NFL Week 2

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Here are the Friday practice reports for GB and DET
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Detroit Lions ~ Current Updates
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Offense<o:p></o:p>

--QB Drew Stanton: Detroit Lions QB Drew Stanton (thumb) was limited in practice Friday, Sept. 12, and is probable for the team's Week 2 game.

Defense

--DL Corey Smith: Nicholas J. Cotsonika, of the Detroit Free Press, reports Detroit Lions DL Corey Smith (hamstring) was limited during practice Friday, Sept. 12. He is listed as questionable for Week 2.
--LB Ernie Simms: Nicholas J. Cotsonika, of the Detroit Free Press, reports Detroit Lions LB Ernie Sims (ankle) was limited during practice Friday, Sept. 12. He is listed as probable for Week 2 and is expected to play in the game.
--LB Paris Lennon: Nicholas J. Cotsonika, of the Detroit Free Press, reports Detroit Lions LB Paris Lenon (knee) participated in practice Friday, Sept. 12. He is not on the injury report for Week 2.<o:p></o:p>


Previous Updates<o:p></o:p>


Offense<o:p></o:p>


--TE Dan Campbell: Nicholas J. Cotsonika, of the Detroit Free Press, reports Detroit Lions TE Dan Campbell (hamstring) aggravated his hamstring on a 21-yard reception in Week 1 and will go for more tests Monday, Sept. 8. His status for Week 2 is unknown.<o:p></o:p>

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Green Bay Packers ~ Current Updates
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Offense
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--RB Ryan Grant: Pete Dougherty, of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, reports Green Bay Packers RB Ryan Grant (hamstring) is questionable for the team's Week 2 game.
--RB Brandon Jackson: Pete Dougherty, of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, reports Green Bay Packers RB Brandon Jackson (concussion) practiced Friday, Sept. 12, and is probable for the team's Week 2 game. He is expected to play.
--WR Ruvell Martin: Pete Dougherty, of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, reports Green Bay Packers WR Ruvell Martin (finger) was limited in practice Friday, Sept. 12, and is questionable for the team's Week 2 game. He is not expected to play.
--WR James Jones: Pete Dougherty, of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, reports Green Bay Packers WR James Jones (knee) practiced Friday, Sept. 12, and is probable for the team's Week 2 game. He is expected to play.
--OT Chad Clifton: Pete Dougherty, of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, reports Green Bay Packers OT Chad Clifton (knee) practiced Friday, Sept. 12, and is probable for the team's Week 2 game. He is expected to play.<o:p></o:p>


Defense<o:p></o:p>


--DL Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila: Pete Dougherty, of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, reports Green Bay Packers DL Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila (knee) did not practice Friday, Sept. 12, and is probable for the team's Week 2 game. He is expected to play.
--LB Brandon Chillar: Pete Dougherty, of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, reports Green Bay Packers LB Brandon Chillar (back) practiced Friday, Sept. 12, and is probable for the team's Week 2 game. He is expected to play.
--CB Charles Woodson: Pete Dougherty, of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, reports Green Bay Packers CB Charles Woodson (toe) did not practice Friday, Sept. 12, and is questionable for the team's Week 2 game. He will be a game-time decision.
--SS Charlie Peprah: Pete Dougherty, of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, reports Green Bay Packers SS Charlie Peprah (hamstring) practiced Friday, Sept. 12, and is questionable for the team's Week 2 game. He will be a game-time decision.
--SS Atari Bigby: Pete Dougherty, of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, reports Green Bay Packers SS Atari Bigby (biceps) practiced Friday, Sept. 12, and is probable for the team's Week 2 game. He is expected to play.
--SS Aaron Rouse: Pete Dougherty, of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, reports Green Bay Packers SS Aaron Rouse (ankle) did not practice Friday, Sept. 12, and is questionable for the team's Week 2 game. He will be a game-time decision.<o:p></o:p>


Previous Updates<o:p></o:p>


Offense<o:p></o:p>


--C Scott Wells: Pete Dougherty, of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, reports Green Bay Packers C Scott Wells (trunk, back) missed the team's practice Wednesday, Sept. 10. He might return for practice later in the week, but it appears more likely he will return next week.
--OL Josh Sitton: Tom Silverstein, of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, reports Green Bay Packers OG Josh Sitton (knee) is close to returning to practice, according to head coach Mike McCarthy.<o:p></o:p>


Defense<o:p></o:p>


--DL Cullen Jenkins: Tom Pelissero, of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, reports Green Bay Packers DL Cullen Jenkins (leg) left with a leg cramp in Week 1.
--DL Jeremy Thompson: Pete Dougherty, of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, reports Green Bay Packers DL Jeremy Thompson (groin) was not active for the team's Week 1 game. He should be available to play Week 2, but likely will be inactive for the game.
--LB Tracy White: Pete Dougherty, of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, reports Green Bay Packers LB Tracy White (ankle) is not listed on the team's injury report for Week 2.
--LB A.J. Hawk: Tom Pelissero, of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, reports Green Bay Packers LB A.J. Hawk (chest) played at weakside linebacker in Week 1. The harness he wore to protect his chest didn't hinder him, and he finished with a team-high 10 tackles (seven solo) and a quarterback hit.
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Despite the things we've discussed about some of those games, I really do like that parlay. BOL!!!

Yeah, most of those plays have a glaring weakness, but each (in my opinion) have more factors favoring a win than a loss, so while I wasn't willing to put a full unit on each, no harm in throwing up a hail mary.
 

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Here are the Friday practice reports for GB and DET

Many thanks. :103631605

I'm going to hold off on GB. You're right, no sense forcing a play this early. A "no play" can be as good as a win in the right circumstance.

Another game thought caught my eye today is KC. Not sure if you put any stock in the Sagarin Rating System, but I was checking out the thread dedicated to it, and apparently KC is seeing about 10 points of value (if I deduced it correctly) over Oakland in a certain combined line with something called Elo. I saw that Jetplane and others weren't able to find any past ATS results from it so it may be nothing. But anyway, worth checking out if you get a minute.
 

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As far as the "shoe rule" goes, I haven't been able to work out a query for it with The Sportsdatabase (the matrix I use to pull up trends). It's a great tool, but I'm not sure if there is a turf or grass variable to insert. Would definitely be interesting to see how its played out over the years.
 

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Yeah, most of those plays have a glaring weakness, but each (in my opinion) have more factors favoring a win than a loss, so while I wasn't willing to put a full unit on each, no harm in throwing up a hail mary.

I agree 100%
 

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Many thanks. :103631605

I'm going to hold off on GB. You're right, no sense forcing a play this early. A "no play" can be as good as a win in the right circumstance.

Another game thought caught my eye today is KC. Not sure if you put any stock in the Sagarin Rating System, but I was checking out the thread dedicated to it, and apparently KC is seeing about 10 points of value (if I deduced it correctly) over Oakland in a certain combined line with something called Elo. I saw that Jetplane and others weren't able to find any past ATS results from it so it may be nothing. But anyway, worth checking out if you get a minute.

I will take a peek for sure.
 

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AJ & Primoz ~

(RE: KC vs. OAK)

I am not too excited about this game. If I was forced to make a desicison I might lean KC due to the home field advantage, but there are certainly a lot better bets on the board.

First of all, I think this game will be very low scoring, therefore there's a chance for both teams to be in a position to win the game in the 4th quarter. Secondly, the thing that concerns me most is OAK's ability to run the ball. I would not be surprised to see OAK total over 175 yards of rushing in this game. Not only do they game plan a heavy does of the run, but they have plenty of fresh and talented bodies to carry the ball all game long.

OAK averaged 5.0 yards per carry versus DEN last week while KC only averaged about 3.8 yards per carry.

On the other side of the ball, KC gave up 4.5 yards per carry to NE and OAK gave up 4.2 yards per carry to DEN.

In what appears to be a low scoring game, that edge in rushing stats for OAK is too big of a barrier for me to endorse a play on KC. DEN did a good job passig the ball against OAK (Cutler threw for 300 yards) and I am not convinced that KC will see the same amount of success in that area.
 

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sorry about the late response, I have been pretty sick. Regardless, the shoe rule applies when an away team must change their shoes to play on a different surface than their home field. The away team must also be favored by 3 or more points. In this case the play is in on the sorry lions at +3. Ill place them every week they apply; the play usually looks horrible, but ends up making me money almost every year. Good Luck guys.

JOC
 

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I do have the stats somewhere for the past 2 years. Ill see if i can pull them up for you when i get my laptop back from bestbuy, due to the busted screen. Don't quote me but I think it went 7-3 last year.

JOC
 

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AJ & Primoz ~

(RE: KC vs. OAK)
Very disappointing, but good to know. I hadn't really looked into that game aside from seeing Sagarin give the play a ridiculous amount of value, so I appreciate the more in depth look. :103631605 Can't really argue with those rush stats - I'll probably pass on that play as well.
 

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I do have the stats somewhere for the past 2 years. Ill see if i can pull them up for you when i get my laptop back from bestbuy, due to the busted screen. Don't quote me but I think it went 7-3 last year.

JOC

Cool.
Thanks, and good luck with Detroit on Sunday.
 

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sorry about the late response, I have been pretty sick. Regardless, the shoe rule applies when an away team must change their shoes to play on a different surface than their home field. The away team must also be favored by 3 or more points. In this case the play is in on the sorry lions at +3. Ill place them every week they apply; the play usually looks horrible, but ends up making me money almost every year. Good Luck guys.

JOC

Thanks for the clarification JOC. And sorry to hear you were so sick. Hope you are feeling better. BOL with all your action!
 

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AJ & Primoz ~

(RE: KC vs. OAK)

I am not too excited about this game. If I was forced to make a desicison I might lean KC due to the home field advantage, but there are certainly a lot better bets on the board.

First of all, I think this game will be very low scoring, therefore there's a chance for both teams to be in a position to win the game in the 4th quarter. Secondly, the thing that concerns me most is OAK's ability to run the ball. I would not be surprised to see OAK total over 175 yards of rushing in this game. Not only do they game plan a heavy does of the run, but they have plenty of fresh and talented bodies to carry the ball all game long.

OAK averaged 5.0 yards per carry versus DEN last week while KC only averaged about 3.8 yards per carry.

On the other side of the ball, KC gave up 4.5 yards per carry to NE and OAK gave up 4.2 yards per carry to DEN.

In what appears to be a low scoring game, that edge in rushing stats for OAK is too big of a barrier for me to endorse a play on KC. DEN did a good job passig the ball against OAK (Cutler threw for 300 yards) and I am not convinced that KC will see the same amount of success in that area.

Thanks buddy:toast:.

862266the-three-stooges-posters.jpg


All three are on GB/DET over and SDC/DEN over:scared2::scared2::scared2:
 

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Thanks buddy:toast:.

862266the-three-stooges-posters.jpg


All three are on GB/DET over and SDC/DEN over:scared2::scared2::scared2:

LOL. I don't remember if that means good news or bads news.....but I have a feeling there won't any middle ground here and it means a 2~0 or an 0~2 result. :scared:
 

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Recap:

Week 2 Plays

2* PHI +7 105
2* TEN ML 102
2* GB OV 45.5 110
2* DEN OV 46 110
2* NE ML 100
1* NE OV 37 110




Season Record: 6~3......+4.60

--------------------------------

Play Ratings Record

3*...............1~0
2*...............1~1
1*...............4~2
-------------------
ALL..............6~3<!-- / message -->
<!-- / message -->
 

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Week 2 Plays

2* PHI +7 105
2* TEN ML 102
2* GB OV 45.5 110
2* DEN OV 46 110
2* NE ML 100
1* NE OV 37 110




Season Record: 6~3......+4.60

--------------------------------

Play Ratings Record

3*...............1~0
2*...............1~1
1*...............4~2
-------------------
ALL..............6~3<!-- / message -->
<!-- / message -->


Adding:

1* NYG OV 43 110
 

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Week 2 Plays

2* PHI +7 105
2* TEN ML 102
2* GB OV 45.5 110
2* DEN OV 46 110
2* NE ML 100
1* NE OV 37 110




Season Record: 6~3......+4.60

--------------------------------

Play Ratings Record

3*...............1~0
2*...............1~1
1*...............4~2
-------------------
ALL..............6~3<!-- / message -->
<!-- / message -->

good luck this week, bud! I'll be tailing you with NE (and I took DEN).
 

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