Notes on today's games:
DENVER at CLEVELAND
Broncos have won and covered first 3 on road this year. Manning 34-19 ATS in regular season since joining Broncos. Broncos 7-2 SU/ATS run against the AFC North. The Browns are on 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS run in this series (the Browns haven’t beaten Denver SU since 1990). McCown has 3 straight 300 PY games. Browns rank dead last in the NFL on "D"
CINCINNATI at BUFFALO
Bills 2-0 as dog this and 9-2 last 11 in dog role. Cincy are 4-0-1 ATS this year and are now 5-2 vs. spread last 7 away games. But, Bengals are 2-10 SU/ATS in the last twelve games in this series. QB change for the Bills due to injury. Bills only had 82 net passing yards last week.
KANSAS CITY at MINNESOTA
Minny 5-1 ATS last six at home. Vikings are on an 11-3 ATS run and 15-of-its-last-19 games in non-division play. Chiefs have lost and failed to cover last four games. Reid is 5-1 SU/ATS all-time against Minnesota
HOUSTON at JACKSONVILLE
Stinker: Jags now 8-29 SU for Gus Bradley since 2013. But, Jags have covered 4 of last 5 meetings. Texans 1-4 ATS this year but Houston is 11-1 ATS vs losing division opponents off a road game
CHICAGO at DETROIT
Lions 5-1 ATS last six in series, and have covered last five at Ford Field vs. Bears.
Lions are 2-11 ATS in the first of back-to-back division games,
WASHINGTON at NY JETS
Skins 6-12 vs. spread last 18 on road but they are actually +11 pts ATS for the season. Jets run 1-6 ATS off a bye week, along with 1-5 ATS record off a SU division win. Jets are 8-21-1 ATS home after playing the Dolphins. NFL teams off a win in London are 1-7 ATS at home in their next game.
ARIZONA at PITTSBURGH
Cards 11-3 ATS last 13 on road and on a 21-8-1 ATS run. Palmer 10-1 SU (9-2 ATS) last 11 starts and 13 TDs/3 INTs on the year. Arians’ is 10-0 ATS in the second of back-to-back non-division games.
MIAMI at TENNESSEE
Dolphins on 1-8 ATS run since late last season but Miami is 5-1 ATS off bye when playing off a division game. Titans 9-0 ATS off SU loss of less than 8 points, vs a sub .500 opponent. Teams off a loss in London who lost ATS by 10 or more points are 5-0 ATS in their next game.
CAROLINA at SEATTLE
Carolina 5-2-1 last 8 ATS in regular season and 16-10 ATS last 26 as dog. Panthers are on a 9-1 SU run (only loss in LY's 31-17 playoff loss Seahawks) Carolina 13-1 ATS on the road in October vs an opponent off a SU/ATS loss, as well as 9-1 ATS as a revenger vs an NFC team. Carroll 19-7 ATS as regular season host since 2012. Carolina run: 1-8 ATS with rest versus non- division opponents. Panthers 4-0 record is against teams that are 5-15 SU on the year.
SAN DIEGO at GREEN BAY
Chargers on a 3-13 ATS run after Monday game vs. Steelers. Also just 2-7 last 9 as dog. Pack 24-10-1 ATS last 35 at Lambeau.
The Chargers are 0-6 SU/ATS the last six games in this series and Pack on a current 8-1 ATS run.
BALTIMORE at SAN FRANCISCO
Two bad ATS teams so far this year. Ravens just 1-4 ATS this year. SF just 3-7 ATS in new Santa Clara home. Niners are on a 2-8-1 ATS run, and are 0-10 ATS off allowing 28 or more points. Kaepernick is just 2-8 SU and 2-7-1 ATS his last eight starts
NEW ENGLAND at INDIANAPOLIS
Incredible: Pats are 33-8 SU (25-15-1 ATS) in Gronk's last 41 games. NE is on a 14-5 ATS run. The Pats have dominated the four meetings in the “Luck Era,” winning & covering all four, scoring at least 42 points in each.
Brady 11 TDs and 0 INTs & at 72.5% completions on the year. Colts are 0-6 SU/ATS in their last six games vs AFC East.
DENVER at CLEVELAND
Broncos have won and covered first 3 on road this year. Manning 34-19 ATS in regular season since joining Broncos. Broncos 7-2 SU/ATS run against the AFC North. The Browns are on 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS run in this series (the Browns haven’t beaten Denver SU since 1990). McCown has 3 straight 300 PY games. Browns rank dead last in the NFL on "D"
CINCINNATI at BUFFALO
Bills 2-0 as dog this and 9-2 last 11 in dog role. Cincy are 4-0-1 ATS this year and are now 5-2 vs. spread last 7 away games. But, Bengals are 2-10 SU/ATS in the last twelve games in this series. QB change for the Bills due to injury. Bills only had 82 net passing yards last week.
KANSAS CITY at MINNESOTA
Minny 5-1 ATS last six at home. Vikings are on an 11-3 ATS run and 15-of-its-last-19 games in non-division play. Chiefs have lost and failed to cover last four games. Reid is 5-1 SU/ATS all-time against Minnesota
HOUSTON at JACKSONVILLE
Stinker: Jags now 8-29 SU for Gus Bradley since 2013. But, Jags have covered 4 of last 5 meetings. Texans 1-4 ATS this year but Houston is 11-1 ATS vs losing division opponents off a road game
CHICAGO at DETROIT
Lions 5-1 ATS last six in series, and have covered last five at Ford Field vs. Bears.
Lions are 2-11 ATS in the first of back-to-back division games,
WASHINGTON at NY JETS
Skins 6-12 vs. spread last 18 on road but they are actually +11 pts ATS for the season. Jets run 1-6 ATS off a bye week, along with 1-5 ATS record off a SU division win. Jets are 8-21-1 ATS home after playing the Dolphins. NFL teams off a win in London are 1-7 ATS at home in their next game.
ARIZONA at PITTSBURGH
Cards 11-3 ATS last 13 on road and on a 21-8-1 ATS run. Palmer 10-1 SU (9-2 ATS) last 11 starts and 13 TDs/3 INTs on the year. Arians’ is 10-0 ATS in the second of back-to-back non-division games.
MIAMI at TENNESSEE
Dolphins on 1-8 ATS run since late last season but Miami is 5-1 ATS off bye when playing off a division game. Titans 9-0 ATS off SU loss of less than 8 points, vs a sub .500 opponent. Teams off a loss in London who lost ATS by 10 or more points are 5-0 ATS in their next game.
CAROLINA at SEATTLE
Carolina 5-2-1 last 8 ATS in regular season and 16-10 ATS last 26 as dog. Panthers are on a 9-1 SU run (only loss in LY's 31-17 playoff loss Seahawks) Carolina 13-1 ATS on the road in October vs an opponent off a SU/ATS loss, as well as 9-1 ATS as a revenger vs an NFC team. Carroll 19-7 ATS as regular season host since 2012. Carolina run: 1-8 ATS with rest versus non- division opponents. Panthers 4-0 record is against teams that are 5-15 SU on the year.
SAN DIEGO at GREEN BAY
Chargers on a 3-13 ATS run after Monday game vs. Steelers. Also just 2-7 last 9 as dog. Pack 24-10-1 ATS last 35 at Lambeau.
The Chargers are 0-6 SU/ATS the last six games in this series and Pack on a current 8-1 ATS run.
BALTIMORE at SAN FRANCISCO
Two bad ATS teams so far this year. Ravens just 1-4 ATS this year. SF just 3-7 ATS in new Santa Clara home. Niners are on a 2-8-1 ATS run, and are 0-10 ATS off allowing 28 or more points. Kaepernick is just 2-8 SU and 2-7-1 ATS his last eight starts
NEW ENGLAND at INDIANAPOLIS
Incredible: Pats are 33-8 SU (25-15-1 ATS) in Gronk's last 41 games. NE is on a 14-5 ATS run. The Pats have dominated the four meetings in the “Luck Era,” winning & covering all four, scoring at least 42 points in each.
Brady 11 TDs and 0 INTs & at 72.5% completions on the year. Colts are 0-6 SU/ATS in their last six games vs AFC East.
