***** Nfl Playoffs---Wild Card Round *****

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I pulled the trigger on the Seahawks right away when it was released at 3.5.....Line hit 6 and has comeback down to 5. The temps will be below zero temp and wind chill will be in the -20s below. Teddy played out of his mind on a cold Sunday Night game vs the Giants...but it was the Giants. The following week at GBay in a similar cold game he struggled mightily ball seem to sail on him time after time. I know that the weather will effect both teams but I feel a heck of alot better taking the seasoned Playoff veteran in Mr. Wilson.




I definitely think Seattle has a good chance of winning SU, but by only 3 IMO........
 
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I definitely think Seattle has a good chance of winning SU, but by only 3 IMO........

People see the 38 and are losing their minds, Vikes defense may keep them in this one. They gave up 38 by committing a bunch of penalties and by having Joseph, Barr, Smith, Sendejo, and Griffen (part of game) out Thats their best defensive players out minus sendejo. This time they will play much much better
 

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Final predicted scores:


Texans 20------Chiefs 17

Bengals 27-------Pitt 20........or Pitt 27------Bengals 20 (tough game)

Seattle 24-------Vikings 21

Gbay 20-------Skins 13



Round 1 is usually tougher than round 2 IMO........




(Seattle vs Denver) this super bowl rematch wouldn't surprise me one bit, Denver got waxed by Seattle 43-8........this season we saw Manning staying on the bench until it was time, I guess that time started in week 17.
 

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People see the 38 and are losing their minds, Vikes defense may keep them in this one. They gave up 38 by committing a bunch of penalties and by having Joseph, Barr, Smith, Sendejo, and Griffen (part of game) out Thats their best defensive players out minus sendejo. This time they will play much much better



I think I will be really shocked to see the Vikings win SU over Seattle........Seattle just seems to get the job done when needed.

Thing is, I had Vikings at Gbay & Bridgewater had me very nervous throughout the game......this fumbles on simple handoffs to the RB......those passes that were off, & the way he was throwing the ball seemed off.

At home I do think the Vikings keep it close to give Seattle a scare.........

The favorite in the Vikings 4 playoff games last 10 years is 4-0 SU & ATS..........that concerns me a bit on my Vikings bet.

But I do think Minny stays within a fg......at least I hope. If I see any chance of Seattle pulling away, I may bet a live in game to save my original bwt, but I rarely bet live in game in the playoffs.


The game I absolutely love & is my favorite play in the 1st round is Gbay..........I will definitely add more come Sunday.
 

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Changed my mind on the Chiefs/Texans prediction:


Chiefs 17-------Texans 13




With the above 1-21 ATS system against the Texans, it surpasses the trend against the Chiefs IMO......the Chiefs have waited 22 years to win a playoff game, & IMO, they get it here. KC was on a mission after starting 1-5 this season, & to win 10 str games, its no easy task.



Adding 3 team 10 point teaser:




Chiefs +7........Bengals +13.........Gbay +9.........(X-Large)

Chiefs +7........Vikings +15.........Gbay +9..........(X-Large)
 

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Adding:





Bengals ML (+125).........(X-Large)



I don't see both #6 seeds advancing........I do like Seattle to win SU by 3.

As for this game, AJ Mcarron IMO is better than Daulton, & glad to see Daulton not playing. Big Ben is a good Qb, but their defense gives up to many points.

Bengals outscore Pitt in a high scoring game. Pitt lost to a Ravens team that had most of their starters out the last several weeks of the season. Pitt lost as a -11 point road fav to Claussen, same team Seattle & KC waxed the previous 2 weeks before Pitt played them.

Don't be fooled by Pitt beating the Browns last week........

I think Bengals do enough to get the win 27-20........
 

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Was reading a few things..........


First time ever losing their last 2 games of regular season for Brady & Belichick.......does this spell the downfall of their empire? Will be interesting to see how they bounce back in round 2


Bengals are in the playoffs in 5 str years.......something has to give after losing in the 1st round 4 str years.
 
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Bengals ML (+125).........(X-Large)

I don't see both #6 seeds advancing........I do like Seattle to win SU by 3.

As for this game, AJ Mcarron IMO is better than Daulton, & glad to see Daulton not playing. Big Ben is a good Qb, but their defense gives up to many points.

Bengals outscore Pitt in a high scoring game. Pitt lost to a Ravens team that had most of their starters out the last several weeks of the season. Pitt lost as a -11 point road fav to Claussen, same team Seattle & KC waxed the previous 2 weeks before Pitt played them.

Don't be fooled by Pitt beating the Browns last week........

I think Bengals do enough to get the win 27-20........


I am with you on the Bengals chances but the above in bold never happened.
 

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0 degrees gametime temp expected for MIN/GB. Run game will be the diff in this game at that temp. MIN has big advantage in that category.

TCG, you really think GB def can hold WAS to 13 pts? That's awfully low considering how well Cousins has been playing.

Here are the lines I see at my book right now:
Pitt -3 (even)
KC -3.5 (even)
GB -1
SEA -5
 

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I am with you on the Bengals chances but the above in bold never happened.



Really? And why didn't it? I watched it happen, & my brother & his gf were at the game.....oh it happened, my brothers gf is a huge Pitt fan, she wasn't happy.....oh it happened, lol!
 

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0 degrees gametime temp expected for MIN/GB. Run game will be the diff in this game at that temp. MIN has big advantage in that category.

TCG, you really think GB def can hold WAS to 13 pts? That's awfully low considering how well Cousins has been playing.

Here are the lines I see at my book right now:
Pitt -3 (even)
KC -3.5 (even)
GB -1
SEA -5


I bet the Skins ML & spread in their 4 game winning streak to finish the season.........this playoff game isn't a game to bet the Skins. I don't think the Skins will score more than 17, but I'm predicting 13.

I'm thinking Gbay 20-13.......or 20-17 final.
 

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0 degrees gametime temp expected for MIN/GB. Run game will be the diff in this game at that temp. MIN has big advantage in that category.

NFL Team Rushing Defense Rankings: Seattle #1 Minnesota #17
NFL Team Rushing Offense Rankings: Seattle #3 Minnesota #4

Seattle get's Lynch and their starting left tackle back this weekend -- Minnesota just lost one of their key run blocking tight ends in Rhett Ellison.

Where is the advantage?
 

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We like a lot of the same games this week (though I am still leaning Wash, but haven't made a bet). I took the SEA/Min OVER and took Minn +6 (-120). I also like Cinci +3 so long as Dalton doesn't play. And I like KC -- the only road team I like this week.
 

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Was reading a few things..........


First time ever losing their last 2 games of regular season for Brady & Belichick.......does this spell the downfall of their empire? Will be interesting to see how they bounce back in round 2


Bengals are in the playoffs in 5 str years.......something has to give after losing in the 1st round 4 str years.

As a Pat's fan who talks to a lot of other Pat's fan, the base is conflicted on what matchups are the best. Some are scared mostly of the Steelers, fearing that the NE offense will continue to struggle. But I am pretty confident the Pats will at least win SU in the divisional round against Cinci or Hou (they can't play Pitt, but I would take NE to win SU over pit). But KC I think causes major problems. They have the strong front 7 and an offense that is just good enough (unlike the Texans who are just limited at QB)... the Pat's ideal scenario is to play HOU, and Cinci is the 2nd best scenario. Also, they want the Broncos to lose in round 2 and I think they will just because Manning is back and he is a bad QB. I am fading Denver to all hell, I don't care who they play.

The Pat's injury woes are real, but I don't put too much stock in the last two weeks. They are going to go back to the spread offense with 5-wide and shoot it out again. They were just trying to minimize risk in week 17, hence 21 of the first 16 plays being runs. Now, maybe the 5-wide doesn't work because Edelmen can't cut right or whatever, but evne if they lose, it won't be like the Miami game.
 

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If the Texans beat the Chiefs and Cincinnati beats Pitt, the Texans will beat Denver in Denver. Also, if Dalton is back I expect the Bengals to give the Pats fits. LOL if the Texans play Cincinnati in the AFC championship game they have a real shot at the Superbowl, suddenly that +2550 doesnt look so far fetched.
 

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Just got +700 on the Chiefs being the team that scores the least on Wild Card Weekend.
 

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Gotta bet against Wash on general principle even though GB has looked awful over second half of season. Fully expect Gruden to make the dumber in game decisions(and against McCarthy that is saying a lot). Sprinkle in Cousins being forced to make plays and I just like GB to bounce back for one game.
 
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Really? And why didn't it? I watched it happen, & my brother & his gf were at the game.....oh it happened, my brothers gf is a huge Pitt fan, she wasn't happy.....oh it happened, lol!

It didn't happen Pitts lost as a -11 road favorite to Mallet not Claussen.
 

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If the Texans beat the Chiefs and Cincinnati beats Pitt, the Texans will beat Denver in Denver. Also, if Dalton is back I expect the Bengals to give the Pats fits. LOL if the Texans play Cincinnati in the AFC championship game they have a real shot at the Superbowl, suddenly that +2550 doesnt look so far fetched.
It's +2550 for a reason and it is far fetched. Houston plays in the worst division in the entire NFL and the only team in that division to have a winning record ... barely.
 

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I like the Chiefs this weekend. 3 particular areas stand out:

Pass rush: Even with Justin Houston missing time and fellow outside linebackers Tamba Hali and Dee Ford battling injuries, the Chiefs ranked fourth overall in sacks this season with 47.

Strong secondary: The Chiefs also held opponents to the NFL's second-lowest quarterback rating at 76.0 and finished second in interceptions with 22. Kansas City does have the tools to keep Texans standout wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins in check.

QB efficiency: Smith went 312 passes without throwing a pick earlier this season, which is the second-longest streak in NFL history. He hasn't lost a fumble either on 84 rushing attempts or when he was sacked 45 times (only 17 came in the second half of the season as the offensive line got its act together, which also coincided with Kansas City's turnaround). Smith's ball-protection helped the Chiefs finish with an AFC-best turnover differential of plus-14.

All in all, I believe the Chiefs have the momentum and are a more balanced team than the Texans but ultimately penalties, turnovers and injuries will dictate the final score.


GLTA and Happy New Year.
 

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