olemiss33 2014 thread.....

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Back off a 2013 season where I won 40.4u in the regular season, and another great bowl season with winnings of slightly over 45u! Hopefully we can continue the winning ways this year. On to week 1 games.

Ole Miss/Boise u56-4u. I think the line is here based on the history of these offenses. Ole Miss is REALLY good defensively. Boise should be solid defensively. Both teams have some holes offensively. Boise doesn't return a starter on the OL, and that's going to be a problem against an Ole Miss DL that many think is the best in the SEC, and one of the best in the nation. Boise is going to rely on the running game here. Ole Miss has some holes on the OL and at WR. I see this game playing somewhere around 30-17 in the Rebs favor.

Marsh/Miami(OH) o59-3u. Marshall may score 59 by themselves.

Wisconsin +4.5-3u. I think LSU is overrated. The QB is an issue there. Both teams can run, and both can stop the run. In what I expect to be low scoring game, I like the points

Wash St. -8 2u. I think Wazzou is underrated. Rutgers if terrible. In a high scoring game, I don't see a reason to buy this to -7.

USM +31 2u. Im tempted to play more, but I just don't trust USM enough right now.

Penn State +1.5 1u. Think they are underrated.

Arkansas +21 1u. Really considering laying more. May change this later.

Good opening week 4-3 for +6u. Will take it every week.
 

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Wash St. -8 2u. I think Wazzou is underrated. Rutgers if terrible. In a high scoring game, I don't see a reason to buy this to -7.
Good job this weekend but buying hooks long term is not good money management, much less a whole point. Better off getting the best number and not buying anything.
 

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Good job this weekend but buying hooks long term is not good money management, much less a whole point. Better off getting the best number and not buying anything.

Geez man. You are 0 for everything in this thread. Read his statement a little more slowly. He specifically said he was taking it at -8 and that he "didn't see a reason to buy this to 7."

How are Wesley Pendleton's and Charles Sawyer's injuries coming along? You know even though they've already graduated? Also didnt see you own up to making up the Senquez concussion rumor or making up the fact that Chief was a starter.
 

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Geez man. You are 0 for everything in this thread. Read his statement a little more slowly. He specifically said he was taking it at -8 and that he "didn't see a reason to buy this to 7."

How are Wesley Pendleton's and Charles Sawyer's injuries coming along? You know even though they've already graduated? Also didnt see you own up to making up the Senquez concussion rumor or making up the fact that Chief was a starter.
Hey fella, you're getting kind of redundant.... I was black out drunk and high on wax when I made that post.... As for him mentioning he didn't see to buy a point on that particular game means he mulls over buying points on other games. His statement is self explanatory there genius. Y'all lovers? Or can I give some solid info to help the transplant out? Jeez louise son..... Now quit watching me so much and find some business... :fckmad:
 

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Yea SECplayer, you didn't know that he was drunk and high when he posted that? He cant be held accountable for what he says when that happens........ didn't you know that?
 

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Yea SECplayer, you didn't know that he was drunk and high when he posted that? He cant be held accountable for what he says when that happens........ didn't you know that?
Tell them queeno :cripwalk:
 

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Boys, the contrarian play would be Vandy this week but I'm staying away from this one. I wonder how Bo Wallace would fare on the wonderlic or whatever it's called. He refuses to value the ball.
 

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On to my week 2 plays. 4-3 +6u YTD.

Mizzou -3.5 2u. I like the line movement in our favor. People watched Mizzou sleepwalk through a game last week. That won't happen this week. They will be ready to play.

NMSU -1.5 2u. Wrong team favored here. G-State is still awful. Im considering playing more, but it's hard to lay more on NMSU as a fav.

Akron +14.5 2u. Akron is better than folks think, and with the long trip home for PSU, I like Akron to cover the number here. I had this game capped at 8.

Mich St +13 3u. Too many points here. Mich State is the only decent football team in the Big 10, but they are good. I think this is a 7 pt game.

Auburn -32 3u. Auburn doesn't mind running it up, and they will here.

ULM -13 3u. Idaho is awful.

UTEP +22 5u. TT shouldn't be favored this much over anyone. The don't play a lick of defense.
 

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O/33..........some good looking plays here............BOL with all your action..........indy
 

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usually spot on for ole miss... Obviously.. Thoughts sat?


If I had to make a play it would be Vandy +20. But Im not touching it, because I see this being a 17-21 pt game. The under is probably the safest play. I don't think Vandy is as bad as they looked last week. They have some talent in the front 7 on defense. Ole Miss is obviously much better than Temple, but I don't see Vandy turning it over 7 times again.

The issue for me is that I don't see how Vandy scores. The Ole Miss DL is going to destroy the Vandy OL. Vandy is no threat to throw the ball, either. Their only score last week was a defensive score against Temple. Ole Miss only gave up 6 pts to a decent Boise offense last week while the game was competitive. Boise got a late TD in garbage time, too. And Ole Miss did that without their two best LB's, both of whom are back this week.

I see this thing something like 30-10. I may make a small play on Vandy TT u, but I don't have one yet online. Im guess it will be 14- or so
 

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If I had to make a play it would be Vandy +20. But Im not touching it, because I see this being a 17-21 pt game. The under is probably the safest play. I don't think Vandy is as bad as they looked last week. They have some talent in the front 7 on defense. Ole Miss is obviously much better than Temple, but I don't see Vandy turning it over 7 times again.

The issue for me is that I don't see how Vandy scores. The Ole Miss DL is going to destroy the Vandy OL. Vandy is no threat to throw the ball, either. Their only score last week was a defensive score against Temple. Ole Miss only gave up 6 pts to a decent Boise offense last week while the game was competitive. Boise got a late TD in garbage time, too. And Ole Miss did that without their two best LB's, both of whom are back this week.

I see this thing something like 30-10. I may make a small play on Vandy TT u, but I don't have one yet online. Im guess it will be 14- or so

Awesome write up!! I'm gonna put a lil on under and wait for tt. Thanks for info and good luck today as I'm sure I follow a couple of those as well.
 

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If I had to make a play it would be Vandy +20. But Im not touching it, because I see this being a 17-21 pt game. The under is probably the safest play. I don't think Vandy is as bad as they looked last week. They have some talent in the front 7 on defense. Ole Miss is obviously much better than Temple, but I don't see Vandy turning it over 7 times again.

The issue for me is that I don't see how Vandy scores. The Ole Miss DL is going to destroy the Vandy OL. Vandy is no threat to throw the ball, either. Their only score last week was a defensive score against Temple. Ole Miss only gave up 6 pts to a decent Boise offense last week while the game was competitive. Boise got a late TD in garbage time, too. And Ole Miss did that without their two best LB's, both of whom are back this week.

I see this thing something like 30-10. I may make a small play on Vandy TT u, but I don't have one yet online. Im guess it will be 14- or so

right on queue my man! Only got under but it cashed. Thanks!
 

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9/13 games getting in early.

UGA -3.5. 8u. I have this game capped at a 13 pt win. USCe is overrated, and I believe UGA is the best team in the conference. Writeup coming.

UMASS +18. 8u Vandy has no business being an 18 pt favorite over anyone. They are terrible. I mean just horrendous. They are the worst SEC team I have seen in at least 8 years. I think UMASS could win this game.

GA Southern +25.5 6u. This line makes no sense. Its not like either team is going to fool the other with the triple option. It wouldn't completely shock me if they won. I think GT wins this one by 10.

Arkansas +2.5. 6u Arkansas might run for 500 yards on TT. TT will score some too, but not enough to keep up with Arkansas here. This is game where I will also have 2-3u on the ML when it comes out, if there's value vs. taking the points.
 

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9/13 games getting in early.

UGA -3.5. 8u. I have this game capped at a 13 pt win. USCe is overrated, and I believe UGA is the best team in the conference. Writeup coming.

UMASS +18. 8u Vandy has no business being an 18 pt favorite over anyone. They are terrible. I mean just horrendous. They are the worst SEC team I have seen in at least 8 years. I think UMASS could win this game.

GA Southern +25.5 6u. This line makes no sense. Its not like either team is going to fool the other with the triple option. It wouldn't completely shock me if they won. I think GT wins this one by 10.

Arkansas +2.5. 6u Arkansas might run for 500 yards on TT. TT will score some too, but not enough to keep up with Arkansas here. This is game where I will also have 2-3u on the ML when it comes out, if there's value vs. taking the points.
Looking forward to your analysis. Uga has the best running back in the country. Are you concerned about the arky defense? They have sucked for years now defensively. I like the sound of umass catching all those points, will look into that....... Will check out ga southern too....... Bol Soumi
 

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9/13 games getting in early.

UGA -3.5. 8u. I have this game capped at a 13 pt win. USCe is overrated, and I believe UGA is the best team in the conference. Writeup coming.

UMASS +18. 8u Vandy has no business being an 18 pt favorite over anyone. They are terrible. I mean just horrendous. They are the worst SEC team I have seen in at least 8 years. I think UMASS could win this game.

GA Southern +25.5 6u. This line makes no sense. Its not like either team is going to fool the other with the triple option. It wouldn't completely shock me if they won. I think GT wins this one by 10.

Arkansas +2.5. 6u Arkansas might run for 500 yards on TT. TT will score some too, but not enough to keep up with Arkansas here. This is game where I will also have 2-3u on the ML when it comes out, if there's value vs. taking the points.

8-6 YTD +9.2u

adding the following:

Mizzou -9.5 3u. Mizzou is simply a lot better. I think they win this game by 17.

UNI -9.5 2u. UNLV is just awful. UNI isn't scared to keep scoring on people, and they can do that here. Again, looking at around a 14-17 pt win.

On the Vandy game.....it's really hard to tell you how bad Vandy is. On top of that, you see the wheels falling off on the sidelines during the game. I can see this being an Ellis Johnson @ USM type deal, where he is fired after this season. Vandy has scored 10 pts this year. 7 on a blocked punt, and the other 3 on a FG where they recovered a fumble at the opponents 4, and promptly lost 4 yards before kicking a FG. They are just terrible on offense. Im really not sure they can score 18. I will also be looking at the under here when it's posted.

On UGA, Im trying to figure out how USCe keep UGA under 30. Georgia has the best back in the country, and a stable of backs behind him. I think they get to 35 here, and I don't think USCe can keep up. I have this game pegged around a 14 point UGA win.
 

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8-6 YTD. +9.2u

Final card for the weekend. BIG card.

All games I got early. I realize some aren't the same lines any longer. The only one I still wouldn't play is UGA @ -7.


UGA -3.5. 8u. I have this game capped at a 13 pt win. USCe is overrated, and I believe UGA is the best team in the conference. Writeup coming.

UMASS +18. 8u Vandy has no business being an 18 pt favorite over anyone. They are terrible. I mean just horrendous. They are the worst SEC team I have seen in at least 8 years. I think UMASS could win this game.

GA Southern +25.5 6u. This line makes no sense. Its not like either team is going to fool the other with the triple option. It wouldn't completely shock me if they won. I think GT wins this one by 10.

Arkansas +2.5. 6u Arkansas might run for 500 yards on TT. TT will score some too, but not enough to keep up with Arkansas here. This is game where I will also have 2-3u on the ML when it comes out, if there's value vs. taking the points.

Mizzou -9.5 3u. Mizzou is simply a lot better. I think they win this game by 17.

UNI -9.5 2u. UNLV is just awful. UNI isn't scared to keep scoring on people, and they can do that here. Again, looking at around a 14-17 pt win.

TAMU -32 3u. Until they don't cover a big number, Im riding them. They might score 70 here.

Duke -14 2u.

I don't have TT's on my site, but if the Ole Miss TT is under 44, I would play it too.
 

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Good luck this week olemiss.
 

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Another solid week. 7-2 for +14.9u. YTD that is 15-8 for +24.1u.

Hate that UGA defense crapped the bed, but that's how it goes sometimes. Can't win them all.
 

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