NFL

[Loves2kickass]

Two groups of plays for your viewing pleasure. Bet them, parlay them, fade them, ignore them.

GROUP 1
NO -3 +100
MIN +1.5 -110
LV -5 -110
GB +2 -110
NE +6 -110


GROUP 2
BAL -1 -105
CLE -6.5 -110
IND -1.5 -110
ATL +3.5 -115
MIA +4.5 -110

Good luck!

 

[Serbone]

"Two groups"

A new wrinkle?

 

[LuckysBoy]

Which ones are the Bombs? Thank you, Only one of those I can t put my money on is the Browns.So that's probably a winner. lol

 

[Loves2kickass]

"Two groups"

A new wrinkle?

Group 1
WK 1 (5-0)
NO -4 (-6) Edge 2.0 W
DAL +2.5 (+0.8) Edge 1.7 W
JAC +3.5 (+1.8) Edge 1.7 W
AZ +6.5 (+5.8) Edge 0.7 W
MIN -2.0 (-2.7) EDGE 0.7 W

WK 2 (4-1)
LV +10 (+8) Edge 2.0 W
CLE +3 (+1.7) Edge 1.3 W
CAR +6.5 (+5.7) Edge 0.8 L
CIN +6 (+5.6) Edge 0.4 W
PIT -3 (-3.1) Edge 0.1 W

Group 2
WK 1 (4-0-1)
NE +8 (+3.4) Edge 4.6 W
DEN +6 (+1.4) Edge 4.6 P
SF -4.5 (-8.8) Edge 4.3 W
BAL +3 (-0.4) Edge 3.4 W
IND +3 (+.03) Edge 3.3 W

WK 2 (4-1)
GB +3 (-4.1) Edge 7.1 W
NO +6.5 (+0.3) Edge 6.2 W
TB +7 (+1.1) Edge 5.9 W
TEN +3.5 (-2.4) Edge 5.9 L
MIN +6 (+0.8) Edge 5.2 W

 

[Loves2kickass]

Which ones are the Bombs? Thank you, Only one of those I can t put my money on is the Browns.So that's probably a winner. lol

1 out of 10, not bad lol

 

[Loves2kickass]

These are my main contest picks. I think I'm doing ok so far. Long way to go. I'll share them occasionally. Best of luck.

 

[Mofome2]

Good luck. Two teams I will never wager on more than likely. Cubs in mlb and Titans. Titans screwed me week one after being up 21-7.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Good luck. Two teams I will never wager on more than likely. Cubs in mlb and Titans. Titans screwed me week one after being up 21-7.

Levis making bone head decisions first 2 games

 

[ashack1]

I’ll put some trust in ya tonight L2K. GL bro.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Which ones are the Bombs? Thank you, Only one of those I can t put my money on is the Browns.So that's probably a winner. lol

All 10 are bombs

 

[Loves2kickass]

I’ll put some trust in ya tonight L2K. GL bro.

Good luck tonight

 

[jstover77]

These are my main contest picks. I think I'm doing ok so far. Long way to go. I'll share them occasionally. Best of luck.

You and everyone else. I will never bet on the Titans again..lol

 

[authorbytrade]

Thats some strong contest play, especially to formulate that many winners with no crossover plays. VERY difficult to go 8 or 9 of 10 in the NFL on multiple weeks. Kudos, whatever you are doing is working. Of course, two of my strongest contest plays are your two losers....lol.

Out of all of the games you've selected, you've mostly been able to avoid negative randomness (except for Tennessee) that's been very hard to accomplish this season so far. In the 20 games you selected you are +14 in Turnover margin, being a + in the TO battle in all 4 quadrants. You are also +18 points in Defensive/Special teams points. If you continue to win the TO battle in your games by an average of .7 TO's per game and create around +1 ppg in random scoring, you are going to have an exceptional season.

From all the information you relayed you seem like a very strong contest capper so I'm not surprised by your results. Best wishes.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Thats some strong contest play, especially to formulate that many winners with no crossover plays. VERY difficult to go 8 or 9 of 10 in the NFL on multiple weeks. Kudos, whatever you are doing is working. Of course, two of my strongest contest plays are your two losers....lol.

Out of all of the games you've selected, you've mostly been able to avoid negative randomness (except for Tennessee) that's been very hard to accomplish this season so far. In the 20 games you selected you are +14 in Turnover margin, being a + in the TO battle in all 4 quadrants. You are also +18 points in Defensive/Special teams points. If you continue to win the TO battle in your games by an average of .7 TO's per game and create around +1 ppg in random scoring, you are going to have an exceptional season.

From all the information you relayed you seem like a very strong contest capper so I'm not surprised by your results. Best wishes.

Great added info thank you. Very interesting and much appreciated. I haven't looked at it from your perspective but again, very interesting.

Yeah I'm in several full season contests and with each I use a different strategy. Not doing too great so far in the contest in this forum. I'm about mid pack at 4-5-1 but leading in 2 others. I'm in 7 ATS contests so all I need to do is won 1 or at least get into the money. With the hot start in 2 of them I'm sure I'll cool off a little in them both. I know i can't keep up this pace.

Thanks again.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Thats some strong contest play, especially to formulate that many winners with no crossover plays. VERY difficult to go 8 or 9 of 10 in the NFL on multiple weeks. Kudos, whatever you are doing is working. Of course, two of my strongest contest plays are your two losers....lol.

Out of all of the games you've selected, you've mostly been able to avoid negative randomness (except for Tennessee) that's been very hard to accomplish this season so far. In the 20 games you selected you are +14 in Turnover margin, being a + in the TO battle in all 4 quadrants. You are also +18 points in Defensive/Special teams points. If you continue to win the TO battle in your games by an average of .7 TO's per game and create around +1 ppg in random scoring, you are going to have an exceptional season.

From all the information you relayed you seem like a very strong contest capper so I'm not surprised by your results. Best wishes.

How did you gather the info regarding +18 points in Defensive/Special teams points? Did you have to look at each game stats one by one? Or do you have a quicker way to get those results.

 

[Loves2kickass]

I have NE tonight in a few of my contests, zero Jets picks in any of them. All is not lost losing a game early in the week but it's nice to start off 1-0

 

[Loves2kickass]

My line tonight for TNF is NYJ -1.5. Win some, lose some but very good NE line value. GL

 

[authorbytrade]

How did you gather the info regarding +18 points in Defensive/Special teams points? Did you have to look at each game stats one by one? Or do you have a quicker way to get those results.

I had it in my data. I track "randomness" in various ways and defensive scores, special teams scores, and safeties all show up as random scoring, as for the most part I don't think it's predictable (some returners do skew the numbers but the NFL has basically eliminated that with the KO rules and the modern punters). So I just tallied the + side on all the games you wagered on and you were + 18 points. But, yes the data is simply pulled from each individual game's box scores.

 

[PatsFanatic]

VERY difficult to go 8 or 9 of 10 in the NFL on multiple weeks.

Sure is. But the problem is these weren’t posted before the games played. Never are.

 

[G-Man!]

Sure is. But the problem is these weren’t posted before the games played. Never are.

Glad yOU pointed this out PatsFanatic.
Exactly! He's like other posters who posted imaginary plays in the past here, after they are played.
And then he says Quote:"
"I don't post contest plays ahead of time", so other contest players dont see them.
But he did on another site and they lost.?
Besides - once the first game starts, the contest is locked on the games - and no one can change plays.
If he posted these 1 minute before game time then it could be seen as possibly real.
But after they start all credibility is gone here.
He show a system rating beside his plays. But said heonly uses the 5 best games? Then why did he have 12 different sides?

The contest HERE is a losing one for him as he noted, but thats only because he has no choice. Other wise they would ban him. (Not that these other claims should be allowed either)???
This is egotistically and intentionally wrong to mislead viewers here and has been noted in the past by the mods.

Confusing . especially when he was the guy who always posted others plays, when they lost - but never came back and posted when those guys won...???

I dont see anyone buying that someone would play sets of different plays when capping?
Any honest winning capper would just enter his best plays in every contest , wouldn't you PatsFanatic? I would want to win eery contest...

I Post on several sites and copy and paste the same games every day in football.
Beside that - wouldn't you want to help forum members here?
I mean, thats why we are here I thought.

What person reading this would actually think of following - or TRUSTING - when he wouldn't know if todays plays were as good as contest plays?.

Honesty, is only good when plays are posted ahead of game time -win or lose...

GL in the future somewhere in those other contests..- no one here benefited from those claims...