Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

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Orlovsky starts for Detroit. If you've got the Under, smile. If you've got Denver you can think about smiling. Detroit can't run. Now this.

Stafford is in.

Are you just checking the box score on your phone? Once every few weeks the stattrackers put the backup as the QB for like 5 mins until it gets fixed but Stafford is in.
 

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If Vit's back, I'm back. -$90 after the Tyrod Taylor Fiasco.

Week 1 was a Great week for 7 Point teasers. Hopefully this week is equally as good for 6 Pointers: All U based on $100.
1/2 U Hous (-.5) and Ariz (-.5) (+100 at Betmania)
1 U Hous (-.5) and Dallas (+7.5) (+100 at Betmania)
3/4 U on those 3 (+180 at Betmania)
1 U Hous (-.5) and OPEN SPOT(-105 at Betpop)- Betmania/Skybook doesn't allow open teasers. Hous is my best 6 point teaser for the week. May close it this week, may not, depending on other lines.
3/4 U Dolphins (-2.5) over Bills at Sportsbook.ag made yesterday. Think Buff is due for a very flat spot after the emotions of Patriots at Home week.
1/2 U Lions (+3) at Betonline when they had it up. I'm expecting Stafford to play and Detroit to give a great effort, and don't think Denver's much. If Stafford isn't playing, I'm screwed with the line, but will probably bet more on Det at the higher line, even with Orlovsky.

I'm glad I'm so tapped in to the Bills emotional state:ohno:, and that being up 14 getting 7.5 isn't good enough:puppy:. Horrid day, -$208, Lions and Open Tease with Hous pending. To add to the joy, Jeff Triplette is reffing the Lion game.kth)(&^
 
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I'm glad I'm so tapped in to the Bills emotional state:ohno:, and that being up 14 getting 7.5 isn't good enough:puppy:. Horrid day, -$208, Lions and Open Tease with Hous pending. To add to the joy, Jeff Triplette is reffing the Lion game.kth)(&^

I respect and admire Triplette for his Bronze Star and his service to this country, but man he has to be far and away the worst official (and crew) I have ever seen. There is no excuse for the NFL bringing him back every year.
 

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I'm glad I'm so tapped in to the Bills emotional state:ohno:, and that being up 14 getting 7.5 isn't good enough:puppy:. Horrid day, -$208, Lions and Open Tease with Hous pending. To add to the joy, Jeff Triplette is reffing the Lion game.kth)(&^
-$263 for the day, with 1U Open tease on Houston pending. Did I mention how much I hate Jeff Triplette? The games he refs are just painful to watch.
 

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Had a litle chuckle this AM watching a replay of NBC Premeire Boxing. It's amazing how many clueless people there are out there holding a mic who should know better. The first first had this young guy, undefeated with 14 knockouts in 15 fights. The other guy was 36 years old, a good record but was obviously a stepping stone. So as it turns out the only real skill the young guy has is he's 6'7". Other than that he sucks. But as the fight entered the 10th round Marv Albert, Sugar Ray Leonard (who should KNOW better) and some guy scoring the fight for NBC all had the 36 year old ahead by a round. The judges said 97-93, 98-92, and 100-90. Like, "No Shit!" And then I thought, "Wow what a perfect new career for Jeff Tripsalot - Boxing Judge!"
 
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yest 4-4 -07
YTD 15-11 +343

Monday:

Green Bay -5' -103 (vs KCy)

I like Kansas City. I think they have a nice offense and defense. But not against Aaron Rogers in Lambeau.

I did my homework.

Aaron Rogers has won 19 straight regular season starts at Lambeau. The last time he lost was opening day of 2012 (Frisco).

He has covered 14 of his last 16 Lambeau starts with one SU win but ATS loss as a 13' point fav (Atl) and a push as a 7 point fav to the Jets.

Good luck.
 

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-$263 for the day, with 1U Open tease on Houston pending. Did I mention how much I hate Jeff Triplette? The games he refs are just painful to watch.
-$353
1U Closed Teaser with Ariz(-.5) at Betpop(-105)
1U Open Teaser Ariz (-.5) Betpop((-105) SL has been disappointing, Ariz has been at worst the 2nd best team in Football, looks great on both sides of the ball.
2U Steelers (+3) (-115) Hollywood Sportsbook- This is an EXTREME Overreaction to the Big Ben loss. Pitt was -3 in the advance line. He's great, but Vick isn't a horror show, They still can run the ball, Baltimore doesn't look good and these teams live for 3 point games(except last year). I'll take a shot with Pitt at home getting 3 against their biggest rival. It's 2.5 elsewhere, -1(-125) at 5D for the teaser protection line. If it ever gets to 3 again at one of my teaser shops, I'll be teasing it up to +10.
 
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NCAAF 3-2
NFL 3-5

GB -5.5

I'm a Green Bay fan so take my pick with a grain of salt. I don't love this matchup for GB on either side of the ball. Defensively, the Packers don't tackle particularly well, which is terrifying against Jamaal Charles. Last week was encouraging. They shut down Lynch's cut back lanes and wrapped up. That said, 3+ years of poor tackling leads me to believe that was a one game miracle. On offense, the Packers will miss Bryan Bulaga against the KC front 7. Barclay likely gets abused tonight. The reason I am taking GB is I think you get the best of Rodgers tonight. He's the king of using any perceived slight as motivation. He's, by all accounts, sensitive to the point of being overly sensitive. The below is from a recent SI article on Rodgers.

Meanwhile, Rodgers never misses an opportunity to remind someone, anyone, of a slight. He kept all his rejection letters from college. He reminds McCarthy in some way every season that the coach, then with the 49ers, drafted Alex Smith (now with the Chiefs) ahead of him in 2005. “We play Kansas City in Week 3,” says McCarthy. “We won't make it through the first half of that week without him saying something. I'm certain.”

Sensitive is a word that teammates often use to describe Rodgers. Sensitive about his height, 6'2". Sensitive about his circuitous path to the pros (even if it might not seem that circuitous to others). These teammates are sensitive, even, in describing their QB's sensitivity, because that in and of itself is a sensitive matter. “He pays attention to everything,” says Jennings, now with the Dolphins. “He remembers, and he's going to burn you. And when the microphone is on, he's going to subtly share some facetious statement that lets you know that he knows what you said and that he got the best of it.”

I'm willing to take my chances with the better QB, at home (a place where GB is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 and Rodgers last threw an INT in week 13 of 2012). Good luck tonight, guys.
 

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on 5D

J Charles over 27.5 yards receiving -110

Decent chance GB has the lead and KC has to pass more than normal tonight. In general KC likes to play at a slower than league average pace but GB at home likely takes them out of that.

With the 11 days rest, should see Knile spell him less on 3rd downs as well.
 

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on 5D

J Charles over 27.5 yards receiving -110

Decent chance GB has the lead and KC has to pass more than normal tonight. In general KC likes to play play at a slower than league average pace but GB at home likely takes them out of that somewhat.

With the 11 days rest, should see Knile spell him less on 3rd downs as well.

I like this play.....and while I never play props, besides the super bowl, gonna jump at this one. Will see what heritage has.

Chiefs entire offense based on screen plays.
 

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They fed Charles in the passing game way more in 2013 than last year. Last year they played a lot of methodical slow games but with Kelce healthy and Maclin in the fold they do wanna drop back more.

Don't wanna go to 1-2 with Denver at 3-0, I'd think Charles sees the field on >80% of the snaps tonight. His backup Davis is pretty good, 1 of the better backups in the league.
 

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