The oddsmakers have got this line dead perfect. Feds rested while Rafa comes off a big battle. Publics gonna be all over Fed and they're throwing plus money at it. He's going to be an enticing bet to them and Rafa will cash and continue his run to being the true G.O.A.T
From an odds standpoint I agree with you. However, from a "Rafa owning Fed" standpoint, I cannot. If it's a 3-setter not on clay, I could agree with near 50-50 all day long. However, when you're talking 5-setters it becomes a different animal. If Fed was up 2-0 sets on Rafa like he was vs. Stan, he would've lost 3-2 the way he finished that match. He got lucky.
I've been through this many times as a Fed fan. Always holding out hope and going against reality. But it's the same every time. Fed knows he has lost before he has even stepped on to the court. It is absolutely disgusting. And that's one of the main reasons he loses.... when he could definitely win.
If you watch the Fed/Rafa match in Rome (the classic) you can see a young man who didn't have that mental block against Rafa and wasn't defeated. Nowadays, quite frankly, he is Rafa's bitch.
The pattern is the same. Fed comes out the gate playing like a God and it looks like Rafa has no chance. But Rafa starts to slowly grind him down and eventually Roger turns into a quitting bitch. Then Fed fades and just quits.
If Fed had some of Rafa's mentality, he would be bar-none without a doubt the greatest tennis player to have ever walked the earth.
Getting back to the Sunday match.... I do hold out hope for Roger given the way the court is playing. Plus, Rafa is not the same player he was several years ago and that is mainly b/c his game is based off of maximum athleticism. Rafa cannot be at the level Fed is at at 35 years old (5 years from now). It just won't be possible. However, since he is 30 he can still play near the top with that physical approach.
