On The Hop's 2014 Baseball

[OnTheHop]

May 10, 2014 (+6.48)

Cincinnati Reds (-113), 1 unit
Houston Astros (+150), 1 unit
New York Yankees (+124), 1 unit
Chicago White Sox (-118), 1 unit
St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates o8 (+110), 1 unit
Chicago Cubs (1st 5, +135), 1 unit
Boston Red Sox and Texas Rangers u9 (-110), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

May 11, 2014 (81-84-8 +.07)

I'm not sure if anyone reads my stuff but, a warning for anyone who is following my picks....obviously I am in a brutal tailspin right now. Baseball is such a grind. If you told me after the first month or so I would be even I definitely would have taken it. However, being up around 20 units and giving it all back is frustrating. Some have been awful reads, some like last night with the Astros and the Cards/Pirates total have been bad beats. That's baseball.

I don't have a great feeling about my plays right now. When that starts to change I'll let everyone know.

Parlay: Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays (+175), 1 unit
San Diego Padres (-112), 1 unit: Padres have found a groove with their bats and the return of Headley can only help. Erlin has been very good at home and with the Marlins bats struggling that should continue today.
Toronto Blue Jays (-115), 1 unit: Weaver simply cannot keep it up when looking at his peripherals. Toronto desperate to get one in this series.
Washington Nationals (+125), 1 unit: Gonzalez faces his former club in a ballpark he feels very comfortable in. Kazmir has been nails except he struggles against the Nats for some reason. Feels like the Nationals are due for a few bounces to go their way.

 

[OnTheHop]

May 12, 2014 (82-85-8 -2.08)

Baltimore Orioles (-102), 1 unit: I'm backing Bud Norris, I'm backing Bud Norris!!! Make it stop. Take a look at his home numbers.....looking pretty good. Porcello does not fair well against the Orioles and has been shockingly bad on the road this year.
Texas Rangers and Houston Astros u9 (-105), 1 unit: Tough to play an under with these two on the mound. However upon closer look they have very good numbers against the hitters they are going to face tonight. The Astros rarely put up big run totals and with any luck tonight the Rangers bats will stay silent as well.
New York Mets and New York Yankees u8.5 (-107), 1 unit: Colon has traditionally performed well against the Yankees. Kuroda seems to have turned it around after a slow start. Neither team's bats are setting the world on fire.

 

[OnTheHop]

May 13, 2014 (83-86-8 -3.17)

Pittsburgh Pirates (+109), 1 unit: These two had a pitchers duel last time out. Grilli blew a save. That won't happen again. I trust an improving Cole a lot more than I trust Estrada to continue his current pace.
San Francisco Giants (-105), 1 unit: Minor has not gotten back to his former self yet. Vogelsong has thrown it like the All Star he was a few years ago and has always done well against the Braves. Combine that with the better bats and I'll give it a shot.
Detroit Tigers (-101), 1 unit: The Orioles have not been the same without Wieters. Jimenez has been really bad at home. Smyly won't dominate but he's the kind of pitcher that will frustrate an already struggling team with his command.
Chicago White Sox (+175), 1 unit: Value play. Pomeranz getting too much love for one start. At this number it is worth a shot.
Chicago Cubs (1st 5, +205), 1 unit: Another value play. Cubs are hitting right now. Cards are not. Cubs have put up runs against Wainwright in the past and hopefully they scratch one or two early and hold on.
Texas Rangers and Houston Astros o8 (-103), 1 unit: A lot of men left on base last night. Two pitchers with bad track records against the other team.
Seattle Mariners (+101), 1 unit: Looking for the Iwakuma magic to continue tonight. Price has been off his last few starts and the Mariners bats are not as pathetic as they used to be.

 

[OnTheHop]

May 14, 2014

Tigers/O's u8 (-109), 1 unit
Angels/Phillies u7 (+115), 1 unit


Record update and a lot more plays to come.

 

[OnTheHop]

May 14, 2014 (85-90-9 -4.12)

Parlay: Cincinnati Reds, Oakland A's and New York Yankees (+324), 1 unit
Washington Nationals (+104), 1 unit: Huge overreaction to Fister's first bad start. McCarthy is too inconsistent to be favored even against the Nats struggling bats.
Atlanta Braves (+109), 1 unit: Bumgarner has not been good at home. In what should be a close low scoring game I will take my chances with the dominant Teheran.
Milwaukee Brewers (-115), 1 unit: Brewers keep rolling. Peralta continues to be underrated. Liriano is starting to get exposed.
Boston Red Sox and Minnesota Twins o9 (+115), 1 unit: Hate playing an over this large but looking at these pitchers, bullpens and lineups it is totally justified.
Houston Astros (+101), 1 unit: The number is backwards on this one due to team name recognition. Feldman has been insanely good this year and pitching for anyone else he would be getting a lot more respect.
Detroit Tigers and Baltimore Orioles u8 (-109), 1 unit: Day Verlander, Gausman has good stuff and will not be intimidated. O's bats struggling without Wieters. Get away day...all adds up to an under play.
Los Angeles Angels and Philadelphia Phillies u7 (+115), 1 unit: Richards has been good everywhere. Burnett has been especially good at home and during the day. I'll take my chances with another early get away game.
Colorado Rockies and Kansas City Royals o7.5 (+109), 1 unit: Chacin is not himself anymore. Vargas cannot keep this up and has been mediocre at home. Two solid lineups and even though I hate playing an over in a day get away game I can't avoid this one.

 

[OnTheHop]

May 15, 2014 (89-95-9 -5.01)

Parlay: Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers (+200), 1 unit
Minnesota Twins (+118), 1 unit

May be more to come.

 

[OnTheHop]

Kansas City Royals (-1, +110), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

May 16. 2014 (91-96-9 -2.83)

Chicago Cubs (-109), 1 unit: Samardzija continues to throw it well. Lohse has struggled at Wrigley. Cubs bats starting to come around....a little, hopefully it is enough today.
Atlanta Braves (+102), 1 unit: Lynn has struggled at home. Santana continues to perform well wherever he throws it. Other than Holliday the Cardinals have really struggled with Santana and if it comes down to bullpens right now the Braves are a lot fresher than the Cards.
Baltimore Orioles and Kansas City Royals o8 (+105), 1 unit: Tillman continues to trend downward. Guthrie is a marginal starter at best. The Orioles haven't hit since they lost Wieters but this number is too low based on last night's low scoring affair. That one was with two pitchers who can really throw it. This one is not.
New York Mets and Washington Nationals u7 (+105), 1 unit: Niese has been outstanding this year and has a great history against the Nats. On the other side the Mets have been shutout twice in a row since leaving the short porch of Yankee Stadium.
Philadelphia Phillies (-103), 1 unit: Tough spot for the Reds having played two yesterday and getting in to Philly late. Simon's peripherals tell me he cannot continue getting the results he's achieved.

 

[packer2012]

Cut em to ribbons, Hop! Best wishes!

 

[OnTheHop]

Thanks packer....thought it had turned but last night was tough.

 

[OnTheHop]

May 17, 2014 (91-100-10 -6.95)

Seattle Mariners and Minnesota Twins u8 (+110), 1 unit
St. Louis Cardinals (-117), 1 unit
Colorado Rockies (-1, -118), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

May 18, 2014 (93-101-10 -5.85)

Chicago Cubs 1st 5 (+116), 1 unit
Detroit Tigers (+104), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

May 19, 2014 (95-101-10 -3.65)

Day off today...small card and all the value is gone since I didn't get to it until later. GL to everyone.

 

[OnTheHop]

May 20, 2014 (95-101-10 -3.65)

Miami Marlins (-107), 1 unit
Tampa Bay Rays (+110), 1 unit
Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox u9 (+120), 1 unit
Houston Astros (+160), 1 unit
Baltimore Orioles (+140), 1 unit
Cleveland Indians 1st 5 (+125), 1 unit
Chicago White Sox (+172), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

May 21, 2014 (98-104-10 -3.35)

Oakland A's (-104), 1 unit
Toronto Blue Jays (+114), 1 unit
Minnesota Twins (+135), 1 unit
Cincinnati Reds and Washington Nationals u7 (+113), 1 unit
Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins o7.5 (-103), 1 unit
Seattle Mariners and Texas Rangers u9 (-103), 1 unit
Baltimore Orioles (+101), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

May 22, 2014 (104-105-10 +2.27)

Arizona Diamondbacks (+137), 1 unit
Texas Rangers (-120), 1 unit
Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins u7 (-105), 1 unit
Milwaukee Brewers and Atlanta Braves o7 (-105), 1 unit
Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox u8.5 (+108), 1 unit
Oakland A's and Tampa Bay Rays u7 (-110), 1 unit
Baltimore Orioles (-130), 1 unit

 

[packer2012]

Great day yesterday Hop!

 

[OnTheHop]

Thanks packer...tough one yesterday with the two total pushes after those looked like sure winners. Back at it today.

 

[OnTheHop]

May 23, 2014 (106-108-12 +.97)

Parlay: Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees (+190), 1 unit
Washington Nationals (+100), 1 unit: I know how bad the Nats are against the Pirates and while Zimmerman has not been himself this year I will still take him against the sure to regress Charlie Morton.
Miami Marlins (-108), 1 unit: Marlins play great baseball at home. Since their hot start the Brewers have been cold. Estrada's regression is coming and while I was worried about Kohler it appears his numbers are legitimate.
Oakland A's -1 (+102), 1 unit: The pitching mismatch in this one is too great to ignore. Tough series for the A's in Tampa, bullpen is tired but I think Kazmir carries them here.
Tampa Bay Rays (-101), 1 unit: The Red Sox are a mess right now. Tough spot for them to try and right the ship against Archer who looks like he is starting to realize his potential.