NFL Picks 2014

jgm4661 · Dec 14, 2014

Week 15
As usual there are only a few real deals each week based on doing your own line projections and looking for value. Home in caps.

Best Bets
BUF +4

All

BUF +4
gb overrated on the road 1-6 ATS. Only beat MIN by 3 and BUF could win outright. BUF has one of the leagues best secondaries to neutralize GB’s passing O and near league lead in pass rush w 3.7 sacks/gm so look for a few here.

CAR -3
QB Anderson is not much of a drop off. Just dismantled NO on the road in convincing fashion. tb going back to Mike Glennon has larger QB and Offensive Coordinator issues and one of the worst rushing and passing Os in the league.

nyj -3
TEN really hurting at OT and backups Lewan and Oher are both out again so they start 5[SUP]th[/SUP] and 6[SUP]th[/SUP] stringers. Gave up 8 sacks last week, Expect more of the same here.

jgm4661 · Dec 14, 2014

Scratch CAR -3. QB Anderson may be rusty.

jgm4661 · Dec 14, 2014

Week 15

Best Bets 1-0, 19-8 ytd
All 2-0, 49-27 ytd

cordial · Dec 14, 2014

Sweet work jgm4661...BOL to you...

jgm4661 · Dec 14, 2014

cordial said:
Sweet work jgm4661...BOL to you...

Thanks again. BOL to you as well.

jgm4661 · Dec 21, 2014

Week 16
Comparison is team unit vs opposing unit of opposition. Home in CAPS. Only two this week w lots of value.

All

kc +3
PIT allowing a near bottom passer rating of 100. Down one starting CB and the other was benched for bad play. kc one of better rushing teams vs an avg rush D means they can hang around, Might win outright.

CAR -5.5
CAR big edge in rush o vs one of the worst rush D’s in the league missing CB Joe Haden as well. cle also struggling to run the ball on O . Johnny Manziel was awful last week as cle was shut out. Don’t expect much improvement here on the road.