Fully aware. To be honest, I think Garman is better than Walsh, but Vegas knows that people will try to play against Ok State here with the QB out. This line should probably be closer to 17, so I think it's at least 3 points off.
As for Kelly being out, yes, I think it matters. But the reality is I don't think UCLA is a very good football team. They had no business winning the UVA game, almost lost to Memphis and an awful TX team. Quite frankly, I think the wrong team is favored in that game.
I did a little bit more research.... garman is a better passing qb but walsh is more of a duel threat... not real sure about texas tech's secondary though.. but all of the td's from arkansas in texas tech's loss 49-28 game were off the ground..
ucla is 0-3 ATS i hope the streak continues after this week..
you have convinced me to stick to my gut
ucla is 0-3 ATS i hope the streak continues after this week..
you have convinced me to stick to my gut
YTD: 24-15 +12.1u
Took last week off after taking a beating, but back on this week.
Ole Miss ML 10u. My biggest play of the year to date. Im not going to go into a ton of detail, but Ole Miss is the better team here. All the talk of the players and coaches still riding high off the Bama win is garbage. It's just talk. Ole Miss wins this game by 10+.
Alabama -9 5u. Nick Saban defenses thrive on making teams one dimensional, then stopping that part of the game. Arkansas is already one dimensional, so Bama won't have to go out of their way to do that. Arkansas can really run the football, but they won't be able to do that this weekend. All this talk about Bama being down because they lose to Ole Miss is awesome. Could it not just be that Ole Miss is pretty damn good? I think Bama bounces back in a big way this weekend, and rolls to a 17-20 pt win. Bama 34-14.
WVU/TT o74 3u. It's a shit ton of points, but I just don't see, barring RZ turnovers, how this game doesn't get there. Hell, WVU is going to score 50+.
Memphis -8 3u. Memphis a pretty good football team, and they are very disciplined. Fuente has done a fantastic job there, and I think they are serious threat to win their conference. I believe this is Fuente's last year in Memphis, so he's going to keep them ready to play. I think Memphis wins this game by 17.
Auburn/MSU u64.5 5u. Too many points. There will be a lot of running in this game, and both teams are good against the run. I think this total is way too high, and expect a 24-23 type game.
NMSU +7(-120) 3u. Troy shouldn't be favored by a TD over anyone. NMSU will be able to score in this game, and I wouldn't be shocked if they won outright.
Took last week off after taking a beating, but back on this week.
Ole Miss ML 10u. My biggest play of the year to date. Im not going to go into a ton of detail, but Ole Miss is the better team here. All the talk of the players and coaches still riding high off the Bama win is garbage. It's just talk. Ole Miss wins this game by 10+.
Alabama -9 5u. Nick Saban defenses thrive on making teams one dimensional, then stopping that part of the game. Arkansas is already one dimensional, so Bama won't have to go out of their way to do that. Arkansas can really run the football, but they won't be able to do that this weekend. All this talk about Bama being down because they lose to Ole Miss is awesome. Could it not just be that Ole Miss is pretty damn good? I think Bama bounces back in a big way this weekend, and rolls to a 17-20 pt win. Bama 34-14.
WVU/TT o74 3u. It's a shit ton of points, but I just don't see, barring RZ turnovers, how this game doesn't get there. Hell, WVU is going to score 50+.
Memphis -8 3u. Memphis a pretty good football team, and they are very disciplined. Fuente has done a fantastic job there, and I think they are serious threat to win their conference. I believe this is Fuente's last year in Memphis, so he's going to keep them ready to play. I think Memphis wins this game by 17.
Auburn/MSU u64.5 5u. Too many points. There will be a lot of running in this game, and both teams are good against the run. I think this total is way too high, and expect a 24-23 type game.
NMSU +7(-120) 3u. Troy shouldn't be favored by a TD over anyone. NMSU will be able to score in this game, and I wouldn't be shocked if they won outright.
YTD 27-18 +17.2u
Bama really let me down last week, but oh well. On to this week.
Bama -12 5u. TAMU is going to find it tough in Ttown this week. Bama is pissed about the way people talk about them. This is one where I expect them to come out and just pound on TAMU. In the last two weeks, TAMU was down 48-17 and 35-7 with 5 minutes to go before getting two late TD's in both games. Im hoping that doesn't happen this weekend for the backdoor cover. I have Bama winning 34-17.
GT pk 4u. I see a ton of points here. UNC is awful against the run, and GT isn't very good against the pass. I keep looking at this and trying to figure out how UNC keeps GT under 40. I don't think they can. I think GT wins this one by a TD.
Wash +21 4u. Just too many points here. Washington is a pretty athletic defense, and I think they can get enough stops to keep this within the number. Oregon is just not a good defensive football team, so I think Washington gets to at least 20 here. I have it Oregon. 38-24.
Miami(OH) +14 3u. They are a covering machine. I have rode them most of the season, and will stay on the heater.
Purdue +14 3u. Again, a number I thing is just too many. I think MN wins the game, but I wouldn't be floored in Purdue pulled the upset. MN is getting a lot of run because of a win over a shitty Michigan team. Im going MN 28-24.
Big play of the weekend. I don't play a lot of teasers in CFB, but I have one Im playing for 7u this weekend. It's Ole Miss -6.5, Bama -2, and TX -2. Three favorites I think will cover the current Vegas number, so this seems like a no brainer to me.
Good luck to all this weekend.
Bama really let me down last week, but oh well. On to this week.
Bama -12 5u. TAMU is going to find it tough in Ttown this week. Bama is pissed about the way people talk about them. This is one where I expect them to come out and just pound on TAMU. In the last two weeks, TAMU was down 48-17 and 35-7 with 5 minutes to go before getting two late TD's in both games. Im hoping that doesn't happen this weekend for the backdoor cover. I have Bama winning 34-17.
GT pk 4u. I see a ton of points here. UNC is awful against the run, and GT isn't very good against the pass. I keep looking at this and trying to figure out how UNC keeps GT under 40. I don't think they can. I think GT wins this one by a TD.
Wash +21 4u. Just too many points here. Washington is a pretty athletic defense, and I think they can get enough stops to keep this within the number. Oregon is just not a good defensive football team, so I think Washington gets to at least 20 here. I have it Oregon. 38-24.
Miami(OH) +14 3u. They are a covering machine. I have rode them most of the season, and will stay on the heater.
Purdue +14 3u. Again, a number I thing is just too many. I think MN wins the game, but I wouldn't be floored in Purdue pulled the upset. MN is getting a lot of run because of a win over a shitty Michigan team. Im going MN 28-24.
Big play of the weekend. I don't play a lot of teasers in CFB, but I have one Im playing for 7u this weekend. It's Ole Miss -6.5, Bama -2, and TX -2. Three favorites I think will cover the current Vegas number, so this seems like a no brainer to me.
Good luck to all this weekend.
YTD 32-20 for +26.2u. See if we can keep growing the bankroll.
Ole Miss -3 15u. Biggest play of the year so far. If it's 3.5, I would consider it a 10u play. Either way, I don't think it will matter. Ole Miss is simply better. They are playing in a place that they not only will they not be intimidated, but will thrive when the LSU fans get going. The defense will make LSU one dimensional, cause 2-3 turnovers, and the offense will put it away by the end of the 3rd quarter. Ole Miss 27-10.
UVA -6.5 3u. UNC can score, but they will find the going tougher against a good UVA defense. UNC is probably the worst defense in the Big 5 conferences, and I can see UVA getting to 35+ here. UVA 38-24.
UAB/Ark o66. 5u. Arkansas might get there by themselves. UAB will throw enough to get some points, but they won't have an answer for the Arkansas OL and running game. Arkansas 52-26.
TCU/TT o72 3u. Again, a team I think could score 60. How is TT going to stop this TCU offense? Answer? They aren't. TCU 52-28.
Utah pk 3u. Honestly, this is just a gut feeling. I think USC will find it tough to stop this Utah offense here, even though they probably have better talent. Utah at home is never an easy out, and I think they come ready to play Utah 30-24.
Ole Miss -3 15u. Biggest play of the year so far. If it's 3.5, I would consider it a 10u play. Either way, I don't think it will matter. Ole Miss is simply better. They are playing in a place that they not only will they not be intimidated, but will thrive when the LSU fans get going. The defense will make LSU one dimensional, cause 2-3 turnovers, and the offense will put it away by the end of the 3rd quarter. Ole Miss 27-10.
UVA -6.5 3u. UNC can score, but they will find the going tougher against a good UVA defense. UNC is probably the worst defense in the Big 5 conferences, and I can see UVA getting to 35+ here. UVA 38-24.
UAB/Ark o66. 5u. Arkansas might get there by themselves. UAB will throw enough to get some points, but they won't have an answer for the Arkansas OL and running game. Arkansas 52-26.
TCU/TT o72 3u. Again, a team I think could score 60. How is TT going to stop this TCU offense? Answer? They aren't. TCU 52-28.
Utah pk 3u. Honestly, this is just a gut feeling. I think USC will find it tough to stop this Utah offense here, even though they probably have better talent. Utah at home is never an easy out, and I think they come ready to play Utah 30-24.
Damn, I like all of them, actually. To add to your gut feeling on Utah, don't forget their amazing special teams!! That's worth at least a FG maybe two.
Gluck on 15u play, I have a teaser of the month with Ole Miss and also have them at -3 for two bills. I've seen a play of a lifetime across the street on LSU by a rep. dude as well as the thread on here about them and that crazy trend so I was thinking of modding if it gets to four. However, I am gonna stick with my gut feeling, which is you need to be a two demensional offense to beat the ole miss D, and even then you still may need a running QB to help out. LSU is 1 demensional, they run. Can't see a one demensional team beating Ole Miss, it'll be close because of location and time but no cigar .
Gluck on 15u play, I have a teaser of the month with Ole Miss and also have them at -3 for two bills. I've seen a play of a lifetime across the street on LSU by a rep. dude as well as the thread on here about them and that crazy trend so I was thinking of modding if it gets to four. However, I am gonna stick with my gut feeling, which is you need to be a two demensional offense to beat the ole miss D, and even then you still may need a running QB to help out. LSU is 1 demensional, they run. Can't see a one demensional team beating Ole Miss, it'll be close because of location and time but no cigar .
i agree on ole miss..lsu is just too young..and they have already got whipped by miss st...ole miss defense? forget about it..one of the best i ve seen..they absolutely fly to the ball and i just do not see lsu scoring more than 14 points..
only reservation for me is that the public loves ole miss as well
only reservation for me is that the public loves ole miss as well
Yeah with ya' dooood all the way on...Ole Miss -3 and the under 45!
However, can't see the Men of Troy losing to the Utes.....Oregon State passed them silly last Saturday. Utes need 2 OTs to overcome the Bevos! Cody Kessler USC's stud will really have a field day in Salt Lake....Trojans win rather easily.
Good luck on your pics...you got a nice track record....kth)(&^
However, can't see the Men of Troy losing to the Utes.....Oregon State passed them silly last Saturday. Utes need 2 OTs to overcome the Bevos! Cody Kessler USC's stud will really have a field day in Salt Lake....Trojans win rather easily.
Good luck on your pics...you got a nice track record....kth)(&^
YTD 36-23 +9.1u
Took a beating last week. Still believe Ole Miss is easily 3 points better than LSU, but that was a tough atmosphere last Saturday. On a neutral field Ole Miss wins that game by at least a TD. But it's over, and we are moving on.
MS State -10 7u. This is a matchup nightmare for Arkansas, IMO. My only real concern here is State coming off a bye week. When teams are playing as well as they have, and don't really have any injuries, they usually would prefer to keep playing. Im worried there may be some rust with the Dogs, but I don't think it matters. I have State winning this game by 17-20 points. MSU 37-20.
ECU o58 4u. Yes, I know the weather is bad. I get it. I think the weather is built into this number, to be honest. I think this game plays into the mid to high 60's here.
Cal o68 3u. Until they stop scoring, and until they stop allowing folks to score, I don't know that you can set the number high enough. Hell, I think SC could easily get to 45 or so here, and Cal will get their's, too. I have this game playing around 75.
App St u67 3u. Can't really take credit for this one, but have a buddy in Boone that is adamant that this game goes under. Im tailing him because he's usually spot on with App State games.
BIG Teaser play for 10u. You can go through and see I don't play a lot of teasers, but I really like this one.
MS State -1, Oregon +1, UGA -1 for 10u.
Took a beating last week. Still believe Ole Miss is easily 3 points better than LSU, but that was a tough atmosphere last Saturday. On a neutral field Ole Miss wins that game by at least a TD. But it's over, and we are moving on.
MS State -10 7u. This is a matchup nightmare for Arkansas, IMO. My only real concern here is State coming off a bye week. When teams are playing as well as they have, and don't really have any injuries, they usually would prefer to keep playing. Im worried there may be some rust with the Dogs, but I don't think it matters. I have State winning this game by 17-20 points. MSU 37-20.
ECU o58 4u. Yes, I know the weather is bad. I get it. I think the weather is built into this number, to be honest. I think this game plays into the mid to high 60's here.
Cal o68 3u. Until they stop scoring, and until they stop allowing folks to score, I don't know that you can set the number high enough. Hell, I think SC could easily get to 45 or so here, and Cal will get their's, too. I have this game playing around 75.
App St u67 3u. Can't really take credit for this one, but have a buddy in Boone that is adamant that this game goes under. Im tailing him because he's usually spot on with App State games.
BIG Teaser play for 10u. You can go through and see I don't play a lot of teasers, but I really like this one.
MS State -1, Oregon +1, UGA -1 for 10u.
