Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

[Acebb]

NCAAF record is 17-11-1 (+$501)
MLB record is 0-3 (-$303)
NBA record is 0-0

This play fits the theme of my gambling weekend. Which is, forget what you saw last week! In this case, it is forget what you saw on opening night. Andrew Bogut (and Coach Kerr) out, Howard in. Howard has had a double-double in four of his last five games against the Warriors.

Play: Houston Rockets Money Line +100

 

[vitterd]

NBA Friday

Detriot +2.5

Charlotte +4.5

Houston +1 ( sorry acebb....hope i don't mush you)

 

[Michelangelo]

NBA 1-1 -09
Loser last with Milw -109

Green Beans -2 -104 (vs Tonto)

GL guys

 

[The Guesser]

Another frustrating Sunday. Had the game figured right, multiple chances to at least get the side, and instead get -230, net -821. Closing 1U 7 Pt open teaser with SL(-.5). (-120) Betpop
Adding new 1U 6.5 open teaser with Atlanta (-.5) (-110) Betpop

Adding new 1U 7 Point open Teaser with Oakland (+10) Betpop.

 

[The Guesser]

Adding 1/4 U Mets (+320) to win Series -5 Dimes. I think and thought Royals would win series. But a pickem series, where the home team has simply held serve, now going to a more than 3-1? I'll take a shot at those odds. It's a common strategy for me in similar situations.

 

[Michelangelo]

Loser Weds with NYM -1' +150
Playoffs to date 9-9 +356

Friday:

Kansas City +129 (@ NYM)

GL guys

 

[PatsFan1283]

Suns -4.5

Bit of an overreaction from opening night. Suns should be a good deal better than Portland. Portland is a bad defensive team and I'd expect they will be 1 of the worst road teams in the NBA this year.

 

[mountain]

Don't do GOY's but this play is a huge play for me in small college tomorrow. I follow this conference and Chattanooga should roll over Western Carolina University, far too much talent

Rotation # 356 Chattanooga -8 for $300, 3x my average wager.

NCAAF YTD 27-28 (245)
NFL YTD 22-17-1 +444

 

[PatsFan1283]

Sat
Suns +3 in Portland on the home and home.

 

[MantisToboggan]

NCAAF - 10-10 (-1.0)
NFL - 15-15 (-0.15)
NBA - 4-6 (-2.6)

Suns +2.5
Kings +10.5

 

[Acebb]

Houston +1 ( sorry acebb....hope i don't mush you)

No, it was me. I have no idea about the NBA and just bet it because of the line. I shouldn't be taking NBA plays at all!

 

[Acebb]

NCAAF record is 17-11-1 (+$501)
MLB record is 0-3 (-$303)
NBA record is 0-1 (-$100)

Hoping to fight my way out of this losing streak. Back to CFB.

UMASS at BALL STATE
Lembo 1-3 ATS at home this year and 2-8 last 10 vs. spread in Muncie. Lembo 1-6 last 7 as chalk. BSU has dropped 5 straight games and have ave allowed 1,091 passing yards the last 3 weeks. UMASS 6-1 ATS after scoring 35 or more points and are 8-4 ATS off a SU loss.

Play: Massachusetts +1 (-108)

CLEMSON at NC STATE
Both teams come in having won last week’s games in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half. Pack were up 28-0 in 1[SUP]st[/SUP] Q and Clemson 42-0 at half. Pack has covered 3 of last 5 meetings (6-3 ATS the Last 9 in series) and are 8-2 ATS last 10 on board. Doeren 5-3 last 8 as dog and NC State allowing just 251 ypg (Tigers allowing 263 ypg.) and the Tigers are a 1-4 ATS conference road favorite lately. Pack looking for revenge for last year’s 41-0 Clemson win.

Play: NC State +11 (-108)

Only 2 so far.
I'll be back later for some other games.

 

[ScottL]

Only because you find 8-0 Stats the night before they become 8-1.

UL Mon is catching 11.5 today and while doing some datamining I discovered they are 11-0 ATS on the Conference Road if they lost SU in their previous Conference Road game since mid 2007. Why don't I find this Shit when it's 5-0 (ducks under desk)?

 

[ScottL]

Line dropped 30 seconds after my post. How The Fuck?

 

[ScottL]

179 UL-Laf +11.5 ..... 175 UCF +25.5 ..... 135-136 OVER 50.5 clem-ncst ..... 143 CentMich -2.5 ..... 164 Iowa St +3.5

 

[mountain]

Don't do GOY's but this play is a huge play for me in small college tomorrow. I follow this conference and Chattanooga should roll over Western Carolina University, far too much talent

Rotation # 356 Chattanooga -8 for $300, 3x my average wager.

NCAAF YTD 27-28 (245)
NFL YTD 22-17-1 +444

Adding:
UMass + 1
Georgia + 2 1/2
Ok State - 1 1/2

 

[Acebb]

NCAAF record is 17-11-1 (+$501)
MLB record is 0-3 (-$303)
NBA record is 0-1 (-$100)

Hoping to fight my way out of this losing streak. Back to CFB.

UMASS at BALL STATE
Lembo 1-3 ATS at home this year and 2-8 last 10 vs. spread in Muncie. Lembo 1-6 last 7 as chalk. BSU has dropped 5 straight games and have ave allowed 1,091 passing yards the last 3 weeks. UMASS 6-1 ATS after scoring 35 or more points and are 8-4 ATS off a SU loss.

Play: Massachusetts +1 (-108)

CLEMSON at NC STATE
Both teams come in having won last week’s games in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half. Pack were up 28-0 in 1[SUP]st[/SUP] Q and Clemson 42-0 at half. Pack has covered 3 of last 5 meetings (6-3 ATS the Last 9 in series) and are 8-2 ATS last 10 on board. Doeren 5-3 last 8 as dog and NC State allowing just 251 ypg (Tigers allowing 263 ypg.) and the Tigers are a 1-4 ATS conference road favorite lately. Pack looking for revenge for last year’s 41-0 Clemson win.

Play: NC State +11 (-108)

Only 2 so far.
I'll be back later for some other games.

Another:

OKLAHOMA STATE at TEXAS TECH
OSU has now won 6 in a row SU (5-1 ATS) in this series (The Cowboys have won the last six meetings by an average score of 47-22) and the 7-0 Pokes are on an 8-2 ATS run. TT has gotten buried by the B12 heavy-weights TCU (ats W), Baylor, and Oklahoma, and I wonder how long their defense (yielding 562 ypg) can keep them in this game. Also, TT’s Mahomes has 2 TD’s and 5 INTs in the last 2 weeks and The Red Raiders have been held to just 3 pts in the 1Q in each of their last 2 games.
Finally, OSU is 17-11 as an away favorite, 22-13 ATS away, and 13-0 <19 point fav off 2+ wins.

Play: Oklahoma State -2 (-108)

 

[vitterd]

Friday

rice/latech over 61
wyoming +27

Saturday

ncst +10
virginia +6
psu -4
miami+10
vtech -2.5
minnesota+13
boise/unlv over 56

Sunday

SFran +8.5
Arizona -6
ravens -3.5
denver+2.5
det/KC under 45

heading to Borgata for weekend.....anybody in AC over the weekend....shoot me a pm

Add:

north texas +6.5

 

[Michelangelo]

Nice call mountain.

 

[mountain]

Nice call mountain.

Thanks Michel, I appreciate the post. I follow that conference and the talent was really one sided in that game.