Thanks Vit & Mantis.
"Dear G-D, please bring Mantis back to the forum. I don't care if I lose every game on Saturday. I need my favorite poster!"
G-D I was only joking. C'mon Man!
Last time Dallas played Atlanta, a Sunday night game in 2012. ATL was -3, leading 16-13 very late. Middle on the way! Nope! Dallas turns it over on downs and ATL hits a chipshot FG with .22 left. Bitched about it then and I'll bitch about it now. If you run the ball outside and either make FD or waste a few seconds and then kneel at your opponent's 10YL, they then need 50+ yards in 17 seconds with no Timeouts to tie. It's not happening! You don't kick FG to increase lead from 3 to 6 with .22 left Mike Smith as it's riskier. Unless you just want the game off the number! That's Wayne Fontes type Thanksgiving Bullshit.
"Dear G-D, please bring Mantis back to the forum. I don't care if I lose every game on Saturday. I need my favorite poster!"
G-D I was only joking. C'mon Man!
Last time Dallas played Atlanta, a Sunday night game in 2012. ATL was -3, leading 16-13 very late. Middle on the way! Nope! Dallas turns it over on downs and ATL hits a chipshot FG with .22 left. Bitched about it then and I'll bitch about it now. If you run the ball outside and either make FD or waste a few seconds and then kneel at your opponent's 10YL, they then need 50+ yards in 17 seconds with no Timeouts to tie. It's not happening! You don't kick FG to increase lead from 3 to 6 with .22 left Mike Smith as it's riskier. Unless you just want the game off the number! That's Wayne Fontes type Thanksgiving Bullshit.
Some notes on today’s games in case this helps with anyone’s picks:
OAKLAND at CLEVELAND
Ugly. Browns 3-8 ATS chalk last 11 since late 2012. Oakland has lost last 3 road games by a combined 130-27 point margin (-72 points ATS). Raiders are 1-11
SU & 2-10 ATS at AFC North sites, including 0-5 SUATS the last five. West coast teams are 0-2 ATS/SU in 1pm EST games this year.
CINCINNATI at BALTIMORE
Cats 4-0 SU ATS the last four against Ravens and 14-6-1 ATS run in this series. Lewis 10-5-1 as regular season road dog since 2011. Ravens 1-10 ATS as home chalk before playing Pittsburgh. Ravens 35-7 SU at M&T Bank Stadium since 2010
JACKSONVILLE at NEW ENGLAND
Belichick, 1-8 ATS as double digit fav since 2012. Jags 11-20-2 ATS as dog for Gus Bradley. Brady has 7 TD’s no INT’s and 754 passing yards in 2 games.
PHILADELPHIA at NY JETS
Kelly now 11-14 ATS as chalk with Eagles. Jets are +8 in turnovers this year. Eagles on a 0-4 SU/ATS run after playing Dallas.
San Diego at MINNESOTA
Chargers in a second consecutive 1:00 PM ET kickoff game. Rivers 0-4 SU/ATS all-time at Minny. Mike McKoy is 7-2 ATS in non- conference games.
Zimmer is 8-1 ATS in last 9 non-conference games and Minny is on a 9-3 ATS run. West coast teams are 0-2 ATS/SU in 1pm EST games this year.
TAMPA BAY at HOUSTON
Lovie 6-3 as road dog since last year. O’Brien 6-2 as chalk with Texans.
Tampa 0-6 SU/ATS the last 6 away @ AFC games when playing off a division win and on 1-7 ATS run after playing the Saints.
PITTSBURGH at ST. LOUIS
Steelers 0-10 ATS off SU/ATS win vs non-division foe off SU/ATS loss.
Roethlisberger 9-2 SU/ 8-3 ATS all time vs. NFC West.
Rams only had 213 yards of offense last week. Rams over 17-9 last 26 at home
ATLANTA at DALLAS
Weeden is 5-16 SU and 7-12-2 ATS as a starter in the NFL and 0-8 SUATS his last eight. Atlanta no covers in last four in second of back-to-backs on road
INDIANAPOLIS at TENNESSEE
Colts' 7-0 ATS run as division Road Favs, and 6-0-1 ATS (7-0 SU) run for Indy over the Titans. Colts 20-4 SU and 15-8-1 ATS in this series in the last 12 years
SAN FRANCISCO at ARIZONA
Cards are 10-3-1 ATS last 14 at home. Palmer 10-1 SU as QB for Zona and 15-
4-1 ATS last twenty starts. Niners on 8-2 ATS run vs the Cards (5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS as dog).
BUFFALO at MIAMI
Bills 3-1 SU/ATS last four vs. Dolphins. Bills 7- 2 as dog since last year. Rex had gone 6-2 ATS vs. Fish (4-2 SU/ATS @ MIA) while with Jets. Philbin 4-7 ATS as home chalk since 2013.
Bills have a 307-120 Rushing yard edge this year, Miami has 2 touchdowns in 2 games.
DENVER at DETROIT
Denver is on a 43-10 SU run and 21-12 ATS as visitor since Manning arrived in 2012. Lions 6-7-1 ATS last 14 at home and Detroit only has 107 yards rushing this year.
OAKLAND at CLEVELAND
Ugly. Browns 3-8 ATS chalk last 11 since late 2012. Oakland has lost last 3 road games by a combined 130-27 point margin (-72 points ATS). Raiders are 1-11
SU & 2-10 ATS at AFC North sites, including 0-5 SUATS the last five. West coast teams are 0-2 ATS/SU in 1pm EST games this year.
CINCINNATI at BALTIMORE
Cats 4-0 SU ATS the last four against Ravens and 14-6-1 ATS run in this series. Lewis 10-5-1 as regular season road dog since 2011. Ravens 1-10 ATS as home chalk before playing Pittsburgh. Ravens 35-7 SU at M&T Bank Stadium since 2010
JACKSONVILLE at NEW ENGLAND
Belichick, 1-8 ATS as double digit fav since 2012. Jags 11-20-2 ATS as dog for Gus Bradley. Brady has 7 TD’s no INT’s and 754 passing yards in 2 games.
PHILADELPHIA at NY JETS
Kelly now 11-14 ATS as chalk with Eagles. Jets are +8 in turnovers this year. Eagles on a 0-4 SU/ATS run after playing Dallas.
San Diego at MINNESOTA
Chargers in a second consecutive 1:00 PM ET kickoff game. Rivers 0-4 SU/ATS all-time at Minny. Mike McKoy is 7-2 ATS in non- conference games.
Zimmer is 8-1 ATS in last 9 non-conference games and Minny is on a 9-3 ATS run. West coast teams are 0-2 ATS/SU in 1pm EST games this year.
TAMPA BAY at HOUSTON
Lovie 6-3 as road dog since last year. O’Brien 6-2 as chalk with Texans.
Tampa 0-6 SU/ATS the last 6 away @ AFC games when playing off a division win and on 1-7 ATS run after playing the Saints.
PITTSBURGH at ST. LOUIS
Steelers 0-10 ATS off SU/ATS win vs non-division foe off SU/ATS loss.
Roethlisberger 9-2 SU/ 8-3 ATS all time vs. NFC West.
Rams only had 213 yards of offense last week. Rams over 17-9 last 26 at home
ATLANTA at DALLAS
Weeden is 5-16 SU and 7-12-2 ATS as a starter in the NFL and 0-8 SUATS his last eight. Atlanta no covers in last four in second of back-to-backs on road
INDIANAPOLIS at TENNESSEE
Colts' 7-0 ATS run as division Road Favs, and 6-0-1 ATS (7-0 SU) run for Indy over the Titans. Colts 20-4 SU and 15-8-1 ATS in this series in the last 12 years
SAN FRANCISCO at ARIZONA
Cards are 10-3-1 ATS last 14 at home. Palmer 10-1 SU as QB for Zona and 15-
4-1 ATS last twenty starts. Niners on 8-2 ATS run vs the Cards (5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS as dog).
BUFFALO at MIAMI
Bills 3-1 SU/ATS last four vs. Dolphins. Bills 7- 2 as dog since last year. Rex had gone 6-2 ATS vs. Fish (4-2 SU/ATS @ MIA) while with Jets. Philbin 4-7 ATS as home chalk since 2013.
Bills have a 307-120 Rushing yard edge this year, Miami has 2 touchdowns in 2 games.
DENVER at DETROIT
Denver is on a 43-10 SU run and 21-12 ATS as visitor since Manning arrived in 2012. Lions 6-7-1 ATS last 14 at home and Detroit only has 107 yards rushing this year.
I made an error:
CINCINNATI at BALTIMORE
Cats 3-0 SU/ATS the last 3 (Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings) against Ravens and 14-6-1 ATS run in this series. Lewis 10-5-1 as regular season road dog since 2011. Ravens 1-10 ATS as home chalk before playing Pittsburgh. Ravens 35-7 SU at M&T Bank Stadium since 2010
CINCINNATI at BALTIMORE
Cats 3-0 SU/ATS the last 3 (Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings) against Ravens and 14-6-1 ATS run in this series. Lewis 10-5-1 as regular season road dog since 2011. Ravens 1-10 ATS as home chalk before playing Pittsburgh. Ravens 35-7 SU at M&T Bank Stadium since 2010
