for years but you have also been losing heavily for years. Start over. No worries. Just start over fresh.

Next week is a new week!
 
Joined
Dec 19, 2011
Messages
2,383
Tokens
Suppose you were an advantage player and could pick nfl games slightly above break even; say 53% win rate. Would it make more sense to bet 2 team parlays rather than single game point spread bets?

I would keep it straight as a arrow. But then that's me. Everyone has their own comfort zone.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
14,836
Tokens
+1

It seems that people think that just because there has been a pointspread established that a game should end up somewhat close to that preconceived number. As we know this is not necessarily true. Dam, it's hard enough to conjure up a winner out of two teams in one game. Do people really believe they can overcome the permutations of multiple games!! Wake up and smell the crap the books are offering you.

Perfect example is the dolphins blowing out the steelers today. Ya neva know !
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,120,953
Messages
13,589,298
Members
101,022
Latest member
captainjohn2039r
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com