Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

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Baseball 98-85 (+13,475)

NBA 25-28 (-5600)

NFL 44-57 (-19,200)

NCAAF 68-68 (-6800)

NCAAB 3-0 (+3000)

Baseball 98-85 (13,475)

NBA 26-28 (-4600)

NCAAF 71-73 (-9300)

NFL 46-58 (-18,300)

NCAAB 4-1 (+3900)
 
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NBA

yest 3-0 +300
YTD 71-68-2 -09

Wednesday:

Indiana +3' -103 (@ Chi)
San An -14' -102 (vs Phx)
Portland -6' -110 (vs Denv)
Philly +10 -108 (@ Sac)
 

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Adding Louisville +3.5 in footBOWL. Additional Hoop Plays are TOR -7, DEN (currently +6.5. Will wait until as late as possible here. If Lillard comes out in shorts I'll take +8 or more), Minny Gophers +11, New Mexico -7.5 ......
 

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Baseball 98-85 (13,475)

NBA 26-28 (-4600)

NCAAF 71-73 (-9300)

NFL 46-58 (-18,300)

NCAAB 4-1 (+3900)

Baseball 98-85 (+13,475)

NBA 27-28 (-3600)

NCAAF 72-74 (-9400)

NFL 46-58 (-18,300)

NCAAB 4-1 (+3900)
 

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1/2 Unit each on Clemson +4.5 and OVER 63. NCAAB = Drake +19, OVER 150 butler-prov.


NBA up mid afternoon.
FYI: NBA on NY Eve last 6 Seasons = 12 OVER, 29 UNDER
 

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NCAAF

Okl -4.5

michst/bama under 45

Bowl Action Jan 1st

Northwestern +8.5
Florida +4
Iowa +6.5
ole miss -7.5
ohio st/nd over 57

Bowl Action Jan 2nd

Kan St +12.5
ariz st +1
georgia-6

NFL Final Week

Bills +3
Eagles +3.5
Det +1
minn+3.5
seattle+7
 

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That's the NBA, Scott. Shit like that happens all the time. Get 'em tonight.

Last 15 seconds of PORT-DEN was like watching a multi-car pileup and getting struck by every participant.

UNDER 200 ind-mil / DET -8 / PHX +15 / HNY!!!
 
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But I walked away from that multicar pileup. Lucky sometimes.

NBA

yest 4-0 +400
YTD 75-68-2 +391

Utah -2 +102 (vs Clip)
 

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Some Bowl Stats and Team Trends I've Compiled over the years:

Outback Bowl
If you bet Northwestern and Over in the SECOND HALF ONLY in their last 7 Bowls you'd be 13-1
Bowl Games played at 12 or 12:30 Eastern on Jan 1st have gone UNDER 10 of 14 in the first Half and OVER 11 of 14 in the 2H since 2009

Citrus Bowl
Fave 5-2 last 7 years
OVER 3-0 last 3y
Florida 33-6 SU with 8 or more days since last game (mostly with Urban Meyer - see below)

Fiesta Bowl (Could you two teams PLEASE play somebody else today!)
Notre Dame 15-1 SU in NFL stadiums since 1995
Meyer 41-3 SU with 8+ days off

Rose Bowl
Pac 12 = 8-2 SU+ATS
Stanford 47-6 SU in own State

Sugar Bowl
An UNDERDOG of 8 or more is 3-0 STRAIGHT UP in this Bowl the last 3 years, all OVERS

All Bowls last 2 years from Jan 1-3rd have seen the DOGS go 14-4 ATS
 

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Northwestern +10 / UNDER 24.5 1Half NW / If Win UNDER in 1H NW Play OVER on the Halftime Line. Both Plays = 1 Unit / Notre Dame +7 -120 / Ok St +9.5
 

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For you Scotty

--Every team that lost their championship game has lost both SU and ATS so far this year. Most of the games have not been close. You may want to consider going against Iowa & Florida today.

--To date, bowl underdogs are 10-21 SU and 13-18 ATS.

---Through Thursday 12/31 the line has only come into play 3 times this bowl season. As an update the line came in to play only 10 times in the last 105 bowl games. If you like a dog today, take them on the ML.

Some bowl specific notable trends (since 2009 )

Outback Bowl – FAV: 1-4-1 ATS [2015 DOG: Northwestern]
Citrus Bowl – FAV: 4-2 SU/ATS [2015 FAV: Michigan]


Coaches with the worst bowl-game ATS record, minimum five games:
t-6. Brian Kelly, Notre Dame: 2-6

Coaches with the best bowl-game ATS records, minimum five games
1. Urban Meyer, Ohio State: 9-2
t-2. Pat Fitzgerald, Northwestern: 4-1
 

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Thanks for the post Ace. You always have at least one unique piece of info that I find considerable, or leads me to something I can expand on. Happy New Year!
 

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OVER 23.5 in 2H Nw-ten is a Play.

Finally a break!


Alright Ace..... STANFORD -6

So far this Bowl Season every team who lost a Conference Championship Game is 0-6 ATS in Bowls - with only Iowa remaining.

The 6 Conference Championship SU Winners are 4-0 ATS in the Bowls - with only Stanford remaining.
(2 Teams missing above Mich St & Bama faced each other so no play there)
 

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