sick as in good? sometimes they use sick like it's good. So much fake shit in the world has been exposed that they even use master distractor ace Trump to destroy the word fake. As long as there is money there will always be chicanery. Edge is good practice as well as the every day exercise in deception that every rube who keeps his head in this game participates.
My prediction was… Oh so close….. FG does no good for Giants but willl there be an attempt? Was that roughness ?️
There will people who come behind us and say the same stuff we are saying about games now and they will be called Gamblers/Investestor’s ?
no sir, i dont. I just try to be aware, i'm not looking at a game like this and defaulting to the inconceivable to many . Id much rather look for edge or no play. I think that's trending for Rubes as you say...lol. But as Xeno said it's in the number i kind of understood him, i think.....i try to keep numbers to have an accurate depiction of what the number should be. In the NFL i might rely more on experience in the early weeks, but can rely more heavily on numbers right about excactly week 8
If any of you have played team sports in your life at any level (or have kids in team sports) you will note, generally speaking, the good teams blowout the bad teams.
Once a team is established, the results are pretty predictable...You are what you are.
From little league to high school, all the way through college.
True, in CFB the spread is the great equalizer, but even there, the odds are generally predictive.
Not the NFL. In the NFL, one week a team can look unstoppable, then follow it up with a complete inexplicable dud.
In the NFL, as a matter of routine, we see teams blowing huge leads at halftime with a clusterfuck series of "bad calls", horrible coaching and play calling (like OCs not running the clock; giving the ball back within 10 seconds of play after his QB goes 3 and out throws three consecutive incomplete passes into the ground LOL; even worse calls "going for it" at the behest of cheerleading announcers on 4th down etc.)
Really bad fundamental stuff at any level, let alone so-called "professionals"
Are they stupid? No, can't be stupid. So why does every NFL game feel like we forgot to turn off the "catchup factor" in Madden?
For the hardcore sports betting crowd, it is said the NFL has become "unbettable"..market is too efficient. There's easier lower hanging fruit in other leagues - also true.
But did you ever ask yourself why?
Notice how the "Entertainment League" is always angling for some "storybook" ending with many games decided on the last play, especially the national games. Oh, and the two-point conversion team that miraculously ties the game with seconds remaining from a series of bad calls and botched plays NEVER misses., for that would abruptly end the Hollywood script. LOL
How many of you have felt exactly this way watching a game?
Of course you have! I've read the comments.
If it feels fake...if it feels like a video game...if it feels scripted... it's because it is.
"Entertainment sports" they call it... like professional wrestling.
Sour grapes? Nope. Someone with "inside information"? Not at all. Just the eye test from a vet who has played, watched and bet on literally tens of thousands of games in every sport over a lifetime.
Once a team is established, the results are pretty predictable...You are what you are.
From little league to high school, all the way through college.
True, in CFB the spread is the great equalizer, but even there, the odds are generally predictive.
Not the NFL. In the NFL, one week a team can look unstoppable, then follow it up with a complete inexplicable dud.
In the NFL, as a matter of routine, we see teams blowing huge leads at halftime with a clusterfuck series of "bad calls", horrible coaching and play calling (like OCs not running the clock; giving the ball back within 10 seconds of play after his QB goes 3 and out throws three consecutive incomplete passes into the ground LOL; even worse calls "going for it" at the behest of cheerleading announcers on 4th down etc.)
Really bad fundamental stuff at any level, let alone so-called "professionals"
Are they stupid? No, can't be stupid. So why does every NFL game feel like we forgot to turn off the "catchup factor" in Madden?
For the hardcore sports betting crowd, it is said the NFL has become "unbettable"..market is too efficient. There's easier lower hanging fruit in other leagues - also true.
But did you ever ask yourself why?
Notice how the "Entertainment League" is always angling for some "storybook" ending with many games decided on the last play, especially the national games. Oh, and the two-point conversion team that miraculously ties the game with seconds remaining from a series of bad calls and botched plays NEVER misses., for that would abruptly end the Hollywood script. LOL
How many of you have felt exactly this way watching a game?
Of course you have! I've read the comments.
If it feels fake...if it feels like a video game...if it feels scripted... it's because it is.
"Entertainment sports" they call it... like professional wrestling.
Sour grapes? Nope. Someone with "inside information"? Not at all. Just the eye test from a vet who has played, watched and bet on literally tens of thousands of games in every sport over a lifetime.
I have no clue what the “catchup factor” on madden is, sounds fun though
anyway enjoy the next 3 months, don’t see the nfl hurting for your viewership
funny the nfl even jokes about the script stuff now, they know it doesn’t matter. People can’t get enough of living vicariously through athletes and rooting for that local laundry either way.
And obviously gamblers love giving themselves excuses for why they lose, win-win for everyone
anyway enjoy the next 3 months, don’t see the nfl hurting for your viewership
funny the nfl even jokes about the script stuff now, they know it doesn’t matter. People can’t get enough of living vicariously through athletes and rooting for that local laundry either way.
And obviously gamblers love giving themselves excuses for why they lose, win-win for everyone
You're on record saying NFL markets are "too efficient"...so you're in the same boat as everyone else.
Yeah, too "efficient" alright - this is what happens when every game is "scripted" to end on the last play.
Back in the day, with Saquon on the shelf, the Niners tonight could have been hammered, but you know you can't make money laying that kind of chalk consistently in the NFL.
Why? Because it's the NFL.
Nope. That’s 100% false. I think nfl sides are the most efficient market of gambling but no I don’t think they’re “too efficient”, can still beat CLV in spots. And obviously there is much to do with football besides sides. Don’t need sides to make money.
Also lol @ thinking Saquan matters much to the spread but whatever, don’t have time for all that
DFS/season long/best ball/props/futures/awards etc etc
believe what you want, I wouldn’t watch football if I wasn’t making $ for doing so. Thus I wouldn’t give a shit if there was a script
Kinda in the 9th inning with all this shit as is tbh
flag, commercial, injury, flag not exactly that riveting to me.
Like I said, enjoy the next 4 months
I think its good knowledge to have. I dont think you need much direction in this case that the 49ers are preferred over the Giants. As Xeno says its in the number are they going to invite action, or who gets uncomfortable laying how many with Purdy at qb even if it is the Giants.......I think i've posted in here the giants might win 4 or 5 games so i've been anti GMen but i'm also anti Purdy..... I also posted today though that the public is finally off of the Chargers, for Minnesota though, yuck. I dont have any inclination that the game could fixed in any way, but i'd rather not side with the majority in many situations, particularly bets on a side with poor past performances.
No I'm santa Claus helping squares
You don't like discussion in forum ? Or maybe it's just you don't like my opinion that the Bengals won't get off the mat? Send me one of those Burrow Jerseys and I'll have a cigar watching one of these sunrises and maybe revive them somehow.
Let me just say things have changed in Vegas esp the past 30 years and dramatically in the past 10 years-you have a large influx of foreign players many from china and the middle east along with US vips which have leaned to betting more underdogs and we called them Sharps -or opposite of the general public -thats why its much difficult to Know where the action is going despite those percentages you see online which btw many times are wrong. Ive done very well over the years going against the public but the past 10 years its not been ez, as i play more teasers esp in the nfl where theres much more parity these days. Vegas has adjusted and you see so much more lines moving 3-4 points or more which rarely was seen years ago. We can never Prove games are scripted or set up but how did vegas win 37-39 Super Bowls ? If last years playoffs and SB did mot convince you then nothing will. Cinn was bet to the limit in the playoffs and every book in the country Was rooting against them -kc got all the calls n that out of bounds like 10 yard hit on mahomes won the game as ohilly was bet off the charts in that one. Well. Bol RX just my 2 cents
