Apologies for the math error. Corrected record is below.
10/11/2015 (13-16-2 -3.90)
Jacksonville Jaguars +2 (-110), 1 unit
St. Louis Rams +9 (-105), 1 unit
Oakland Raiders +4 (-104), 1 unit
Tennessee Titans +1 (-110), 1 unit
Seattle Seahawks +3 (+106), 1 unit
Detroit Lions +3.5 (-110), 1 unit
10/11/2015 (13-16-2 -3.90)
Jacksonville Jaguars +2 (-110), 1 unit
St. Louis Rams +9 (-105), 1 unit
Oakland Raiders +4 (-104), 1 unit
Tennessee Titans +1 (-110), 1 unit
Seattle Seahawks +3 (+106), 1 unit
Detroit Lions +3.5 (-110), 1 unit
10/15/2015 (14-20-4 -7.19u)
New Orleans Saints +3.5 (-110), 1 unit: Not a lot of good things to say about the Saints season thus far. However, traditionally at home, at night they find a way to win. The Falcons are 5-0 and have trailed in the 4th quarter of 4 of those 5 wins. With Jones limited look for the Saints to sell out to stop the run and make Ryan beat them through the air. He's due for one of those throw up in your own mouth type games that Ryan seems to have every so often and I think it comes tonight as the Saints ride the home crowd to a desparately needed W.
New Orleans Saints +3.5 (-110), 1 unit: Not a lot of good things to say about the Saints season thus far. However, traditionally at home, at night they find a way to win. The Falcons are 5-0 and have trailed in the 4th quarter of 4 of those 5 wins. With Jones limited look for the Saints to sell out to stop the run and make Ryan beat them through the air. He's due for one of those throw up in your own mouth type games that Ryan seems to have every so often and I think it comes tonight as the Saints ride the home crowd to a desparately needed W.
10/18/2015 (15-20-4 -6.19u)
Tennessee Titans -1.5 (-110), 1 unit: Titans have been in every game this year and could easily be 3-1. The Dolphins are going to come out with a much better and more aggressive, especially after their bye week. However it won't change their talent. They can't run the ball and their receivers cannot get separation. Hopefully the Titans have learned how to finish.
Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 (-110), 1 unit: Cardinals have certainly been good this year. However on closer look they haven't exactly faced a tough schedule. In fact the best team they played, the Rams, beat them. The only team they played that can run the ball, the Rams, beat them. Vick seems to have learned how to manage the game. Expect a heavy dose of Bell and Williams while the Steelers look to slow the game down and win it in the fourth quarter.
Houston Texans +2 (-110), 1 unit: Hoyer gives them the ability to throw the ball and Foster is starting to look healthy. Even though he isn't feeling well, Watt has made a habit of living in the Jaguars backfield. Yeldon is banged up and leaving the game on Bortles' shoulders doesn't look like a winning recipe.
San Francisco 49ers +2 (-110), 1 unit: It's painful that I just typed that. The Niners are awful. But, so are the Ravens. Look for the Torrey Smith revenge game and for the Niners to do something the Ravens cannot...run the ball.
Seattle Seahawks -7 (-110), 1 unit: I'm going to continue to fade the Panthers and they're going to continue to punish me for it. I just don't see how they score and even though the Seahawks have struggled on O, they might only need 17 to cover this number.
San Diego Chargers +10.5 (-110), 1 unit: The Chargers have enough offense that they should be able to keep this in range. The Packers defensive numbers are good but they are making a living off of turnovers. Those things even out eventually. If Rivers can protect the ball the Bolts will be in this one the whole way.
Tennessee Titans -1.5 (-110), 1 unit: Titans have been in every game this year and could easily be 3-1. The Dolphins are going to come out with a much better and more aggressive, especially after their bye week. However it won't change their talent. They can't run the ball and their receivers cannot get separation. Hopefully the Titans have learned how to finish.
Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 (-110), 1 unit: Cardinals have certainly been good this year. However on closer look they haven't exactly faced a tough schedule. In fact the best team they played, the Rams, beat them. The only team they played that can run the ball, the Rams, beat them. Vick seems to have learned how to manage the game. Expect a heavy dose of Bell and Williams while the Steelers look to slow the game down and win it in the fourth quarter.
Houston Texans +2 (-110), 1 unit: Hoyer gives them the ability to throw the ball and Foster is starting to look healthy. Even though he isn't feeling well, Watt has made a habit of living in the Jaguars backfield. Yeldon is banged up and leaving the game on Bortles' shoulders doesn't look like a winning recipe.
San Francisco 49ers +2 (-110), 1 unit: It's painful that I just typed that. The Niners are awful. But, so are the Ravens. Look for the Torrey Smith revenge game and for the Niners to do something the Ravens cannot...run the ball.
Seattle Seahawks -7 (-110), 1 unit: I'm going to continue to fade the Panthers and they're going to continue to punish me for it. I just don't see how they score and even though the Seahawks have struggled on O, they might only need 17 to cover this number.
San Diego Chargers +10.5 (-110), 1 unit: The Chargers have enough offense that they should be able to keep this in range. The Packers defensive numbers are good but they are making a living off of turnovers. Those things even out eventually. If Rivers can protect the ball the Bolts will be in this one the whole way.
10/25/2015 (22-23-4 -2.39)
Jacksonville Jaguars +4.5 (-110), 1 unit: Bills are really beat up and the Jags are going to stack the box and dare them to make plays. Bills D isn't as good as their reputation.
St. Louis Rams -6.5 (-110), 2 units: Browns can't run the ball and can't stop the run. Rams rested off the bye week and very dangerous at home.
Detroit Lions +1.5 (-110), 1 unit: Vikings don't win on the road in the division. Finally some positive momentum for the Lions after last week's win.
Houston Texans +4.5 (-110), 1 unit: Too much being made of the "new look" Dolphins. Very small percentage of mid-season replacement coaches win their first two games. Texans traditionally good against Dolphins.
Indianapolis Colts -4 (-110), 1 unit: Colts can run it a little better than Saints, their D stinks a little less than Saints and they are at home.
Dallas Cowboys +3 (-105), 1 unit: Cassel will manage the game better than Weeden did. Giants decimated by injury. Cowboys traditionally play very well at Met Life.
Philadelphia Eagles +3 (-110), 1 unit: Panthers in a tough spot after a physical, emotional win over Seattle. Panthers still being out gained on the season. Eagles D and run game coming around nicely.
Jacksonville Jaguars +4.5 (-110), 1 unit: Bills are really beat up and the Jags are going to stack the box and dare them to make plays. Bills D isn't as good as their reputation.
St. Louis Rams -6.5 (-110), 2 units: Browns can't run the ball and can't stop the run. Rams rested off the bye week and very dangerous at home.
Detroit Lions +1.5 (-110), 1 unit: Vikings don't win on the road in the division. Finally some positive momentum for the Lions after last week's win.
Houston Texans +4.5 (-110), 1 unit: Too much being made of the "new look" Dolphins. Very small percentage of mid-season replacement coaches win their first two games. Texans traditionally good against Dolphins.
Indianapolis Colts -4 (-110), 1 unit: Colts can run it a little better than Saints, their D stinks a little less than Saints and they are at home.
Dallas Cowboys +3 (-105), 1 unit: Cassel will manage the game better than Weeden did. Giants decimated by injury. Cowboys traditionally play very well at Met Life.
Philadelphia Eagles +3 (-110), 1 unit: Panthers in a tough spot after a physical, emotional win over Seattle. Panthers still being out gained on the season. Eagles D and run game coming around nicely.
11/1/2015 (27-28-4 -.84)
Denver Broncos +3 (-120), 2 units: One of the best defenses in the league, at home, coming off a bye, getting points.
Dallas Cowboys +4.5 (-110), 1 unit: Everyone keeps waiting for the Seahawks to dominate but they've beaten no one. They're favored here on reputation.
New York Jets -3 (+100), 1 unit: Not sure how the Raiders move the ball. Fitzpatrick can manage the game and the Jets can run the ball enough to grind this one out.
Chicago Bears +1 (-110), 1 unit: Bears are finally getting healthy after the bye. Vikings winning with smoke and mirrors. Bears protect the ball and they win.
Baltimore Ravens/New Orleans Saints ML Parlay (+146), 1 unit
Denver Broncos +3 (-120), 2 units: One of the best defenses in the league, at home, coming off a bye, getting points.
Dallas Cowboys +4.5 (-110), 1 unit: Everyone keeps waiting for the Seahawks to dominate but they've beaten no one. They're favored here on reputation.
New York Jets -3 (+100), 1 unit: Not sure how the Raiders move the ball. Fitzpatrick can manage the game and the Jets can run the ball enough to grind this one out.
Chicago Bears +1 (-110), 1 unit: Bears are finally getting healthy after the bye. Vikings winning with smoke and mirrors. Bears protect the ball and they win.
Baltimore Ravens/New Orleans Saints ML Parlay (+146), 1 unit
11/12/2015 (32-37-4 -5.38)
Buffalo Bills +2 (-110), 1 unit: Different team with Taylor at QB. Jets are too banged up in their defensive backfield. Combine that with the two back attack of McCoy and Williams and the Bills should be able to move the ball on a Jets team that has given up A LOT of points in their last 3 games and needed 4 TO's last week to hang on and beat Jacksonville at home. Fitzpatrick will have some success throwing but I don't see how the Jets run the ball consistently. I'll take the better run game and QB and a couple of points thrown in.
Buffalo Bills +2 (-110), 1 unit: Different team with Taylor at QB. Jets are too banged up in their defensive backfield. Combine that with the two back attack of McCoy and Williams and the Bills should be able to move the ball on a Jets team that has given up A LOT of points in their last 3 games and needed 4 TO's last week to hang on and beat Jacksonville at home. Fitzpatrick will have some success throwing but I don't see how the Jets run the ball consistently. I'll take the better run game and QB and a couple of points thrown in.
11/15/2015 (33-37-4 -4.38)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1 (-110), 1 unit: Lee missing this game for the Cowboys is big. Expect the Bucs to control the clock with the run game and then take some shots down field with Evans. Sefarian-Jenkins gives them another weapon. Look for Tampa to stack the box and force Cassel to beat them. That doesn't sound like a recipe for success.
Chicago Bears +7 (-125), 1 unit: Rams tend to play to the level of their competition. Since Cutler's return the Bears have been in every game. While Gurley may get 300 yards on the ground against this defense it still feels like one of those games where the Bears will find a way to be in it at the end.
Washington Redskins -1 (-110), 1 unit: Skins have been good at home this year. Saints were on a nice little run until last week's disaster. Look at what they do away from home, specifically outdoors. I'll take a Redskins team that has been much better than most people expected.
Seattle Seahawks -3 (-105), 1 unit: Everything I'm seeing makes me think the Seahawks straightened things out during their bye week. Combine that with their normal home crowd advantage and a chance to climb within one game of the division lead after an awful start and I'll grab the home team.
Cleveland Browns & Pittsburgh Steelers o41.5 (-110), 1 unit: First total of the year for me. The backup QB's are making this a playable number. Have you seen these defenses? Neither are real good and even with Manziel and Jones I expect this one to go up and down the field all day.
Green Bay Packers/Philadelphia Eagles/Denver Broncos ML Parlay (+133), 2 units
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1 (-110), 1 unit: Lee missing this game for the Cowboys is big. Expect the Bucs to control the clock with the run game and then take some shots down field with Evans. Sefarian-Jenkins gives them another weapon. Look for Tampa to stack the box and force Cassel to beat them. That doesn't sound like a recipe for success.
Chicago Bears +7 (-125), 1 unit: Rams tend to play to the level of their competition. Since Cutler's return the Bears have been in every game. While Gurley may get 300 yards on the ground against this defense it still feels like one of those games where the Bears will find a way to be in it at the end.
Washington Redskins -1 (-110), 1 unit: Skins have been good at home this year. Saints were on a nice little run until last week's disaster. Look at what they do away from home, specifically outdoors. I'll take a Redskins team that has been much better than most people expected.
Seattle Seahawks -3 (-105), 1 unit: Everything I'm seeing makes me think the Seahawks straightened things out during their bye week. Combine that with their normal home crowd advantage and a chance to climb within one game of the division lead after an awful start and I'll grab the home team.
Cleveland Browns & Pittsburgh Steelers o41.5 (-110), 1 unit: First total of the year for me. The backup QB's are making this a playable number. Have you seen these defenses? Neither are real good and even with Manziel and Jones I expect this one to go up and down the field all day.
Green Bay Packers/Philadelphia Eagles/Denver Broncos ML Parlay (+133), 2 units
