YTD: 60-57-2, -4.90
Cleveland Browns +3 (-105), 1 unit: Hoyer was the right choice and this team will respond. Luck has been mediocre on the road and they can't run the ball to take the pressure off of him.
Miami Dolphins -3 (-110), 1 unit: Too many injuries on the defensive side of the ball for the Ravens. The heat and the running game will be too much today.
Philadelphia Eagles -1 (+100), 1 unit: The Eagles have three losses, all in tough environments. This is a strange scheduling spot for both but special teams and the home crowd will be the difference.
Cincinnati Bengals -3 (-115), 1 unit: Bengals are good at home and very good in December. Green is healthy and he and Bernard will be too much for a banged up Steel Curtain.
Arizona Cardinals +2.5 (-103), 1 unit: Cardinals with Stanton on the road, bad. Cardinals with Stanton at home, good. Chiefs last road game was a loss in Oakland where they were never in the game.
Cleveland Browns +3 (-105), 1 unit: Hoyer was the right choice and this team will respond. Luck has been mediocre on the road and they can't run the ball to take the pressure off of him.
Miami Dolphins -3 (-110), 1 unit: Too many injuries on the defensive side of the ball for the Ravens. The heat and the running game will be too much today.
Philadelphia Eagles -1 (+100), 1 unit: The Eagles have three losses, all in tough environments. This is a strange scheduling spot for both but special teams and the home crowd will be the difference.
Cincinnati Bengals -3 (-115), 1 unit: Bengals are good at home and very good in December. Green is healthy and he and Bernard will be too much for a banged up Steel Curtain.
Arizona Cardinals +2.5 (-103), 1 unit: Cardinals with Stanton on the road, bad. Cardinals with Stanton at home, good. Chiefs last road game was a loss in Oakland where they were never in the game.
YTD 64-61-2 -4.65
San Francisco 49ers +10 (-120), 1 unit: Too many points in a must win, rivalry game. Seahawks are rolling but they're not an offensive juggernaut, will take the motivated team and double digits.
Oakland Raiders +11 (-110), 1/2 unit: Raiders have played to the level of their competition all year and will blindly back them getting double digits against a good team they've already beaten.
Atlanta Falcons +3 (-110), 1 unit: Somehow the Falcons are still alive and in what should be a shootout at home I'll grab the FG and hope the Dirty Birds can get at least one or two stops or turnovers.
Green Bay Packers/Buffalo Bills Under 50 (-109), 1 unit: Loved the Bills until it seemed like everyone loved them as well. Worried about the Pack getting up early and the Bills without the firepower to come back. Instead I'll look under. Bills certainly aren't dynamic and definitely have the talent on D to hold the Packers down, especially when they are on the road where they've been mediocre.
Dallas Cowboys +3.5 (-105), 1 unit: Cowboys have been so much better on the road than at home. This is really a must win game for them and they get the Eagles the week after they played the physical, tough Seahawks which has shown to be a nice angle.
ML Parlay: New England Patriots, Detroit Lions and Denver Broncos (+124), 1 unit
San Francisco 49ers +10 (-120), 1 unit: Too many points in a must win, rivalry game. Seahawks are rolling but they're not an offensive juggernaut, will take the motivated team and double digits.
Oakland Raiders +11 (-110), 1/2 unit: Raiders have played to the level of their competition all year and will blindly back them getting double digits against a good team they've already beaten.
Atlanta Falcons +3 (-110), 1 unit: Somehow the Falcons are still alive and in what should be a shootout at home I'll grab the FG and hope the Dirty Birds can get at least one or two stops or turnovers.
Green Bay Packers/Buffalo Bills Under 50 (-109), 1 unit: Loved the Bills until it seemed like everyone loved them as well. Worried about the Pack getting up early and the Bills without the firepower to come back. Instead I'll look under. Bills certainly aren't dynamic and definitely have the talent on D to hold the Packers down, especially when they are on the road where they've been mediocre.
Dallas Cowboys +3.5 (-105), 1 unit: Cowboys have been so much better on the road than at home. This is really a must win game for them and they get the Eagles the week after they played the physical, tough Seahawks which has shown to be a nice angle.
ML Parlay: New England Patriots, Detroit Lions and Denver Broncos (+124), 1 unit
YTD 68-63-3 -2.06
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +12 (-102), 1 unit: Packers have not been the same team on the road. Brutal matchup last week at Buffalo and the Bucs have continued to play hard.
Chicago Bears +9 (-108), 1 unit: Lions have allowed bad teams to hang with them. Bears will have a conservative game plan for Claussen which should minimize turnovers and make it harder for the Lions to cover even against this awful defense.
New York Jets +10 (-108), 1 unit: The Jets have played the good teams tough all year. If they were going to quit they would have mailed it in last week at Tennessee. Missing Edelman and Blount won't help the Pats cause.
Houston Texans +6 (-108), 1 unit: Ravens defense is so beaten up. Keenum was actually pretty good last year and was with the Texans in training camp so he has some knowledge of the offense. I'm still waiting for the inevitable Flacco turd in the punch bowl....I think it comes today against a very good defense.
Indianapolis Colts +3 (+110), 1 unit: Cowboys might have a home field disadvantage. This number is inflated with the Cowboys coming off a big win. Colts defense is not getting enough credit due to the offense clicking on all cylinders. If the Colts can find a way to run the ball, they win.
Minnesota Vikings +5.5 (-110), 1 unit: Two teams moving in opposite directions. Vikings keep battling and Bridgewater getting better and better. Dolphins playoff hopes ended last week and they've been pretty rotten anyway. They can't care very much today and are likely looking to just get the season over with.
Oakland Raiders +7 (-120), 1 unit: Raiders have fought hard at home all year. Bills coming off their biggest win in a long time and now have to travel all the way across country to play a game that only their families may watch. Their offense isn't explosive enough to be giving a TD on the road especially in what could be the Raiders last game in Oakland.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +12 (-102), 1 unit: Packers have not been the same team on the road. Brutal matchup last week at Buffalo and the Bucs have continued to play hard.
Chicago Bears +9 (-108), 1 unit: Lions have allowed bad teams to hang with them. Bears will have a conservative game plan for Claussen which should minimize turnovers and make it harder for the Lions to cover even against this awful defense.
New York Jets +10 (-108), 1 unit: The Jets have played the good teams tough all year. If they were going to quit they would have mailed it in last week at Tennessee. Missing Edelman and Blount won't help the Pats cause.
Houston Texans +6 (-108), 1 unit: Ravens defense is so beaten up. Keenum was actually pretty good last year and was with the Texans in training camp so he has some knowledge of the offense. I'm still waiting for the inevitable Flacco turd in the punch bowl....I think it comes today against a very good defense.
Indianapolis Colts +3 (+110), 1 unit: Cowboys might have a home field disadvantage. This number is inflated with the Cowboys coming off a big win. Colts defense is not getting enough credit due to the offense clicking on all cylinders. If the Colts can find a way to run the ball, they win.
Minnesota Vikings +5.5 (-110), 1 unit: Two teams moving in opposite directions. Vikings keep battling and Bridgewater getting better and better. Dolphins playoff hopes ended last week and they've been pretty rotten anyway. They can't care very much today and are likely looking to just get the season over with.
Oakland Raiders +7 (-120), 1 unit: Raiders have fought hard at home all year. Bills coming off their biggest win in a long time and now have to travel all the way across country to play a game that only their families may watch. Their offense isn't explosive enough to be giving a TD on the road especially in what could be the Raiders last game in Oakland.
YTD 74-66-3 +1.32
Green Bay Packers -7 (-120), 1 unit: Packers are too tough at home. Rodgers is good on the road, he's super human at home. Lions cannot control the clock with a running game to keep him off the field. In a game of this magnitude at Lambeau I expect them to roll.
Jacksonville Jaguars +9 (-110), 1 unit: The Texans are on their fourth string QB. Asking them to cover a number this big against a team that is still trying is a lot to ask.
Carolina Panthers +3 (-115), 1 unit: The Panthers have played well the last few weeks. Other than Tampa Bay the Falcons can't beat anybody. In a game that is closely matched I want the better run game and the better defense.
Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 (-110), 1 unit: Overreaction to Smith's injury. He doesn't have a TD pass to a WR this year. I think Daniel can manage a game and do not trust a beaten up Chargers squad to go into Arrowhead in a must win game for both teams.
Green Bay Packers -7 (-120), 1 unit: Packers are too tough at home. Rodgers is good on the road, he's super human at home. Lions cannot control the clock with a running game to keep him off the field. In a game of this magnitude at Lambeau I expect them to roll.
Jacksonville Jaguars +9 (-110), 1 unit: The Texans are on their fourth string QB. Asking them to cover a number this big against a team that is still trying is a lot to ask.
Carolina Panthers +3 (-115), 1 unit: The Panthers have played well the last few weeks. Other than Tampa Bay the Falcons can't beat anybody. In a game that is closely matched I want the better run game and the better defense.
Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 (-110), 1 unit: Overreaction to Smith's injury. He doesn't have a TD pass to a WR this year. I think Daniel can manage a game and do not trust a beaten up Chargers squad to go into Arrowhead in a must win game for both teams.
Regular Season 78-67-3 +4.72
Playoffs 4-4 +2.1
Seattle Seahawks EVEN (-110), 4 units
Russell Wilson Rush Attempts o7.5 (+115), .25 units
Luke Willson Pass Receptions o2.5 (-150), .25 units
Any Scoreless Quarter (+255), .25 units
No Score In The First 6:30 (-110), .25 units
Players With A Passing Attempt o2.5 (+195), .25 units
New England Patriots Convert A Fourth Down (+105), .25 units
Seattle Seahawks Convert A Fourth Down (+120), .25 units
Seattle Seahawks First Sack (+130), .25 units
First Half Ends Tied (+713), .25 units
Roughing The Passer Penalty Called (+150), .25 units
MVP Marshawn Lynch (+430), .25 units
MVP Kam Chancellor (+3300), .25 units
MVP Earl Thomas (+5500), .25 units
Playoffs 4-4 +2.1
Seattle Seahawks EVEN (-110), 4 units
Russell Wilson Rush Attempts o7.5 (+115), .25 units
Luke Willson Pass Receptions o2.5 (-150), .25 units
Any Scoreless Quarter (+255), .25 units
No Score In The First 6:30 (-110), .25 units
Players With A Passing Attempt o2.5 (+195), .25 units
New England Patriots Convert A Fourth Down (+105), .25 units
Seattle Seahawks Convert A Fourth Down (+120), .25 units
Seattle Seahawks First Sack (+130), .25 units
First Half Ends Tied (+713), .25 units
Roughing The Passer Penalty Called (+150), .25 units
MVP Marshawn Lynch (+430), .25 units
MVP Kam Chancellor (+3300), .25 units
MVP Earl Thomas (+5500), .25 units
