Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

[The Guesser]

3/4U 6.5 Teaser Dallas (-.5) and Carolina (-.5)

+75

Still Have 1/2U open 6 pointer. If one of the -7 games I like move to -6.5, or the +1 Game I Like moves to +1.5, I'll close it this week. Might still do it at +1, as I love that game(see below)
1/2U Cinn -3(-120). Going to 3.5 or higher.
2.5U Jax +1. Was holding out hoping this line would go up, but got spooked by not jumping on Oakland +2 and losing that line. So jumped on this now. Best bet of the year so far for me. Banking on Jax being the team I thought they were, and that last week's debacle against SD was just one of those things. If Balt goes down 20-0 this week, they won't come back. This is a pro Jax, not an anti Raven bet, but a team that can actually go down 20-0 to Cleveland is one I don't mind betting against.
I don't bet against my Chiefs, but if I did, I'd be all over Jets +3, assuming Brandon Marshall plays(pretty sure he will). Horrid matchup for Chiefs. They are totally beat up on the interior of their O-line, having to rush one of their starting OG's back early from a high ankle sprain, because his back up, and the other starting OG are out, which Houston took advantage of, and now going against the best DL in the NFL. Alex Smith sees phantom pass rush when his OL is healthy, and he's not the QB to take advantage of the deep vacancy on Revis Island. Chiefs have been getting burned deep in the secondary, and Jets can torch them with Marshall and Decker.

 

[ScottL]

[-26.34 U] MLB Saturday = CUB -118 / LAA +125 / SEA -135

Afternoon Football [21-18 after the IA (Involuntary Anal) result with Usc last night]. GUARANTEED OPI would have been called if Usc scored on that BS Play!

335 Byu +7.5

345 Pit +7

374 Ole Miss -7

 

[Michelangelo]

yest 2-4 -429
YTD 492-726 -15136

Saturday:

St Louis +123 (@ Cub) 3*
Boston -1' +110 (@ TBy) 3*
Arizona +136 (@ Bal) 3*
Cleveland -1' +170 (vs CWS) 3*
Milwaukee -1' +180 (vs Cin) 3*
Houston -1' +151 (vs LAA) 3*
NY Mutts -1' +124 (vs Philly) 3*
Seattle -1' +134 (@ Minny) 3*

Thanks

 

[MantisToboggan]

Cant tell if Wyoming defense is better or emu qb is awful. He has 4 picks and two were pick six.

Nice call. Glad you got the cash. Two brutal football teams.

 

[ScottL]

363 Arkansas +7

390 Northwestern +9

400 Unlv -14

 

[The Guesser]

+75

Still Have 1/2U open 6 pointer. If one of the -7 games I like move to -6.5, or the +1 Game I Like moves to +1.5, I'll close it this week. Might still do it at +1, as I love that game(see below)
1/2U Cinn -3(-120). Going to 3.5 or higher.
2.5U Jax +1. Was holding out hoping this line would go up, but got spooked by not jumping on Oakland +2 and losing that line. So jumped on this now. Best bet of the year so far for me. Banking on Jax being the team I thought they were, and that last week's debacle against SD was just one of those things. If Balt goes down 20-0 this week, they won't come back. This is a pro Jax, not an anti Raven bet, but a team that can actually go down 20-0 to Cleveland is one I don't mind betting against.
I don't bet against my Chiefs, but if I did, I'd be all over Jets +3, assuming Brandon Marshall plays(pretty sure he will). Horrid matchup for Chiefs. They are totally beat up on the interior of their O-line, having to rush one of their starting OG's back early from a high ankle sprain, because his back up, and the other starting OG are out, which Houston took advantage of, and now going against the best DL in the NFL. Alex Smith sees phantom pass rush when his OL is healthy, and he's not the QB to take advantage of the deep vacancy on Revis Island. Chiefs have been getting burned deep in the secondary, and Jets can torch them with Marshall and Decker.

Closed 1/2U 6 Pointer with Dallas (-.5).
Have 3/4U 6.5 Teaser Carolina(-.5) and Dallas(-.5)
Ariz- Buff stinks out loud. Ariz is biggest consensus play of week, 2nd biggest consensus in Westgate contest, and line has dropped a point. Good luck Zona backers, you're gonna need it, if history on these type games is a guide.
Was NOT happy to see Jax highest picked team in RX contest, and 4th in Westgate. With a number WORSE than current. I'll be surprised if Jax doesn't close a Fave.

 

[Acebb]

Week 3 SuperContest NFL Picks By Most Contestants (0-5 Last Week, 3-7 ATS YTD)
1	Pittsburgh -3.5	By 663
2	Arizona -4	By 536
3	Tampa Bay -5.5	By 502
4	Jacksonville Pick’em	By 477
5	San Diego +3	By 418

These guys suck so far this year.

The entire world is on the Steelers and that's never a good feeling.

I'm still reeling from how Pitt lost that game. Hopefully the same thing doesn't happen today.

 

[Michelangelo]

Wish they were all as easy as that Thursday night game. Pats are in for another monster year. That Defense is as fast as any Patriot Defense I've ever seen. They cover. They tackle. On the Offensive side of the ball, they have new weapons in Bennett, Hogan, and rookie Mitchell. Gronk will heal. Lewis should be back for the back end. Watch out NFL.

Sunday:

Jacksonville +2' +102 (vs Balty)
Jacksonville was supposed to be somebody this year. They're 0-2. It's time to step up or slide into the category of promises unfulfilled. Balty beat Buffalo and Cleveland. BFD. Any crown they're wearing is made of old newspapers. Balty was 0-3 SU last year in back to back road games. They were 0-3 ATS as Road Favorites last year. Balty was 2-6 on the Road last year. The Jaguars slurp on Raven soup today.

 

[ScottL]

Should have gone to bed after the 3:30 games started. Went 3-0 in my day plays and owen3 at night. Football is now 24-21.

TEN +1.5

JACKS +3 -120

GBAY -6

TAM -3 -120

INDY +1.5

 

[ScottL]

MLB [-27.62u] SF -115 / BOS -115 / LAA +170 / TEX +100

 

[Michelangelo]

Add Sunday:

Cleveland +10 -113 (@ Mia)
After toughies against two of the NFL Big Bad Guys, Seattle, and New England, The Fins get to draw blood from some Brownies flailing around in Miami's NFL waters. Brownies already down to their third string QB in Game 3 of this early season. No chance, right? Well the Fins were 3-5 SU and 2-6 ATS at home last year. 4-4; 3-5 at home in 2014. 10 point favorites? Naw.

Washington +3' -110 (@ NYG)
The Skins broke an 0-5 SU and ATS skid against the Div rival G-men with a 20-14 home win last year. Expecting them to get their arrows back on target as David slays Goliath for their first 2016 win.

 

[Michelangelo]

Add Sunday:

Carolina -6 -103 (vs Minny)
The SB runnerup has won and covered 7 straight at home. Minny has a challenged offense. Only two offensive TDs in two weeks. Cam will keep Minny's strong Defense off balance. The city of Charlotte needs a boost. They get it here.

 

[Michelangelo]

Add Sunday:
Tennessee +2 -105 (vs Oak)
Oakland has been favored six times in 2015 and 2016. They lost five of those games outright. The only one they won was when they went into Tenny last year as 1 point favorites and won 24-21 on a TD pass with under two minutes to go. I'm sure the Titans circled this game in the offseason. Tenny's turn.

 

[roadreeler57]

Tampa Bay -3.5 +105

 

[Michelangelo]

yest 2-6 -1101
YTD 494-732 -16237

Sunday:

Clev -1' +134 (vs CWS) 3*
Pitt -1' +165 (vs Wash) 3*

 

[The Guesser]

Closed 1/2U 6 Pointer with Dallas (-.5).
Have 3/4U 6.5 Teaser Carolina(-.5) and Dallas(-.5)
Ariz- Buff stinks out loud. Ariz is biggest consensus play of week, 2nd biggest consensus in Westgate contest, and line has dropped a point. Good luck Zona backers, you're gonna need it, if history on these type games is a guide.
Was NOT happy to see Jax highest picked team in RX contest, and 4th in Westgate. With a number WORSE than current. I'll be surprised if Jax doesn't close a Fave.

Totally misread the Jax line, as did everybody. Stupidly added 1.5U a +2.5.

 

[Michelangelo]

Add Sunday:

Arizona +234 (@ Balty) 3*
Milwaukee -1' +177 (vs Cincy) 3*
Houston -1' +126 (vs LAA) 3*
Seattle -1' +124 (@ Minny) 3*
LAD -1' +145 (vs Col) 3*
San Fran -1' +136 (@ SDo) 3*

Thanks

 

[Michelangelo]

Add Sinday:

San Fran +10' -109 (@ Sea)
Have to go back 85 games to find the last time the Shehawks had two consecutive games of scoring less than two TDs in each. Seattle was lined as a dog in 10 consecutive games around that two game scoring drought sandwich. But now they're double digit favorites? Naw. I'll take the generous points 'till the Hawks offense shows me it can fly.

New York Jets +3 +104 (@ KCy)
Two 1-1 teams. But one has played Cincy and Buff. The other has played San Diego and Houston. Since the beginning of last year the Chiefs are 7-2 SU but just 3-6 ATS at Home. Without Justin Houston that Defense is struggling. I'll take the Jets to fly out of Kansas City with a win tucked away in the luggage compartment.

Philly +4 -110 (vs Pit)
I know Philly played two bums, Clev and Chicago to get to 2-0. But they are the hungry home dog here looking to test themselves vs cross state rival, Pittsburgh. Let's see if they can slow the Big Ben juggernaught down.

Indy -1 -108 (vs San Diego)
San Diego is 2-7 ATS in their last nine as favorites. Now they're a road favorite. Because they beat a wounded Jax team and mounted a fall short comeback against Kansas Shitty? Gimme Indy to finally find the win column against these West Coast laybacks.

 

[The Guesser]

-145. Could have been alot worse if Jax line didn't go up. Dumb move actually worked out. As the GOAT once said, On to Cincinnati, and week 4.

 

[vitterd]

mlb 158-145(+11,840)

ncaaf 8-8(-800)

nfl 6-4(+1600)

mlb 158-146(+10,730)

ncaaf 12-11(-100)

nfl 8-5(+2500)