Week 6
Home team in caps. Edge is vs the other team's opposing unit (ex team rush O edge is vs opponent rush D) Picks based on estimated pts considering edges, injuries and other factors.
HOU +3
Edge in rush D, & big edge in rush O so expect a heavy does of Arian Foster and clock control. Could win outright. ind passes more than avg so fade them on the road.
Home team in caps. Edge is vs the other team's opposing unit (ex team rush O edge is vs opponent rush D) Picks based on estimated pts considering edges, injuries and other factors.
HOU +3
Edge in rush D, & big edge in rush O so expect a heavy does of Arian Foster and clock control. Could win outright. ind passes more than avg so fade them on the road.
Week 6
Home team in caps. Edge is vs the other teams opposing unit (ex team rush O edge is vs opponent rush D) Picks based on estimated pts considering edges, injuries and other factors. Just a few this week.
Best Bets
MIN -2
MIA +2
Have gb -1.5 in my calcs. MIA has enough weapons to hang around and keep this a field goal game either way.
MIN -2
Norv’s offenses can score in bunches at home. QB Bridgewater back for this one. det maybe w out RB Bell and WR Megatron Again another passing O to fade.
TB +3.5
bal missing their starting LT and it showed last week vs IND. Defensive battle & TB could win outright.
SEA -8.5
dal down their top CB which will hurt in this one. SEA edge in rush/pass O and D. SEA by 10
Home team in caps. Edge is vs the other teams opposing unit (ex team rush O edge is vs opponent rush D) Picks based on estimated pts considering edges, injuries and other factors. Just a few this week.
Best Bets
MIN -2
MIA +2
Have gb -1.5 in my calcs. MIA has enough weapons to hang around and keep this a field goal game either way.
MIN -2
Norv’s offenses can score in bunches at home. QB Bridgewater back for this one. det maybe w out RB Bell and WR Megatron Again another passing O to fade.
TB +3.5
bal missing their starting LT and it showed last week vs IND. Defensive battle & TB could win outright.
SEA -8.5
dal down their top CB which will hurt in this one. SEA edge in rush/pass O and D. SEA by 10
Week 7
Home team in caps. Edge is vs the other teams opposing unit (ex team rush O edge is vs opponent rush D) Picks based on estimated pts considering edges, injuries and other factors.
Most cases my math line projections are close to the posted lines. Odds makers likely using similar formulas and programs but are much more accurate and advanced. Only look at games where there are a few pts of difference.
Best Bets
BAL -6.5
CHI -3
BUF -6
kc +3
ari -3.5
CHI -3
CHI rounding to form w D healthier mia a passing team on the road missing starting RB Moreno & wont be able to match TDs and keep up.
car +6.5
GB down starting CB & the other hurt. car gets back RB Stewart. Played a good CIN team to a draw on road last week
BAL -6.5
ATL OL missing C, OT, BAL edge in rush O, D, pass O. atl awful on the road losing to MIN, CIN and NYG by 12 pts on avg.
BUF -6
Edge everywhere. min w rookie QB will make mistakes on the road. Only put up 9,10 pts in last 2 road games
kc + 3
SD hurting at CB and RB. kc edge in rush O. Lots of weapons in Charles, Kelce , Bowe, Avery etc to keep up. Covered vs DEN and MIA on road.
ari - 3.5
Edge in pass O , rush and pass D. Played well vs a beat up SD D but rookie QB Carr will make some mistakes throwing against Patrick Peterson and Antonio Cromartie
hou +3
hou solid covering in last road outing vs DAL , a better team. PIT has some D inj at CB. NT and LB and just benched the other starting CB. Gave up 24 pts to TB last contest. hou should be able to run on them.
Home team in caps. Edge is vs the other teams opposing unit (ex team rush O edge is vs opponent rush D) Picks based on estimated pts considering edges, injuries and other factors.
Most cases my math line projections are close to the posted lines. Odds makers likely using similar formulas and programs but are much more accurate and advanced. Only look at games where there are a few pts of difference.
Best Bets
BAL -6.5
CHI -3
BUF -6
kc +3
ari -3.5
CHI -3
CHI rounding to form w D healthier mia a passing team on the road missing starting RB Moreno & wont be able to match TDs and keep up.
car +6.5
GB down starting CB & the other hurt. car gets back RB Stewart. Played a good CIN team to a draw on road last week
BAL -6.5
ATL OL missing C, OT, BAL edge in rush O, D, pass O. atl awful on the road losing to MIN, CIN and NYG by 12 pts on avg.
BUF -6
Edge everywhere. min w rookie QB will make mistakes on the road. Only put up 9,10 pts in last 2 road games
kc + 3
SD hurting at CB and RB. kc edge in rush O. Lots of weapons in Charles, Kelce , Bowe, Avery etc to keep up. Covered vs DEN and MIA on road.
ari - 3.5
Edge in pass O , rush and pass D. Played well vs a beat up SD D but rookie QB Carr will make some mistakes throwing against Patrick Peterson and Antonio Cromartie
hou +3
hou solid covering in last road outing vs DAL , a better team. PIT has some D inj at CB. NT and LB and just benched the other starting CB. Gave up 24 pts to TB last contest. hou should be able to run on them.
Week 8 Picks
Home team in caps. Edge is vs the other teams opposing unit (ex team rush O edge is vs opponent rush D) Picks based on estimated pts considering edges, injuries and other factors.
Best Bets
TB -2.5
hou -2.5
CAR +5.5
TB -2.5
Edge everywhere. Have had 2 weeks to get Lovie’s D fixed. min rookie QB will struggle again on the road.
CAR +5.5
sea down some key starters. Pretty ordinary on the road losing to STL lw.
hou -2.5
Most popular pick in Vegas competition. TEN starting their rookie who will make some errors. hou a steady run first team.
ARI -2.5
Better D & getting turnovers. look for some today. Edge in pass O and D. phi misses Sproles.
PIT +3.5
Reggie Wayne out for ind. PIT gets back LB Shazier Edge in rush O
KC -7
stl down both their starting CBs. KC edge in pass/rush D. QB Austin has been error prone
Home team in caps. Edge is vs the other teams opposing unit (ex team rush O edge is vs opponent rush D) Picks based on estimated pts considering edges, injuries and other factors.
Best Bets
TB -2.5
hou -2.5
CAR +5.5
TB -2.5
Edge everywhere. Have had 2 weeks to get Lovie’s D fixed. min rookie QB will struggle again on the road.
CAR +5.5
sea down some key starters. Pretty ordinary on the road losing to STL lw.
hou -2.5
Most popular pick in Vegas competition. TEN starting their rookie who will make some errors. hou a steady run first team.
ARI -2.5
Better D & getting turnovers. look for some today. Edge in pass O and D. phi misses Sproles.
PIT +3.5
Reggie Wayne out for ind. PIT gets back LB Shazier Edge in rush O
KC -7
stl down both their starting CBs. KC edge in pass/rush D. QB Austin has been error prone
Week 9
Home team in caps. Edge is vs the other teams opposing unit (ex team rush O edge is vs opponent rush D) Picks based on estimated pts considering edges, injuries and other factors. Only a few real edges this week and 2 for now.
Best Bets
ari pk
HOU +2.5
Both teams O’s better than the opposing Ds & HOU has the weapons to keep up. HOU similar to ARI who beat phi last week & could win outright
ari pk
Tony Romo out. Better D and similar O. Big edge in pass O and now at QB
Home team in caps. Edge is vs the other teams opposing unit (ex team rush O edge is vs opponent rush D) Picks based on estimated pts considering edges, injuries and other factors. Only a few real edges this week and 2 for now.
Best Bets
ari pk
HOU +2.5
Both teams O’s better than the opposing Ds & HOU has the weapons to keep up. HOU similar to ARI who beat phi last week & could win outright
ari pk
Tony Romo out. Better D and similar O. Big edge in pass O and now at QB
