QL's 2006-2007 European Football thread

[quantumleap]

I can't believe Hartlepool didn't even score 1 goal.

Lincoln 2, Hartlepool 0, net -11.00
Stevenage 2, Rushden 2, +4.20

YTD: 67.77

 

[quantumleap]

Bringing the Lithuania bets over from the previous page. NOT adding units at this time.

UEFA Euro 2008 Qualification
Lithuania -1.5 -118 over Faroe Islands bet365 5 units
Lithuania/Faroe Islands over 3 +110 bet365 5 units

Spain +140 over Sweden Interwetten 5 units
Spain/Sweden draw +210 several books 4 units
Spain is in a must-not-lose situation here after their loss to Northern Ireland. Sweden is missing their best goalkeeper Isaksson who is out due to injury and their best goal-scorer Ibrahimovic is off the team.

France -143 over Scotland Interwetten 6 units
(From the previous page of this thread): Forwards Saha and Govou are out for France but that is a team with plenty of talent at that position as they will have Frank Ribery, Thierry Henry and Silvain Wiltord available to them. Defenders Graeme Murty, Kevin McNaughton and Gary Naysmith are out for Scotland and Russell Anderson is questionable.

Kazakhstan +650 over Poland Expekt 1 unit
Kazakhstan/Poland draw +300 bet24 3 units
Kazakhstan has done well to draw with their previous opponents and are at home here. Poland has not done well in recent matches and has lots of injuries.

 

[quantumleap]

Adding:

Norway/Greece under 2.5 -167 NordicBet 5 units

 

[quantumleap]

I cannot F'n believe this Lithuania crap. They were playing for a 1-0 victory as the only goal they got was at the 89' mark!!!! 3 other teams average over 5 goals against Fairy Islands and these weak-dick, lame-ass MFers only get 1 goal????!!

FU Lithuania. I'm fading your sorry asses for the rest of this tournament. I hope you get beat by San Marino!

 

[quantumleap]

Luxembourg/Slovenia over 3.5 +108 Pinnacle 5 units

 

[fhmesq44]

Have these been system plays or capped plays? Been a rough morning so far.

 

[quantumleap]

Have these been system plays or capped plays? Been a rough morning so far.

Kazakhstan was the only capped play. The rest are system plays. The international matches usually do well for me.

 

[quantumleap]

Results:
Lithuania 1, Fairy Islands 0, -10.00
Sweden 2, Spain 0, -9.00
Scotland 1, France 0, -6.00
Poland 1, Kaz 0, -4.00
Slovenia 2, Lux 0, -5.00
Greece 1, Norway 0, +2.99

Today: 1-5 -31.01

YTD: 36.77

ucking:

My apologies to anyone who followed.

I'm going to take a second thought about betting favorites who have the line go in their favor. It may be due to the fact that they are the favorites. I'm going to concentrate on road dogs.

I will still continue to bet the totals.

 

[MitchCampbell]

Results:
Lithuania 1, Fairy Islands 0, -10.00
Sweden 2, Spain 0, -9.00
Scotland 1, France 0, -6.00
Poland 1, Kaz 0, -4.00
Slovenia 2, Lux 0, -5.00
Greece 1, Norway 0, +2.99

Today: 1-5 -31.01

YTD: 36.77

ucking:

My apologies to anyone who followed.

I'm going to take a second thought about betting favorites who have the line go in their favor. It may be due to the fact that they are the favorites. I'm going to concentrate on road dogs.

I will still continue to bet the totals.

You will bounce back to good of a capper!:toast:

 

[quantumleap]

Thanks Mitch.

Tread lightly as the indicators have been dreadful today. Here's a system play on a total.

Norway - Adeccoligaen
Løv-Ham/Hødd under 2.5 +123 bet24 4 units

 

[kirkmuller]

no need to apologize, it's still a work in progress

 

[quantumleap]

no need to apologize, it's still a work in progress

Thanks for understanding kirk. I've had days in the past where I lost 24 units but I've also had a couple days where I won 24 units. I'm just not comfortable with the wide swings. I'm looking to smooth things out.

 

[themadactuarian]

totals...did you say totals quant...we will reconvene on the next leg of serieA
...hang in..bol....(2 totals...to resurface)

 

[quantumleap]

totals...did you say totals quant...we will reconvene on the next leg of serieA
...hang in..bol....(2 totals...to resurface)

Looking forward to your totals MA.

Since your username includes the word "actuarian", do you use mathematical models to predict matches? I've been looking for some systems that fit things like this.

BOL.

 

[quantumleap]

Thanks Mitch.

Tread lightly as the indicators have been dreadful today. Here's a system play on a total.

Norway - Adeccoligaen
Løv-Ham/Hødd under 2.5 +123 bet24 4 units

Løv-Ham 1, Hødd 1, WINNER, +4.92
This time a late goal by Hødd didn't cause me to lose my bet.

YTD: 41.69

 

[Hooligans]

hey mate oct 11th are more euro qualifications! lets rebound and get you back on track! i see you had a rough saturday with euro qualifications! i will post later with some picks so we all can win some :money8:


:toast:

 

[AndySpainpick's]

dont bet on spain quantum, they are in a very bad situation:cryingcry

 

[Duckstabber]

dont bet on spain quantum, they are in a very bad situation:cryingcry

And I hope you guys stay in that situation! :toast:

 

[JackDee]

I am sure the mad actuarian is fluent with bivariate poisonns and non bayesian probability, but I am most certain he mostly jerks off manually.

 

[quantumleap]

dont bet on spain quantum, they are in a very bad situation:cryingcry

Thanks for the input Andy. I'll try to stay away from the big favorites.

:toast: