PoliticoPundit MLB Angles Thread #3

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if it was opposite day you'd be in the $$$$. :lol:

really, all your teams lost by 2+ runs. thats the bitch about sports "investing". if you won everytime, after a while i'd be no fun. on the other hand, losing blows :drink:

as always, i read this thread daily and appreciate your insight scott. gl tomorrow

Taino I 've been doing well lately. +262 last night to start this thread. And you misread, CLE actually covered the RL rather easily. Funny thing also, all 3 of those teams took a 2-0 lead at the exact same time.
 

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No sweat Bud. I've got way too much shit to keep track of as it is. Maybe for a DIME a week =)

cool man. good luck to ya.

taking baltimore (seems like i'm playing baltimore every day) and detroit
U 9 1/2. both pitchers combined for 5 straight unders, neither bullpen has thrown more than 7 2/3 innings the last 3 days, and detroit has seen 53 of its 88 games against the AL go under the total.

risking 5 to win 4.35 (-115)
 

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Thurs Aft:

ANA 200/300

PARLAY
OAK -1.5 RUNS
DET -1.5 Runs
100/706

ANA 46-10 off 2+ Losses. CSOX 21 straight Home Series of 3+ Games without a sweep.

TEX back in the same funk they were in after the ASB. OAK incredible latelyat 20-6 in any Game of a Home Series if next Series is away.

Fishy ML in DET today considering the lines on Games 1-3. DET 18-6 last 24 Home. BAL 21-53 in all Road Games after Game #1 of Series.
 

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THURS NT:

PIT 100/120

PIT -1/5 100/240

METS 200/270

LAD 260/200
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Getting balls twi$ted in this PIT/AZ $erie$. Can't lose anymore money on it after tonight.

Mets 10-2 Road if 1-4 or worse last 5 Games. SD 4-15 Game 1 Series off Loss. Mets should not be + money.

Wolf starting at Home vs NL has cashed 24 of 30 tickets. LAD 13-2 Home since last Sept when below 500 in previous 5 Games. ATL 7-24 off 2 Road Wins since 7/19/06.
 

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0-2 today, 5-12 in the politico thread now. first nfl pre season game coming. hope i still have money in my book....
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
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Nice walkoff, Ethier...saving Scotty's late night cookies

Here we is...actually past five days real world I've made what is for me about +8 units profit...So maybe I've got some resurge in my surge

FRIDAY, Aug 7

ZONA -108

Arizona in Garland Away starts is 0-10-1 vs "9". His overall ERA conceals a nifty road ERA of 2.59. Both teams have been scoring in bunches this week. I trust Snakes to persist before I do the Nats.

Oh, did I mention that Washington this season is an odorous 7-29 in Game1s?



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MIN/DET Undah 9.5 (+101)

Tigers in past 17 games where they have scored 11+ in previous two are 3-14 vs "9.5"

Twins past 33 Away vs RHP are 9-24 vs "9.5" and that's with them topping it in four of past six chances.

Swarzak in his four Away starts to date is 2.22 and 1.07whip

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NYY -119

Boston is in shambles and I think we're going to see a continuation of Revenge for the embarrassing eight straight H2H wins by Sox in early season.

Beantown decent W/L record has been built almost entirely thanks to sub .500 opponents since May 5. In that three month span, they're just 10-15 vs teams with winning records and they're currently in an 0-7 skid vs same.

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MIL/HOU Over 9 (-108)
TEX/LAA Undah 9.5 (+101)

Brewers have seen 2/3 of games After an AwayWin finish Over the posted Total. Houston, while relentless for Unders in first Home Game1 has seen an inverse result in Game1 HomeSeries2

Meanwhile out west, both Rangers and Angels coming off AwayWins. My data shows that overall MLB this season is seeing just under 60% of games played After an AwayWin finishing Under the posted Total.

That's a very strong indicator because most all other Leaguewide stats tend to flatten to the 47-53% range with regards to Over/Under results.

Unlike my heretofore strategy of mostly pairing up my selections into 2TeamParlays, I'll be grading the above at 1.0 units each
 

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Hey I "EARNED" that walkoff. Crap I think the Pirates still have the bases loaded from last night; someone go check if those guys are still out there!

+$245 this thread. I'll be basck later. I would like to express how much it sucks that after the last several days I can't fade BOTH Zona and Wash because they're playing each other.

Where are the 9/11 nutjobs? Don't they gamble? They should be all over this Nationals/Marlins bogus Series. BUSH AND CHENEY MUSTA DID IT!
 

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FLA 200/270 -- Slight pitching edge here and they have to make up for the WASH Series. Visitor 12-2 last 14 Fish vs Cheesesteaks.

HOU 238/200 -- MIL 21-51 on Road if 3rd consecutive Road Series since 2003, and fat off LA Series W. HOU 8-2 Home if lost 4 of last 5 Home.

CUBS 200/280 -- Cubs 25-6 with CZ if he failed to go 7+ Innings his last start.

TOR -2.5 RUNS 100/175 -- 9 of 10 Wins with Romero by 4+ Runs. If they win they usually cover.

MIN 208/200 -- Swarzak +3 Road, 3 ER in 21 Innings. Galar 2-12 Night.

TEX 200/240 -- TEX 11-2 off 'LLW' and ANA 15-5 Reverse Road to Home.

SEA 256/200 -- SEA 16-3 Reverse last result in GM 1 Home Srs and 7-1 after scoring 0-2 Runs on Road. TB 0-5 off BOS Srs.
 

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also taking oakland +115. risking 10 to win 11.5.

simply a fade of the service play touts.
 

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1-1 yesterday, don't know what the fuck happened in the rays game. ah well, even i can't win them all, as my 6-13 record happily attests.

early game today:

baltimore 3-16 on the road vs the east division. here's to betting they don't win 2 straight. 2 young pitchers going -- for baltimore, timan has given up 8 earned runs in 10 2/3 while allowing 4 HR. on the flip side, cecil has been solid for toronto, and shut the O's out the only time he's faced them. dating back to the start of 2006, O's are 8-28 in game 6 of a road trip, including 1-5 this season.

taking the jays (-205). risking 5 to win 2.44
 

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4-1 yesterday, Zambrano scratched. Now +843 dollars in Thread #3. Today:

HOU 206/200

FLA 200/430

LAD 270/150

ANA 240/150

CSOX 232/200

UNDER 8 230/200 sea vs tb

No write-up today.
 

Virtus Junxit Mors Non Separabit
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0-1 to date -1

½*Florida Marlins -1½ +300

½*Los Angeles Angels -2½ +220

½*[NYY/BOS over 10 & NYY] +170
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
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Aug 7 summary

1-4 (-3.16)

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SATURDAY, Aug 8

FLORIDA +1.5 (even)
CWS -1.5 (+175)
NYY -1.5 (+104)
SF -1.5 (+168)
 

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Not going to play this for 2 reasons. I already have the 'Side' and I lost the earlier '9' which is too key a # ..... but just saying, ANA has gone OVER the last NINETEEN TIMES Weaver or Saunders pitched.
 

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