Poster Michelangelo wants to bet Vitterd $1K on baseball for the rest of the season. Vit won't take the bet. Why?

[boss415]

So he's not going to take the bet cause he's up about 14,000

With his logic why would he bet any game in the second half all he's going to do is lose

Take the money and run V

Good point Slap!

 

[vitterd]

So he's not going to take the bet cause he's up about 14,000

With his logic why would he bet any game in the second half all he's going to do is lose

Take the money and run V

I bet everyday.....so quitting isn't gonna happen. I'm basing it on probability.....could I continue to win like this? Hopefully, but based on past performance and the way sports betting works.....most likely I will fall a little.

 

[festeringZit]

I bet everyday.....so quitting isn't gonna happen. I'm basing it on probability.....could I continue to win like this? Hopefully, but based on past performance and the way sports betting works.....most likely I will fall a little.

He's basing his decisions on probability.

BWHAHAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA


Comedy Gold Baby.

 

[PatsFan1283]

Why isnt it ? They need courageous , intelligent , loving people to share like you ? Where r you ?

It's part of the indeterminate and risk averse world of process rather than the determinate and bold Ric. Deep stuff from the man that is going to speak tonight and steal the show at the RNC...

<form action="https://www.reddit.com/r/Entrepreneur/comments/2k7m6d/what_exactly_is_peter_thiel_trying_to_convey_in/#" class="usertext warn-on-unload" id="form-t3_2k7m6dof5" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: small;">“There are several different frameworks one could use to get a handle on the indeterminate vs. determinate question. The math version is calculus vs. statistics. In a determinate world, calculus dominates. You can calculate specific things precisely and deterministically. When you send a rocket to the moon, you have to calculate precisely where it is at all times. It’s not like some iterative startup where you launch the rocket and figure things out step by step. Do you make it to the moon? To Jupiter? Do you just get lost in space? There were lots of companies in the ’90s that had launch parties but no landing parties. “But the indeterminate future is somehow one in which probability and statistics are the dominant modality for making sense of the world . Bell curves and random walks define what the future is going to look like. The standard pedagogical argument is that high schools should get rid of calculus and replace it with statistics, which is really important and actually useful. There has been a powerful shift toward the idea that statistical ways of thinking are going to drive the future.” -Peter Thiel




</form>

 

[MantisToboggan]

I bet everyday.....so quitting isn't gonna happen. I'm basing it on probability.....could I continue to win like this? Hopefully, but based on past performance and the way sports betting works.....most likely I will fall a little.

Again, you don't understand regression.

 

[Ricboff]

Yes, they should. It would have prevented me from wasting a couple of hours on this battle today (my fault for getting sucked

good grief . What a quit . Be a leader . You may have not convinced anyone but you shared your opinion in a confident manner . Positive

 

[vitterd]

He's basing his decisions on probability.

BWHAHAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA


Comedy Gold Baby.

It is probable mich will improve based on his ability as a handicapper. He's not as big of a loser normally than he is this year.

 

[ShotgunPete]

So he's not going to take the bet cause he's up about 14,000

With his logic why would he bet any game in the second half all he's going to do is lose

Take the money and run V

This is how I am in the Stock Market.If I'm up I take the money and run,why take a chance of losing it even if the stock look's good.
I thought getting Netflix at 90 was the steal of the century, until it dropped from 98 to 86 in a day.

 

[vitterd]

I wish oddsmakers set their numbers using vtard logic:

If the Cleveland Browns storm out of the gate next season and end up 6-2 at the halfway point, will the futures markets reflect their season form or some theoretical "due to lose" factor nobody understands except him?

Unreal.

This makes no sense. Comparing team records and somebody handicapping sports had ZERO comparison. You would have to be retarded to make this comparison

 

[Ricboff]

It's part of the indeterminate and risk averse world of process rather than the determinate and bold Ric. Deep stuff, from the man that is going to speak tonight and steal the show at the RNC...

<form action="https://www.reddit.com/r/Entrepreneur/comments/2k7m6d/what_exactly_is_peter_thiel_trying_to_convey_in/#" class="usertext warn-on-unload" id="form-t3_2k7m6dof5" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-size: small;">“There are several different frameworks one could use to get a handle on the indeterminate vs. determinate question. The math version is calculus vs. statistics. In a determinate world, calculus dominates. You can calculate specific things precisely and deterministically. When you send a rocket to the moon, you have to calculate precisely where it is at all times. It’s not like some iterative startup where you launch the rocket and figure things out step by step. Do you make it to the moon? To Jupiter? Do you just get lost in space? There were lots of companies in the ’90s that had launch parties but no landing parties. “But the indeterminate future is somehow one in which probability and statistics are the dominant modality for making sense of the world . Bell curves and random walks define what the future is going to look like. The standard pedagogical argument is that high schools should get rid of calculus and replace it with statistics, which is really important and actually useful. There has been a powerful shift toward the idea that statistical ways of thinking are going to drive the future.” -Peter Thiel




</form>

Good

lets hope it filters to all . And to YOU . To take action

 

[MantisToboggan]

good grief . What a quit . Be a leader . You may have not convinced anyone but you shared your opinion in a confident manner . Positive

Unfortunately, I'm not making any money wasting a couple hours sharing my opinion in a confident manner.

 

[Ricboff]

Then yeah , I agree . Why r you doing it? Money = effort for you ? and yet you entertain this ?



Odd MT

 

[MantisToboggan]

Then yeah , I agree . Why r you doing it? Money = effort for you ? and yet you entertain this ?



Odd MT

I'm just saying I spent time getting no where with Vit that I could've spent working this morning. Probably a worthy endeavor for the first 15 minutes, but repeating myself for the next 105 minutes was probably wasteful.

 

[Acebb]

This guy sounds like

I decided to pay off my homes because I lived in debt for a long time and it was my decision....even though others advised me not to do that. Worked out great for me. Life can't be better I decided to keep my lifestyle the same....with exception of some indulgences. My family is taken care of now and will be when I'm gone and those are because of my decisions. Sorry this is hard for you to deal with.

He wouldn't

Paid off my home and then when I bought another....paid it off. My call....

Need to worry

I lived in debt for many years....just didn't like it. Felt good about just paying off house, cars and school loans. I was told not to but fdid what I wanted and my wife wanted. Worked out just fine

About

Lmao. My wifes money from her job never gets touched. All gets banked.

A mere $1,000

I could get a job right now that pays more than your jerkoff job where people send you blow off emails. Don't need it. Never will.

But yet here he is.

 

[festeringZit]

It is probable mich will improve based on his ability as a handicapper. He's not as big of a loser normally than he is this year.

His future results are in no way influenced by his past results. This is the part you don't get. If you thought that you were a better capper than him at the beginning of the season, you should have taken the bet. If you think you still are better, than you should take the bet today.

 

[ChugsMcGee]

The first 7 pages were repeated drivel...how the hell did you guys squeeze out 7 more pages in 4 hours??? Man, I wish the MLB Sticky was in the Baseball forum. You guys are all fn nuts, sucking me in to this wormhole of ridiculousness.

 

[vitterd]

His future results are in no way influenced by his past results. This is the part you don't get. If you thought that you were a better capper
than him at the beginning of the season, you should have taken the bet. If you think you still are better, than you should take the bet today.

I am a better capper.....but even if I prove that over a full season....he can win a 2 month stretch. Therefore the bet is unfair because it doesn't represent accurate results.

 

[PatsFan1283]

Good

lets hope it filters to all . And to YOU . To take action

Yeah we all can take from a statement like that once we begin to understand. The future shouldn't be about statistics and probability and reducing risk and diversification. All these terms that suggest zero-sum outcomes.

It should be the language of calculus and about a defined vision to improve humanity and push boundaries through innovation.

We don't have enough of that today.

 

[vitterd]

This guy sounds like



He wouldn't



Need to worry



About



A mere $1,000



But yet here he is.

You have run from 9 bets offered?

why did you quit posting picks after going winless in 3 sports?

 

[Ricboff]

K, well ... I say ... be grateful. Instead of 'wasting ' 15 min, could have been way worse !!