Agree Vegas is fucked but 80% decline is way too strong, that's great depression era #'s and it won't be anywhere close to that.
Maybe 20-30%
And if it is 80%, you can bump this thread and say I was wrong but it probably won't matter because I'll be dead from WW3
Below is other reasons I think you're 20-30% is far short. How many fewer Vegas buyers would be in their current homes with anything near those types of lending standards were previously in place?
For instance, Chase is now requiring a credit score of at least 700 for all new home loans, and they are one of the financial institutions that is now requiring
a down payment of at least 20 percent…
A Chase spokesperson confirmed that starting April 14, new mortgage applicants will need a minimum credit score of 700 and a down payment of 20%. Refinancing applications for non-Chase mortgages will also need the same score. Chase didn’t disclose its previous lending standards but the average downpayment for first-time home buyers is around 6%, according to a
2018 survey from the National Association of Realtors.
If you own your home, would you have been approved for a mortgage under the new Chase standards?
And Chase is far from alone. In fact, most major mortgage lenders have now tightened up, and Redfin is estimating that about a quarter of all home buyers last year
would not have qualified under the new standards.
So if you remove about a quarter of all buyers from the marketplace moving forward, what happens to the housing market?
Yes, there will be an implosion, and it will happen no matter whether coronavirus lockdowns are in effect or not.
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And home equity loans are going to be hit even harder. As I discussed
last week, Wells Fargo is no longer taking HELOC applications at all.
So now matter how good your credit is, you simply cannot get a home equity line of credit from Wells Fargo at this point.