Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

[Michelangelo]

yest 0-5 -1500
YTD 484-786 -12037

Tuesday:

Balty -1' +147 (vs Bos) 3*
Philly -1' +183 (vs CWS) 3*
NYM -1' +188 (vs Atl) 3*
Cleveland -1' +127 (vs KCy) 3*
Tampa Bay +102 (vs NYY) 3*
Wassington +161 (@ Mia) 3*
Cincy +246 (@ Cub) 3*
Oakland +120 (vs Hou) 3*
Seattle +107 (vs Tor) 3*

Thanks

 

[ScottL]

[-21.31U] MLB Wed: ARZ -118 / BAL -103 / TAM +110 / DET -105

 

[vitterd]

Gonna make a baseball play tonight.

Balt -111

 

[Michelangelo]

0-14 last 14
pain will be over soon

yest 0-9 -2700
YTD 484-715 -14737

Wednesday:

Balty -1' +180 (vs Bos) 3*
Philly +140 (vs CWS) 3*
Tampa Bay +104 (vs NYY) 3*
LAA +138 (@ Tex) 3*
Detroit -106 (@ Minny) 3*
Arizona -1' +143 (@ SDo) 3*

Thanks

 

[Michelangelo]

Thanks for those NFL stats, Ace.

 

[Michelangelo]

yest 2-3 -66
YTD 486-718 -14803

Thursday:

Balty +117 (vs Bos) 3*
Miami -1' +163 (vs Atl) 3*
Cleveland -1' +141 (vs KCy)
Tampa Bay -1' +162 (vs NYY) 3*
NY Mutts -1' +146 (vs Phi) 3*
Gm 2 Minny +126 (vs Det) 3*
Milwaukee -100 (vs Pit) 3*
LAD -1' +123 (vs Col) 3*

Thanks

 

[ScottL]

[-22.34 Units] Thursday: MIA -130 / SD +140 / COL +175 / DET -135

Gut picks both visitors in Foots tonight. All the Stats point the other way. Fade NE's 43-4 SU Home record vs AFC? Insanity, gut feeling notwithstanding.

 

[Michelangelo]

Wk 1 // 2-5-1 -311
Wk 2 // 6-2 +397

Week 3

Thursday

New England -1 -107 (vs Houston)
If there ever was a team that is NOT defined by one player it is Bellichick's Patriots. 11-5 with Matt Cassell. 2-0 with Jimmy Garoppolo. Now it's Brissett's turn. Maybe with an assist from Edelman. Maybe with an assist from Derby.

In the JJ Watt era, the Pats have played Houston four times:

2012 // NEn -4' vs Hou // W 42-14 (Monday Night)
2012 // NEn -9' vs Hou // W 41-28 (Divisional Round)
2013 // NEn -7' @ Hou // L 34-31
2015 // NEn -5 @ Hou) // W 27-6

I know that Houston now has deep coaching connections to New England (O'Brien; Crennell; Izzo; Vrabel). We loved those guys when they were here. But if you add up all their football acumen it still doesn't come close to measuring up to their former master, Bellichick.

Good luck if you try to beat him and his team in Foxboro. It doesn't happen often.

 

[The Guesser]

+45.

Like 1 Game in a tease so far. Jets at Home getting 2.5 which I bet earlier in an open tease, and then today BetPop's moved it to 3 points. Will probably close the 7 Pointer with Washington(+10), but waiting to see if the line will go higher, as Pitt getting much love.
1/2 U Open 6 Point Tease Jets(+8.5)

+90:


1/2 U Open 7 Point Tease Jets(+10)

Adding 1U TB +3. This line is inching downwards, so don't wanna lose the 3. TB is a darkhorse to win the Division if Carolina falters a bit. Love Winston, Love Martin. Love Evans. Julio is a bit dinged with an ankle. Think they can beat Atlanta in a shootout, or at least come within the number.

Closed up the 7 pointer with Wash +10 while the+3 still exists.

+130 I think.
1/2U Hous +1. I'll do the sucker thing with a good team against the 3rd string Rookie NE QB, as a slight dog.

 

[The Guesser]

+130 I think.
1/2U Hous +1. I'll do the sucker thing with a good team against the 3rd string Rookie NE QB, as a slight dog.

3/4U 6.5 Teaser Dallas (-.5) and Carolina (-.5)

 

[vitterd]

Friday

E Mich +3.5

Saturday

Iowa -13
PSU +18
Vandy +8
UCLA +3
Colorado +10.5
FSU -4.5


Sunday

Oak +1.5
Jags +1
Gia/skins over 45.5

 

[MantisToboggan]

Friday

E Mich +3.5

Saturday

Iowa -13
PSU +18
Vandy +8
UCLA +3
Colorado +10.5
FSU -4.5


Sunday

Oak +1.5
Jags +1
Gia/skins over 45.5

What's your reasoning on EMU?

 

[vitterd]

What's your reasoning on EMU?

Think emich has advantage on defensive side and Wyoming doesn't travel well at all. It's unthinkable to me that a team like this could be a road fav......especially against a team that should be confident off last weeks win and their easy win in Wyoming last year. It will probably be high scoring but I think I got the better defensive, at home and getting 3.5.....that's usually a good recipe for me to invest. Wyoming does have the revenge factor at play but impossible to back this team away from home laying points. Guess more of anti Wyoming than pro emich play.

 

[MantisToboggan]

Think emich has advantage on defensive side and Wyoming doesn't travel well at all. It's unthinkable to me that a team like this could be a road fav......especially against a team that should be confident off last weeks win and their easy win in Wyoming last year. It will probably be high scoring but I think I got the better defensive, at home and getting 3.5.....that's usually a good recipe for me to invest. Wyoming does have the revenge factor at play but impossible to back this team away from home laying points. Guess more of anti Wyoming than pro emich play.

Appreciate the reply. I also hate the idea of backing Wyoming as a road favorite, but I don't think EMU has the better D. It's probably going to end up a no play for me, but I considered Wyoming. Good luck tonight. Hope you cash.

 

[vitterd]

Appreciate the reply. I also hate the idea of backing Wyoming as a road favorite, but I don't think EMU has the better D. It's probably going to end up a no play for me, but I considered Wyoming. Good luck tonight. Hope you cash.

You might be right. Seems to me I have a slight advantage on defense......but they are no bargain on that side of the ball for sure. Good luck.

 

[MantisToboggan]

You might be right. Seems to me I have a slight advantage on defense......but they are no bargain on that side of the ball for sure. Good luck.

It's always tough with two awful teams. I like that UCLA play a lot.

 

[ScottL]

Something for you guys to ponder......

NCAAF Rotation Games - If the team listed on top is the Favorite that team is on a run of 237-57 SU and 177-116 ATS since last year. There were a few that were split between pick and -1 that I threw out. The count this Season so far is 25-3 SU and 18-9 ATS (FIU-UMass game removed). Tough to wager Home Dogs lately.

 

[ScottL]

Football (21-17) = USC +3

MLB (-23.94) = NYM -140 / NYY +185 / OV 7 -125 bos-tam / UN 9 -115 laa-hou

 

[Michelangelo]

yest 4-4 +96
YTD 490-722 -14707

Friday:

Azo +192 (@ Balty) 3*
Boston -1' +147 (@ TBy) 3*
Cleveland -1' +115 (vs CWS) 3*
Milwaukee -1' +169 (vs Cincy) 3*
Houston -1' +145 (vs LAA) 3*
LAD -1' +142 (vs Col) 3*

Thanks

 

[vitterd]

It's always tough with two awful teams. I like that UCLA play a lot.

Cant tell if Wyoming defense is better or emu qb is awful. He has 4 picks and two were pick six.