NFL WEEK 16 - NEW ENGLAND AT NEW YORK JETS

[BigLou+]

fezzik,

"The stats and emotions are what matters. NE gains 4.8 ypplay. They give up 4.4. They have the stats of a 10-6 team. The Jets gain 5.4 ypplay. They give up 5.0. You may argue NE is improving, but it's the Jets Stats that keep getting better. The Jets also are playing like a 10-6 team."

"This is the Jets' SBowl. NE is playing for HFA (just like Tenn was playing for). The Jets are a comparable team statistically, with more motivation, playing at home, GETTING the fg."


That is why the Patriots are going to be a great fade once the playoffs roll around. Let them win their final two games and they are going to be grossly overvalued in the divisional round.

Big Lou

 

[DENIRO]

big lou

division winner at home is money in the bank

over 75% winner

you should know that

 

[BigLou+]

DE NIRO

You are going to see some big upsets in the divisional round. Prepare yourself.

Big Lou

 

[Fezzik]

Responding to my Hilton Record:

My equity in the thing tanked long ago, and I stopped spending any time on it, I just chucked in my picks. I'm barely above .500.

I am 43-32 in the Stations contest (7th place).

 

[JonT95]

Fezzik,
Your stats make sense, but the #1 stat is that the Patriots are 12-2. The reason for that is not because they are a crappy team. Sure they may have won a couple of close ones, but that goes for most winning teams anyway. Chiefs have a few of those...Oakland at Arrowhead, Chargers, etc. Those lucky fumbles, turnovers, or whatever may have had something to do with skill rather than just luck. There are four quarters in a game for a team to win. As for home advantage in the playoffs, Foxboro would be a huge advantage for the Patriots and they know that. Dome teams such as Chiefs and Colts will have a hard time in the brutal weather at Foxboro. Everyone got scared to ride the Pats two years ago, I made alot of money off of them all season, through the playoffs, and I moneylined them in the superbowl to win. I've made alot of money off of them this year too. They won't lay down for the Jets, they need that home field advantage in the playoffs. Expect the weak Jets defense to struggle with Pat Offense.
By the way, I took the Jets +3 and moneyline over Tenn a couple of weeks ago. Considering McNair being banged up, and Jets home advantage in the cold weather. There are more things to consider than just stats.
GL

 

[Fezzik]

Don't say I didn't warn you.

 

[wilheim]

Saying the Jets are improving is debatable. I watched last's weeks "impressive" snow-storm 6-0 win over the Steelers, and the complete defensive lay-down Vs. Travis Henry and the Bills in the 2nd half of a 17-6 loss at Buffalo two weeks ago. The Jets were less than impressive in both games. Granted the Pats may be overrated, but are very dangerous when you are asking them to only win the game on the field. I will wait and look to lay 2.5 on N.E. or lay off the game.


wil.

 

[AtlantaCapper]

This is a match-up of two of the most accurate Qb's in the NFL, The weather should not be a factor for either. New Englands Defense will be the key in this game as curtis Martinwill be held under 75 yards, Making Pennington have to throw more than usual to his subpar receivers. Ne is a scrappy team with Faulk, Smith, Pass, Centers all contributing in ways that get unnoticed and made fun of by the common fan, Belechek will have the boys ready in NJ and Brady will once again play smart football in route to a convincing Pats win. Somewhere around 27-13.

 

[TEASERGURU]

i am fed up with this New England team. They cover every single week. Will this be the one that they falter? You should all bet the jets because i have given up on betting against this Patriot team.

 

[winkyduck]

in the stardust cintest - fezzik took NYJ saying they would win SU. we will see

 

[Fezzik]

NE with Belichick 0-5 as road chalk laying 6 or less.

......so much for NE "always finding ways to win the close game"

 

[BigLou+]

Here is what I have regarding New England laying 6 points or less on the road under Belichick:

Week 14, 2001: -4 @ Bills 12-9W
Week 4, 2002: -3 @ Chargers 14-21L
Week 10, 2002 -4.5 @ Bears 33-30W
Week 13, 2002 -5.5 @ Lions 20-12W
Week 12, 2003 -6 @ Texans 23-20W

While his ATS results are not great (1-4 ATS) his team does find a way to win going 4-1 SU. Good luck on your picks.

Big Lou

 

[bosox1086]

Probably like NE tonight -3.0. For those on the fence, might be worth waiting for KC/Minn outcome. If KC loses, NE might (doubt it, but might) let down a bit as a loss wouldn't kill them. All they'd need to do is beat Buffalo at home next week to get homefield. If KC wins, NE will need this Jets game and the Buffalo game to assure homefield. Just a thought.

 

[Menses]

Pro Line Betters...(Toronto) Jets +5.5. All Over It. The half point in this game is crucial. The Previous post makes a good point however, If KC looses, definitely jump on the dog here.

 

[SharksIV]

fezzik, regarding your hilton picks. you claim your equity tanked long ago and you stopped spending time on it. wouldn't a 9 our of 10 run put you back in the hunt a few weeks ago? seems premature to "chuck in your picks" as for not spending time on it, what time? all you have to do is handicap games and pick your 5 best. isn't that what a "professional" handicapper does? its like a toll booth operator not having time to make change. are we to believe your hilton selections are not your 5 best weekly? isn't there any professional pride? even a square is going to give it his best shot. not for nothing but your response to your record just does not pass the sniff test. good luck in the stardust contest but whatever happens any idiot can see that the contest is flawed. a monkey could have 3 hot weeks and win the whole thing.

 

[PatrickMcIrish]

Anyone kow what the weather is expected to be tonight? Thanks in advance.

 

[bosox1086]

Is Fezzik Latin for arrogant?

 

[ripper]

Defense not only wins superbowls, but first seed in the playoffs. New England is the team to beat.

PATS -3

GL ALL,
RIPPER

 

[painter]

mid 20's no precip.

 

[amy]

UNDER 35!!!!!!