Barring scratches, Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist will break from post 3, the post used by both Secretariat and California Chrome to win the Preakness. Since 1963, horses breaking from post 3 have won nine times, tied with post 6 for most wins. On the other hand, post 1 (drawn by Cherry Wine) has a record of just 52-2-6-9 in the same time period, the two winners being Tabasco Cat in 1994 and American Pharoah last year.
The Derby winner
Nyquist enters the Preakness following a win in the Kentucky Derby two weeks prior, and recent history has been favorable to the Derby winner. Since 1963, the Derby winner has won the Preakness 21 times in 50 attempts (three Derby winners did not compete in the Preakness). That’s a record of 50-21-10-6, and it’s even stronger in the past 20 years as they have a record of 19-10-4-1 since 1996, when Grindstone was retired just days after his Derby win.
The Derby runner-up
Exaggerator is looking to turn the tables on Nyquist, having already lost to him four times in his career, most recently when he ran second to him in the Derby. Since 1963, 39 times the second-place finisher in the Derby ran again in the Preakness, and in all but two of those times faced the Derby winner again. In 18 of those 37 races, the Derby winner repeated, and eight times they replicated the Derby order of finish. Only three times did the Derby runner-up win the Preakness, Forward Pass in 1968 (who was later awarded the winner’s share of the purse in the Derby), Summer Squall in 1990, and Prairie Bayou in 1993. In that time, the Derby runner-up has compiled a Preakness record of 39-3-12-8.
http://www.drf.com/news/preakness-2016-inside-numbers
The Derby winner
Nyquist enters the Preakness following a win in the Kentucky Derby two weeks prior, and recent history has been favorable to the Derby winner. Since 1963, the Derby winner has won the Preakness 21 times in 50 attempts (three Derby winners did not compete in the Preakness). That’s a record of 50-21-10-6, and it’s even stronger in the past 20 years as they have a record of 19-10-4-1 since 1996, when Grindstone was retired just days after his Derby win.
The Derby runner-up
Exaggerator is looking to turn the tables on Nyquist, having already lost to him four times in his career, most recently when he ran second to him in the Derby. Since 1963, 39 times the second-place finisher in the Derby ran again in the Preakness, and in all but two of those times faced the Derby winner again. In 18 of those 37 races, the Derby winner repeated, and eight times they replicated the Derby order of finish. Only three times did the Derby runner-up win the Preakness, Forward Pass in 1968 (who was later awarded the winner’s share of the purse in the Derby), Summer Squall in 1990, and Prairie Bayou in 1993. In that time, the Derby runner-up has compiled a Preakness record of 39-3-12-8.
http://www.drf.com/news/preakness-2016-inside-numbers
This 11 horse is 8-1......Doesn't even have a stakes win under its belt.
Todd Pletcher horse.
Todd Pletcher horse.
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New York Jock.....I like him......I`m going to take a shot with this 11 horse.
Good luck!
3. Nyquist- Not much more to say about him. Ran a great race in the Derby. Has done everything right. Won on an off track. Preakness distance should be right in his wheel house. Probably the only 2 ways he doesn't win, is if he runs too fast to early, or doesn't fire. Will probably stay just off the lead until the far turn. However at 3-5 no money to be made here.
4. Awesome Speed- Nice horse with some decent speed figs. Last out got 2nd in the Tessio on an off track. Probably needed that race. Has tactical speed. Likes to run just off the pace. Probably a step or two below the best here, classwise. Should be ready to run his best today, just not sure it will be good enough. Doubt if he will like the extra distance.
5. Exaggerator- Much like Nylist, just doesn't seem to run a bad race. Speed figs consistantly high. Was closing fast in the derby. Probably got a little too far back there. Will be a good bit off the pace today as well. Will have less traffic to deal with. Seems to love off tracks. I like his chances to turn the tables today.
7. Collected- Has been running in mostly grade 3s. Can show a little early speed at times, but more likely to sit off the pace a little. Ran a 102 two back at 1 1/8. That would put him in the mix here. Baffert always a plus. Ran once on an off track and didn't run well. Slight step up in class.
8. Laoban. Has plenty of early speed. Imagine he guns it in an effort to get to the rail before the first turn. Should be out front with the 2 horse. Never run on an off track. Speed figures do not compete with the best here. Will do most of his running early. Do not expect him to be around at the end.
Stradivari- The wildcard in this race. A very green and talented colt. Good connections. Ran a 101 in his only race this year. Should move forward from that. A fresh horse. Also one with tactical speed. Has run in two maidens and an allowance. BIG step up in class. However has the look of one who can make it. One race on an off track which he won. Outside post may be a little bit of a problem. Does not want to get caught wide on first turn. Dangerous.
